Rays vs. Red Sox
Prediction, Odds & Props
Jun 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-06-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox are set to conclude their three-game series on June 11, 2025, at Fenway Park. With both teams vying for position in the competitive AL East, this matchup carries significant implications for their postseason aspirations.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Jun 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​
Venue: Fenway Park​
Red Sox Record: (33-36)
Rays Record: (36-31)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: -104
BOS Moneyline: -115
TB Spread: -1.5
BOS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Rays have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) over their past 10 games, indicating strong recent performance in covering the run line.
BOS
Betting Trends
- The Red Sox have a 5-5 record ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance in covering the spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, the Rays have a 226-258 record against the Red Sox, showcasing a competitive rivalry over the years.
TB vs. BOS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Caminero over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Tampa Bay vs Boston Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/11/25
Their bullpen has remained a strength, especially late in games, with high-leverage arms like Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks limiting damage and locking down close wins. Boston, meanwhile, counters with a lineup that has relied heavily on Rafael Devers for power and Jarren Duran for speed and energy at the top of the order. Duran, who leads the team in hits, has been critical in generating offense and putting pressure on opposing defenses, while Devers remains Boston’s most consistent threat to change the game with one swing. The Red Sox have also seen improved performances from Brayan Bello, who’s grown into a dependable mid-rotation option, and Nick Pivetta, who has recently found a rhythm and could feature in a bulk role or potential start. Alex Cora’s squad has played hard but been undone by inconsistent pitching and a bullpen that’s struggled in tight games, which has made it difficult for them to maintain momentum even after strong outings. As both teams look to leave Fenway with a series win, the keys to this game will likely rest on early run production and execution in scoring situations, with both clubs hungry to avoid a letdown. The Rays have been better against the spread of late and thrive in road environments, giving them a slight edge on paper, but Boston has shown they can battle and has the benefit of home-field energy and a manager who knows how to squeeze the most out of matchups. Given the stakes and recent form, expect a tight contest with plenty of situational strategy, where one key defensive play or clutch hit could determine who gains ground in one of the most competitive divisions in baseball.
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) June 11, 2025
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays head into the series finale against the Boston Red Sox on June 11, 2025, with a 36–30 record and a sense of purpose as they continue to chase ground in the competitive American League East. After securing a thrilling 10–8 extra-inning win in the series opener and dropping a 3–1 decision in Game 2, the Rays have an opportunity to grab a valuable series win on the road—a situation they’ve handled well all season, thanks to their tactical versatility, deep roster, and steady pitching. Offensively, Yandy DĂaz remains the most consistent presence in the lineup, providing quality at-bats, gap power, and leadership at the top of the order, while Amed Rosario has emerged as one of the team’s clutch performers, delivering timely hits and extending innings with his contact approach. The Rays have also seen flashes from Randy Arozarena, who while still seeking a breakout stretch, continues to pose a constant threat on the basepaths and in the box, and Isaac Paredes, whose bat-to-ball skills give Tampa Bay a valuable right-handed power option. Manager Kevin Cash has continued his signature mix-and-match style, utilizing platoon advantages and defensive shifts to put his team in the best positions to succeed, particularly in tight games where every pitch matters. On the pitching side, Taj Bradley and Aaron Civale have stabilized the rotation, consistently delivering five or more competitive innings and limiting big innings from opposing lineups.
The real advantage for Tampa Bay, however, continues to be their bullpen—a unit that, when rested and in rhythm, is among the most effective in baseball. Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks have taken on high-leverage roles with confidence, and their ability to strand runners and miss bats late in games gives the Rays an edge in close contests like the one expected at Fenway Park. With a 7–3 record against the spread in their last 10 games, Tampa Bay has shown that they know how to manage tense, low-margin matchups and aren’t easily rattled by tough environments. Their ability to manufacture runs—through stolen bases, hit-and-run plays, and situational hitting—has allowed them to win even when the long ball isn’t present, a crucial quality in matchups like this where pitching depth is tested. As they prepare for the series finale, the Rays will aim to jump on Boston early, force the Red Sox bullpen into action, and turn the game over to their elite late-inning arms to seal a win. With the Yankees still leading the division and both the Blue Jays and Orioles close behind, Tampa Bay knows that every series win matters in the AL East gauntlet. A victory here would not only cement their place near the top of the standings but also reinforce the notion that this team—though maybe less star-powered than in previous years—remains a threat in October thanks to smart roster construction, relentless effort, and a manager who squeezes value from every corner of the clubhouse.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Boston Red Sox MLB Preview
The Boston Red Sox enter the final game of their three-game set against the Tampa Bay Rays on June 11, 2025, with a 32–36 record and a sense of urgency as they try to claw their way out of the AL East basement and back into playoff relevance. After splitting the first two games—a chaotic 10–8 extra-inning loss followed by a crisp 3–1 bounce-back win—the Red Sox have a chance to take a much-needed series at Fenway Park and gain momentum against a direct division rival. The team’s offensive engine continues to be Rafael Devers, who brings power and veteran presence in the middle of the lineup, constantly providing extra-base threats and timely RBIs when the Red Sox need it most. Alongside him, Jarren Duran has emerged as one of Boston’s most impactful players this season, leading the team in hits and using his speed both at the top of the order and in the outfield to pressure opposing defenses and stretch singles into doubles. The team has seen added offensive value from Wilyer Abreu and Tyler O’Neill, who have shown the potential to change a game with one swing, but consistency across the batting order remains a concern. The Red Sox have had difficulty stringing together productive innings or capitalizing on high-leverage scoring situations, leading to a number of one-run losses that have hampered their record.
On the mound, Brayan Bello continues to make strides as a dependable arm in the rotation, combining a heavy sinker with improving command to neutralize opposing hitters and eat quality innings. Nick Pivetta has also steadied his performances lately, giving the Sox much-needed backend depth. However, the bullpen has been unpredictable, especially in late innings when the Red Sox have tried to protect slim leads or keep games within reach. Kenley Jansen’s closing duties have been mixed with stretches of dominance and sudden lapses, and manager Alex Cora has had to shuffle his middle relievers frequently to find workable matchups. Despite a 5–5 record against the spread in their last ten games, Boston’s home-field advantage remains a potential asset—Fenway’s tight angles and energetic crowd can swing momentum when the Red Sox are engaged and attacking early. Defensively, the team has been solid, with Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela delivering quality glove work up the middle, while the outfield has done its part in limiting extra bases and making smart reads. The key to winning this finale against Tampa Bay lies in keeping the game close until the later innings, executing with runners in scoring position, and avoiding defensive lapses that give away outs or extend innings. With division games carrying added weight and Boston’s margin for error narrowing each week, the Red Sox must treat this as a must-win—not only to salvage the series but to reset their trajectory heading into the heart of June. A win over the Rays could provide just the jolt this roster needs to tighten up its fundamentals, regain confidence in its pitching depth, and remind the rest of the division that Boston hasn’t bowed out of the 2025 postseason conversation just yet.
Tuesday dub!
— Red Sox (@RedSox) June 11, 2025
🗒️: https://t.co/zX161Yth5j pic.twitter.com/HuyBuoizJA
Tampa Bay vs. Boston Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. Boston Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Rays and Red Sox and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly healthy Red Sox team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs Boston picks, computer picks Rays vs Red Sox, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) over their past 10 games, indicating strong recent performance in covering the run line.
Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have a 5-5 record ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance in covering the spread.
Rays vs. Red Sox Matchup Trends
Historically, the Rays have a 226-258 record against the Red Sox, showcasing a competitive rivalry over the years.
Tampa Bay vs. Boston Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs Boston start on June 11, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs Boston starts on June 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs Boston being played?
Venue: Fenway Park.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs Boston?
Spread: Boston +1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay -104, Boston -115
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs Boston?
Tampa Bay: (36-31) Â |Â Boston: (33-36)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs Boston?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Caminero over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs Boston trending bets?
Historically, the Rays have a 226-258 record against the Red Sox, showcasing a competitive rivalry over the years.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Rays have a 7-3 record against the spread (ATS) over their past 10 games, indicating strong recent performance in covering the run line.
What are Boston trending bets?
BOS trend: The Red Sox have a 5-5 record ATS in their last 10 games, reflecting a balanced performance in covering the spread.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs Boston?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. Boston Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs Boston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs Boston Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
-104 BOS Moneyline: -115
TB Spread: -1.5
BOS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Tampa Bay vs Boston Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
|
–
–
|
+160
-200
|
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+104)
|
O 8.5 (-109)
U 8.5 (-117)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
|
+242
-285
|
+1.5 (+120)
-1.5 (-140)
|
O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+174
-200
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-120)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/28/25 3:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
|
–
–
|
-105
-118
|
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-200)
|
O 8.5 (-118)
U 8.5 (-108)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/28/25 3:08PM
Rays
Blue Jays
|
–
–
|
+165
-210
|
+1.5 (-137)
-1.5 (+108)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-118)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/28/25 3:10PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
-104
-118
|
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-210)
|
O 8 (-108)
U 8 (-117)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/28/25 3:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+128
-162
|
+1.5 (-167)
-1.5 (+132)
|
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-110)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/28/25 3:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
|
-126
+108
|
-1.5 (+136)
+1.5 (-164)
|
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 3:16PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+180
-230
|
+1.5 (-121)
-1.5 (-105)
|
O 7.5 (-108)
U 7.5 (-118)
|
|
Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/28/25 3:20PM
Cardinals
Cubs
|
–
–
|
-164
|
-1.5 (+132)
|
O 8.5 (+100)
U 8.5 (-122)
|
|
Sep 30, 2025 2:30PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 2:30PM
Padres
Cubs
|
–
–
|
+101
-123
|
pk
pk
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox on June 11, 2025 at Fenway Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |