White Sox vs. Mariners
Prediction, Odds & Props
Aug 07 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Chicago White Sox head west to face the Seattle Mariners at T‑Mobile Park on Thursday, August 7, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Seattle enters as a strong favorite, with the betting market leaning heavily in their favor—Seattle is priced at approximately –272 on the moneyline, while Chicago is a sizable underdog at +219.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Aug 07, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: T-Mobile Park​

Mariners Record: (62-53)

White Sox Record: (42-72)

OPENING ODDS

CHW Moneyline: +228

SEA Moneyline: -284

CHW Spread: +1.5

SEA Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

CHW
Betting Trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the White Sox are an even 5–5 against the run line, showing some capability to stay competitive despite underdog status. Season‑long, they hold a 43–51 ATS record, implying a tendency to fall just short of covering consistently.

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have also posted a balanced ATS record, sitting at 5–5 in their last 10 games. For the full season, they own a marginally positive ATS showing at 30–29, suggesting slightly better-than-average results when favored or facing close spreads.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Seattle has been favored by at least –272 only twice this year and has split those games, highlighting that steep favoritism doesn’t always guarantee success. Additionally, the total is set at 7.5 runs, with recent trends indicating both teams average about 4.4 runs per game and the Over/Under going over five times each in their last 10 games—suggesting a reasonably balanced outlook on scoring.

CHW vs. SEA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Raleigh over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 8/7/25

The Chicago White Sox embark on their West Coast swing, arriving at T‑Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners in a matchup that pits one of baseball’s developing rosters against a team tightening its grip on a postseason chase, with first pitch set for 4:10 p.m. ET; Seattle comes in with a stronger overall record (around 60–53) compared to Chicago’s 42–70, and will send Logan Gilbert (3‑4, 3.45 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) to the mound, while the White Sox counter with Rule 5 pick Shane Smith (3‑7, 4.25 ERA, 1.31 WHIP), framing this as a test of mariners’ rising consistency versus Chicago’s resilience in the face of odds. The betting lines reflect a wide gap in expectations: Seattle holds a commanding –272 on the moneyline and a –1.5 run‑line favorite, while the Over/Under is set at 7.5 runs, signaling expectations for a moderate scoring affair with Seattle firmly in control. Both clubs have hovered around average in recent against‑the‑spread performance, with Seattle sitting at 5‑5 ATS over the past ten and the White Sox similarly holding a 43‑51 mark on the season, suggesting that while Seattle is favored, they don’t always win comfortably, and Chicago has had its share of narrow covers.

Recent trends add nuance: the Mariners have been split in their only two outings as heavy favorites this season, and the White Sox have shown flashes of offensive life since the All‑Star break, going 10‑5 and surging from the bottom of the standings to surpass last season’s win total—powered by emerging talents like Colson Montgomery, Edgar Quero, and Kyle Teel, in addition to veterans such as Luis Robert Jr. and Andrew Benintendi finding renewed form. Meanwhile, Seattle’s strengths lie in home stability, veteran power like Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez, and incremental gains in their starting rotation’s depth. In head‑to‑head context, Seattle has fared better overall in recent years and currently leads the 2025 season series 2‑0, reinforcing their demonstrated edge coming into this one. Given these dynamics, the showdown sets up as a compelling test for both teams: Seattle aiming to maintain momentum and capitalize on home‑field advantage, and Chicago battling to show that late‑season improvement isn’t an illusion but a foundation for brighter outcomes—or at least, to make Seattle work for every run.

Chicago White Sox White Sox MLB Preview

Chicago heads into this matchup as heavy underdogs with a 42–72 record, firmly anchored near the bottom of the AL Central standings, battling through another disappointing season under first-year manager Will Venable—who took over following the franchise’s record-setting collapse in 2024—and while the White Sox have shown occasional improvement (most notably hanging on past their 2024 win total), this visiting trip to Seattle offers both a stark reality check and a final chance to showcase flashes of resilience. Their road performance—just 14–36—is emblematic of the struggles that have plagued them all summer, though a marginal uptick in July’s play, fueled by a 12-game month of wins and glimpses of competitive grit, indicates that the White Sox are not entirely devoid of fight; their mid-season surge included a notable 1–0 victory over the Angels on August 2, signifying an ability to execute under pressure when everything comes together. On offense, the lineup remains a patchwork of veteran flashes and young promise: Andrew Benintendi remains a key power threat with 14 home runs, Lenyn Sosa continues to provide consistent average and contact, and Luis Robert Jr., while inconsistent, still leads the team in RBIs—though none of these bats poses enough danger individually to change the tide against a pitching staff as reliable as Seattle’s.

Beneath those names, prospects like Colson Montgomery and Edgar Quero are being auditioned for future roles, injecting effort and occasional offense but not yet enough production to shift outcomes consistently. On the mound, Chicago’s rotation remains unsettled, with no clear ace emerging; inconsistencies in starts and a leaky bullpen have put them at a disadvantage in nearly every series, especially against teams with deep lineups like the Mariners’. Their ATS record—roughly .500 over the last ten games—reflects a team that, though often on the losing end, still tends to keep games closer than expected, but this has only resulted in a few narrow wins rather than any sustained turnaround. In this matchup, the White Sox will need to rely on a balanced mix of opportunistic small ball, timely bullpen work, and perhaps a shocker from their rotation to overcome steep odds. The challenge is monumental: facing a Seattle squad fortified by midseason trades and boasting one of baseball’s deepest offenses, the White Sox must hope to catch some breaks in the early innings, spark momentum through disciplined at-bats, and at least force their visitors to use every ounce of effort just to stay competitive—because while a win here would be improbable, refusing to be blown out would go a long way toward proving that Chicago’s rebuild still has sparks of life.

The Chicago White Sox head west to face the Seattle Mariners at T‑Mobile Park on Thursday, August 7, 2025, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Seattle enters as a strong favorite, with the betting market leaning heavily in their favor—Seattle is priced at approximately –272 on the moneyline, while Chicago is a sizable underdog at +219. Chicago White Sox vs Seattle AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Aug 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners return to T-Mobile Park with playoff ambitions still within reach as they prepare to host the lowly Chicago White Sox in a game that heavily favors the home side both statistically and psychologically, as Seattle enters with a record in the vicinity of 60–53 and remains one of the more consistent teams in the American League despite recent stretches of mixed results, going 5–5 in their last 10 games but displaying resilience in key matchups as they continue to jockey for positioning in the AL West and the Wild Card race. Led by manager Scott Servais, the Mariners have leaned heavily on a balanced blend of dependable starting pitching, bullpen efficiency, and timely hitting, with right-hander Logan Gilbert likely taking the mound carrying a 3–4 record and an impressive 3.45 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, giving Seattle a clear edge on the bump against Chicago’s unsteady rotation; Gilbert’s command and poise have made him a trusted arm in high-leverage series, and his ability to neutralize both lefties and righties bodes well in keeping the White Sox’s streaky offense quiet early. Offensively, the Mariners aren’t defined by one superstar but rather a collection of productive veterans and rising contributors, including catcher Cal Raleigh, who continues to supply power from behind the plate, as well as Eugenio Suárez and Julio Rodríguez, who have both produced timely RBIs and added athleticism and energy to the lineup in recent games, helping Seattle average over 4.4 runs per game and maintain consistent pressure on opposing pitchers.

Playing at home has been a particular strength this season, with Seattle’s performance at T-Mobile Park reflecting a roster comfortable in its dimensions and bolstered by a supportive fanbase, often leading to early scoring and sharper defensive execution—factors that will prove critical against a White Sox team that often folds when playing from behind. Defensively, Seattle’s infield and outfield range have improved, helping limit extra bases and suppress rallies, while the bullpen continues to serve as a stabilizing force late in games, anchored by arms like Andrés Muñoz and Matt Brash, who have shown the ability to lock down tight contests and recover from rare blown saves without losing confidence or rhythm. With the White Sox’s road record sitting at an abysmal 14–36, the Mariners have little excuse not to dominate this matchup, particularly when backed by favorable betting lines showing them as significant –272 moneyline favorites and 1.5-run spread picks, underscoring just how much the expectation is for Seattle to win not just efficiently but convincingly. The total sits at 7.5 runs, and given Seattle’s ability to wear down subpar pitching with patience and contact hitting, they could easily cover the spread and push the total over with a strong showing from the middle of the order and a quality start from Gilbert. With momentum building toward the critical stretch of August and September, this game offers the Mariners a prime opportunity to solidify their standing, fine-tune their approach against a struggling opponent, and demonstrate that they have the composure, depth, and firepower to take care of business without unnecessary drama.

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the White Sox and Mariners play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Park in Aug rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Raleigh over 0.5 Total Bases.

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the White Sox and Mariners and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a White Sox team going up against a possibly strong Mariners team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Chicago White Sox vs Seattle picks, computer picks White Sox vs Mariners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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White Sox Betting Trends

Over their last 10 games, the White Sox are an even 5–5 against the run line, showing some capability to stay competitive despite underdog status. Season‑long, they hold a 43–51 ATS record, implying a tendency to fall just short of covering consistently.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have also posted a balanced ATS record, sitting at 5–5 in their last 10 games. For the full season, they own a marginally positive ATS showing at 30–29, suggesting slightly better-than-average results when favored or facing close spreads.

White Sox vs. Mariners Matchup Trends

Seattle has been favored by at least –272 only twice this year and has split those games, highlighting that steep favoritism doesn’t always guarantee success. Additionally, the total is set at 7.5 runs, with recent trends indicating both teams average about 4.4 runs per game and the Over/Under going over five times each in their last 10 games—suggesting a reasonably balanced outlook on scoring.

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Game Info

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle starts on August 07, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Seattle -1.5
Moneyline: Chicago White Sox +228, Seattle -284
Over/Under: 7.5

Chicago White Sox: (42-72)  |  Seattle: (62-53)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Raleigh over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Seattle has been favored by at least –272 only twice this year and has split those games, highlighting that steep favoritism doesn’t always guarantee success. Additionally, the total is set at 7.5 runs, with recent trends indicating both teams average about 4.4 runs per game and the Over/Under going over five times each in their last 10 games—suggesting a reasonably balanced outlook on scoring.

CHW trend: Over their last 10 games, the White Sox are an even 5–5 against the run line, showing some capability to stay competitive despite underdog status. Season‑long, they hold a 43–51 ATS record, implying a tendency to fall just short of covering consistently.

SEA trend: The Mariners have also posted a balanced ATS record, sitting at 5–5 in their last 10 games. For the full season, they own a marginally positive ATS showing at 30–29, suggesting slightly better-than-average results when favored or facing close spreads.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Chicago White Sox vs Seattle trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Opening Odds

CHW Moneyline: +228
SEA Moneyline: -284
CHW Spread: +1.5
SEA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Live Odds

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+169
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
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+129
-154
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O 7.5 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
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Atlanta Braves
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+148
-180
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
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+138
-164
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-1.5 (+145)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
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9/27/25 8:40PM
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+119
-142
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
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-162
+136
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
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+101
-121
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-200)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
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+100
-120
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O 10 (-105)
U 10 (-115)
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New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
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+140
-170
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O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
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San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
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+240
-300
+1.5 (+110)
-1.5 (-130)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
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+180
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-1.5 (-105)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)

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This preview covers Chicago White Sox White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners on August 07, 2025 at T-Mobile Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS