Nationals vs. Braves
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 14 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On May 14, 2025, the Washington Nationals (17–25) face the Atlanta Braves (21–21) at Truist Park in the third game of their four-game series. The Braves aim to extend their winning streak, while the Nationals seek to rebound from consecutive losses.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 14, 2025

Start Time: 7:15 PM EST​

Venue: Truist Park​

Braves Record: (21-21)

Nationals Record: (17-26)

OPENING ODDS

WAS Moneyline: +144

ATL Moneyline: -172

WAS Spread: +1.5

ATL Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

WAS
Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) on Saturdays this season.

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have a 12–6 ATS record at home this season, indicating strong performance against the spread at Truist Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Braves have won 16 of the 30 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season, translating to a 53.3% win rate in those situations.

WAS vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. White over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Washington vs Atlanta Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/14/25

The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves will continue their four-game series on May 14, 2025, at Truist Park in a matchup that showcases two teams with vastly different levels of consistency and expectations as the season progresses. The Braves enter the contest at 21–21, having clawed their way back to .500 and now looking to build momentum with a strong homestand behind their 12–6 record at Truist Park, where they’ve consistently been able to pair elite offensive production with reliable pitching to overpower opponents. Atlanta’s offense has been anchored by Austin Riley, who leads the team in batting average (.289), home runs (8), and RBIs (26), while Marcell Ozuna has done a superb job of reaching base and generating run opportunities with his .424 OBP, creating a formidable duo in the heart of the Braves’ lineup. On the mound, the Braves will send Bryce Elder to start, a dependable arm who brings experience, poise, and the ability to limit hard contact, which has made him a stabilizing force in the rotation during a season filled with pitching volatility across the league. The Braves’ bullpen has been solid in late-game scenarios, converting leads into wins and minimizing high-leverage collapses, while defensively the team has continued to shine with consistent execution and few costly errors, helping preserve close victories.

Meanwhile, the Nationals arrive in Atlanta with a 17–25 record and are once again playing from behind in the NL East, having dropped the first two games of the series and showing little evidence they can slow down a Braves team firing on all cylinders at home. Washington’s biggest issue has been its pitching staff, which owns a bloated 5.45 ERA and 1.46 WHIP, both near the bottom of the league, as the rotation has failed to provide length and the bullpen has often entered games with no margin for error and little ability to limit damage in late innings. Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals and will be tasked with trying to neutralize a Braves lineup that has punished left-handed pitching this season, and his success will hinge on his ability to avoid free passes and stay out of fastball-heavy counts where Atlanta’s bats thrive. Offensively, James Wood leads the team in hits (43) and RBIs (23) and has been the Nationals’ most consistent weapon, while Keibert Ruiz and Nathaniel Lowe have also been productive, but the lineup lacks the punch and depth needed to hang with high-octane offenses over a full nine innings. Washington’s 7–12 road record is reflective of its inability to generate early offense or hold leads away from Nationals Park, and unless the pitching staff delivers its best collective effort of the season, the Braves are well-positioned to take a third straight win and continue climbing the division standings. The Nationals must play a near-perfect game to compete, but with Atlanta’s bats heating up and Bryce Elder on the hill, the advantage clearly lies with the home team in a matchup where power, pitching, and momentum are all leaning toward the Braves.

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Washington Nationals enter their May 14, 2025 matchup against the Atlanta Braves with a 17–25 record and a growing sense of urgency as they look to avoid dropping a third straight game in this four-game series at Truist Park, where they have struggled to match Atlanta’s offensive firepower and consistent execution. On the road, the Nationals have posted a 7–12 record and have been outscored in lopsided fashion over recent contests, with pitching inconsistencies and lackluster run support plaguing their ability to stay competitive against superior lineups. Their offense has shown flashes, led by promising young outfielder James Wood, who has a team-leading 43 hits and 23 RBIs, providing a much-needed spark at the plate and serving as a potential cornerstone for the franchise’s rebuild. Complementing him are Keibert Ruiz and Nathaniel Lowe, who have combined for 75 hits and 43 RBIs, but the supporting cast has failed to deliver with runners in scoring position, making it difficult for Washington to capitalize on limited opportunities. On the mound, Mitchell Parker will get the start and face the daunting task of trying to contain a Braves lineup that has surged back to .500 and thrives at home, especially against left-handed pitching.

Parker, who has shown some promise with strikeout upside, will need to navigate through the dangerous middle of Atlanta’s order without allowing early damage, something Nationals starters have struggled with throughout the season as the team enters this game with a collective ERA of 5.45 and a WHIP of 1.46, among the worst in baseball. The bullpen hasn’t fared much better, often entering in high-leverage situations only to surrender leads or extend deficits, and unless the Nationals can get length from Parker and minimize walks, they risk being overmatched once again. Defensively, the Nationals have made improvements compared to earlier in the year but still face issues with communication and execution in key moments, especially on the road where crowd noise and momentum shifts tend to magnify lapses. If the Nationals want to steal a win in this game, they’ll need to start fast—ideally jumping on Bryce Elder early, forcing Atlanta to play from behind, and avoiding the kind of late-inning breakdowns that have defined too many of their losses this year. For manager Dave Martinez, this matchup presents another opportunity to evaluate young talent and attempt to instill more urgency and discipline in a team that’s struggled to put together full nine-inning efforts against top-tier opponents. A win over the Braves wouldn’t just be a much-needed morale boost but could also serve as a launching pad for improved play heading into the second half of May. However, given the current form of the rotation, the bullpen’s vulnerability, and the lack of run production outside of Wood and Ruiz, the Nationals will need to exceed their season norms in nearly every phase of the game to leave Atlanta with a win and prevent this series from slipping entirely out of their grasp.

On May 14, 2025, the Washington Nationals (17–25) face the Atlanta Braves (21–21) at Truist Park in the third game of their four-game series. The Braves aim to extend their winning streak, while the Nationals seek to rebound from consecutive losses. Washington vs Atlanta AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves return to Truist Park for the third game of their four-game set against the Washington Nationals on May 14, 2025, sitting at 21–21 and looking to extend their winning streak and continue reestablishing themselves as contenders in the NL East after clawing their way back to .500 with consecutive victories that have showcased both their offensive potential and dependable pitching depth. At home, the Braves have been particularly effective, going 12–6 at Truist Park and delivering consistent performances on both sides of the ball, a trend they aim to build on with right-hander Bryce Elder taking the mound in this contest—Elder has provided a steadying presence in the rotation with a composed demeanor and ability to work through lineups multiple times while limiting hard contact and avoiding big innings. Offensively, the Braves are led by Austin Riley, who enters with a .289 average, eight home runs, and 26 RBIs, anchoring the middle of a lineup that has increasingly found its rhythm, particularly with Marcell Ozuna getting on base at a .424 clip and continuing to be a critical on-base and run-scoring threat, helping Atlanta apply pressure from the top through the heart of the order. This offensive resurgence has allowed the Braves to better support their starters and win close games, and with their bullpen continuing to deliver in late innings and limit opposing rallies, manager Brian Snitker has found success in leveraging matchups and protecting slim leads, especially at home where crowd energy and familiarity give Atlanta an edge.

Defensively, the Braves have been among the cleanest teams in the division, routinely turning double plays, minimizing errors, and supporting their pitchers with sound fundamentals, which has been essential in preventing innings from spiraling and giving the team a shot to stay in tight games. With the Nationals’ offense struggling to generate consistent pressure and their pitching staff entering the game with a team ERA of 5.45 and WHIP of 1.46, the Braves are in position to take control early and force Washington into a familiar pattern of playing from behind, where their bullpen becomes vulnerable and their offensive approach narrows into an all-or-nothing strategy. The key for the Braves will be jumping on Nationals starter Mitchell Parker early, forcing long at-bats, and capitalizing on mistakes in the zone, especially with runners on base—something Atlanta has done effectively during their recent stretch of improved play. A win in this game not only gives the Braves a shot at taking the series but also serves as an important momentum builder as they push into the middle of May with an eye on reclaiming the top of the division, and if they execute as they have in the past week, they’ll be well-positioned to do exactly that with a cohesive, confident effort at home.

Washington vs. Atlanta Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Nationals and Braves play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Truist Park in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. White over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Washington vs. Atlanta Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Nationals and Braves and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Nationals team going up against a possibly improved Braves team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Washington vs Atlanta picks, computer picks Nationals vs Braves, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) on Saturdays this season.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have a 12–6 ATS record at home this season, indicating strong performance against the spread at Truist Park.

Nationals vs. Braves Matchup Trends

The Braves have won 16 of the 30 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season, translating to a 53.3% win rate in those situations.

Washington vs. Atlanta Game Info

Washington vs Atlanta starts on May 14, 2025 at 7:15 PM EST.

Spread: Atlanta -1.5
Moneyline: Washington +144, Atlanta -172
Over/Under: 8.5

Washington: (17-26)  |  Atlanta: (21-21)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. White over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Braves have won 16 of the 30 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season, translating to a 53.3% win rate in those situations.

WAS trend: The Nationals have a 3–3 record against the spread (ATS) on Saturdays this season.

ATL trend: The Braves have a 12–6 ATS record at home this season, indicating strong performance against the spread at Truist Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Washington vs. Atlanta Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Washington vs Atlanta trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Washington vs Atlanta Opening Odds

WAS Moneyline: +144
ATL Moneyline: -172
WAS Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Washington vs Atlanta Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+160
-190
+1.5 (-128)
-1.5 (+106)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+240
-295
+1.5 (+126)
-1.5 (-152)
O 7.5 (-112)
U 7.5 (-108)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-215
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+104)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/28/25 3:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+102
-120
-1.5 (+168)
+1.5 (-205)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (-102)
Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/28/25 3:08PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+166
-198
+1.5 (-137)
-1.5 (+114)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/28/25 3:10PM
Dodgers
Mariners
-106
-110
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-182)
O 8 (-104)
U 8 (-118)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/28/25 3:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+124
-146
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+132)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/28/25 3:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-132
+112
-1.5 (+128)
+1.5 (-154)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 3:16PM
Pirates
Braves
+168
-200
+1.5 (-128)
-1.5 (+106)
O 7.5 (-106)
U 7.5 (-114)
Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/28/25 3:20PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-165
 
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 30, 2025 2:30PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 2:30PM
Padres
Cubs
+100
-120
pk
pk

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves on May 14, 2025 at Truist Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS