Rays vs Orioles Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 28)

Updated: 2025-06-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles will face off on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at 4:05 PM EDT at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Both teams are looking to gain ground in the competitive AL East division.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 28, 2025

Start Time: 4:05 PM EST​

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards​

Orioles Record: (35-46)

Rays Record: (46-36)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: -110

BAL Moneyline: -110

TB Spread: -1.5

BAL Spread: =+1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have a 46–35 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 56.8% of their games.

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Orioles are 35–46 ATS in 2025, covering in 43.2% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rays have covered the spread in 56.8% of their games this season with a 46–35 ATS record and have been especially reliable on the road, going 25–15 away from Tropicana Field, while also winning 60% of the games in which they’ve been listed as moneyline favorites. The Orioles, by contrast, have struggled against the spread with a 35–46 ATS record and have gone just 13–27 in games where they enter as underdogs, highlighting a troubling pattern of underperformance in tough matchups. This disparity in ATS and underdog performance gives Tampa Bay a significant edge from a betting perspective in Saturday’s contest.

TB vs. BAL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Sanchez over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/28/25

Saturday’s AL East clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards offers a tale of two teams heading in different directions, with the Rays riding strong road form and postseason ambitions while the Orioles continue to battle through inconsistency and injuries. Tampa Bay enters the matchup with a 46–35 record and has been a remarkably solid team away from home, compiling an impressive 25–15 road mark that underscores their composure and execution in hostile environments. The Rays are expected to start Ryan Pepiot, who brings a 5–6 record and 3.36 ERA into the game and has been one of their most dependable arms over the past month, mixing effective fastball command with solid secondary pitches to give opposing hitters fits. Offensively, Tampa Bay leans on the developing power of Junior Caminero, who is hitting .260 with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs, and the consistent presence of Yandy Díaz, who enters with a .286 average, 12 home runs, and 50 RBIs, providing much-needed balance and leadership. Their lineup, while not the most explosive in the league, has found ways to manufacture runs efficiently and capitalize on mistakes, especially when they get early leads.

The Rays’ ability to cover spreads has also been noteworthy, with a 46–35 ATS record reflecting their habit of outperforming oddsmakers’ expectations, and they have won 60% of games as moneyline favorites. Baltimore, meanwhile, is in a tough spot with a 35–46 record that reflects how much ground they’ve lost in a competitive division and how thin their margin for error has become. Injuries, particularly to cornerstone catcher Adley Rutschman, have drained the team’s offensive rhythm, and while Gunnar Henderson has emerged as a bright spot with a .271 average, 15 home runs, and 45 RBIs, there has been little consistency around him. Tomoyuki Sugano is expected to take the mound for the Orioles, bringing a 6–4 record and a 4.06 ERA into a matchup that will require pinpoint command and minimal traffic against a Rays offense that thrives on situational hitting. Baltimore has also underwhelmed against the spread, covering in just 43.2% of their games with a 35–46 ATS mark and performing poorly when listed as underdogs, going just 13–27 in that role. Compounding the challenge is their 15–25 record at home, which suggests that Camden Yards has not been the fortress it was in previous seasons, and this game may once again expose their vulnerability to road-tested, structurally sound teams like the Rays. For Tampa Bay, this contest presents a prime opportunity to tighten their grip on a playoff spot and build momentum heading into July, while the Orioles will need a clean, opportunistic effort to avoid falling further behind. Unless Baltimore’s pitching and defense can hold the line and Henderson receives offensive support, the edge in starting pitching, lineup depth, road confidence, and betting trends all lean toward a Rays victory in a game that could deepen the gap between these two division rivals.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays head into Saturday’s divisional matchup against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards with momentum, depth, and a firm identity as one of the American League’s most balanced and quietly effective teams. At 46–35 overall and boasting a 25–15 road record, the Rays have established themselves as a club that can win anywhere, thanks to disciplined at-bats, quality starting pitching, and a flexible bullpen that continues to deliver in high-leverage moments. Ryan Pepiot is scheduled to start for Tampa Bay, and while his 5–6 record may not pop on the stat sheet, his 3.36 ERA tells the more accurate story of his season—he’s kept the team in games consistently and avoided the big inning, particularly by working deep and limiting free passes. Tampa’s lineup remains unflashy but fundamentally sound, built around young slugger Junior Caminero, who has hit .260 with 18 home runs and 55 RBIs while continuing to blossom as the franchise’s future centerpiece. Alongside him, Yandy Díaz brings reliability and leadership to the middle of the order, contributing a .286 average, 12 homers, and 50 RBIs, and helping maintain situational awareness that allows the Rays to manufacture runs even in low-scoring contests. The Rays don’t need to hit five home runs a game to win—they simply play clean, efficient baseball and apply constant pressure with smart base running and timely hitting.

Defensively, they remain one of the better units in the league, rarely giving up extra outs and making plays behind their pitchers that prevent innings from unraveling. Their betting trends reflect their overall consistency, as they are 46–35 against the spread (ATS) and have won 60% of the time when labeled as moneyline favorites, proving their ability to meet or exceed expectations in a variety of game scenarios. This matchup sets up well for Tampa, particularly given Baltimore’s poor 15–25 home record and 35–46 ATS performance, which further highlights the Orioles’ struggles to defend their turf and deliver in games where they are expected to keep pace. The Rays’ ability to execute on the road, combined with their bullpen’s dependability and Pepiot’s growing comfort in pressure starts, gives them a significant edge against a Baltimore team that has been undermined by injuries and lacks the firepower to go toe-to-toe for nine innings. While division games always carry an emotional and unpredictable undercurrent, the Rays’ formulaic, process-driven style makes them well equipped to handle that volatility, and unless their bats go unexpectedly cold or Baltimore’s pitching delivers an uncharacteristically elite performance, Tampa Bay is positioned to secure a win that reinforces their postseason credentials. As they continue to chase down AL East leaders and jostle for playoff positioning, games like these against wounded rivals are critical, and few teams in baseball are better at taking care of business when they’re supposed to than the Rays.

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles will face off on Saturday, June 28, 2025, at 4:05 PM EDT at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Both teams are looking to gain ground in the competitive AL East division. Tampa Bay vs Baltimore AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles return home to Camden Yards on Saturday to host the Tampa Bay Rays in what amounts to a crucial divisional test during a season that’s so far failed to meet expectations, with the team entering the contest at 35–46 and fighting to rediscover the competitive form they displayed in recent years. Injuries have severely limited Baltimore’s momentum, most notably the absence of star catcher Adley Rutschman, who has long been the engine of their offensive identity and clubhouse leadership. Without him, the team has leaned heavily on Gunnar Henderson, who continues to emerge as a franchise cornerstone, hitting .271 with 15 home runs and 45 RBIs, though his impact has too often been diluted by the lack of consistent support around him. Saturday’s start belongs to Tomoyuki Sugano, who brings a 6–4 record and a 4.06 ERA into a matchup that will demand sharp command and quick adjustments against a Rays lineup known for its discipline and ability to wear down opposing starters. Baltimore’s pitching staff has been serviceable but not spectacular, often tasked with holding narrow margins due to a lineup that can go quiet for long stretches, especially against strong right-handers like Ryan Pepiot, Tampa’s expected starter.

Defensively, the Orioles have been competent, but not nearly as airtight as they need to be to compensate for the offensive lulls and the bullpen’s vulnerability when protecting slim leads. Their home record of 15–25 illustrates a troubling pattern of failing to leverage their own ballpark, and the crowd at Camden Yards—normally an energetic advantage—has seen its influence dwindle amid the team’s inconsistency. Baltimore’s ATS performance paints a similar picture, as the club has covered in just 35 of their 81 games this season, a 43.2% rate that underscores their inability to meet even moderate expectations. As underdogs, they’ve gone just 13–27, further suggesting that they’ve struggled to rise to the occasion against superior opposition, particularly teams like Tampa Bay that execute consistently and force mistakes. For manager Brandon Hyde, Saturday’s game represents both a chance to salvage momentum in a critical stretch of the season and to measure the resolve of a team still filled with young, developing talent. Baltimore’s path to victory likely hinges on a clean, aggressive performance early—scoring first, playing mistake-free defense, and getting length out of Sugano to avoid overexposing a bullpen that has faltered when overextended. The Orioles will need to capitalize on any Rays miscues and find a way to rally their offense around Henderson, perhaps with role players like Jordan Westburg or Colton Cowser stepping up in key moments. While the odds and betting trends are stacked against them, baseball’s volatility means that one well-played game can shift a team’s energy, and with the season hanging in the balance, the Orioles must treat this game not just as a divisional matchup but as a must-win to inject life back into a campaign teetering on the edge of irrelevance.

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Rays and Orioles play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Jun seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Sanchez over 0.5 Total Bases.

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Rays and Orioles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly improved Orioles team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Baltimore picks, computer picks Rays vs Orioles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have a 46–35 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 56.8% of their games.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles are 35–46 ATS in 2025, covering in 43.2% of their games.

Rays vs. Orioles Matchup Trends

The Rays have covered the spread in 56.8% of their games this season with a 46–35 ATS record and have been especially reliable on the road, going 25–15 away from Tropicana Field, while also winning 60% of the games in which they’ve been listed as moneyline favorites. The Orioles, by contrast, have struggled against the spread with a 35–46 ATS record and have gone just 13–27 in games where they enter as underdogs, highlighting a troubling pattern of underperformance in tough matchups. This disparity in ATS and underdog performance gives Tampa Bay a significant edge from a betting perspective in Saturday’s contest.

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Game Info

Tampa Bay vs Baltimore starts on June 28, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Spread: Baltimore =+1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -110, Baltimore -110
Over/Under: 9.5

Tampa Bay: (46-36)  |  Baltimore: (35-46)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Sanchez over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rays have covered the spread in 56.8% of their games this season with a 46–35 ATS record and have been especially reliable on the road, going 25–15 away from Tropicana Field, while also winning 60% of the games in which they’ve been listed as moneyline favorites. The Orioles, by contrast, have struggled against the spread with a 35–46 ATS record and have gone just 13–27 in games where they enter as underdogs, highlighting a troubling pattern of underperformance in tough matchups. This disparity in ATS and underdog performance gives Tampa Bay a significant edge from a betting perspective in Saturday’s contest.

TB trend: The Rays have a 46–35 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 56.8% of their games.

BAL trend: The Orioles are 35–46 ATS in 2025, covering in 43.2% of their games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. Baltimore Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: -110
BAL Moneyline: -110
TB Spread: -1.5
BAL Spread: =+1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-149
+122
-1.5 (+119)
+1.5 (-145)
O 7.5 (+102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles on June 28, 2025 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN