Red Sox vs Tigers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 12)

Updated: 2025-05-10T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers are set to face off on May 12, 2025, at Comerica Park in Detroit. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 12, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: Comerica Park​

Tigers Record: (26-15)

Red Sox Record: (22-20)

OPENING ODDS

BOS Moneyline: -105

DET Moneyline: -115

BOS Spread: -1.5

DET Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

BOS
Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have a 20-19 record against the spread (ATS) in the 2025 season, indicating a near-even performance in covering the spread.

DET
Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have been strong at home, boasting a 13-3 record in their last 16 home games, reflecting their ability to cover the spread effectively at Comerica Park.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five games, the Tigers have a 4-1 record, showcasing their recent form and potential to cover the spread in upcoming matchups.

BOS vs. DET
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jung under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Boston vs Detroit Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/12/25

The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers are set to face off on May 12, 2025, at Comerica Park in a matchup that pits a Tigers team riding early-season momentum against a Red Sox squad still trying to establish consistency amid injuries and roster shuffling. Detroit enters the game with a 25-13 record, first place in the American League Central, and a dominant 13-3 home record that has made Comerica Park a fortress for manager A.J. Hinch’s resilient and fundamentally sound club. The Tigers have capitalized on clutch hitting, reliable defense, and a deep bullpen to win tight games, even while navigating injuries to key starters like Casey Mize, and they continue to get significant contributions from core hitters Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene, both of whom have emerged as run-producing threats in the heart of the lineup. Greene in particular has begun to show signs of a breakout season, combining power and patience while anchoring a team that averages just over 4.8 runs per game and finds ways to pressure opposing staffs with aggressive baserunning and timely contact hitting. Their pitching staff, while lacking dominant aces, has been one of the most efficient in limiting walks and generating weak contact, with a bullpen that ranks among the league’s best in ERA and save percentage. Boston, by contrast, comes into the game at 20-19 and fourth in the AL East, where every win is precious in a division stacked with contenders.

The Red Sox offense has remained dangerous despite inconsistencies on the mound, with Rafael Devers posting a .295 average and leading the team in both home runs and RBIs, while Alex Bregman continues to settle into his role in the Boston infield, offering solid contact and veteran presence. However, injuries to key arms like Walker Buehler have thinned the rotation, forcing the bullpen to absorb more innings than ideal and leaving manager Alex Cora scrambling to piece together effective pitching matchups, especially during road trips where Boston has gone just 9-10. Despite their strong middle-of-the-order production, the Red Sox have had trouble stringing together rallies and often rely heavily on the long ball, a risky strategy against a Detroit team that limits big innings and plays crisp, low-error baseball. Boston’s key to success in this matchup will be scoring early and avoiding falling behind, as Detroit’s bullpen has been nearly unhittable when given a lead in the sixth inning or later. From a betting perspective, the Tigers have gone 4-1 in their last five games and are 13-3 ATS at home, while the Red Sox have hovered around .500 ATS with a 20-19 season mark, indicating an uphill battle for a Boston team looking to reverse recent road trends. The game will likely be decided by whether Boston’s power can overcome Detroit’s contact-based offense and defensive precision, and whether the Red Sox pitching can hold off a Tigers lineup that thrives on exploiting mistakes and creating pressure with smart situational baseball. In a battle of early-season identity, the Tigers appear better poised to continue their strong form and protect home field, while the Red Sox will need their stars to step up and deliver if they hope to leave Detroit with a series-opening win.

Boston Red Sox MLB Preview

The Boston Red Sox enter their May 12 matchup against the Detroit Tigers looking to stabilize their position in the American League East as they face one of the league’s hottest home teams, knowing that consistency on the road has been elusive in the first quarter of the season. At 20-19 overall and just 9-10 away from Fenway Park, the Red Sox have had difficulty building momentum outside of Boston, with injuries to key players like Walker Buehler and Masataka Yoshida disrupting their pitching depth and offensive rhythm. Offensively, however, Boston continues to be dangerous when their core pieces are locked in, led by Rafael Devers, who is hitting .295 with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, serving as the centerpiece of the lineup with both power and situational hitting. Alongside Devers, Alex Bregman has offered valuable consistency since arriving in Boston, posting a .280 average and driving in 25 runs while helping anchor the infield and providing veteran leadership on a club that has experienced several lineup changes. Wilyer Abreu and Trevor Story have also had their moments, especially when it comes to stringing together offense in tight games, but overall, the Red Sox offense has tended to rely on big innings rather than sustained pressure, which can be problematic against teams like Detroit that thrive in close, low-scoring contests. Manager Alex Cora has emphasized defensive fundamentals and situational hitting, but the team’s inability to consistently produce with runners in scoring position and their struggles on the mound in key spots have kept them from fully capitalizing on their offensive strengths.

Boston’s pitching staff has posted middling results, and with Buehler out and the bullpen taking on an increased workload, there have been signs of fatigue and lack of depth, particularly when trying to navigate the sixth and seventh innings in close games. The Red Sox’s bullpen, while capable of overpowering hitters on the right day, has also been susceptible to high walk rates and late-inning damage, which has cost them several winnable games in the past two weeks. Against a Detroit team that ranks among the best at protecting leads at home and is 13-3 at Comerica Park, the Red Sox will need to get ahead early, rely on sharp defense to limit extended innings, and find a way to manufacture runs beyond the home run ball. To do so, the top of the order—especially Devers and Bregman—must remain productive, and the team will need to avoid the costly defensive lapses or base-running errors that have plagued them in losses. This game presents a crucial chance for Boston to prove it can beat a contending team on the road, and if they can combine efficient starting pitching with timely offense, they have the firepower to keep pace in the AL East, but anything short of sharp execution will likely result in another missed opportunity against a team that has mastered winning at home.

The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers are set to face off on May 12, 2025, at Comerica Park in Detroit. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season. Boston vs Detroit AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 12. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Detroit Tigers MLB Preview

The Detroit Tigers enter their May 12 showdown against the Boston Red Sox riding a wave of momentum and confidence that has propelled them to a 25-13 record and first place in the American League Central, with their 13-3 home mark at Comerica Park serving as a testament to how well-balanced and fundamentally sound they’ve become under manager A.J. Hinch. Fueled by timely hitting, efficient pitching, and a defense that has consistently backed its arms, the Tigers have quickly emerged as one of the most reliable teams in baseball this season, winning four of their last five games and consistently finding ways to win close contests against both contenders and rebuilding clubs. At the core of their offensive success is Spencer Torkelson, who has grown into a legitimate run producer in the middle of the lineup, providing both power and patience while hitting for average and driving in key runs to keep the offense afloat. Alongside him, Riley Greene has taken a significant step forward in his development, flashing improved plate discipline, gap power, and the kind of all-field approach that allows him to serve as a catalyst in multiple roles, whether at the top of the order or in run-producing spots. Despite injuries to pitchers like Casey Mize, Detroit’s rotation has held firm with quality innings from the likes of Reese Olson and Jack Flaherty, who have kept games close and allowed the bullpen to do what it does best—lock down the late innings with efficiency and composure.

The Tigers’ bullpen has quietly been among the most effective in the American League, showing strong strikeout-to-walk ratios and limiting inherited runners from scoring, giving Hinch the flexibility to mix and match based on matchups late in games. Defensively, Detroit has played clean and cohesive baseball, routinely converting double plays, covering the gaps in the outfield, and minimizing unforced errors, all of which have contributed to their strong record in low-scoring contests where execution matters most. Against a Boston team with pop in the lineup but glaring inconsistency on the mound and a losing road record, Detroit has the perfect formula to protect its home turf—attack early, get ahead in the count, and force the Red Sox bullpen into uncomfortable middle-inning matchups where they’ve struggled. Expect the Tigers to play aggressive but smart baseball, taking the extra base when given the opportunity and relying on contact hitting and situational execution to generate scoring chances against a Boston staff that has labored to stay efficient through long innings. With the Red Sox dealing with pitching injuries and lacking the same kind of roster continuity Detroit has enjoyed, the Tigers will look to set the tone from the first inning, and if their starting pitching holds and their lineup continues to produce from top to bottom, they are well-positioned to continue their dominant stretch at Comerica and solidify their place as a legitimate contender in the American League.

Boston vs. Detroit Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Red Sox and Tigers play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Comerica Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jung under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Boston vs. Detroit Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Red Sox and Tigers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Detroit’s strength factors between a Red Sox team going up against a possibly improved Tigers team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Boston vs Detroit picks, computer picks Red Sox vs Tigers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have a 20-19 record against the spread (ATS) in the 2025 season, indicating a near-even performance in covering the spread.

Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers have been strong at home, boasting a 13-3 record in their last 16 home games, reflecting their ability to cover the spread effectively at Comerica Park.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Matchup Trends

In their last five games, the Tigers have a 4-1 record, showcasing their recent form and potential to cover the spread in upcoming matchups.

Boston vs. Detroit Game Info

Boston vs Detroit starts on May 12, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Detroit +1.5
Moneyline: Boston -105, Detroit -115
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston: (22-20)  |  Detroit: (26-15)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jung under 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five games, the Tigers have a 4-1 record, showcasing their recent form and potential to cover the spread in upcoming matchups.

BOS trend: The Red Sox have a 20-19 record against the spread (ATS) in the 2025 season, indicating a near-even performance in covering the spread.

DET trend: The Tigers have been strong at home, boasting a 13-3 record in their last 16 home games, reflecting their ability to cover the spread effectively at Comerica Park.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Boston vs. Detroit Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Boston vs Detroit trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Boston vs Detroit Opening Odds

BOS Moneyline: -105
DET Moneyline: -115
BOS Spread: -1.5
DET Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Boston vs Detroit Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers on May 12, 2025 at Comerica Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN