Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jul 03)

Updated: 2025-07-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays conclude their pivotal four-game series on Thursday, July 3, 2025, at Rogers Centre. With the Yankees holding a slim lead in the AL East, this matchup carries significant implications for both teams’ playoff aspirations.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jul 03, 2025

Start Time: 7:07 PM EST​

Venue: Rogers Centre​

Blue Jays Record: (48-38)

Yankees Record: (48-38)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -125

TOR Moneyline: +105

NYY Spread: -1.5

TOR Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have covered the run line in 58.4% of games when favored this season, with a 42-29 record when favored by -125 or more.

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, yielding a +9.15 units return and an 18% ROI.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite being underdogs, the Blue Jays have won 54.9% of games when labeled as such this season.

NYY vs. TOR
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmidt over 18.5 Fantasy Score.

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New York Yankees vs Toronto Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 7/3/25

The final game of this four-game AL East showdown between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays promises to be a high-stakes affair with considerable postseason implications, as both teams are battling not just for divisional supremacy but also for momentum heading into the heart of summer. The Yankees, currently holding a razor-thin lead atop the division, are attempting to fend off a Toronto team that has surged recently behind a balanced offense and timely pitching. New York enters the game having weathered a recent 4-9 slump, though their overall 45-34 record speaks to the kind of power-packed consistency they’ve displayed across the season, particularly from their big bats like Aaron Judge, who leads the club with 28 home runs, and Cody Bellinger, who has been instrumental both at the plate and in the field. Clarke Schmidt will take the mound for the Yankees, sporting an impressive 3.09 ERA and looking to bounce back after his previously dominant stretch of 28.1 scoreless innings came to an end; his recent outings have reaffirmed his status as one of the more dependable arms in the Yankees’ rotation. Toronto, meanwhile, sends Chris Bassitt to the hill, a veteran right-hander who brings craft and experience, though he’s been somewhat vulnerable to the Yankees lineup in past meetings, including an outing earlier this season where he allowed four runs in just under six innings.

The Blue Jays, now 44-37, are just a few games back and have leaned heavily on the offensive contributions of George Springer—who recently exploded with two home runs and seven RBIs in a single game—alongside Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., both of whom are capable of game-changing performances. The matchup hinges on who can strike early and control the tempo; Toronto will look to capitalize on home field advantage and pressure Schmidt with aggressive base running and opportunistic hitting, while the Yankees will aim to exploit Bassitt’s command and rely on the long ball to generate offense. The bullpens of both squads have been tested heavily this series, and late-inning relief will be critical in a contest likely to remain close. Defensively, both teams are athletic and capable, with few liabilities in the field, which should limit unearned opportunities. Strategically, the Yankees may take a more patient approach at the plate to wear down Bassitt and get to the Blue Jays’ middle relief corps, while Toronto could benefit from attacking early in the count and forcing Schmidt into high pitch counts. Betting-wise, New York has been solid against the spread as a favorite this season, while Toronto has shown strong value as an underdog, particularly at home, and that dynamic creates a fascinating wrinkle for backers of either side. With the series currently poised to tip momentum in one direction or another, Thursday’s finale has all the makings of a playoff-caliber atmosphere, complete with ace-level pitching, power hitters on both sides, and two teams desperate to assert themselves in one of baseball’s most competitive divisions. Expect a tightly contested duel where every inning, every at-bat, and every managerial decision will be magnified in a game that may very well echo into October.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter this crucial July 3 matchup against the Toronto Blue Jays with urgency and frustration simmering under the surface. Once comfortably ahead in the AL East, the Yankees have hit an untimely skid, losing nine of their last 13 games and seeing their division lead shrink to just a couple of games. At 45-34, their record still leads the East, but the swagger they displayed earlier in the season has been dulled by inconsistent pitching and quiet bats at key moments. Aaron Judge continues to be the engine for this offense, leading the team with 28 home runs, over 100 hits, and an OPS among the league’s best, but the lineup around him hasn’t provided reliable support in recent weeks. Juan Soto’s recent cold stretch and Anthony Volpe’s inconsistency at the top of the order have put pressure on Judge to carry the load. In this game, the Yankees will look to Clarke Schmidt to deliver a bounce-back outing and stabilize a rotation that has seen its share of turbulence. Schmidt has quietly been one of the team’s most reliable starters in 2025, boasting a 3.09 ERA and 3.71 FIP, and recently strung together an impressive 28.1-inning scoreless streak before it was snapped.

He faces a potent Toronto lineup that has been red-hot at home, so command and execution will be critical. New York’s bullpen—once a strength—has also shown cracks lately, with blown leads and overuse becoming concerns. Manager Aaron Boone will need his middle relievers to step up if Schmidt exits early. The Yankees are 4-6 in their last 10 as moneyline favorites and have a similar 4-6 mark ATS, suggesting bettors are growing wary of backing them during this slump. In head-to-head matchups with the Blue Jays this season, New York has not fared particularly well on the road, losing back-to-back games in this current series and struggling to string together rallies. Defensive miscues and missed scoring opportunities have cost them dearly, and this finale offers a chance to salvage some pride and avoid a sweep that could significantly shake the division standings. They have the talent, experience, and urgency, but execution has been the issue, particularly with runners in scoring position and late-inning bullpen management. The Yankees remain a dangerous team capable of catching fire quickly, but right now they are wobbling, and this game offers a test of both their grit and their focus. If Judge gets protection in the lineup and Schmidt commands his secondary pitches effectively, they have a clear path to a win. But failure to adjust to Toronto’s surging offense and clean up their own sloppy play could result in a third straight loss in Canada and further erode the once-comfortable gap atop the AL East. With the All-Star break approaching and the Blue Jays gaining steam, the Yankees know this is no ordinary Thursday game—it’s a litmus test for where their season is headed.

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays conclude their pivotal four-game series on Thursday, July 3, 2025, at Rogers Centre. With the Yankees holding a slim lead in the AL East, this matchup carries significant implications for both teams’ playoff aspirations. New York Yankees vs Toronto AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jul 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are playing some of their best baseball of the season at just the right time, and Thursday’s series finale against the New York Yankees offers a golden opportunity to deliver a statement win at Rogers Centre. After winning the first three games of this four-game set, the Blue Jays have not only tightened the AL East race but now sit just a few games behind the Yankees, with momentum, confidence, and home-field advantage fully on their side. At 44-37, the Blue Jays have quietly climbed the standings behind a reinvigorated offense and a pitching staff that is beginning to find its rhythm. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and an impressive 5-2 in their last seven at home, where the crowd support has been electric. George Springer has reemerged as a catalyst for this team, delivering a sensational performance earlier in the series when he crushed two home runs and drove in seven runs—one of the best offensive outbursts of his career. His resurgence, paired with the consistency of Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., has transformed Toronto into a very dangerous team, especially against high-profile opponents. In this pivotal contest, veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start, looking to rebound from a rough April outing against these same Yankees in which he surrendered four runs in 5.2 innings.

While Bassitt’s ERA on the season sits above league average, his peripheral numbers—particularly his FIP—suggest he’s been more effective than traditional metrics would indicate. If he can locate his cutter and avoid long counts, he has the tools to stifle New York’s top-heavy lineup. The Blue Jays bullpen has also been quietly reliable in recent weeks, especially in holding late leads, and manager John Schneider has managed his arms efficiently to preserve strength through the dog days of summer. Defensively, the Jays have played clean baseball during this winning stretch, avoiding the types of mental errors that plagued them early in the year. On the betting side, Toronto has thrived as underdogs, winning 28 of 51 games when not favored—an impressive 54.9% success rate—and they’ve been solid ATS with a 5-2 home mark over the last week and a half. Their ability to score in bunches, work deep counts, and get production from the bottom of the order has given them a balanced identity that should not be underestimated. The energy around the team has shifted dramatically, with fans believing again and the clubhouse chemistry reflecting a team coming together at the right time. A sweep of the Yankees would not only close the gap in the division but would send a strong signal to the rest of the league that Toronto is back in the postseason hunt with authority. This game means more than just one win in July—it’s a tone-setter for the second half of the season and a confidence booster for a team that suddenly looks like it has all the right pieces clicking into place. If the bats stay hot and Bassitt executes, the Blue Jays could complete the sweep and firmly establish themselves as the Yankees’ top challengers in the East.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Blue Jays play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rogers Centre in Jul rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmidt over 18.5 Fantasy Score.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Yankees and Blue Jays and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing emphasis human bettors tend to put on Toronto’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly rested Blue Jays team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Toronto picks, computer picks Yankees vs Blue Jays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have covered the run line in 58.4% of games when favored this season, with a 42-29 record when favored by -125 or more.

Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, yielding a +9.15 units return and an 18% ROI.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Matchup Trends

Despite being underdogs, the Blue Jays have won 54.9% of games when labeled as such this season.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Game Info

New York Yankees vs Toronto starts on July 03, 2025 at 7:07 PM EST.

Spread: Toronto +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -125, Toronto +105
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees: (48-38)  |  Toronto: (48-38)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Schmidt over 18.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite being underdogs, the Blue Jays have won 54.9% of games when labeled as such this season.

NYY trend: The Yankees have covered the run line in 58.4% of games when favored this season, with a 42-29 record when favored by -125 or more.

TOR trend: The Blue Jays have hit the run line in 23 of their last 35 games, yielding a +9.15 units return and an 18% ROI.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Toronto trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -125
TOR Moneyline: +105
NYY Spread: -1.5
TOR Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees vs Toronto Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 9:08PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 9:08PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-140
+127
-1.5 (+124)
+1.5 (-140)
O 7.5 (+107)
U 7.5 (-123)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays on July 03, 2025 at Rogers Centre.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN