Orioles vs. Padres
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 01 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-08-30T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Baltimore Orioles (~61–75) visit Petco Park to take on the surging San Diego Padres (~76–60) on September 1, 2025. While the Padres are solidly in the hunt for the NL West crown, the Orioles sit well back in the AL East; however, Baltimore will look to play spoiler and surprise on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 01, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: Petco Park
Padres Record: (76-61)
Orioles Record: (61-76)
OPENING ODDS
BAL Moneyline: LOADING
SD Moneyline: LOADING
BAL Spread: LOADING
SD Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
BAL
Betting Trends
- +172 moneyline underdogs with a +1.5 run line.
SD
Betting Trends
- –210 moneyline favorites with –1.5 run line support.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately low-scoring, pitcher-dominated affair.
BAL vs. SD
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Baltimore vs San Diego Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 9/1/25
The Padres have also proven effective when playing as favorites, winning more than 60 percent of games when the betting line leans heavily in their favor, which reinforces their reliability in spots like this. The Orioles, meanwhile, are attempting to salvage pride from what has been a disappointing season, as midseason acquisitions like Tyler O’Neill, Charlie Morton, and Tomoyuki Sugano have provided veteran presence but have not been enough to transform them into consistent winners. Cedric Mullins remains the centerpiece of their offense, combining speed and power while serving as one of the franchise’s most respected leaders, but the team around him has too often faltered, with inconsistent hitting, unreliable pitching, and a bullpen that has struggled to shut down games. Baltimore’s path to victory is narrow—they will need a strong, perhaps even surprising, performance from their starting pitcher to keep San Diego’s bats contained in a ballpark that punishes mistakes less than most, and their lineup must find ways to capitalize on any opportunities with runners in scoring position, something they’ve struggled with throughout the year. For the Orioles, staying competitive in this matchup will mean avoiding defensive lapses, stringing together hits against a quality Padres rotation, and relying on veterans like O’Neill and Mullins to spark rallies. While the Orioles are unlikely to play a role in October, they can embrace the role of spoiler here, and for San Diego, the pressure is on to avoid any slipups that could jeopardize their postseason trajectory. This game, therefore, represents a test of focus for the Padres and a chance for the Orioles to measure themselves against a contender in a challenging environment.
What a catch by Colton 🤯 pic.twitter.com/ncjYNaGTUJ
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) August 31, 2025
Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview
The Baltimore Orioles enter their September 1, 2025 showdown against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park with a record of about 61–75, a reflection of a season that began with cautious optimism but has instead been defined by inconsistency and underachievement. After showing flashes of competitiveness in 2023 and 2024, the Orioles have slipped back this year, with prolonged losing streaks and a lack of offensive consistency keeping them mired in the bottom of the AL East. Midseason, the front office attempted to inject life into the roster by acquiring veterans Tyler O’Neill, Charlie Morton, and Tomoyuki Sugano, hoping that experience could stabilize a young team and offer leadership in key moments, but the results have been mixed at best. Offensively, Cedric Mullins has remained the heart and soul of the lineup, recently marking his 100th career home run and continuing to provide speed and defense in center field, while O’Neill has added some much-needed pop in the middle of the order. However, those bright spots have been overshadowed by a lineup that struggles to string together runs, often relying on solo home runs or isolated bursts of production rather than consistent rallies.
The pitching staff has been even more problematic, with the rotation too often unable to deliver quality starts, which in turn overtaxes a bullpen that has been leaky and prone to late-inning collapses. Betting markets reflect this reality, listing Baltimore as +172 underdogs, a number that underscores both their record and their difficulties when traveling to face quality opponents. For the Orioles to pull off an upset in San Diego, they will need one of their starters to step up with a dominant performance, suppressing the Padres’ balanced lineup long enough to keep the game close, while their offense must maximize scoring chances, particularly with runners in scoring position where they’ve often failed to deliver. Defensively, they must play clean, as mistakes in the field have frequently compounded their pitching struggles and turned close games into blowouts. For Baltimore, this game is less about postseason implications and more about pride, player development, and showing that they can still compete against top-tier clubs. A strong performance against a playoff contender like San Diego would provide a much-needed morale boost, not only for the young players still carving out their futures but also for a fan base desperate for signs of progress.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
San Diego Padres MLB Preview
The San Diego Padres come into their September 1, 2025 matchup against the Baltimore Orioles at Petco Park with a record of roughly 76–60, firmly entrenched in the NL West playoff race and looking to use this home series as a springboard into a strong September push. Their season has been marked by consistency more than dominance, but in a division as tough as the NL West, that steadiness has kept them within striking distance of both a Wild Card spot and the division crown. The Padres have been particularly strong when cast as betting favorites, winning more than 60 percent of games in which oddsmakers heavily back them, and enter this contest as decisive –210 favorites, highlighting the confidence the market has in their ability to take care of business against a struggling Orioles team. Their pitching staff has been one of the key factors in their success, with a rotation deep enough to regularly provide quality starts and a bullpen that has developed into one of the most reliable units in baseball, capable of protecting leads and closing out tight contests.
Offensively, the Padres do not boast the most powerful lineup in the league, but they have consistently produced runs through balance, discipline, and timely hitting, with a mix of veterans and emerging players stepping up in critical moments. Recent roster additions, including players like Ryan O’Hearn acquired from Baltimore earlier in the season, have added further depth and flexibility, giving manager Mike Shildt more options to exploit matchups late in games. Petco Park, long known as a pitcher-friendly venue, has suited San Diego’s roster construction perfectly, enabling them to keep opposing bats in check while relying on their ability to manufacture enough runs to grind out victories. At home, the Padres have played with confidence, posting a strong record that reflects both their comfort in familiar surroundings and the energy of a fan base eager to see them return to October. For San Diego, the formula for success in this matchup is straightforward: get a quality outing from their starter, pressure Baltimore’s struggling pitching staff early to build a cushion, and then turn the game over to their bullpen to finish the job. With the Orioles arriving as underdogs looking to play spoiler, the Padres cannot afford complacency, but their superior depth, momentum, and urgency to keep pace in the playoff chase make them clear favorites. For San Diego, this game is about focus, execution, and continuing to demonstrate that they belong among the league’s most reliable contenders as the postseason draws closer.
Final. pic.twitter.com/ihB7dKVahJ
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) August 31, 2025
Baltimore vs. San Diego Prop Picks (AI)
Baltimore vs. San Diego Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Orioles and Padres and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors regularly put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Orioles team going up against a possibly strong Padres team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Baltimore vs San Diego picks, computer picks Orioles vs Padres, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | SD@CHC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/1 | DET@CLE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 10/1 | CIN@LAD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/1 | BOS@NYY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 0 | – |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Orioles Betting Trends
+172 moneyline underdogs with a +1.5 run line.
Padres Betting Trends
–210 moneyline favorites with –1.5 run line support.
Orioles vs. Padres Matchup Trends
The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately low-scoring, pitcher-dominated affair.
Baltimore vs. San Diego Game Info
What time does Baltimore vs San Diego start on September 01, 2025?
Baltimore vs San Diego starts on September 01, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Baltimore vs San Diego being played?
Venue: Petco Park.
What are the opening odds for Baltimore vs San Diego?
Spread: San Diego LOADING
Moneyline: Baltimore LOADING, San Diego LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
What are the records for Baltimore vs San Diego?
Baltimore: (61-76) | San Diego: (76-61)
What is the AI best bet for Baltimore vs San Diego?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jackson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Baltimore vs San Diego trending bets?
The over/under is set at 8.5 runs, indicating expectations for a moderately low-scoring, pitcher-dominated affair.
What are Baltimore trending bets?
BAL trend: +172 moneyline underdogs with a +1.5 run line.
What are San Diego trending bets?
SD trend: –210 moneyline favorites with –1.5 run line support.
Where can I find AI Picks for Baltimore vs San Diego?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Baltimore vs. San Diego Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs San Diego trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Baltimore vs San Diego Opening Odds
BAL Moneyline:
LOADING SD Moneyline: LOADING
BAL Spread: LOADING
SD Spread: LOADING
Over/Under: LOADING
Baltimore vs San Diego Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 2, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians
10/2/25 3:08PM
Tigers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
-103
-120
|
-1.5 (+180)
+1.5 (-235)
|
O 7 (-108)
U 7 (-118)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 5:08PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
10/2/25 5:08PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-104
-118
|
-1.5 (+175)
+1.5 (-230)
|
O 7.5 (-113)
U 7.5 (-113)
|
|
Oct 2, 2025 8:08PM EDT
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
10/2/25 8:08PM
Red Sox
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+140
-175
|
+1.5 (-175)
-1.5 (+133)
|
O 7.5 (-117)
U 7.5 (-109)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 2:30PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 2:30PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+108
-131
|
pk
pk
|
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 5:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/4/25 5:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+114
-126
|
pk
pk
|
O 7 (-134)
U 7 (+117)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Baltimore Orioles vs. San Diego Padres on September 01, 2025 at Petco Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |