Pirates vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 12 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets are set to face off on May 12, 2025, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Mets, with a strong home record, aim to capitalize on their momentum, while the Pirates look to overcome recent struggles and secure a crucial win on the road.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 12, 2025

Start Time: 7:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (26-15)

Pirates Record: (14-27)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: +118

NYM Moneyline: -140

PIT Spread: +1.5

NYM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have a 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games, showcasing their ability to cover the spread effectively at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in three games, highlighting their recent success against the Pirates.

PIT vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

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Pittsburgh vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/12/25

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets are set to meet on May 12, 2025, at Citi Field in a matchup that highlights two teams heading in drastically different directions early in the season, as the Pirates look to salvage a struggling campaign while the Mets continue to surge in the competitive National League East. The Mets enter the contest at 24-14, boasting a dominant 13-3 home record and showing early signs of postseason-caliber play under manager Carlos Mendoza, with strong pitching performances, timely offense, and consistent execution in late-game situations fueling their rise. Meanwhile, the Pirates have labored to a 13-27 mark, sitting at the bottom of the NL Central and searching for answers amid mounting losses, injuries to key starters, and a lineup that has been unable to generate consistent run support. Pittsburgh’s offense, while showing some individual flashes through the efforts of Bryan Reynolds (.280, 6 HR, 22 RBI) and Ke’Bryan Hayes (.265, 18 RBI), has been mostly ineffective when it comes to capitalizing with runners in scoring position, and the absence of reliable starting pitching—exacerbated by the injury to Johan Oviedo—has made it difficult for the team to stay competitive against deeper, more balanced clubs like the Mets. On the other side, New York has thrived offensively behind the production of Pete Alonso, who continues to deliver middle-of-the-order power with 10 home runs and a team-leading 29 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has found his rhythm in May, adding a dynamic presence both at the plate and defensively.

The Mets’ bullpen, a strength so far this season, has stepped up in the absence of starters like Sean Manaea, providing manager Mendoza with matchup flexibility and dependable arms to preserve narrow leads, and the rotation—anchored by veterans like José Quintana and emerging arms such as Tylor Megill—has delivered quality starts that have taken pressure off the offense. From a betting and analytical standpoint, the Mets have covered the spread in six of their last ten games, including a 13-3 home record, while the Pirates are just 5-14 on the road and 5-5 ATS in their last ten, further emphasizing the uphill battle they face at Citi Field. New York has also taken three of the last five head-to-head meetings, and with a healthy core and strong momentum, they enter this contest with a clear advantage on paper. The key for the Mets will be to maintain their focus and continue executing against a Pirates team that, while struggling, can occasionally produce surprising results when Reynolds or Hayes gets hot. For the Pirates to pull off the upset, they will need a stellar start from the mound, error-free defense, and timely hitting—a combination that has eluded them far too often in 2025. As the Mets aim to widen their lead in the division and continue their ascent toward contention, this game presents a critical opportunity to assert dominance at home and capitalize on a matchup that favors them in nearly every statistical category.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their May 12 matchup against the New York Mets in dire need of a turnaround, saddled with a 13-27 record that reflects a first quarter of the season filled with offensive inconsistency, pitching instability, and mounting frustration as they continue to sink toward the bottom of the National League Central standings. With a dismal 5-14 road record, the Pirates have struggled to compete away from PNC Park, often falling behind early and lacking the offensive firepower to recover against playoff-caliber teams like the Mets. Bryan Reynolds remains one of the few bright spots in the lineup, batting .280 with 6 home runs and 22 RBIs, providing leadership and production in a lineup that too often fails to generate traffic on the bases or deliver with runners in scoring position. Ke’Bryan Hayes has offered support with a .265 average and 18 RBIs, showing some development as a run producer while continuing to provide Gold Glove-caliber defense at third base, but the rest of the order has lacked consistency and depth, leaving manager Derek Shelton with few reliable options to generate sustained rallies. The team’s struggles have been compounded by injuries, most notably to Johan Oviedo, whose absence has left a major hole in a starting rotation that already lacked stability and depth entering the season. With young arms being forced into significant roles before they’re fully developed, the Pirates’ pitching staff has been overexposed, and the bullpen—tasked with covering extra innings far too frequently—has not been able to preserve leads when they do arise.

Shelton has continued to preach patience and effort, and while players like Jack Suwinski and veteran Andrew McCutchen have contributed in spurts, the team’s inability to play clean, timely baseball has made it difficult to avoid prolonged losing streaks. Entering Citi Field to face a red-hot Mets team that owns a 13-3 home record, the Pirates must overcome both the statistical disadvantages and the psychological toll of another sub-.500 start that threatens to derail their season before Memorial Day. To be competitive, the Pirates will need a quality start from their pitcher—likely a young arm thrust into duty—and a defensive performance that avoids the kind of miscues that have often allowed games to unravel quickly. Offensively, it will take more than just Reynolds and Hayes—it will require a collective effort, especially from the bottom of the order, to put pressure on a Mets bullpen that has otherwise been dominant late in games. If Pittsburgh hopes to steal a win, they’ll need to capitalize on early opportunities, play mistake-free baseball, and lean heavily on their few experienced bats to spark momentum. As the losses pile up and the division becomes harder to chase, every game becomes more crucial for the Pirates to rediscover their identity and prove that their rebuilding effort still has a path forward in a season that is quickly slipping away.

The Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Mets are set to face off on May 12, 2025, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Mets, with a strong home record, aim to capitalize on their momentum, while the Pirates look to overcome recent struggles and secure a crucial win on the road. Pittsburgh vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 12. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets return to Citi Field on May 12, 2025, with momentum and opportunity on their side as they prepare to host the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates, entering the contest with a 24-14 record and firmly in the thick of the National League East race thanks to a combination of dominant home play, timely offense, and resilient pitching performances. With a 13-3 record at home, the Mets have established Citi Field as one of the toughest places for visiting teams to find success this season, and their balanced roster continues to deliver results despite early-season adversity, including injuries to key starters like Sean Manaea and shifting pieces in the bullpen. Under first-year manager Carlos Mendoza, the Mets have embraced a clear identity—aggressive at the plate, smart on the basepaths, and tough on the mound, allowing them to out-execute teams in close games while piling on runs when their big bats get hot. Pete Alonso remains the offensive anchor, batting with power and consistency, already slugging 10 home runs with 29 RBIs to lead the club in run production, while Francisco Lindor has heated up in recent weeks and become a dual-threat with his power from both sides of the plate and elite defense at shortstop. Complementing the core is a strong supporting cast, including Jeff McNeil, Brandon Nimmo, and Brett Baty, who have each contributed to a lineup that stretches pitchers and thrives in both fast-paced and grind-it-out offensive environments.

The Mets’ pitching staff has also held firm through injuries, with José Quintana and Tylor Megill delivering quality innings and keeping the team in games through the middle innings, which has allowed the bullpen—anchored by Edwin Díaz and reinforced by high-leverage options like Brooks Raley and Adam Ottavino—to preserve leads with confidence and efficiency. Mendoza has masterfully managed matchups, using platoons and defensive substitutions late in games to help close tight contests and squeeze every ounce out of his roster. Against a Pirates team that has lost 27 of its first 40 games and enters with a 5-14 road record, the Mets are well-positioned to continue their dominance at home, particularly if they can score early and force Pittsburgh into a bullpen-heavy approach—a scenario that has routinely led to success for New York this season. The Mets’ recent 6-4 ATS stretch further highlights their ability to cover when favored, especially against teams that struggle to score runs consistently or keep up with their dynamic middle of the order. With a combination of veteran leadership, surging confidence, and statistical advantage across most key categories, the Mets will look to make a statement and capitalize on every opportunity to distance themselves from NL East rivals in a game that, on paper and based on current form, is theirs to control from the first pitch. If Alonso stays hot, Lindor continues to produce in big spots, and the bullpen remains steady, New York is in prime position to add another home win and continue reinforcing their credentials as a legitimate National League contender.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Mets play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in May seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 5.5 Fantasy Score.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Pirates and Mets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly tired Mets team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Pirates vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have a 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games, showcasing their ability to cover the spread effectively at home.

Pirates vs. Mets Matchup Trends

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in three games, highlighting their recent success against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Mets Game Info

Pittsburgh vs New York Mets starts on May 12, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh +118, New York Mets -140
Over/Under: 7

Pittsburgh: (14-27)  |  New York Mets: (26-15)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Lindor over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, the Mets have covered the spread in three games, highlighting their recent success against the Pirates.

PIT trend: The Pirates have a 5-5 record against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, indicating a balanced performance in covering the spread.

NYM trend: The Mets have a 6-4 ATS record in their last 10 games, showcasing their ability to cover the spread effectively at home.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Pittsburgh vs New York Mets Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: +118
NYM Moneyline: -140
PIT Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7

Pittsburgh vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Mets on May 12, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN