Cubs vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets conclude their three-game series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET. The Mets, holding a 25-15 record, aim to secure the series win against the 23-17 Cubs, who are looking to bounce back after a narrow 6-5 loss in Game 2.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 11, 2025

Start Time: 12:05 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (25-15)

Cubs Record: (23-17)

OPENING ODDS

CHC Moneyline: +110

NYM Moneyline: -129

CHC Spread: +1.5

NYM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

CHC
Betting Trends

  • The Chicago Cubs have a 22-17 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 56.4% of their games.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The New York Mets have a 21-17 ATS record this season, covering 55.3% of their games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 29 times this season, winning 20 of those games, which translates to a 69% success rate when favored.

CHC vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lopez under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

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Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/11/25

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets wrap up their highly competitive three-game set on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Citi Field, with both teams looking to assert early season dominance in their respective divisions. The Mets enter the finale with a 25-15 record, riding the momentum of a hard-fought 6-5 win in Game 2, and holding a narrow edge in the series after dropping the opener. Meanwhile, the Cubs sit at 23-17 and atop the NL Central, showcasing one of the most explosive offenses in baseball through the first quarter of the season. They lead the league with 223 runs scored and rank third in home runs with 55, propelled by the consistent bat of Kyle Tucker, who has slashed .283 with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, and the contact-heavy presence of Ian Happ, who leads the club in hits. Sunday’s matchup pits Cubs lefty Matthew Boyd against Mets right-hander Griffin Canning, with both pitchers bringing steady but unspectacular campaigns into a pivotal rubber match. Boyd offers veteran guile and command, while Canning has been solid in limiting hard contact and working efficiently deep into outings. The Mets’ advantage lies in their all-around balance—backed by a pitching staff that boasts a 2.82 team ERA, one of the best in the majors, and a lineup featuring sluggers like Juan Soto and Pete Alonso. Soto has caught fire in May, going 9-for-26 with 4 homers, while Alonso continues to provide power production, leading the team with 5 home runs and 21 RBIs.

Offensively, New York has leaned on timely hits and quality at-bats rather than gaudy numbers, relying on depth and execution in late-game situations. One area to watch closely is the battle of bullpens, where both teams have had their struggles but also moments of brilliance—games like this often swing on seventh- and eighth-inning matchups. Defensively, both clubs rank middle of the pack, but the Mets’ outfield, anchored by Brandon Nimmo and Soto, has been more consistent in cutting off extra bases and backing up their staff. Strategically, the Cubs will need to stay aggressive early in counts against Canning and force the Mets’ bullpen into the game by the middle innings, while New York’s game plan should center around neutralizing Chicago’s power and forcing them to string hits together. The Cubs’ offensive depth makes them a threat to break a game open at any time, but the Mets’ home-field dominance—they’ve gone 14-3 in their last 17 at Citi Field—could be the X-factor if the contest is tight late. This series has felt like a preview of two potential October-bound teams, and with both squads already jockeying for playoff positioning, the rubber match carries more weight than a typical early May game. Expect a chess match between managers, timely hitting, and tension-filled innings as these two contenders battle for a statement win that could set the tone heading into the summer.

Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview

The Chicago Cubs enter Sunday’s series finale against the New York Mets aiming to bounce back from a narrow 6-5 loss in Game 2 and reassert the offensive firepower that has propelled them to a 23-17 record and first place in the NL Central. With a lineup that leads all of Major League Baseball in runs scored (223) and ranks third in home runs (55), the Cubs have established themselves as one of the most dangerous lineups in the National League. Kyle Tucker has emerged as a cornerstone bat in the middle of the order, slashing .283 with 10 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Ian Happ has been equally productive as a table setter, leading the team in hits and consistently putting pressure on opposing pitchers. Christopher Morel and Seiya Suzuki have added power and speed, contributing to a lineup that can beat teams in multiple ways. The Cubs’ ability to work counts and force opposing starters to labor has created plenty of opportunities for big innings, particularly against vulnerable bullpens. On Sunday, they’ll hand the ball to veteran left-hander Matthew Boyd, who has provided steadiness in the middle of the rotation. Boyd’s mix of off-speed pitches and fastball command will be tested against a Mets lineup that thrives on patient at-bats and situational hitting. While Boyd doesn’t overpower hitters, he relies on soft contact and ground balls, which places extra emphasis on the infield defense—an area where the Cubs have had stretches of inconsistency.

Chicago’s bullpen has shown flashes of potential but has also struggled to protect leads late in games, and the loss in Game 2 highlighted some of those vulnerabilities. Manager Craig Counsell will likely need to lean on his high-leverage relievers earlier if the game is tight, especially with the Mets’ recent late-inning success. The Cubs’ 12-7 road record speaks to their resilience, and Sunday’s game will serve as another opportunity to showcase their bounce-back mentality. One area of focus will be capitalizing on early scoring chances—leaving runners stranded has hurt them in recent games, and against a team like the Mets with a sub-3.00 ERA, those missed opportunities can be costly. Defensively, Chicago’s outfield has performed well, but the infield’s ability to turn double plays and handle pressure situations will be key in support of Boyd. If the Cubs can get five to six quality innings from their starter and limit free passes, their offense is capable of doing the rest. A win in the series finale would not only secure an important road series win but would also help maintain momentum in a competitive NL Central race. With the offense clicking, and veterans like Tucker and Happ leading the charge, Chicago will look to end the weekend on a high note and send a message that they are a legitimate contender as the calendar moves deeper into May.

The Chicago Cubs and New York Mets conclude their three-game series on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at Citi Field, with first pitch scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET. The Mets, holding a 25-15 record, aim to secure the series win against the 23-17 Cubs, who are looking to bounce back after a narrow 6-5 loss in Game 2. Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets return to Citi Field on Sunday for the finale of their three-game series against the Chicago Cubs looking to continue their strong home-field play and secure a statement series win against a fellow National League contender. Riding a 25-15 record and sitting atop the NL East, the Mets have quietly been one of the most balanced and efficient teams in baseball, thriving behind elite pitching, timely hitting, and consistency in all phases of the game. Their 14-3 record over their last 17 home games underscores the comfort and control they’ve shown at Citi Field, and Game 3 presents an ideal opportunity to reinforce that dominance. Griffin Canning takes the mound for New York in this one, bringing with him a repertoire built on sharp command and an ability to mix speeds to keep hitters off-balance. Canning may not be overpowering, but his knack for inducing weak contact and working deep into games has been a key asset for a Mets rotation that boasts a 2.82 team ERA—among the league’s best. Behind him, the Mets bullpen has stepped up with improved performance over the last few weeks, especially in late-inning leverage situations, providing manager Carlos Mendoza with increased flexibility in close games. On the offensive side, New York has been led by Juan Soto, who has been on an offensive tear in May, going 9-for-26 with four home runs and elevating his role as a catalyst at the top of the order.

Soto’s patience and power have helped set the tone early in games, and he’s complemented well by Pete Alonso, who continues to deliver in the middle of the lineup with five home runs and 21 RBIs. The Mets’ approach at the plate emphasizes quality at-bats and situational execution, and they’ve been excellent at capitalizing on mistakes—something they’ll look to do again against Cubs starter Matthew Boyd. Boyd’s left-handed pitching will present challenges, but New York has hit well against lefties this season, and aggressive early swings could pay off if they can force him out of the game early. Defensively, the Mets have been sharp, particularly in the outfield where Soto, Brandon Nimmo, and Starling Marte have consistently limited extra bases with strong positioning and accurate throws. One key for New York will be to keep the Cubs’ powerful lineup in check by limiting home runs and avoiding big innings, as Chicago ranks among the top in both runs and slugging percentage. With the momentum from Saturday’s 6-5 win and a chance to take two of three from one of the league’s best offenses, the Mets have a critical opportunity to reinforce their standing as a true contender in the National League. A win in the series finale would not only maintain their grip on first place in the East but also send a clear message that their combination of pitching depth, offensive balance, and situational sharpness is built for sustained success as the season advances.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Cubs and Mets play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in May can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lopez under 4.5 Fantasy Score.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Cubs and Mets and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Cubs team going up against a possibly strong Mets team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Cubs vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs have a 22-17 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 56.4% of their games.

Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets have a 21-17 ATS record this season, covering 55.3% of their games.

Cubs vs. Mets Matchup Trends

The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 29 times this season, winning 20 of those games, which translates to a 69% success rate when favored.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Game Info

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets starts on May 11, 2025 at 12:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs +110, New York Mets -129
Over/Under: 8.5

Chicago Cubs: (23-17)  |  New York Mets: (25-15)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Lopez under 4.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 29 times this season, winning 20 of those games, which translates to a 69% success rate when favored.

CHC trend: The Chicago Cubs have a 22-17 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 56.4% of their games.

NYM trend: The New York Mets have a 21-17 ATS record this season, covering 55.3% of their games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Opening Odds

CHC Moneyline: +110
NYM Moneyline: -129
CHC Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+192
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+122
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+110
-130
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Chicago Cubs Cubs vs. New York Mets Mets on May 11, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN