Reds vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-07-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds (52–50) travel to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals (41–60) on Wednesday, July 23. The Reds are moderate favorites at around –140 on the moneyline with an 8.5-run total, hinting at a close but potentially above-average scoring affair.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 23, 2025

Start Time: 12:05 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (41-60)

Reds Record: (52-50)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: -141

WAS Moneyline: +119

CIN Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

CIN
Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati has been solid on the road this month, going 6–4–0 ATS over their last ten games, buoyed by consistent pitching and opportunistic offense.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • Washington has struggled at home recently, posting a 3–7 ATS record in July and winning just 21 of 51 home games this season, with defensive miscues and offensive lapses weighing heavily.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last ten Reds–Nationals matchups, only two have hit the over, despite a high total being set, underscoring a tendency for tighter affairs—even when scoring seems poised to be strong.

CIN vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Garcia under 5 Fantasy Score.

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Cincinnati vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/23/25

The upcoming matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals on July 23, 2025, at Nationals Park brings together two clubs on different paths this season, with the Reds still clinging to postseason hopes and the Nationals embracing a rebuild while hoping to play spoiler. The Reds enter this contest above .500 and with momentum, thanks to a steady rotation, clutch hitting, and emerging young talent leading the way, while the Nationals remain deep in the NL East standings but have shown flashes of resilience at home. Cincinnati will likely send Nick Lodolo to the mound, a lefty who has been effective in neutralizing right-handed hitters with his deceptive delivery and breaking ball, giving the Reds a strong chance to control the early innings. Lodolo has been dependable all season, and paired with Cincinnati’s improved bullpen—headlined by Alexis Díaz—they have the arms to manage tight late-game scenarios. At the plate, the Reds bring a dynamic lineup anchored by Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer, offering both power and speed, with a patient approach that can wear down opposing starters. Meanwhile, the Nationals counter with Michael Soroka, who has shown moments of veteran command but has struggled with consistency and has been hit hard when leaving pitches up in the zone.

Washington’s offense will need timely contributions from players like CJ Abrams, Lane Thomas, and Joey Meneses, but they continue to be plagued by inconsistencies, especially with runners in scoring position. Defensive lapses have also been a recurring issue for the Nats, often squandering leads or prolonging innings—something the fundamentally improved Reds will look to exploit. Cincinnati’s aggressive base running, smart situational hitting, and top-10 team ERA will be critical advantages, especially against a Washington squad that lacks both offensive firepower and reliable bullpen depth. While the Nationals may stay competitive in spurts, the Reds have been more consistent in recent series, particularly on the road, and are well-positioned to secure a win if they can avoid stranding runners and maintain pressure throughout the game. The over/under sitting near 8.5 suggests moderate scoring potential, but with Lodolo in control and Washington’s offensive volatility, the under may come into play if Cincinnati jumps ahead early and leans on its bullpen. Overall, the Reds’ mix of youth, pitching consistency, and motivation to stay alive in the postseason race makes them the clear favorite here, though they’ll need to stay focused and avoid playing down to an opponent with little to lose and nothing to protect.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds enter this July 23 matchup against the Nationals as a team fighting to stay in the thick of the National League playoff hunt, and they’ll view this game as a crucial opportunity to bank a road win against a struggling opponent. The Reds have managed to hover above .500 for much of the summer thanks to an impressive blend of young talent and improving pitching, with left-hander Nick Lodolo likely to take the mound in this contest. Lodolo has shown real growth in his third season, boasting a respectable ERA and WHIP while continuing to limit hard contact and showcasing his wipeout breaking ball. Behind him, the Cincinnati bullpen—led by closer Alexis Díaz—has been a quietly strong unit, especially when the Reds play with a lead. Offensively, Cincinnati remains one of the more versatile teams in the National League, as Elly De La Cruz provides electricity on the basepaths and Spencer Steer has emerged as one of the more clutch hitters in the league. Will Benson and Christian Encarnacion-Strand add depth to a lineup that rarely relies on a single bat, instead utilizing a collective approach that generates runs through contact, walks, and timely extra-base hits.

Despite occasional struggles against left-handed pitching, the Reds have been road warriors in recent series and have covered the run line in several of their past 10 away games. Against Washington, a team with an inflated ERA and inconsistent defense, Cincinnati’s patient approach and aggressive baserunning could turn mistakes into runs. Defensively, the Reds have cleaned up many of their early-season miscues and continue to rank above average in team fielding metrics, something that could become a factor in a tightly contested game. The biggest challenge for Cincinnati will be maintaining focus and avoiding the trap of playing down to a team lower in the standings, but manager David Bell has done a good job keeping his group competitive night in and night out. They know that every game counts in the heated NL Wild Card race, and with a favorable pitching matchup and their offensive ceiling, they’re expected to dictate the tone. Look for the Reds to apply pressure early against Soroka and test the Nationals’ bullpen depth by working counts and exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. If Lodolo is sharp and the bats do their job with runners in scoring position, the Reds should be able to grind out a win and keep their postseason hopes firmly intact as they continue a critical road trip through the East.

The Cincinnati Reds (52–50) travel to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals (41–60) on Wednesday, July 23. The Reds are moderate favorites at around –140 on the moneyline with an 8.5-run total, hinting at a close but potentially above-average scoring affair. Cincinnati vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals host the Cincinnati Reds on July 23 at Nationals Park looking to find some late-July momentum in a season that’s once again leaned heavily on player development rather than postseason contention. The Nationals have played better than expected at times this summer but continue to struggle with consistency both at the plate and on the mound, leaving manager Dave Martinez with the challenge of keeping a young core engaged as the team rides out another rebuilding year. Right-hander Michael Soroka is expected to start, and while his comeback from repeated injuries has been one of the feel-good stories in baseball, the results have been mixed—he’s shown flashes of the elite control and movement that made him an All-Star in Atlanta, but he’s also been vulnerable to giving up big innings early in games. His ability to set the tone in the first two innings may very well dictate how deep he gets into this matchup, particularly against a Cincinnati lineup that thrives on putting early pressure on opposing starters. The Nationals’ bullpen, while improving slightly from last year, remains volatile, with few reliable options in the middle innings outside of closer Kyle Finnegan. Offensively, Washington continues to see growth from CJ Abrams, who has become a table-setter at the top of the order with his speed and improving contact skills, while Lane Thomas and Jesse Winker offer the occasional power needed to keep games close.

However, the club still ranks near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and home runs, making it difficult to erase deficits once they fall behind. Their approach relies more on stringing hits together and hoping for timely execution, which doesn’t always materialize, especially against tougher bullpens like Cincinnati’s. Defensively, Washington has been cleaner than in past seasons, but lapses in focus and range remain, particularly in the corner outfield and third base. The key for the Nationals will be manufacturing early runs, keeping the game within reach for their bullpen, and capitalizing on any Reds errors or base-on-balls that could set up run-scoring opportunities. While the postseason is not realistically in play for Washington, games like these still serve as measuring sticks for the development of their young roster. Expect Martinez to keep the lineup aggressive on the basepaths, attempting to create scoring chances via small ball and forcing Lodolo into high-stress innings. If the Nationals can play fundamentally sound defense and avoid the early-game struggles that have haunted Soroka, they’ll have a shot to hang around and possibly steal one late with timely hitting. Ultimately, this is a game that could either showcase how far their rebuild has come—or how much further there still is to go.

Cincinnati vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Reds and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Garcia under 5 Fantasy Score.

Cincinnati vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Reds and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Washington’s strength factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly healthy Nationals team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Washington picks, computer picks Reds vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati has been solid on the road this month, going 6–4–0 ATS over their last ten games, buoyed by consistent pitching and opportunistic offense.

Nationals Betting Trends

Washington has struggled at home recently, posting a 3–7 ATS record in July and winning just 21 of 51 home games this season, with defensive miscues and offensive lapses weighing heavily.

Reds vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

In the last ten Reds–Nationals matchups, only two have hit the over, despite a high total being set, underscoring a tendency for tighter affairs—even when scoring seems poised to be strong.

Cincinnati vs. Washington Game Info

Cincinnati vs Washington starts on July 23, 2025 at 12:05 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -141, Washington +119
Over/Under: 8.5

Cincinnati: (52-50)  |  Washington: (41-60)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: L. Garcia under 5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the last ten Reds–Nationals matchups, only two have hit the over, despite a high total being set, underscoring a tendency for tighter affairs—even when scoring seems poised to be strong.

CIN trend: Cincinnati has been solid on the road this month, going 6–4–0 ATS over their last ten games, buoyed by consistent pitching and opportunistic offense.

WAS trend: Washington has struggled at home recently, posting a 3–7 ATS record in July and winning just 21 of 51 home games this season, with defensive miscues and offensive lapses weighing heavily.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Washington Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Cincinnati vs Washington Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: -141
WAS Moneyline: +119
CIN Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Cincinnati vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+194
-235
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-168
 
-1.5 (+118)
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+132
-156
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+198
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-124
+106
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+172
-205
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+128
-152
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+136
-162
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+138
-164
+1.5 (-164)
-1.5 (+136)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+120
-142
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-162
+136
-1.5 (+100)
+1.5 (-120)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-122)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+102
-120
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-118
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-184)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals on July 23, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN