Yankees vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jul 19 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-07-17T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Yankees (53–43) roll into Atlanta riding a post–All‑Star boost, with five wins in their last seven games, while the Braves (42–53) aim to snap a 12-loss stretch and reignite their season. New York enters as a clear favorite (–128 moneyline, –1.5 run line), and Atlanta draws as modest underdog at +107.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 19, 2025
Start Time: 7:15 PM EST
Venue: Truist Park
Braves Record: (43-53)
Yankees Record: (53-44)
OPENING ODDS
NYY Moneyline: -126
ATL Moneyline: +106
NYY Spread: -1.5
ATL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
NYY
Betting Trends
- New York is 6–4 ATS in their last ten games, capturing 44 of 74 matchups when favored by –128 or more and boasting a potent +111 run differential for the season.
ATL
Betting Trends
- Atlanta is 2–6 ATS at home as underdogs, and while they’ve gone 6–4 ATS in their last ten outings, they’ve struggled in underdog roles (winning only 5 of 21 as moneyline dogs).
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Yankees games have gone Over in 8 of their last 10, particularly in July, with an average combined score around 13. Nationals are strong contenders for high-scoring affairs against fielding-focused NL teams.
NYY vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Stanton over 0.5 Total Bases.
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New York Yankees vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/19/25
New York’s offense has been hot of late, with multiple contributors in addition to Judge, including Anthony Volpe’s spark atop the order and Giancarlo Stanton’s resurgence in the power department. The Braves, while capable of offensive firepower behind Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson, have failed to consistently generate runs, scoring just 388 all season with a run differential close to zero. Betting-wise, the Yankees are listed as –128 moneyline favorites and –1.5 run line favorites with the total hovering around 9.5, a number that reflects the Yankees’ tendency to go over—8 of their last 10 games have eclipsed the total thanks to their potent lineup and bullpen flexibility. The Braves have struggled in underdog roles, winning just five of 21 games when listed as moneyline dogs, and are only 2–6 against the spread as home underdogs, adding more risk to backing them despite home-field advantage. This game will likely come down to how effective Strider can be against a lineup that wears pitchers down with deep counts and punishes mistakes with the long ball. If he falters or fails to get past the sixth inning, the Yankees’ offense will have a great opportunity to open things up late against a Braves bullpen that has lacked consistency. Conversely, if Strider dominates and the Braves can strike early against Hamilton before the Yankees’ relief carousel settles in, Atlanta could pull off a valuable win in front of their home crowd. Still, all signs point toward the Yankees’ superior depth, form, and offensive consistency being too much for Atlanta to handle in this critical weekend tilt.
Back from the Break 👊#RepBX pic.twitter.com/CxBHnYUEOm
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 18, 2025
New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees come into their July 19, 2025, matchup against the Atlanta Braves with a renewed sense of urgency and momentum as they continue their climb up the AL East standings, sitting at 53–43. With five wins in their last seven games and a 6–4 record against the spread in that stretch, the Yankees are starting to resemble the dominant team that many expected coming into the season, especially with their offense firing on all cylinders and Aaron Judge in the thick of another MVP-caliber campaign. Judge has been nothing short of elite, batting over .350 with 35 home runs and 80+ RBIs, while the rest of the lineup continues to produce consistent scoring opportunities through the likes of Anthony Volpe, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres. New York has averaged nearly six runs per game in July and has seen eight of its last ten games go over the total, thanks to both its offensive power and a pitching staff that has relied more on run support than shutouts. For this game, the Yankees are turning to a bullpen strategy led by right-hander Ian Hamilton, who has been effective in relief with a 3.47 ERA over 31 appearances. While a bullpen game does come with risk, the Yankees’ depth and versatility in the pen give them flexibility to maneuver matchups and bridge innings until closer Clay Holmes or a high-leverage arm like Michael King or Tommy Kahnle can shut things down late.
This approach also underscores how much the Yankees trust their offense to outpace Atlanta in a high-scoring environment, particularly with the Braves’ recent struggles on both sides of the ball. Defensively, New York has been solid, especially up the middle, and their ability to control the running game will be crucial against Ronald Acuña Jr. and Atlanta’s aggressive base running. From a betting perspective, the Yankees have covered 57% of their games when listed as a –128 or better favorite and have consistently performed in interleague play, especially against teams with losing records. The key to this game will be putting pressure on Spencer Strider early, elevating his pitch count, and forcing mistakes that can be punished via the long ball—something New York has done exceptionally well this season. With the Braves reeling and struggling to produce runs at home, the Yankees are in a favorable position to take command of this series, extend their hot streak, and continue to assert themselves as one of the most dangerous teams in the American League. If their bullpen can hold serve and the offense performs as expected, New York should not only win but cover the run line and keep the over trend alive in what projects as another high-scoring, fast-paced game under the lights at Truist Park.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves will enter their July 19, 2025, home matchup against the New York Yankees as underdogs, a position that has become all too familiar during a difficult stretch of their season that sees them sitting at 42–53. Despite a recent mini-surge, the Braves have lost 12 of their last 17 games and continue to struggle with consistency both on the mound and at the plate, which has made covering the spread as home underdogs a rare occurrence—just 2–6 in their last eight such contests and only 5–21 straight up as underdogs overall this year. Spencer Strider will be tasked with stopping the bleeding and giving Atlanta a fighting chance, and while his season record of 3–7 may not impress at first glance, his recent form has been far better than his overall numbers suggest, with a 2.95 ERA over his last six starts and five outings of 6+ innings. Strider’s high strikeout upside and ability to limit hard contact give the Braves a potential ace performance on the mound, but he’ll need help from an offense that has lagged behind much of the season, posting only 388 total runs and a near-flat run differential. Ronald Acuña Jr. has started to show flashes of his usual brilliance with a .323 average since returning from injury, and Matt Olson still has the power to be a game-changer, but the supporting cast has been inconsistent, and the team has struggled to generate sustained rallies against strong pitching staffs like New York’s.
Offensively, the Braves have also underperformed with runners in scoring position, ranking among the bottom third of the league in conversion rate, which is especially troubling when facing a bullpen-heavy Yankees strategy that thrives on situational execution and platoon matchups. Atlanta’s defense has been sharp at times but has also contributed to a few late-inning collapses, and their bullpen has been unreliable in close games, often surrendering leads or allowing opponents to extend margins in the sixth and seventh innings. The Braves’ path to success in this game will depend heavily on whether Strider can dominate early and whether the offense can jump on Ian Hamilton before New York’s deeper bullpen options come into play. If the Braves fall behind early, their ability to mount comebacks has been limited, especially against elite relievers. While home-field advantage at Truist Park has provided some boost in the past, Atlanta’s overall home record has not been enough to tilt betting value in their favor, and with the Yankees playing some of their best baseball of the season, the Braves will need a near-perfect performance to pull off the upset. Unless Strider is sharp and the bats break out of their slump with runners on base, Atlanta risks falling further behind in the NL Wild Card picture and continuing a summer spiral that has left fans searching for answers and the front office potentially reevaluating roster strategy as the trade deadline nears.
Friday night fun!#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/prQSQ2mmVA
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 19, 2025
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Yankees and Braves and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly deflated Braves team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Yankees vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Yankees Betting Trends
New York is 6–4 ATS in their last ten games, capturing 44 of 74 matchups when favored by –128 or more and boasting a potent +111 run differential for the season.
Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta is 2–6 ATS at home as underdogs, and while they’ve gone 6–4 ATS in their last ten outings, they’ve struggled in underdog roles (winning only 5 of 21 as moneyline dogs).
Yankees vs. Braves Matchup Trends
Yankees games have gone Over in 8 of their last 10, particularly in July, with an average combined score around 13. Nationals are strong contenders for high-scoring affairs against fielding-focused NL teams.
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Game Info
What time does New York Yankees vs Atlanta start on July 19, 2025?
New York Yankees vs Atlanta starts on July 19, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.
Where is New York Yankees vs Atlanta being played?
Venue: Truist Park.
What are the opening odds for New York Yankees vs Atlanta?
Spread: Atlanta +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -126, Atlanta +106
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for New York Yankees vs Atlanta?
New York Yankees: (53-44) | Atlanta: (43-53)
What is the AI best bet for New York Yankees vs Atlanta?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Stanton over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are New York Yankees vs Atlanta trending bets?
Yankees games have gone Over in 8 of their last 10, particularly in July, with an average combined score around 13. Nationals are strong contenders for high-scoring affairs against fielding-focused NL teams.
What are New York Yankees trending bets?
NYY trend: New York is 6–4 ATS in their last ten games, capturing 44 of 74 matchups when favored by –128 or more and boasting a potent +111 run differential for the season.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: Atlanta is 2–6 ATS at home as underdogs, and while they’ve gone 6–4 ATS in their last ten outings, they’ve struggled in underdog roles (winning only 5 of 21 as moneyline dogs).
Where can I find AI Picks for New York Yankees vs Atlanta?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
New York Yankees vs Atlanta Opening Odds
NYY Moneyline:
-126 ATL Moneyline: +106
NYY Spread: -1.5
ATL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
New York Yankees vs Atlanta Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+194
-235
|
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-114)
|
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-168
|
-1.5 (+118)
|
O 9 (-122)
U 9 (+100)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+132
-156
|
+1.5 (-154)
-1.5 (+128)
|
O 8.5 (-106)
U 8.5 (-114)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
-1.5 (+162)
+1.5 (-196)
|
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+198
-240
|
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-112)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-124
+106
|
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-156)
|
O 8.5 (-112)
U 8.5 (-108)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+177
-197
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-102)
|
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-152
|
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+146)
|
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+143
-158
|
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
|
+132
-156
|
+1.5 (-172)
-1.5 (+142)
|
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (-102)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+120
-132
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+157)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
+102
-120
|
+1.5 (-215)
-1.5 (+180)
|
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
|
+104
-115
|
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+161)
|
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves on July 19, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |