Mets vs. Reds
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-09-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Mets travel to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds in a pivotal late-season tilt, with Jonah Tong set to take the hill for New York against a battle-tested Brady Singer for Cincinnati. The game’s outcome could significantly impact the Mets’ push for a Wild Card spot and test the Reds’ ability to stay relevant down the stretch.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 06, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: Great American Ball Park​

Reds Record: (70-71)

Mets Record: (76-65)

OPENING ODDS

NYM Moneyline: -130

CIN Moneyline: +109

NYM Spread: -1.5

CIN Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 58–64 against the run line this season. On the road specifically, they’re 33–36 ATS.

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds hold a 30–27 run line record this year.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • With New York under .500 ATS and Cincinnati slightly above .500, this matchup featuring two reliable starters creates a tight betting scenario—favoring neither side heavily and increasing the likelihood of a close game decided late.

NYM vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/6/25

The September 6, 2025 matchup between the New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park offers a fascinating blend of urgency, style contrasts, and playoff implications, with the Mets fighting to solidify their Wild Card positioning and the Reds aiming to play spoiler while evaluating how their young roster stacks up against postseason-caliber competition. On the mound, the Mets hand the ball to Jonah Tong, the rookie right-hander who burst onto the scene with electric stuff and a poised debut, and whose mix of mid-90s fastballs, sharp breakers, and confidence in the strike zone gives New York a potential late-season weapon. Across from him is Brady Singer, Cincinnati’s durable workhorse who has carved out a reputation for eating innings with a heavy sinker, a reliable slider, and a willingness to attack hitters inside to force weak contact, and his ability to keep the ball in the park will be tested against a Mets lineup capable of quick strikes. Offensively, the Mets boast one of the more balanced groups in the National League, anchored by Pete Alonso’s power pursuit of franchise records, Juan Soto’s patience and discipline, and Francisco Lindor’s combination of power, defense, and clutch hitting, and their collective mission against Singer will be to avoid chasing early count pitches, extend at-bats, and drive up pitch counts until they can feast on Cincinnati’s bullpen. For the Reds, their approach must be opportunistic—Bryan Reynolds and Elly De La Cruz remain dangerous swing changers, and their supporting bats need to focus on situational hitting, putting the ball in play, and forcing Tong to labor through long innings where command lapses might surface.

The run-line storylines frame this as a game where betting dynamics mirror reality: the Mets have struggled against the spread this season, reflecting their habit of winning close without margin, while the Reds have been modestly profitable, suggesting that even in losses they stay competitive enough to frustrate opponents. Defensively, the Mets’ infield execution and ability to prevent stolen bases will be tested, as Cincinnati thrives on capitalizing on extra 90 feet whenever possible, while for the Reds the challenge will be playing clean baseball against a patient lineup that punishes errors with multi-run innings. Bullpen management will also loom large—Carlos Mendoza may be quick to bridge Tong to high-leverage arms like Edwin Díaz if trouble appears, while Terry Francona is likely to be aggressive in matching relievers to pockets of New York’s order in order to keep the game within a swing. Intangibly, the Mets carry the weight of expectation, knowing every slip tightens the Wild Card race, while the Reds carry the freedom of playing with little to lose, an edge that often makes underdogs dangerous in September. Ultimately, this game projects to hinge on whether Tong can handle the pressure of a second or third big-league start in a hitter-friendly park, and whether Singer can neutralize the Mets’ sluggers long enough to give Cincinnati a chance; if the Mets seize control early, their bullpen structure makes them tough to chase, but if the Reds can scratch first blood and ride their crowd’s energy, the upset door swings wide open in what promises to be a tense and strategic divisional showdown.

New York Mets MLB Preview

For the Mets, Saturday’s visit to Great American Ball Park is a crucial checkpoint in their playoff chase, and they arrive with a lineup capable of producing crooked numbers and a rookie starter in Jonah Tong who has quickly earned the trust of his teammates by demonstrating poise and electric stuff in his early outings. Tong’s arsenal, highlighted by a mid-90s fastball with ride, a sharp breaking ball, and a developing changeup, gives him the tools to miss bats and limit hard contact, but the real challenge will be sustaining command against a Reds lineup that can punish mistakes, particularly in their hitter-friendly home park. New York’s plan is to support Tong by playing to their offensive strengths: patient at-bats to elevate Brady Singer’s pitch count, selective aggression when he leaves sliders over the plate, and leveraging the thump of Pete Alonso, Juan Soto, and Francisco Lindor, all of whom can flip the game with one swing. Complementing that core is a deeper supporting cast—guys like Mark Vientos and Jeff McNeil who provide contact balance and situational hitting, extending innings and creating RBI opportunities when the big bats are pitched around. Defensively, the Mets have been sharper than in past years, and at a ballpark notorious for doubles in the gap, clean outfield routes and accurate relays will be essential to keep Cincinnati’s runners from turning singles into extra bases.

On the bases themselves, New York is not a team built on pure speed but they can be opportunistic, using smart reads to capitalize when pitchers lose rhythm or defenders hesitate, and that opportunism often translates into the insurance runs that make their bullpen even more dangerous late. Speaking of the bullpen, it remains one of the Mets’ biggest strengths down the stretch, headlined by Edwin Díaz in the ninth and multiple setup men who can shorten games when handed a lead, which makes the goal for Tong simple: keep the game in control for five or six innings and let the relief corps do the heavy lifting. The betting narrative reflects the Mets’ season to date: they often win games outright but struggle to consistently cover run lines because of their reliance on close, grind-it-out victories rather than blowouts, so building separation early will be a point of emphasis if they want to avoid late drama. Manager Carlos Mendoza has shown a willingness to play aggressively in these spots, pulling starters at the first sign of fatigue and deploying pinch-hitters to gain platoon advantages, and his in-game urgency mirrors the stakes of every September contest. Ultimately, the Mets’ formula for success in Cincinnati comes down to discipline and execution: Tong must avoid the middle of the plate, the lineup must resist pressing for home runs and instead trust their natural power to play in a small park, and the defense must prevent the Reds from manufacturing momentum. If New York can follow that blueprint, they not only put themselves in position to win but also to prove that their mix of young arms and veteran stars is built to thrive in the crucible of a September playoff race.

The New York Mets travel to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds in a pivotal late-season tilt, with Jonah Tong set to take the hill for New York against a battle-tested Brady Singer for Cincinnati. The game’s outcome could significantly impact the Mets’ push for a Wild Card spot and test the Reds’ ability to stay relevant down the stretch. New York vs Cincinnati AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Sep 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

For the Reds, Saturday’s September 6 battle with the Mets is a chance to prove they can still punch above their weight against a contender, and their confidence rests heavily on the shoulders of Brady Singer, a durable right-hander who has stabilized the rotation with his ability to pound the strike zone, generate weak contact, and limit damage in a ballpark that often punishes mistakes. Singer’s formula will be to work ahead with his heavy sinker, force ground balls to keep Pete Alonso and Juan Soto from lifting pitches into the seats, and lean on his slider in two-strike counts to finish at-bats, because if he can navigate the Mets’ patient lineup efficiently through the first five innings, Cincinnati has a realistic chance to carry a lead or a tie into the bullpen. Offensively, the Reds must be opportunistic against rookie Jonah Tong, who has shown electric stuff but is still adjusting to major-league hitters, which means players like Elly De La Cruz and Bryan Reynolds should look to jump on early fastballs before Tong can lean on his offspeed arsenal; if they can create traffic in front of the middle order, a single mistake could spark the type of rally that swings momentum at Great American Ball Park. Cincinnati’s offense isn’t built on sustained power like New York’s, but it thrives when it strings together singles, takes the extra base, and pressures defenses into rushed decisions, and while they’ve run less aggressively this season, smart baserunning—first-to-third reads, daring tags on medium-depth flies—can serve as their hidden weapon.

Defensively, the Reds must be airtight, because the Mets excel at punishing mistakes with multi-run innings, so executing double plays, hitting cutoff men cleanly, and taking crisp outfield routes in a park known for its quirky carries could decide whether Cincinnati keeps the game within reach. Manager Terry Francona will likely manage with urgency, deploying matchup relievers aggressively against New York’s core sluggers, and leaning on pinch-hit and platoon tactics to squeeze every ounce of leverage in a tight game. The Reds’ run-line profile reflects a team that competes but often falls just short, hovering around .500 ATS and keeping games close without consistently finishing them, so finding that extra execution late is vital. The intangible edge for Cincinnati is their ability to play free of pressure; while the Mets carry the burden of a playoff chase, the Reds can play loose, feed off the home crowd, and let their young stars attack without hesitation, and that energy has produced some of their most compelling wins this year. To win, Cincinnati needs Singer to quiet New York’s offense early, their lineup to cash in with situational hitting, and their bullpen to hold firm under stress, and if all three align, the Reds not only have the chance to take the game but also to remind the league that they are closer to competing than their record suggests.

New York vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Mets and Reds play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Great American Ball Park in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

New York vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Mets and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors regularly put on New York’s strength factors between a Mets team going up against a possibly healthy Reds team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Mets vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 SD@CHC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 DET@CLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 CIN@LAD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/1 BOS@NYY GET FREE PICK NOW 0

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets are 58–64 against the run line this season. On the road specifically, they’re 33–36 ATS.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds hold a 30–27 run line record this year.

Mets vs. Reds Matchup Trends

With New York under .500 ATS and Cincinnati slightly above .500, this matchup featuring two reliable starters creates a tight betting scenario—favoring neither side heavily and increasing the likelihood of a close game decided late.

New York vs. Cincinnati Game Info

New York vs Cincinnati starts on September 06, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Venue: Great American Ball Park.

Spread: Cincinnati +1.5
Moneyline: New York -130, Cincinnati +109
Over/Under: 9

New York: (76-65)  |  Cincinnati: (70-71)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

With New York under .500 ATS and Cincinnati slightly above .500, this matchup featuring two reliable starters creates a tight betting scenario—favoring neither side heavily and increasing the likelihood of a close game decided late.

NYM trend: The Mets are 58–64 against the run line this season. On the road specifically, they’re 33–36 ATS.

CIN trend: The Reds hold a 30–27 run line record this year.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York vs. Cincinnati Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the New York vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York vs Cincinnati Opening Odds

NYM Moneyline: -130
CIN Moneyline: +109
NYM Spread: -1.5
CIN Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

New York vs Cincinnati Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
-103
-120
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
-104
-118
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
+140
-175
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+108
-131
pk
pk
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
+114
-126
pk
pk
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds on September 06, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS