Astros vs Rays Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 20)
Updated: 2025-05-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays continue their three-game series on May 20, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Astros, currently second in the AL West, aim to build on their recent momentum, while the Rays look to rebound from a narrow loss in the series opener.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 20, 2025
Start Time: 7:05 PM EST
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field
Rays Record: (21-26)
Astros Record: (25-22)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -114
TB Moneyline: -105
HOU Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Astros have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 road games, indicating improved performance against the run line away from home.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 2 of their last 7 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Despite their overall record, the Astros have a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Rays, suggesting a favorable matchup trend.
HOU vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Walls under 1.5 Total Bases.
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Houston vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/20/25
Tampa Bay’s offense has lacked punch recently, including a game against Miami where they managed just three hits and became victims of the season’s first immaculate inning. In this series, key bats like Yandy Díaz, Curtis Mead, and Jonathan Aranda must step up, especially against a Houston bullpen that has been among the AL’s most effective in high-leverage situations. Zack Littell will get the start for the Rays, carrying a 3-5 record and 4.31 ERA into the contest, and he’ll be tasked with quieting a lineup that thrives on working counts and applying pressure on opposing pitchers. Littell’s ability to pitch deep into the game will be vital, especially considering the Rays’ bullpen has faltered in recent outings and failed to hold leads. Historically, Tampa Bay has played the Astros closely—owning a slight 50-46 edge in the all-time series—but they’ve dropped five of their last six matchups against Houston, including a late-season sweep in 2024 that helped the Astros lock up a playoff spot. For Tampa Bay to even the series, they’ll need better production with runners in scoring position and a cleaner performance from the mound. Meanwhile, Houston sees this series as a chance to bank key road wins before returning to Minute Maid Park to face division-rival Seattle. With playoff implications lurking and pitching matchups tilted in Houston’s favor, this game shapes up as another litmus test for the Astros’ staying power and an opportunity for the Rays to course-correct before the standings gap widens further. Expect a tactical battle with bullpen chess, aggressive baserunning, and two clubs playing with urgency in opposite directions.
Rakin' Jake strikes again. #BuiltForThis x @budweiserusa pic.twitter.com/hM0RevhN51
— Houston Astros (@astros) May 20, 2025
Houston Astros MLB Preview
The Houston Astros come into their May 20 matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays riding a wave of momentum and determination, having secured a 4-3 victory in the series opener that pushed their record to 25-22 and solidified their second-place standing in the American League West. Navigating a demanding 17-game stretch without an off day, the Astros have leaned on their veteran leadership, resilient bullpen, and opportunistic offense to stay afloat in a tightly contested division. Their success in Game 1 was emblematic of this approach—rookie left-hander Colton Gordon gave them 5⅓ strong innings, allowing just three runs with no walks and seven strikeouts, while the bullpen trio of Bryan King, Bryan Abreu, and Josh Hader shut the door with composed execution in the late innings. The Astros’ pitching depth continues to be one of their biggest assets, particularly in games that hinge on matchups and high-leverage relief. Hader remains one of the premier closers in baseball, and Abreu’s ability to bridge the gap between starter and closer has been pivotal. On offense, the Astros continue to get steady contributions from their core, with José Altuve setting the tone at the top of the order with veteran savvy and dependable production. Jeremy Peña has provided timely hitting and solid defense, while Chas McCormick’s versatility and power have helped carry the load in recent weeks.
Yainer Díaz, serving as the designated hitter, has added thump to the lineup with quality plate appearances and the ability to drive the ball to all fields. Even in games where Houston doesn’t explode offensively, they show patience, make opposing pitchers work, and often capitalize on defensive mistakes or missed locations. Defensively, the Astros remain fundamentally sound, and their infield—anchored by Peña, Altuve, and Alex Bregman—ranks among the league’s most efficient at converting balls in play into outs. Their recent success against Tampa Bay also bodes well; Houston has covered the run line in five of their last six meetings with the Rays, including a sweep in a critical August series last year. Manager Joe Espada, despite being ejected early in the series opener, has maintained a steady presence and has continued to instill a no-quit mentality throughout the clubhouse. The Astros understand that every win matters during this grueling May schedule, especially with a four-game home series against the Seattle Mariners looming. Against a Rays team that has struggled to find offensive consistency and bullpen stability, the Astros will look to stay aggressive early, wear down Zack Littell with patient at-bats, and create separation by the middle innings. If they can continue to get quality starts and maintain their bullpen dominance, Houston is well-positioned not just to win this series but to keep climbing the standings and build momentum heading into a critical stretch of the season. This matchup is another opportunity for the Astros to flex their veteran muscle and remind the league that even in a transitional year, they remain a postseason-caliber team.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays enter the May 20 matchup against the Houston Astros with a 21-26 record and a growing sense of urgency to correct course as the season edges toward its midpoint. After dropping the series opener 4-3, the Rays find themselves in the familiar position of trying to claw their way back against a playoff-caliber team while battling inconsistencies that have plagued them on both sides of the ball. Though the Rays have historically fared well against Houston—owning a narrow 50-46 all-time edge—they have now lost five of the last six meetings, including a late-season sweep in 2024 that still lingers. With Tropicana Field undergoing repairs due to hurricane damage, the team has been playing its home games at George M. Steinbrenner Field, a logistical adjustment that has tested routines and comfort. Despite the challenges, the Rays remain a team built around versatility, intelligent matchups, and maximizing production from a roster that often lacks a true superstar but thrives when it gets balanced contributions. That has been difficult to come by lately, especially on offense. In a recent game against Miami, the Rays managed only three hits and became the first team this season to suffer an immaculate inning—a nine-pitch, three-strikeout frame—from opposing pitcher Paul Quantrill.
Their key offensive pieces, including Yandy Díaz, Curtis Mead, and Jonathan Aranda, must begin producing with more consistency. Díaz, a veteran presence with power and plate discipline, remains the most reliable source of offense, but he’s lacked protection in the lineup, and situational hitting has fallen short. Curtis Mead and Aranda both have upside, but they’ve been streaky, and the team has struggled mightily with runners in scoring position. The starting assignment in this game goes to Zack Littell, who enters with a 3-5 record and a 4.31 ERA. Littell has flashed promise in several outings this year, particularly when he’s able to command his cutter and avoid early trouble, but facing a disciplined and deep Astros lineup means any lapse in control could be costly. The Rays bullpen, usually a hallmark of their recent success, has regressed this year, failing to consistently hold late leads or keep tight games within reach. Tampa Bay has also struggled against the spread, covering in just two of their last seven home games, underscoring the team’s difficulty in putting together complete efforts. Still, the Rays are known for their adaptability and ability to extract competitive performances even when the odds appear stacked. Playing in front of a supportive crowd at their temporary home, they’ll need to rely on crisp defense, aggressive baserunning, and clean innings from Littell to stay in the game. If they can string together timely hits and limit bullpen exposure, they have the tools to even the series and set up a potential rubber match. But with a surging Houston team on the other side and little room for error, the Rays must play one of their sharpest games of the month to avoid slipping further in the AL East standings.
Grab-n-go 🙅 pic.twitter.com/UDWDJVtIZC
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) May 20, 2025
Houston vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Astros and Rays and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly rested Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Astros vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 road games, indicating improved performance against the run line away from home.
Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 2 of their last 7 home games.
Astros vs. Rays Matchup Trends
Despite their overall record, the Astros have a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Rays, suggesting a favorable matchup trend.
Houston vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Houston vs Tampa Bay start on May 20, 2025?
Houston vs Tampa Bay starts on May 20, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: Houston -114, Tampa Bay -105
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Houston vs Tampa Bay?
Houston: (25-22) | Tampa Bay: (21-26)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Walls under 1.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
Despite their overall record, the Astros have a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Rays, suggesting a favorable matchup trend.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Astros have covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 road games, indicating improved performance against the run line away from home.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Rays have struggled against the spread recently, covering in only 2 of their last 7 home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Tampa Bay Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-114 TB Moneyline: -105
HOU Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Houston vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays on May 20, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |