Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park on Sunday, May 11, 2025. The Blue Jays aim for a series sweep after a 6-3 comeback win on Saturday, while the Mariners look to avoid a third consecutive loss.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: T-Mobile Park​

Mariners Record: (22-16)

Blue Jays Record: (19-20)

OPENING ODDS

TOR Moneyline: +139

SEA Moneyline: -164

TOR Spread: +1.5

SEA Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

TOR
Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games, indicating strong recent performance against the spread.

SEA
Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games, showcasing consistent performance in recent matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Seattle, while Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

TOR vs. SEA
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Clase under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Toronto vs Seattle Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners will conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park on Sunday, May 11, 2025, in a rubber match that features two American League playoff hopefuls with similar records but differing momentum. Toronto enters with a 13-9 mark and has won the first two games of the series, including a resilient 6-3 comeback win on Saturday night that highlighted their offensive depth and late-game execution. Meanwhile, Seattle, now 14-12, has dropped back-to-back contests and will be looking to avoid a sweep at home while regaining some footing in the tightly packed AL West. Sunday’s pitching matchup will feature Jose Urena for Toronto and Bryce Miller for Seattle. Urena, despite a rough start to 2025 with an 8.59 ERA and limited innings, has the stuff to be effective if he commands the strike zone and works efficiently in a pitcher-friendly park like T-Mobile. Miller, carrying a 2-3 record with a 4.15 ERA, has had his ups and downs but has generally been dependable at home, mixing a high-velocity fastball with a sharp slider to keep hitters off balance. Toronto’s offense continues to be anchored by shortstop Bo Bichette, who came through with a crucial two-run homer on Saturday, and catcher Alejandro Kirk, who recorded four hits in the same game, lifting his average and providing consistent contact in the lower half of the order.

With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer supplying additional pop and discipline at the plate, Toronto’s lineup is capable of wearing down starters and punishing mistakes, as they’ve done repeatedly to Seattle’s pitching staff in this series. On the flip side, the Mariners will need to rely on production from Cal Raleigh—who leads the team with nine home runs—and rising superstar Julio Rodríguez, whose speed and athleticism can change a game quickly when he reaches base. Ty France has also chipped in with solid at-bats and timely hits, but Seattle’s offense has shown troubling inconsistency, particularly with runners in scoring position. Their bullpen, while strong overall with a team ERA just under 4.00, has been overworked due to short starts and high-leverage situations. Defensively, both teams have performed respectably, but Seattle has committed 16 errors—more than Toronto—raising questions about their ability to execute in tight games. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, have been one of the better teams against the spread in recent weeks, covering in 11 of their last 13 games and thriving in close, competitive matchups. If Urena can give the Jays five solid innings and their bullpen continues its strong form, Toronto is well-positioned to leave Seattle with a sweep and added confidence in their depth. For the Mariners, this game serves as a chance to salvage a series and avoid backsliding further in the AL West, where the pace is being set by division rivals like Houston and Texas. In a matchup that may hinge on which starter finds rhythm first and which offense capitalizes on mistakes, expect a tense, playoff-caliber atmosphere as both teams battle to claim momentum in early May.

Toronto Blue Jays MLB Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays enter Sunday’s series finale against the Seattle Mariners with confidence and the opportunity to complete a valuable three-game road sweep, something that would further solidify their positioning in the early AL East standings. Sitting at 13-9, the Blue Jays have leaned heavily on a combination of power hitting, timely offense, and strong bullpen performance to win the first two games in Seattle, including a 6-3 comeback win on Saturday that showcased their resilience. With their offense producing consistently and the Mariners struggling to capitalize on scoring chances, Toronto has taken advantage of nearly every miscue and turned pressure into production. Bo Bichette remains a central force in the lineup, delivering a critical two-run homer in Saturday’s contest and continuing to show his ability to perform in clutch moments. Alejandro Kirk has also been pivotal, delivering four hits in Game 2 and reminding everyone of his offensive upside from the catcher position. These two, alongside the consistent presence of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer, give the Blue Jays a versatile lineup capable of manufacturing runs in a variety of ways—whether it be power, contact, or drawing walks.

The challenge for Toronto in the finale will be overcoming an uneven starting situation, as Jose Urena takes the mound with an 0-0 record and a concerning 8.59 ERA. Urena has struggled with command and hard contact in limited innings this season, and manager John Schneider will likely have a quick hook if early trouble arises. Fortunately, the bullpen has been a strong point for the Blue Jays, anchored by a dependable back end that has converted tight leads and kept games manageable when starters falter. With a team ERA of 3.74, the overall pitching has been more reliable than expected, and the defense has complemented it well with clean fielding and timely double plays. Toronto is also one of the more aggressive teams on the basepaths, often pushing the envelope to pressure opponents into mistakes, and that style has helped them swing momentum in their favor in this series. From a betting perspective, the Blue Jays are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games, reflecting their ability to stay competitive and outperform expectations in recent weeks. A sweep in Seattle would not only continue that trend but also deliver a key psychological boost ahead of upcoming AL East matchups. For the Blue Jays, the formula for success on Sunday is clear: get early offense from the heart of the order, keep Urena’s pitch count under control, and let the bullpen do the rest. If they can execute that plan while keeping the pressure on a Mariners team searching for answers, the Blue Jays will return home riding a wave of momentum with their eyes firmly set on climbing the AL East ladder.

The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners conclude their three-game series at T-Mobile Park on Sunday, May 11, 2025. The Blue Jays aim for a series sweep after a 6-3 comeback win on Saturday, while the Mariners look to avoid a third consecutive loss. Toronto vs Seattle AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Seattle Mariners MLB Preview

The Seattle Mariners enter Sunday’s finale against the Toronto Blue Jays with urgency, hoping to snap a two-game skid and avoid a home sweep that would dent their strong start to the 2025 season. Sitting at 14-12, the Mariners have shown flashes of elite pitching and timely hitting but have struggled to put it all together consistently, especially in this series. After dropping Game 1 and surrendering a late lead in Saturday’s 6-3 loss, Seattle finds itself needing a complete team effort to salvage the series and reassert itself in the AL West, where competition from Texas and Houston remains intense. Sunday’s starter, Bryce Miller, takes the mound with a 2-3 record and a 4.15 ERA. Miller has shown potential as a solid middle-of-the-rotation arm, capable of racking up strikeouts with his fastball-slider combo, but he has also been prone to hard contact when falling behind in counts. For the Mariners to win, Miller must pitch efficiently through the early innings and avoid giving up free passes to a disciplined Toronto lineup that thrives on working counts and punishing mistakes. Offensively, Seattle continues to be led by Cal Raleigh, who paces the club with nine home runs and has been their most consistent source of power. Raleigh has developed into a reliable slugger and game caller behind the plate, but the Mariners will need more from the rest of their lineup to keep pace with Toronto’s offense.

Julio Rodríguez, though still showcasing elite tools and athleticism, has not yet hit his stride at the plate this season and will be a focal point in Sunday’s effort to spark a bounce-back performance. Ty France has been a steady presence, contributing with line-drive power and quality at-bats, but depth has been an issue—Seattle has struggled in high-leverage spots and with runners in scoring position, a trend that’s haunted them in both games of this series. The Mariners average 4.52 runs per game but often fail to capitalize on early scoring opportunities, which has forced their bullpen into high-pressure scenarios later in games. Defensively, Seattle has committed 16 errors on the season, a mark that suggests they’re capable but not always sharp, and every miscue has seemed to come at critical moments in tight contests. Their bullpen has a team ERA of 3.92, and while generally effective, it has been tested frequently due to short outings from the rotation. With Sunday’s game offering a chance to reset and avoid a sweep, the Mariners must rely on sharp execution in all facets—starting with Miller’s command, followed by timely hitting from Raleigh, Rodríguez, and the middle of the order. Playing at home gives them an edge, and they’ve shown the ability to bounce back after tough losses. A win would push them to 15-12 and keep them within striking distance of the division lead, but more importantly, it would stop a slide before it snowballs. In a highly competitive AL West, every series matters, and the Mariners know a win on Sunday is as much about momentum as it is about standings.

Toronto vs. Seattle Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Blue Jays and Mariners play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at T-Mobile Park in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Clase under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Toronto vs. Seattle Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Blue Jays and Mariners and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Blue Jays team going up against a possibly strong Mariners team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Toronto vs Seattle picks, computer picks Blue Jays vs Mariners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games, indicating strong recent performance against the spread.

Mariners Betting Trends

The Mariners have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games, showcasing consistent performance in recent matchups.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Matchup Trends

Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Seattle, while Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

Toronto vs. Seattle Game Info

Toronto vs Seattle starts on May 11, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Seattle -1.5
Moneyline: Toronto +139, Seattle -164
Over/Under: 8

Toronto: (19-20)  |  Seattle: (22-16)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Clase under 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Seattle, while Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

TOR trend: The Blue Jays have covered the spread in 11 of their last 13 games, indicating strong recent performance against the spread.

SEA trend: The Mariners have covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games, showcasing consistent performance in recent matchups.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Toronto vs. Seattle Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Toronto vs Seattle trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Toronto vs Seattle Opening Odds

TOR Moneyline: +139
SEA Moneyline: -164
TOR Spread: +1.5
SEA Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Toronto vs Seattle Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners on May 11, 2025 at T-Mobile Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS