Marlins vs Reds Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 07)
Updated: 2025-07-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds will kick off a four-game series at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 7, 2025, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Reds, with a 45-42 record, are slight favorites over the 39-47 Marlins, with the over/under set at 9 runs.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jul 07, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Great American Ball Park
Reds Record: (46-44)
Marlins Record: (40-48)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: +115
CIN Moneyline: -137
MIA Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Marlins have a 51-35 record against the spread (ATS) in 2025, the second-best percentage in the league.
CIN
Betting Trends
- The Reds have hit the game total under in 41 of their last 73 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Reds have covered the spread in 6 games, while the Marlins have covered in 4.
MIA vs. CIN
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. De La Cruz over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.
LIVE MLB ODDS
MLB ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
325-240
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+395.4
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$39,540
VS. SPREAD
1593-1364
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+371.9
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$37,192
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Miami vs Cincinnati Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/7/25
While neither team boasts an elite pitching staff, the Marlins’ slightly better team ERA at 4.50 gives them a modest edge on the mound, although the Reds’ home-field advantage and stronger lineup balance that equation. Defensively, both teams have been middle-of-the-pack, but Cincinnati’s struggles in the bullpen have caused more concern, with several games slipping away late due to blown leads and inconsistent middle relief. Miami, despite its poor record, owns the second-best ATS mark in baseball at 51-35, a testament to their ability to keep games close and competitive. In contrast, the Reds trend heavily toward the under, with 41 of their last 73 games finishing below the projected run total, indicating a tendency toward lower-scoring contests at home. These trends suggest a tight, potentially low-scoring series opener, with both teams leaning on a few key bats and hoping for stability from inconsistent starting pitching. With playoff implications growing by the day, this series offers an important opportunity for the Reds to protect their home turf and for the Marlins to disrupt expectations and take a step toward respectability. Though Cincinnati has won six of the last ten head-to-head matchups, Miami’s ability to cover spreads and stay within striking distance makes this anything but a guaranteed win for the Reds. Expect a tense opener between two teams with flaws but plenty of motivation to play sharp, competitive baseball.
For the series.
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 6, 2025
🤝: @PNCBank
📺: @FanDuelSN_FL , @FDSN_Marlins
👂: @MarlinsRadio , @FoxSports940
⏰: 1:40 PM ET
🏟️: Roof status: CLOSED#Marlinsbeisbol // https://t.co/ZrOdIbYDTI pic.twitter.com/hWcOKyaI8V
Miami Marlins MLB Preview
The Miami Marlins enter their July 7, 2025 road matchup against the Cincinnati Reds with a 39-47 record that underscores a season defined by inconsistency, injury setbacks, and unmet expectations, yet their remarkable performance against the spread (51-35 ATS, second-best in MLB) reveals a team that remains scrappy, competitive, and capable of surprising stronger opponents. Despite lacking elite talent across the board, the Marlins have managed to keep games close and challenge opponents with an unheralded roster playing with a chip on its shoulder. Manager Clayton McCullough has leaned heavily on lineup flexibility and situational baseball to keep his team in contention on a nightly basis, often manufacturing offense through smart baserunning, small-ball tactics, and capitalizing on defensive lapses from opponents. The lineup is anchored by outfielder Kyle Stowers, who leads the team in slugging (.519) and home runs (8), and Xavier Edwards, who boasts a .284 batting average and a steady .356 on-base percentage, often setting the tone from the top of the order. The Marlins’ offensive approach has focused more on stringing hits together than relying on long balls, and while power is limited, their contact-heavy philosophy has kept innings alive and forced opposing pitchers to labor. That same approach will be vital against Reds starter Brady Singer, who, while talented, is prone to mistakes over the middle of the plate if stretched too far.
Miami’s starter, Janson Junk, takes the mound with a 3-3 record and a 5.10 ERA and has oscillated between solid outings and rough patches, depending on his ability to command his breaking pitches and avoid walks. Junk is not a strikeout-heavy pitcher, so his success hinges on inducing ground balls and letting the defense make plays behind him, which has been a challenge at times given the Marlins’ up-and-down infield performance. Injuries to promising arms like Braxton Garrett and Max Meyer have left the pitching staff thin, forcing the bullpen to take on a heavier workload and adapt quickly to shifting roles. Still, the Marlins’ bullpen has shown flashes of competence, often stepping up in tight games, which explains their success in covering spreads even in losses. Against Cincinnati, Miami will need to neutralize the speed and aggressiveness of Elly De La Cruz and be especially wary of big innings sparked by walks or defensive miscues. Playing in the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, Miami’s pitching will be under pressure to keep the ball in the yard and limit free passes, as one mistake can quickly turn into a crooked number. Offensively, they’ll aim to extend at-bats, drive pitch counts, and create chaos on the basepaths to unsettle the Reds’ defense. With a modest 19-24 road record, Miami has not been dominant away from home, but their resilience and ability to hang around make them a dangerous underdog. If they can strike early, protect the baseball, and receive five to six quality innings from Junk, the Marlins have a strong chance to open the series with a win and continue frustrating the expectations of teams with better records but less day-to-day grit.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview
The Cincinnati Reds will take the field on July 7, 2025, at Great American Ball Park against the visiting Miami Marlins with both opportunity and pressure as they begin a critical four-game home series while holding a 45-42 record and jockeying for position in the tight NL Central race. After showing promising flashes throughout the first half of the season, the Reds have found themselves at a crossroads, needing consistency from both their rotation and bullpen to avoid falling behind in a division where every game now carries weight. They’ll rely on right-hander Brady Singer to open the series, a pitcher who has provided quality innings in spurts but owns a 4.36 ERA over 88.2 frames, with a 7-6 record that reflects his tendency to battle through starts without dominant stuff. His command and ability to manage traffic on the bases will be essential, especially against a contact-heavy Miami offense that thrives on extending innings and forcing pressure situations. Offensively, the Reds have leaned heavily on the explosiveness of Elly De La Cruz, whose .279 average and .491 slugging percentage only tell part of the story—his ability to change games with his legs, defense, and charisma has made him the heart of Cincinnati’s resurgence. Alongside him, TJ Friedl has quietly become one of the team’s most consistent performers, posting a .284 average and a .372 OBP while also contributing solid defense in center field. Cincinnati’s lineup doesn’t overwhelm opponents with power, but their mix of contact hitters, baserunning aggression, and timely clutch hitting has kept them dangerous, particularly at home where they’re more comfortable attacking early in counts.
The ballpark’s hitter-friendly dimensions suit their offensive profile, and the Reds often use the short power alleys to generate quick rallies and put up runs in bunches. However, the Reds’ pitching depth has become a concern, particularly with injuries to key arms like Brandon Williamson and Graham Ashcraft thinning out the starting rotation and placing added pressure on the bullpen. That relief corps has been shaky in recent weeks, and the club’s overall 4.76 ERA reflects a unit that’s struggled to lock down leads consistently, especially in high-leverage spots. Manager Terry Francona has done his best to manage workloads and mix-and-match effectively, but without more stability from the starters, Cincinnati’s late-game scenarios remain unpredictable. Still, the Reds have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games and are showing signs of turning the corner, especially if they can continue to limit strikeouts and increase their run production with runners in scoring position. Facing a Marlins team that ranks among the league’s best ATS performers but still sits eight games under .500, this series represents a golden opportunity for Cincinnati to bank wins at home, strengthen its Wild Card resume, and build confidence before a tougher stretch in the schedule. With a well-balanced lineup, one of the league’s most electric young stars, and a supportive home crowd behind them, the Reds have all the ingredients to take control of the series opener—if they can avoid the late-inning stumbles that have haunted them in previous tight matchups.
That's 2x All-Star, Elly De La Cruz ⚡️
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) July 6, 2025
Congrats, @ellylacocoa18‼️ pic.twitter.com/rkxg97H3J1
Miami vs. Cincinnati Prop Picks (AI)
Miami vs. Cincinnati Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Marlins and Reds and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors tend to put on Cincinnati’s strength factors between a Marlins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Reds team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Cincinnati picks, computer picks Marlins vs Reds, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
![]() |
DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
![]() |
|
MLB | 10/20 | SEA@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
![]() |
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have a 51-35 record against the spread (ATS) in 2025, the second-best percentage in the league.
Reds Betting Trends
The Reds have hit the game total under in 41 of their last 73 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games.
Marlins vs. Reds Matchup Trends
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Reds have covered the spread in 6 games, while the Marlins have covered in 4.
Miami vs. Cincinnati Game Info
What time does Miami vs Cincinnati start on July 07, 2025?
Miami vs Cincinnati starts on July 07, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Miami vs Cincinnati being played?
Venue: Great American Ball Park.
What are the opening odds for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Spread: Cincinnati -1.5
Moneyline: Miami +115, Cincinnati -137
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Miami: (40-48) | Cincinnati: (46-44)
What is the AI best bet for Miami vs Cincinnati?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. De La Cruz over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Miami vs Cincinnati trending bets?
In their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Reds have covered the spread in 6 games, while the Marlins have covered in 4.
What are Miami trending bets?
MIA trend: The Marlins have a 51-35 record against the spread (ATS) in 2025, the second-best percentage in the league.
What are Cincinnati trending bets?
CIN trend: The Reds have hit the game total under in 41 of their last 73 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Miami vs Cincinnati?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Cincinnati Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Cincinnati trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Miami vs Cincinnati Opening Odds
MIA Moneyline:
+115 CIN Moneyline: -137
MIA Spread: +1.5
CIN Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9
Miami vs Cincinnati Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
-140
+127
|
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
|
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)
|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds on July 07, 2025 at Great American Ball Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
![]() |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |