Pirates vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 14 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pirates (64-83) travel to take on the Nationals (60-86) in Washington, in what looks like a tossup with the Nationals slightly favored in moneyline odds. Early betting markets have the Over/Under set at around 8.5 runs, and the Pirates are modest favorites on the run line in some lines while others favor Washington.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 14, 2025

Start Time: 1:35 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (61-87)

Pirates Record: (65-84)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: -102

WAS Moneyline: -118

PIT Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

PIT
Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh has struggled against the run line (ATS) on the road this season, posting an 8-17 record in away games vs the spread. Overall, the Pirates are also moderately below .500 ATS for the season when including home and away.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • Washington’s recent ATS form is shaky: in their last 10 games on the road vs the run line, they are 4-6. At home, the Nationals are 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games against the run line.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Several interesting betting markers are in play for this matchup. First, the Over/Under being 8.5 implies that oddsmakers expect a moderately high run total, leaving room for both sides of the over-under depending on how effective the starting pitching and bullpen are. Second, sportsbooks seem to give the Pirates a slight edge despite being the visiting team — some lines list them as favorites (e.g. −132 in certain sources) which is somewhat unusual for road teams in a matchup of roughly even strength. Third, the head-to-head history isn’t overwhelmingly lopsided: Pittsburgh leads Washington all-time by a modest margin (roughly in the ballpark of 340-316) which suggests moderate historical confidence but not dominance.

PIT vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Burrows under 1.5 Earned Runs.

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Pittsburgh vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/14/25

The upcoming matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Washington Nationals on September 14, 2025, at Nationals Park is one of those late-season contests where pride, evaluation of talent, and momentum heading into the offseason take center stage rather than playoff implications, as both clubs find themselves well outside of the postseason picture. For Pittsburgh, the season has been one of fits and starts, where moments of promise from young arms and prospects have occasionally hinted at a brighter future, but the lack of consistent offense and bullpen stability has kept them from stringing together meaningful winning streaks. Washington, similarly, has dealt with growing pains, relying heavily on young players while enduring stretches where their pitching staff, particularly the bullpen, has struggled to maintain leads or keep games competitive against stronger lineups. Betting markets reflect the close nature of this game, with the Over/Under hovering at 8.5 runs and odds suggesting Pittsburgh might even be a slight favorite on the road, an unusual position for a team with a subpar record away from home, but perhaps justified by the Nationals’ persistent struggles at Nationals Park. The head-to-head history also tips slightly in Pittsburgh’s favor, though recent series have been competitive, which underscores how fine the margins may be in this game.

Much of the outcome will hinge on the starting pitchers; if the Pirates’ starter can limit walks and avoid giving up early runs, they may control the pace of the game, while Washington will lean on its young offensive core to pressure Pittsburgh’s defense and get into their bullpen early. Both teams’ bullpens have been unreliable at times, so late-inning drama is highly probable, with blown leads or big hits likely deciding the contest. Offensively, Pittsburgh has shown some spark in recent games, occasionally producing timely hitting to support otherwise shaky pitching, while Washington’s lineup is talented but streaky, capable of putting together a crooked inning but also prone to long scoring droughts. With the betting line indicating expectations of a moderately high-scoring game, bettors will have to decide whether the offenses will rise to that number or whether pitchers can surprise by holding things under. In essence, this matchup represents a clash of two teams searching for stability and consistency; the Pirates may have the slight edge in momentum and betting outlook, but the Nationals at home are always a live option if their lineup wakes up and their starter sets the tone. Ultimately, the game is less about playoff impact and more about evaluation, pride, and perhaps offering fans a glimpse of young players who could become more important in 2026 and beyond, but from a wagering and competitive standpoint, it’s one of those games where small factors—an error, a clutch hit, or a bullpen meltdown—will almost certainly determine the outcome.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this matchup against the Washington Nationals on September 14, 2025, with little left to play for in terms of postseason stakes, but there remains plenty of incentive for their roster filled with young talent and players fighting for future roles to finish strong. Pittsburgh’s season has been defined by uneven performances, particularly on the road, where they have struggled to cover spreads and have consistently been a step behind in close games. Their road ATS record is among the weaker in the league, reflecting an inability to generate consistent offense away from PNC Park and a bullpen that has often faltered in hostile environments. Still, the Pirates have shown signs of growth in recent weeks, snapping losing skids and occasionally putting together encouraging offensive bursts when their top hitters find rhythm. Their offense remains streaky, with games where they can put up multiple runs in an inning followed by long droughts where runners are stranded in scoring position. For Pittsburgh to succeed in Washington, they will need strong contributions from their starter to limit baserunners and keep the Nationals’ lineup in check early, because once their bullpen is exposed, opponents have regularly taken advantage late in games.

The Pirates’ pitchers have the potential to generate swing-and-miss stuff against a Nationals lineup that is young and prone to strikeouts, but execution will be key. Defensively, lapses have been costly all season, and on the road, errors tend to magnify the difficulty of pulling out wins. On the offensive side, Pittsburgh will need its middle-of-the-order hitters to spark rallies, as relying solely on sporadic contributions from the bottom of the lineup will not be enough to sustain offense in this ballpark. The betting markets make Pittsburgh a slight favorite in some cases, which underscores that oddsmakers see enough potential in their starting pitching and current form to give them an edge despite their poor overall road record. For them to live up to that confidence, their offense must capitalize on scoring chances, their defense must remain clean, and their bullpen has to execute under pressure late in the game. Ultimately, the Pirates’ opportunity in this matchup lies in staying disciplined, manufacturing runs when the opportunities arise, and avoiding the breakdowns that have plagued them throughout the season. If they can accomplish that, not only could they secure a road win, but they could also continue building momentum toward evaluating and developing the young core that will carry them into 2026.

The Pirates (64-83) travel to take on the Nationals (60-86) in Washington, in what looks like a tossup with the Nationals slightly favored in moneyline odds. Early betting markets have the Over/Under set at around 8.5 runs, and the Pirates are modest favorites on the run line in some lines while others favor Washington.   Pittsburgh vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals enter this September 14, 2025, matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates looking to salvage something from what has been another disappointing season, with their record at Nationals Park reflecting the struggles of a club still in the midst of a long rebuild. At home, Washington has failed to consistently deliver results either straight up or against the spread, as their 29-42 home mark underscores how often they have been outperformed even in their own ballpark. The Nationals have relied heavily on a roster filled with developing talent, which has provided exciting glimpses of the future but also exposed the team to frequent inconsistencies, especially against experienced opponents. Offensively, the lineup has shown flashes of explosiveness, with young players like James Wood and Brady House providing energy and occasional big performances, but the overall production has often been streaky, leading to long scoreless stretches that have hampered their ability to stay competitive in close games. The bullpen has been another major issue, frequently struggling to hold late leads, and that weakness has particularly hurt them at home, where fans have seen potential victories slip away in the late innings.

To stand a chance against Pittsburgh, Washington’s starting pitcher will need to control the pace early, limiting base traffic and preventing the Pirates from stringing together rallies that could put the Nationals in an immediate hole. From an offensive standpoint, the Nationals will need to take advantage of scoring opportunities when runners are on base, as leaving men stranded has been a consistent problem. Defensively, avoiding miscues will also be critical, as Washington’s margin for error is slim, and even minor mistakes often lead to big innings by the opposition. Despite these struggles, the Nationals do have the advantage of familiarity with their home park and can lean on the energy of the crowd to potentially spark their young roster into a sharper performance. Oddsmakers may have positioned Pittsburgh as slight favorites, but that leaves Washington with a chance to flip the narrative if they can harness their offensive potential and get a strong outing from their starter. For fans, this game offers another look at how the Nationals’ prospects are adjusting at the major league level, and for the team, it is another opportunity to build confidence heading into 2026. If their hitters can string together timely rallies and the bullpen can finally deliver a reliable late-game showing, Washington could use home field to their advantage and pick up a much-needed win in what has otherwise been a frustrating campaign.

Pittsburgh vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Burrows under 1.5 Earned Runs.

Pittsburgh vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Pirates and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly deflated Nationals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Washington picks, computer picks Pirates vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
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MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh has struggled against the run line (ATS) on the road this season, posting an 8-17 record in away games vs the spread. Overall, the Pirates are also moderately below .500 ATS for the season when including home and away.

Nationals Betting Trends

Washington’s recent ATS form is shaky: in their last 10 games on the road vs the run line, they are 4-6. At home, the Nationals are 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games against the run line.

Pirates vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

Several interesting betting markers are in play for this matchup. First, the Over/Under being 8.5 implies that oddsmakers expect a moderately high run total, leaving room for both sides of the over-under depending on how effective the starting pitching and bullpen are. Second, sportsbooks seem to give the Pirates a slight edge despite being the visiting team — some lines list them as favorites (e.g. −132 in certain sources) which is somewhat unusual for road teams in a matchup of roughly even strength. Third, the head-to-head history isn’t overwhelmingly lopsided: Pittsburgh leads Washington all-time by a modest margin (roughly in the ballpark of 340-316) which suggests moderate historical confidence but not dominance.

Pittsburgh vs. Washington Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Washington starts on September 14, 2025 at 1:35 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -102, Washington -118
Over/Under: 8.5

Pittsburgh: (65-84)  |  Washington: (61-87)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Burrows under 1.5 Earned Runs.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Several interesting betting markers are in play for this matchup. First, the Over/Under being 8.5 implies that oddsmakers expect a moderately high run total, leaving room for both sides of the over-under depending on how effective the starting pitching and bullpen are. Second, sportsbooks seem to give the Pirates a slight edge despite being the visiting team — some lines list them as favorites (e.g. −132 in certain sources) which is somewhat unusual for road teams in a matchup of roughly even strength. Third, the head-to-head history isn’t overwhelmingly lopsided: Pittsburgh leads Washington all-time by a modest margin (roughly in the ballpark of 340-316) which suggests moderate historical confidence but not dominance.

PIT trend: Pittsburgh has struggled against the run line (ATS) on the road this season, posting an 8-17 record in away games vs the spread. Overall, the Pirates are also moderately below .500 ATS for the season when including home and away.

WAS trend: Washington’s recent ATS form is shaky: in their last 10 games on the road vs the run line, they are 4-6. At home, the Nationals are 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games against the run line.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Washington Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Pittsburgh vs Washington Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: -102
WAS Moneyline: -118
PIT Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Pittsburgh vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals on September 14, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS