Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 11)

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks will conclude their four-game series at Chase Field on Sunday, May 11, 2025, with the series currently tied at 2-2. The Dodgers, leading the NL West with a 26-13 record, aim to secure the series win, while the Diamondbacks, at 20-19, look to gain ground in the division.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Chase Field​

Diamondbacks Record: (21-19)

Dodgers Record: (26-14)

OPENING ODDS

LAD Moneyline: -106

ARI Moneyline: -113

LAD Spread: -1.5

ARI Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

LAD
Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, reflecting a solid performance against the spread.

ARI
Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 18 of their 37 games, indicating consistent performance in recent matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The total has gone OVER in 20 of the Dodgers’ 36 games this season, while the Diamondbacks have seen the total go OVER in 21 of their 37 games, suggesting a trend towards high-scoring games.

LAD vs. ARI
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pages over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks close out their four-game divisional series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Chase Field in what has become a compelling early-season battle between two NL West contenders, with the series currently tied at two games apiece. The Dodgers enter the finale at 26-13, leading the division behind an explosive offense and deep pitching staff that has largely delivered across the first six weeks of the season, while the Diamondbacks, at 20-19, are battling to stay in the upper tier of the standings and are eager to take a statement win against their more heralded rivals. Los Angeles comes into this game averaging over 5.2 runs per contest, powered by the three-headed monster of Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman, all of whom continue to deliver elite production; Ohtani leads the team with a .304 batting average and 12 home runs, Freeman has been red-hot with men on base, and Betts has delivered steady on-base skills and pop from the leadoff spot. The Dodgers are expected to hand the ball to right-hander Tony Gonsolin, who carries a 1-0 record and 4.09 ERA into this start, having looked solid in recent outings though not yet fully stretched out for deep innings. The team’s pitching staff as a whole has posted a 3.72 ERA, backed by a reliable bullpen that continues to protect leads and avoid late-inning collapses.

On the other side, the Diamondbacks have shown flashes of the team that reached the postseason a year ago, and they’ve relied on emerging superstar Corbin Carroll to set the tone offensively; Carroll enters Sunday hitting .280 with a .579 slugging percentage and has been one of the league’s most electric players on both sides of the ball. Josh Naylor has added power and run production, while Geraldo Perdomo’s timely hitting has helped Arizona manufacture runs in critical moments, but the club is still seeking more consistency from the bottom half of the lineup. Arizona will counter with Zac Gallen, the staff ace who enters the finale with a 3-4 record and 4.37 ERA but who has shown flashes of dominance by holding opposing hitters to a .201 average and working through tough spots with strikeout stuff and elite command when he’s on. Gallen will need to be sharp against a deep Dodgers lineup that rarely goes down quietly, and he’ll also need defensive support behind him—something Arizona has done reasonably well this year despite committing 16 errors. With both teams hitting the OVER in more than half of their games this season, the potential for another high-scoring contest is certainly there, especially if either starter falters early. This game could come down to bullpen management and which team executes more cleanly on defense and with runners in scoring position. For the Dodgers, it’s about asserting their dominance in the division and padding a lead in the standings, while for Arizona, this is an opportunity to punch back and take a meaningful game against a team that will likely remain the standard in the NL West all season long. The energy should be high, the stakes are tangible, and with two competitive teams taking the field, Sunday’s finale has all the makings of a must-watch divisional showdown.

Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers MLB Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers enter Sunday’s series finale at Chase Field looking to secure a series win over the division rival Arizona Diamondbacks and further tighten their grip on first place in the NL West, coming into the game with a 26-13 record that reflects the balance and dominance they’ve displayed through the early part of the season. With a deep lineup that blends power, contact, and plate discipline, the Dodgers continue to boast one of the most fearsome offenses in Major League Baseball, averaging 5.2 runs per game and wearing down opposing pitchers with their relentless approach. At the heart of that offensive machine is Shohei Ohtani, who has lived up to every expectation in his first season with the Dodgers, entering Sunday’s game batting .304 with 12 home runs and anchoring the middle of the lineup with his combination of speed and slugging. He’s complemented by the steady production of Freddie Freeman, who continues to rake with runners on base and provide left-handed power and gap-to-gap hitting, and Mookie Betts, who sets the tone at the top of the order with elite on-base skills and defensive excellence at multiple positions. The Dodgers will send Tony Gonsolin to the mound for the series finale, a right-hander who enters the game with a 1-0 record and 4.09 ERA, offering steady veteran presence but also still working into form following a slow start to the season.

While Gonsolin’s numbers aren’t overpowering, his ability to generate weak contact and work efficiently through the lineup allows manager Dave Roberts to lean on his deep bullpen, which has been outstanding this year with a team ERA of 3.72 and multiple high-leverage options that have consistently shut the door in the late innings. The Dodgers’ defense has also played a critical role in their success, with infielders like Betts and Miguel Rojas helping turn key double plays and outfielders like James Outman and Teoscar Hernández taking away extra bases with strong positioning and range. Against a dangerous but streaky Arizona offense, Los Angeles will look to score early and force the Diamondbacks into their middle relief, an area they’ve been able to exploit in previous meetings. From a strategic standpoint, the Dodgers’ biggest edge is their ability to adjust quickly in-game, with hitters up and down the lineup capable of making contact in any count and capitalizing on even minor mistakes. Having already taken two of the first four games in this extended series, a victory on Sunday would allow the Dodgers to win the set and maintain their pace ahead of the surging Padres in the NL West. With Ohtani continuing to thrive, Freeman as consistent as ever, and Betts delivering his usual all-around excellence, Los Angeles arrives at the series finale with the confidence of a team playing to its full potential. If Gonsolin can give them five or six competitive innings and the bullpen maintains its recent dominance, the Dodgers will be in prime position to close out the weekend with another win and continue building toward what increasingly looks like another playoff-bound campaign.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks will conclude their four-game series at Chase Field on Sunday, May 11, 2025, with the series currently tied at 2-2. The Dodgers, leading the NL West with a 26-13 record, aim to secure the series win, while the Diamondbacks, at 20-19, look to gain ground in the division. Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter Sunday’s finale against the Los Angeles Dodgers with an opportunity to close out their four-game home series on a high note, seeking a statement win that could help propel them up the NL West standings after splitting the first four games against the division leaders. At 20-19, the Diamondbacks remain in the thick of the playoff hunt and have shown resilience throughout the season despite some uneven performances from both their rotation and lineup, and this final matchup against a red-hot Dodgers team presents a critical moment to measure their growth and ability to contend long term. Arizona’s offense, averaging 4.7 runs per game, continues to be driven by the explosive play of Corbin Carroll, whose .280 average and .579 slugging percentage make him one of the league’s most exciting all-around players; his ability to stretch singles into doubles and disrupt pitchers on the basepaths gives the Diamondbacks a constant spark at the top of the order. Supporting him are Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo, who have combined for 80 hits and 53 RBIs, providing clutch production and helping Arizona consistently generate scoring opportunities even when the long ball isn’t flying. On the mound, ace Zac Gallen gets the nod, entering with a 3-4 record and 4.37 ERA but far better underlying metrics that include holding opponents to a .201 batting average—proof that he’s been far more effective than his win-loss record suggests. Gallen’s sharp curveball and pinpoint fastball command allow him to work efficiently through tough lineups, and he’ll need to be in top form to navigate a Dodgers order that ranks among the most dangerous in baseball, especially when working deep counts and hunting fastballs.

Arizona’s bullpen has been solid, backing up starters with timely holds and the ability to minimize damage, and they’ll need to be on point to contain a Dodgers team that averages over five runs per game and often does its most damage in the middle and late innings. Defensively, the Diamondbacks have committed 16 errors on the year, an acceptable figure but one that still leaves room for improvement, particularly in the infield where lapses in execution have led to unearned runs and extended innings that put added pressure on the pitching staff. Playing at Chase Field gives Arizona a slight edge, especially with the crowd behind them and a familiarity with how to defend the large outfield gaps, and a strong start from Gallen would not only give them a chance to win the series but send a clear signal to the rest of the division that they’re not backing down from the Dodgers or the Padres. For manager Torey Lovullo, the key will be getting quality at-bats early, applying pressure on Tony Gonsolin, and relying on his core hitters to deliver in key moments, while trusting that his bullpen can close the door if given the lead. A victory on Sunday would not only push the Diamondbacks to 21-19 but also establish valuable momentum as they head into a challenging stretch of the schedule, and with their ace on the mound and home-field advantage in their favor, Arizona has the right ingredients to pull off an important win in front of their home fans.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Dodgers and Diamondbacks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Field in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pages over 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Dodgers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Diamondbacks team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona picks, computer picks Dodgers vs Diamondbacks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, reflecting a solid performance against the spread.

Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 18 of their 37 games, indicating consistent performance in recent matchups.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Matchup Trends

The total has gone OVER in 20 of the Dodgers’ 36 games this season, while the Diamondbacks have seen the total go OVER in 21 of their 37 games, suggesting a trend towards high-scoring games.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Game Info

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona starts on May 11, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Arizona +1.5
Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -106, Arizona -113
Over/Under: 9.5

Los Angeles Dodgers: (26-14)  |  Arizona: (21-19)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Pages over 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The total has gone OVER in 20 of the Dodgers’ 36 games this season, while the Diamondbacks have seen the total go OVER in 21 of their 37 games, suggesting a trend towards high-scoring games.

LAD trend: The Dodgers have covered the spread in 19 of their 36 games this season, reflecting a solid performance against the spread.

ARI trend: The Diamondbacks have covered the spread in 18 of their 37 games, indicating consistent performance in recent matchups.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Opening Odds

LAD Moneyline: -106
ARI Moneyline: -113
LAD Spread: -1.5
ARI Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+112
-123
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Los Angeles Dodgers Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks on May 11, 2025 at Chase Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

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    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN