Reds vs Royals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 28)

Updated: 2025-05-26T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Cincinnati Reds (27–28) and Kansas City Royals (29–26) conclude their interleague series on Wednesday, May 28, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams are aiming to gain momentum as they approach the midseason mark, with the Royals seeking to solidify their position in the AL Central and the Reds striving to climb the NL Central standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 28, 2025

Start Time: 7:40 PM EST​

Venue: Kauffman Stadium​

Royals Record: (29-27)

Reds Record: (28-28)

OPENING ODDS

CIN Moneyline: -120

KC Moneyline: +100

CIN Spread: -1.5

KC Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

CIN
Betting Trends

  • The Reds have a 29–25 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 53.7% of their games.

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Royals hold a 28–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 51.9% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Royals have been favored in 21 games this season, winning 13 of them (61.9%). The Reds have been underdogs in 28 games, securing victory in 14 (50%) of those matchups.

CIN vs. KC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Cincinnati vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/28/25

The Cincinnati Reds and Kansas City Royals will meet on Wednesday, May 28, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium in the rubber match of their three-game interleague series, with both clubs looking to capture a crucial midweek win as they chase momentum heading into June. The Reds, entering the game at 27–28, are attempting to claw back to .500 and gain ground in the tightly packed NL Central, while the Royals, at 29–26, are looking to stay within striking distance of the division-leading Guardians in the AL Central. Cincinnati is expected to hand the ball to Hunter Greene, whose powerful fastball and improving control give the Reds a legitimate chance to shut down even the most disciplined lineups; Greene enters the matchup with a growing reputation for swing-and-miss stuff, but his ability to work deep into games and avoid free passes remains a key factor. Offensively, the Reds have been led by the electric Elly De La Cruz, whose blend of power, speed, and dynamic defense has made him the spark plug of a lineup that also includes the steady Spencer Steer, TJ Friedl, and Jonathan India—all of whom contribute through gap-to-gap power and clutch situational hitting. The Reds’ offense averages just over 4.5 runs per game, but their output has come in waves, often relying on De La Cruz to ignite rallies or turn singles into doubles with his speed.

The bullpen, while showing flashes of reliability, has lacked consistent dominance, leaving Cincinnati vulnerable in close games, particularly when Greene doesn’t go deep or the defense slips. Meanwhile, the Royals have enjoyed a surprisingly strong season, entering with a 29–26 record and a 17–9 home mark that highlights their ability to win at Kauffman Stadium behind solid pitching, elite defense, and timely hitting. Michael Wacha is expected to start for Kansas City, bringing a 3–4 record with a commendable 3.21 ERA and veteran savvy that’s helped anchor a rotation full of evolving young arms; Wacha’s efficiency and ability to induce weak contact have given manager Matt Quatraro a dependable presence every five days. Kansas City’s offense has been led by Bobby Witt Jr., who boasts a .293 average and has been among the league leaders in hits and runs scored, while Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have provided muscle in the middle of the order. The Royals average around 4.7 runs per game and play smart, small-ball baseball, often pushing for extra bases, putting pressure on opposing defenses, and capitalizing on mistakes with clean execution. Their bullpen, led by James McArthur and John Schreiber, has closed out tight games effectively, and Kansas City’s 9–7 record in one-run games reflects a team that thrives in close contests. With both squads holding near-even ATS records—Cincinnati at 29–25 and Kansas City at 28–26—this matchup is shaping up to be tightly contested, and the outcome may come down to which starter can limit damage early and which bullpen can best preserve a slim lead late. For the Reds, it’s a chance to reset their season trajectory, while the Royals can continue asserting themselves as a legitimate threat in the AL Central with a series-clinching win.

Cincinnati Reds MLB Preview

The Cincinnati Reds head into Wednesday’s series finale at Kauffman Stadium with a 27–28 record, hoping to salvage the set against the Kansas City Royals and return to the .500 mark as they continue to jockey for position in the competitive NL Central. The Reds have been an up-and-down club this season, showing flashes of brilliance, particularly on offense, but struggling at times to find consistency in both pitching and late-game execution. Leading the charge is Elly De La Cruz, the electrifying shortstop who has emerged as a legitimate star, combining raw power with elite speed and defensive range that makes him a daily highlight reel and a catalyst at the top of Cincinnati’s order. De La Cruz’s presence is backed by complementary offensive pieces such as Spencer Steer, TJ Friedl, and Jonathan India, all of whom have contributed with timely hitting, base-running aggression, and solid plate discipline. Together, they’ve helped the Reds produce a respectable 4.5 runs per game, though the offense can be streaky and heavily reliant on the spark provided by De La Cruz. On the mound, Cincinnati is expected to start Hunter Greene, who brings electric stuff and elite velocity but continues working on refining his control and sequencing.

Greene enters the matchup with a strong strikeout rate and the ability to dominate lineups in short bursts, but his efficiency and pitch count management will be critical against a Royals team that thrives on contact and base running. The Reds’ bullpen has seen mixed results, capable of shutting down innings when firing on all cylinders but prone to letting leads slip due to inconsistency in the middle innings. Pitchers like Alexis Díaz have provided moments of reliability at the back end, but setup roles remain fluid and sometimes volatile. Defensively, the Reds have been more reliable than in years past, showing improved fundamentals and outfield range that has helped keep games close. Despite their inconsistencies, Cincinnati has fared well against the spread, covering in 29 of 54 games (29–25 ATS), which highlights their competitiveness even in losses. As a team that’s been .500 or slightly below for most of the season, every game has importance, especially interleague road matchups that can either derail momentum or jumpstart a winning stretch. Manager David Bell has emphasized aggressive baserunning and playing clean, opportunistic baseball—an approach that pays off when the pitching holds and the bats don’t go cold. To secure a win on Wednesday, the Reds will need Greene to set the tone with early command, keep the Royals off the bases, and rely on their speed and versatility to pressure Kansas City’s defense. If they can avoid bullpen breakdowns and capitalize with runners in scoring position, the Reds have enough firepower to grab a crucial road win and keep pace in the NL Central.

The Cincinnati Reds (27–28) and Kansas City Royals (29–26) conclude their interleague series on Wednesday, May 28, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium. Both teams are aiming to gain momentum as they approach the midseason mark, with the Royals seeking to solidify their position in the AL Central and the Reds striving to climb the NL Central standings. Cincinnati vs Kansas City AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals return to Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday looking to secure a series victory over the Cincinnati Reds and continue their quietly impressive 2025 campaign that has them at 29–26 and firmly in the mix in the American League Central. One of the biggest surprises of the season thus far, the Royals have outperformed preseason expectations behind a combination of strong home play, consistent pitching, and breakout offensive performances, particularly from budding superstar Bobby Witt Jr. Witt leads the team with a .293 batting average and has become a true table-setter with his blend of gap power, elite speed, and instinctive baserunning that routinely disrupts pitchers and infielders alike. Behind him, Salvador Perez continues to provide veteran leadership and middle-of-the-order production, while Vinnie Pasquantino has added left-handed pop and consistent contact ability that gives the Royals a formidable heart of the lineup. Kansas City has averaged about 4.7 runs per game while ranking among the league’s most efficient teams in situational hitting, often turning leadoff walks and singles into runs with timely doubles, sac flies, and aggressive base advancement. Their ability to manufacture offense without relying solely on the long ball has made them a threat even in lower-scoring games, especially at home where they’ve posted an excellent 17–9 record. On the mound, Michael Wacha is expected to get the start, bringing veteran calm and sharp command to a young rotation that has grown more confident around him.

Wacha has compiled a 3–4 record with a strong 3.21 ERA and continues to give the Royals a chance to win in nearly every outing thanks to his ability to mix speeds and get weak contact early in counts. Kansas City’s bullpen, anchored by James McArthur in the closer role and John Schreiber as a key setup man, has been reliable in tight spots, posting solid strikeout rates and limiting walks—a major reason the Royals have gone 9–7 in one-run games. Defensively, the Royals have excelled in limiting errors and playing crisp, efficient baseball, with Witt, Maikel Garcia, and MJ Melendez contributing to a well-above-average infield and outfield alignment. The team’s 28–26 ATS record shows they’ve been a consistent bet all season, particularly when favored, winning 61.9% of those games. Manager Matt Quatraro has emphasized discipline, execution, and focus, helping foster a clubhouse culture that mirrors the team’s steady rise. As they take the field against a Reds squad that’s still finding its rhythm, the Royals will aim to continue setting the tone early, using their speed and contact ability to force defensive pressure, while relying on Wacha to work deep into the game and keep Cincinnati’s dynamic offense in check. With a chance to further strengthen their divisional position and move four games above .500, Wednesday’s matchup offers the Royals an opportunity to reinforce their identity as one of the most fundamentally sound and competitive teams in the AL this season.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Reds and Royals play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kauffman Stadium in May almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Reds and Royals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Reds team going up against a possibly strong Royals team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Cincinnati vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Reds vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Reds Betting Trends

The Reds have a 29–25 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 53.7% of their games.

Royals Betting Trends

The Royals hold a 28–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 51.9% of their games.

Reds vs. Royals Matchup Trends

The Royals have been favored in 21 games this season, winning 13 of them (61.9%). The Reds have been underdogs in 28 games, securing victory in 14 (50%) of those matchups.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Game Info

Cincinnati vs Kansas City starts on May 28, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.

Spread: Kansas City +1.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -120, Kansas City +100
Over/Under: 7.5

Cincinnati: (28-28)  |  Kansas City: (29-27)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Friedl over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Royals have been favored in 21 games this season, winning 13 of them (61.9%). The Reds have been underdogs in 28 games, securing victory in 14 (50%) of those matchups.

CIN trend: The Reds have a 29–25 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 53.7% of their games.

KC trend: The Royals hold a 28–26 ATS record for the current season, covering in 51.9% of their games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Cincinnati vs. Kansas City Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Cincinnati vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Opening Odds

CIN Moneyline: -120
KC Moneyline: +100
CIN Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Cincinnati vs Kansas City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+107
-128
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals on May 28, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN