Jays vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Blue Jays and Yankees continue their high-stakes AL East set on Saturday, September 6, 2025, first pitch 1:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, with Toronto looking to protect a slim division lead and New York trying to cut the gap. Probable starters are right-hander Chris Bassitt for Toronto and hard-throwing righty Luis Gil for New York in a youth-vs-veteran duel.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 06, 2025

Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (78-63)

Jays Record: (82-59)

OPENING ODDS

TOR Moneyline: +131

NYY Moneyline: -157

TOR Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

TOR
Betting Trends

  • Blue Jays are 78-60 against the run line this season.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 65-72 against the run line this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Toronto enters with a better full-season run-line profile than New York, and with Saturday’s matchup lined around a mid-to-high total, the market often tilts toward tight margins in the Bronx where the Yankees are just 65-72 RL overall despite a strong straight-up home mark.

TOR vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Gil over 16.5 Fantasy Score.

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Toronto Blue vs New York Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/6/25

The September 6, 2025 clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium sets up as one of the marquee games of the weekend, not only because of the historical weight of the rivalry but also because of what it means in the American League East race, with Toronto entering the contest holding a narrow advantage in the standings and the Yankees aiming to close the gap in front of their home fans, and the starting pitching matchup encapsulates the tension: Chris Bassitt, the veteran craftsman who thrives on sequencing, deception, and limiting hard contact, versus Luis Gil, the fireballing right-hander whose electric arsenal can dominate when harnessed but sometimes betrays him with command lapses. The setting is a Saturday afternoon in the Bronx, a time when the ball tends to carry and crowds arrive eager for big moments, and that dynamic adds layers to every pitch, because Bassitt’s goal will be to neutralize early-inning adrenaline by coaxing weak contact and letting his defense do the work, while Gil must handle Toronto’s disciplined lineup that rarely chases and can drive up pitch counts. The Blue Jays’ offense has been reenergized by George Springer’s resurgence at the top of the order, giving Vladimir Guerrero Jr. more RBI chances and forcing pitchers to work from the stretch, while Toronto’s supporting bats, including Bo Bichette and the versatile Daulton Varsho, have lengthened the lineup and made it more difficult to find soft landing spots, and the Jays’ season-long success against the run line reflects their ability to win by multiple runs by capitalizing on those middle-innings breakthroughs.

The Yankees, meanwhile, have leaned on their traditional staples—power to the short porch, patience to draw walks, and a bullpen that, when aligned, can shorten games to six innings—but their run-line record has lagged behind their overall win total, suggesting that while they win frequently, they don’t always secure those comfortable margins, which speaks to an offense that can be feast or famine depending on sequencing. This makes the first few innings pivotal: if Gil can get through Springer and Guerrero without traffic, he can lean on his slider and changeup against Toronto’s secondary bats and build rhythm, but if Bassitt settles in early and Toronto strikes first, the Jays’ bullpen, one of the best at converting narrow leads into wins, becomes the defining advantage. Expect aggressive in-game management, with managers John Schneider and Aaron Boone both aware that a single win could swing the balance of the series, so pinch-hitting decisions, quick hooks for pitchers, and matchup-based bullpen calls will likely appear earlier than usual. Defensively, both teams know the margins are slim, so execution on relays, positioning against pull hitters, and avoiding extra bases will matter as much as home runs. Ultimately, this matchup will likely be decided in the middle innings—whether Toronto can chase Gil early and break open a frame with patient at-bats or whether New York’s power bats can connect against Bassitt before Toronto’s bullpen arrives—and whichever team seizes that moment will not only win the game but also gain an edge in a division race that feels destined to come down to the wire.

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

For Toronto, this trip to Yankee Stadium on September 6 is the kind of late-season measuring stick that defines whether a division lead can hold up under pressure, and the Blue Jays arrive with a balanced profile that has carried them all year, one that emphasizes disciplined at-bats, strong defense, and a bullpen built to finish games cleanly, but in this setting they’ll need every bit of that structure to withstand both the environment and a surging New York lineup. Chris Bassitt’s start is central to Toronto’s chances because his style is predicated on disrupting timing through variety rather than velocity, leaning on a kitchen-sink mix of cutters, sweepers, sinkers, and curves to steal strikes and induce soft contact, and while Yankee Stadium can turn marginal fly balls into damage, Bassitt’s poise and willingness to attack the zone give the Jays confidence that he can work into the middle innings without unraveling. The offense around him has found rhythm thanks to George Springer’s revitalized bat at the top, setting a tone that has unlocked more RBI opportunities for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and forced opposing pitchers into stressful counts, and the key for Toronto will be resisting Luis Gil’s overpowering fastball early in counts, making him work deep into at-bats, and capitalizing on any lapses in command that translate into walks, because once they get men on base they can exploit situational hitting and baserunning pressure. Bo Bichette’s contact ability and Daulton Varsho’s versatility offer balance, and Toronto’s ability to move runners, take extra bases, and string doubles together makes them a threat to manufacture crooked numbers even without relying solely on the long ball.

Defensively, the Jays have tightened up, particularly in the outfield, where cutting off the gaps in Yankee Stadium’s spacious left-center alley will be crucial in limiting the extra-base damage that fuels New York rallies, and their infield execution on double plays could swing entire innings in Bassitt’s favor. The bullpen remains Toronto’s crown jewel, one of the league’s best at closing down games once they’re handed a lead, with swing-and-miss arms that can silence even the Yankees’ power threats in high-leverage situations, and that structure gives them a clear edge if the game is tight after the sixth. The run-line data underlines their formula, as Toronto has consistently covered spreads when winning thanks to their knack for opening up close games late, and that trend could continue if they manage to wear down Gil early and force Aaron Boone to reach into middle relief before he’d like. The intangible factor here is Toronto’s composure on the road, forged through months of traveling with playoff implications hanging over every series, and their ability to stay steady in hostile environments should serve them well against a Yankees team feeding off crowd energy. For the Blue Jays, success will come down to staying patient at the plate, executing on defense, and leaning on the bullpen to turn a narrow advantage into a secure win, and if they can hit those marks, they’ll not only take a game from their rivals but also send a loud message about their readiness to finish the division race strong.

The Blue Jays and Yankees continue their high-stakes AL East set on Saturday, September 6, 2025, first pitch 1:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, with Toronto looking to protect a slim division lead and New York trying to cut the gap. Probable starters are right-hander Chris Bassitt for Toronto and hard-throwing righty Luis Gil for New York in a youth-vs-veteran duel.  Toronto Blue vs New York AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees MLB Preview

For the Yankees, this September 6 matchup against Toronto is more than just another divisional game—it’s a litmus test for their ability to chase down the Blue Jays in the AL East and prove that their roster construction can deliver when the pressure ratchets up, and all eyes will be on Luis Gil as he takes the mound with his premium velocity and lively fastball that can dominate when commanded but risks unraveling when elevated without intent. Gil’s approach will be tested by Toronto’s patient lineup that thrives on deep counts and punishing mistakes, so the key will be establishing strike one early and then mixing in his slider and changeup to keep hitters like George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. from sitting on his heater, because if he allows them to dictate pace, the Blue Jays’ lineup can force him out of rhythm and into high pitch counts. The Yankees’ offensive identity at home is well known—relentless power to the short porch in right field, aggressive swings on mistake fastballs, and the ability to generate quick momentum with one swing—and in this contest, the likes of Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Anthony Volpe will be counted on to provide thump and make Bassitt pay if he leaves anything in the middle of the plate. New York’s supporting bats must also carry their weight, because the Jays’ pitching depth punishes one-dimensional approaches, and getting contributions from the bottom half of the lineup could be the difference between scratching out runs or breaking through with a big inning.

Defensively, the Yankees cannot afford lapses, as Toronto’s baserunning aggressiveness and willingness to pressure fielders means that every relay, every cutoff, and every tag must be executed with precision to keep extra bases from becoming free runs. The bullpen remains a wild card: while New York has high-leverage arms capable of overpowering any opponent, their overall inconsistency has been a reason why the Yankees’ run-line record lags behind their win-loss total, and Aaron Boone will likely be aggressive in matching relievers to Toronto’s lineup spots, perhaps going earlier to setup men if Gil runs into trouble. The Yankees’ path to victory depends heavily on Gil’s ability to work at least five solid innings, minimizing free passes while limiting damage to solo shots rather than multi-run rallies, because once they can turn the game over with a lead, the crowd and their leverage arms become real assets. Tactically, expect Boone to leverage platoon advantages, send runners to test Bassitt’s rhythm and Toronto’s catchers, and push the envelope on scoring opportunities, as squeezing out even a single insurance run late could prove decisive against the Jays’ shutdown bullpen. The broader picture is psychological: this is the Yankees’ opportunity to plant doubt in Toronto’s mind and prove they can chip away at the standings in head-to-head matchups, and if they can combine Gil’s power stuff with timely offense and clean defense, they not only position themselves to win the game but also to shift the energy of the entire division race heading into the stretch run.

Toronto Blue vs. New York Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Jays and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Gil over 16.5 Fantasy Score.

Toronto Blue vs. New York Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Jays and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on New York’s strength factors between a Jays team going up against a possibly rested Yankees team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Toronto Blue vs New York picks, computer picks Jays vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Jays Betting Trends

Blue Jays are 78-60 against the run line this season.

Yankees Betting Trends

Yankees are 65-72 against the run line this season.

Jays vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

Toronto enters with a better full-season run-line profile than New York, and with Saturday’s matchup lined around a mid-to-high total, the market often tilts toward tight margins in the Bronx where the Yankees are just 65-72 RL overall despite a strong straight-up home mark.

Toronto Blue vs. New York Game Info

Toronto Blue vs New York starts on September 06, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto Blue +131, New York -157
Over/Under: 9.5

Toronto Blue: (82-59)  |  New York: (78-63)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Gil over 16.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Toronto enters with a better full-season run-line profile than New York, and with Saturday’s matchup lined around a mid-to-high total, the market often tilts toward tight margins in the Bronx where the Yankees are just 65-72 RL overall despite a strong straight-up home mark.

TOR trend: Blue Jays are 78-60 against the run line this season.

NYY trend: Yankees are 65-72 against the run line this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Toronto Blue vs. New York Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Toronto Blue vs New York trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Toronto Blue vs New York Opening Odds

TOR Moneyline: +131
NYY Moneyline: -157
TOR Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Toronto Blue vs New York Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
+100
-120
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-215)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-118
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+136
-162
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+130)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+110
-130
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-135)
U 7 (+115)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees on September 06, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS