Orioles vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 17)

Updated: 2025-06-15T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Baltimore Orioles (30–40) face the Tampa Bay Rays (39–32) on June 17, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays aim to solidify their position in the AL East, while the Orioles look to rebound from recent struggles.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 17, 2025

Start Time: 7:35 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (40-32)

Orioles Record: (30-41)

OPENING ODDS

BAL Moneyline: +106

TB Moneyline: -127

BAL Spread: +1.5

TB Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Baltimore Orioles have a 28–42 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 37–26 ATS record in the 2025 season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Rays are favored at -1.5 with an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

BAL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Rutschman over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/17/25

The June 17, 2025 matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field showcases two AL East rivals trending in different directions, with the Rays looking to continue their strong push toward the top of the division while the Orioles hope to reverse course and salvage a season that has slipped below expectations. The Rays enter the contest with a solid 39–32 record, anchored by a deep lineup and steady pitching that has allowed them to remain competitive in tight divisional races, while the Orioles arrive at 30–40, plagued by inconsistencies on both sides of the ball and an inability to close out winnable games. Tampa Bay has thrived at home and has been particularly strong against the spread, boasting a 37–26 ATS record thanks to timely hitting, sharp defensive play, and reliable outings from their rotation. Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays, bringing a 6–6 record and 3.84 ERA into the game, and he has quietly become one of the more dependable arms in their rotation, minimizing walks and pounding the zone with excellent pitch economy. Offensively, Tampa is led by Junior Caminero, whose 17 home runs and 45 RBIs provide a dangerous threat in the heart of the order, while Jonathan Aranda’s .319 average and excellent bat control add depth and consistency to the lineup.

The Rays have found a rhythm at the plate in recent weeks, regularly turning in multi-run innings and capitalizing on defensive miscues, which bodes well against an Orioles team prone to lapses in the field. Baltimore counters with Dean Kremer, who enters with a 5–7 record and 4.99 ERA, numbers that reflect a rocky season in which he’s struggled with location and given up too many extra-base hits to keep the Orioles in games. Kremer will be tasked with keeping the ball down and limiting walks if the Orioles are to have a chance against a Rays team that thrives on pressure and momentum. Baltimore’s offense has been inconsistent, despite strong individual performances from Ryan O’Hearn (.310 average) and Gunnar Henderson (.278 average), but they’ve struggled to drive in runs in clutch moments and have lacked timely contributions from the bottom of the order. The Orioles’ bullpen has been another weak point, frequently surrendering late leads and contributing to a 28–42 ATS record that highlights their inability to cover spreads, especially on the road. With the Rays favored at -1.5 and an over/under set at 8.5 runs, expectations point toward Tampa Bay controlling the tempo of the game, especially if they can get an early lead and turn things over to their bullpen. For Baltimore, pulling off an upset will require near-perfect execution—Kremer must keep them close, the offense has to be opportunistic, and the defense must avoid costly mistakes. As these two teams meet in a key midseason series, the Rays have the clear edge in form, depth, and consistency, while the Orioles are hoping to piece together enough to halt their slide and find some momentum heading into the summer.

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles head into their June 17, 2025 matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays with a disappointing 30–40 record and a season increasingly defined by inconsistency, missed opportunities, and underperformance both on the mound and at the plate. After an encouraging rebuild stretch in prior years, the Orioles have struggled to take the next step in 2025, faltering in tight games and failing to generate sustained momentum in one of baseball’s most competitive divisions. Their offense has shown glimpses of life through players like Ryan O’Hearn, who leads the team with a .310 batting average and continues to deliver productive at-bats in the heart of the order, and Gunnar Henderson, whose .278 average and developing power have made him a bright spot in an otherwise quiet lineup. However, the Orioles have lacked consistent production from the lower half of the lineup, and injuries have disrupted any offensive rhythm the team has tried to build, leaving them vulnerable to scoring droughts and high-strikeout outings. On the mound, Baltimore turns to right-hander Dean Kremer, who enters the contest with a 5–7 record and a 4.99 ERA, numbers that underscore the volatility that has defined his season so far. Kremer has the tools to succeed—mixing a low-90s fastball with a quality cutter and changeup—but his command has been spotty, and hard contact has plagued him, particularly against right-handed hitters with power.

The Orioles’ bullpen has also been a major liability, frequently surrendering leads late in games and failing to offer much protection when the starter exits early, a trend that has contributed significantly to their 28–42 record against the spread (ATS), one of the worst in baseball. Defensively, Baltimore has shown flashes of elite potential, particularly with Henderson’s range and arm at shortstop, but costly fielding errors in key moments have led to unearned runs and deflated rallies, preventing them from climbing back in games. With their road performance also lagging, the Orioles face a difficult task in trying to upset a Rays team that has played disciplined, efficient baseball all season. For Baltimore to have a chance, they will need Kremer to deliver his best outing of the year, minimizing walks and keeping the ball on the ground while trusting the defense to make plays behind him. At the plate, the Orioles must capitalize on any early baserunners and avoid wasting scoring chances—a persistent issue that’s kept their run differential firmly in the red. This game presents an opportunity for Baltimore to begin rewriting the narrative of their season, but to do so, they’ll need a level of execution and resilience that has largely eluded them so far. While the odds and form are stacked against them, the Orioles still possess enough talent to play spoiler and turn things around—if they can finally string together quality pitching, timely hitting, and error-free baseball in the same game.

The Baltimore Orioles (30–40) face the Tampa Bay Rays (39–32) on June 17, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays aim to solidify their position in the AL East, while the Orioles look to rebound from recent struggles. Baltimore vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 17. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter their June 17, 2025 showdown against the Baltimore Orioles at George M. Steinbrenner Field with a 39–32 record, continuing to assert themselves as one of the more stable and competitive teams in the American League East through solid pitching, timely offense, and dependable defense. Their ability to consistently win close games and protect leads has fueled a 37–26 record against the spread (ATS), one of the best in the league, and has kept them firmly in the race for the division lead. Leading the offensive charge is Junior Caminero, whose 17 home runs and 45 RBIs make him one of the most dangerous middle-of-the-order bats in the American League, delivering power and poise in high-leverage moments. He’s complemented by Jonathan Aranda, who has quietly emerged as one of the most reliable contact hitters in baseball with a .319 batting average, often setting the table and driving in runs with consistency. This balanced offensive core is rounded out by productive contributors like Jose Siri and Harold Ramírez, giving the Rays a lineup that can manufacture runs through both power and pressure. On the mound, Tampa turns to right-hander Zack Littell, who carries a 6–6 record and a 3.84 ERA into this matchup and has become a dependable rotation anchor capable of giving the team six strong innings on most nights.

Littell excels at attacking the strike zone, avoiding free passes, and keeping hitters off balance with a well-located cutter and slider, all of which should play well against a Baltimore lineup that’s been streaky and often slow to adjust. Behind Littell is one of the more underrated bullpens in baseball, with Pete Fairbanks and Jason Adam handling late-inning duties and consistently shutting down rallies with sharp command and swing-and-miss stuff. Defensively, the Rays continue to live up to their reputation for crisp execution and intelligent positioning, rarely beating themselves and often converting difficult plays into momentum-shifting outs. At home, Tampa has been strong, with a 23–20 record that includes multiple come-from-behind wins and dominant pitching performances. In a game where they are favored at -1.5 with an over/under set at 8.5, the Rays have every reason to be confident—especially facing a struggling Orioles squad with one of the league’s worst bullpens and a starting pitcher in Dean Kremer who’s been tagged for hard contact throughout the season. Tampa’s path to victory lies in scoring early, letting Littell work with a lead, and allowing their bullpen and defense to take control of the game’s final innings. The Rays understand the importance of stacking wins in divisional matchups, and against an Orioles team that’s underachieved and vulnerable on the road, this presents a golden opportunity to extend their advantage in the standings. With consistency, power, and poise all trending upward, Tampa Bay is positioned to deliver a complete performance and keep their strong 2025 campaign rolling.

Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Orioles and Rays play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Jun rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Rutschman over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Orioles and Rays and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on Baltimore’s strength factors between a Orioles team going up against a possibly strong Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Baltimore vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Orioles vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 10/20 SEA@TOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles have a 28–42 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 37–26 ATS record in the 2025 season.

Orioles vs. Rays Matchup Trends

The Rays are favored at -1.5 with an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay starts on June 17, 2025 at 7:35 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Baltimore +106, Tampa Bay -127
Over/Under: 9

Baltimore: (30-41)  |  Tampa Bay: (40-32)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Rutschman over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Rays are favored at -1.5 with an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

BAL trend: The Baltimore Orioles have a 28–42 record against the spread (ATS) this season.

TB trend: The Tampa Bay Rays hold a 37–26 ATS record in the 2025 season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Baltimore vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

BAL Moneyline: +106
TB Moneyline: -127
BAL Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9

Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 24, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
10/24/25 8PM
Dodgers
Blue Jays
-149
+122
-1.5 (+119)
+1.5 (-145)
O 7.5 (+102)
U 7.5 (-125)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays on June 17, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN