Phillies vs. Guardians
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 10 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians are set to clash on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Both teams are aiming to solidify their standings in their respective divisions as they approach the midseason mark.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 10, 2025

Start Time: 6:10 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (23-15)

Phillies Record: (22-16)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -125

CLE Moneyline: +105

PHI Spread: -1.5

CLE Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have an 8-6 record against the spread (ATS) in home games this season.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 1-0 record ATS this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five matchups, the Phillies have won three games against the Guardians, covering the spread in 60% of those contests.

PHI vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Ramirez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Philadelphia vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/10/25

The Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians will clash on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Progressive Field in what promises to be one of the more competitive interleague matchups on the calendar. Both teams enter the game with winning records and aspirations of contending deep into October, with the Phillies sitting at 21-15 and near the top of the National League East, while the Guardians hold a strong 20-14 record and continue to battle for AL Central supremacy. Each squad brings a well-rounded roster to the table, combining steady offensive production, above-average pitching rotations, and clean defensive play. The Phillies have found consistency in their offense thanks to the continued excellence of Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm, who together anchor a lineup capable of working counts, hitting for power, and manufacturing runs when needed. With Kyle Schwarber providing left-handed power and Bryson Stott contributing as a versatile, contact-oriented bat, Philadelphia has been able to generate runs in a variety of ways. On the mound, the Phillies’ rotation has been effective, with Zack Wheeler and Ranger Suárez pitching at an All-Star level, while the bullpen, led by José Alvarado and Seranthony Domínguez, has protected late leads with confidence. However, the Phillies have had to fight through occasional offensive slumps, and their 8-6 ATS home record reflects some inconsistencies in closing out games despite their talent.

Meanwhile, Cleveland continues to play fundamentally sound baseball under the guidance of manager Stephen Vogt, whose squad has leaned on timely hitting, situational discipline, and a steady bullpen. José Ramírez remains the heart of the Guardians’ offense, delivering both clutch hits and defensive highlights at third base. His presence is complemented by Josh Naylor’s emerging power and Andrés Giménez’s two-way contributions. The Guardians have one of the better pitching staffs in the American League, with Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams, and Triston McKenzie giving the team quality starts on a regular basis. The bullpen, headlined by Emmanuel Clase, has been among the best in the league in converting save opportunities and limiting damage late in games. Cleveland’s ability to keep games close and execute small-ball tactics effectively gives them a chance to win in almost every matchup, especially at home where the environment supports their high-energy style of play. This interleague showdown will likely come down to execution—timely two-out hitting, defensive precision, and late-inning relief performance will all be major factors. With both teams boasting capable rotations and power bats capable of flipping a game in one swing, the margin for error will be slim. The Phillies will look to impose their aggressive offensive identity and hope their frontline pitching sets the tone early, while the Guardians aim to keep the pressure on through contact hitting, base running, and lockdown bullpen innings. Given how close these teams are statistically and in standings, Saturday’s matchup could serve as a playoff-style measuring stick for both organizations. Expect intensity, strategy, and a postseason-like atmosphere in this clash between two of the most complete teams in baseball through the first quarter of the season.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter Saturday’s matchup against the Cleveland Guardians with a 21-15 record and riding a strong early-season performance that has them near the top of the National League East. Coming off a week where their offense and pitching began to sync up more consistently, the Phillies are showing signs of being a true contender in 2025, balancing explosive run production with a pitching staff capable of controlling elite lineups. At the heart of their offense is Bryce Harper, who continues to be one of baseball’s most feared left-handed bats, delivering in high-leverage spots and setting the tone with his leadership and intensity. Alec Bohm has taken another step forward, emerging as a key RBI machine while hitting for average and showing improved power. Kyle Schwarber remains a boom-or-bust presence in the middle of the lineup, capable of changing the game with one swing but still prone to high strikeout totals. What’s made the Phillies dangerous this year is their versatility: they can beat teams with home runs, yes, but they also string together base hits, take walks, and pressure defenses with smart baserunning and timely execution. The pitching rotation has been anchored by Zack Wheeler and Ranger Suárez, both of whom have delivered quality starts on a near-weekly basis. Suárez, in particular, has looked like one of the breakout arms of the season, combining pinpoint command with elite ground-ball rates. The bullpen, after some early-season shakiness, has found more consistency thanks to José Alvarado’s electric stuff from the left side and Seranthony Domínguez’s late-inning reliability. Manager Rob Thomson has shown trust in his high-leverage arms, and the back end of games has become a strength rather than a concern.

One challenge for the Phillies has been maintaining offensive consistency on the road, and although their road record is solid, there have been games where the bats fall quiet in spacious parks like Progressive Field. Facing a Cleveland team known for pitching depth and low-scoring battles, the Phillies will need to manufacture runs and avoid relying solely on the long ball. Defensively, the team has been cleaner this year, with Trea Turner providing range and polish at shortstop and J.T. Realmuto continuing to manage games masterfully behind the plate. Saturday presents the kind of interleague matchup that the Phillies must treat with playoff-level urgency—games against non-division opponents may not have immediate standings impact, but they’re crucial opportunities to bank wins and build momentum. To leave Cleveland with a win, the Phillies will need to establish command on the mound early, take smart at-bats against Cleveland’s efficient rotation, and lean into their bullpen advantage if the game remains close late. With every phase of the game trending upward, Philadelphia is in position not only to take this matchup but also to reinforce its status as one of the National League’s most complete teams heading toward the summer.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Cleveland Guardians are set to clash on Saturday, May 10, 2025, at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Both teams are aiming to solidify their standings in their respective divisions as they approach the midseason mark. Philadelphia vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians return to Progressive Field on Saturday, May 10, 2025, for a high-stakes interleague showdown with the Philadelphia Phillies, bringing with them a 20-14 record and plenty of momentum as one of the most well-rounded teams in the American League Central. Under first-year manager Stephen Vogt, the Guardians have embraced an old-school, contact-driven approach to offense while blending in modern pitching strategies and aggressive base running. They’ve managed to compete at a high level despite lacking the star-studded depth of some other contenders, thanks in large part to consistency and situational execution. José Ramírez remains the face of the franchise and the heartbeat of the offense, delivering big hits with runners in scoring position and playing elite defense at third base. Flanked by the ever-dangerous Josh Naylor and the versatile Andrés Giménez, the Guardians’ lineup has found success with timely hitting and intelligent plate discipline, ranking among the league’s best in avoiding strikeouts and maximizing on-base opportunities. While they don’t lead the league in slugging or home runs, they consistently put pressure on opposing pitchers by forcing them into long innings and creating scoring chances without needing to rely on the long ball.

On the mound, Cleveland’s starting rotation has quietly become one of the more efficient in baseball, with Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams, and Triston McKenzie each offering different styles that make them tough to prepare for in a series. The bullpen, as expected, has remained elite, anchored by closer Emmanuel Clase, whose high-90s cutter continues to baffle hitters in late-inning situations. Cleveland’s bullpen ERA ranks among the league’s best, and their ability to protect leads has been a major reason for their early-season success. Defensively, the Guardians are sharp, boasting one of the league’s best fielding percentages, and their outfield alignment and infield range frequently turn potential hits into outs. Progressive Field has traditionally favored pitchers, and the Guardians have used that to their advantage by building a team that thrives in low-scoring, close games—already notching an impressive record in one-run contests this year. Against a power-heavy team like the Phillies, the Guardians will look to control the tempo by getting ahead in counts, limiting free passes, and challenging Philadelphia’s hitters to beat them with small ball. With a well-balanced roster and a deep pitching staff, the Guardians are well-equipped to neutralize even the most dangerous offenses, and Saturday’s game presents an opportunity to showcase their blueprint against one of the National League’s top teams. If they can continue to pitch with precision, capitalize on scoring chances, and avoid giving up the big inning, Cleveland has a strong chance to not only win this matchup but also send a message that their winning record is no fluke. As they continue to fight for AL Central supremacy, every game against a playoff-caliber opponent becomes a litmus test—and the Guardians appear ready to pass it with flying colors.

Philadelphia vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in May almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Ramirez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Philadelphia vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Phillies and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most focused on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly rested Guardians team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Phillies vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have an 8-6 record against the spread (ATS) in home games this season.

Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have a 1-0 record ATS this season.

Phillies vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

In their last five matchups, the Phillies have won three games against the Guardians, covering the spread in 60% of those contests.

Philadelphia vs. Cleveland Game Info

Philadelphia vs Cleveland starts on May 10, 2025 at 6:10 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -125, Cleveland +105
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia: (22-16)  |  Cleveland: (23-15)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Ramirez over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five matchups, the Phillies have won three games against the Guardians, covering the spread in 60% of those contests.

PHI trend: The Phillies have an 8-6 record against the spread (ATS) in home games this season.

CLE trend: The Guardians have a 1-0 record ATS this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs Cleveland Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -125
CLE Moneyline: +105
PHI Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8

Philadelphia vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
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Rockies
Giants
3
4
+190
-230
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
In Progress
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
In Progress
Mets
Marlins
3
0
-10000
+2800
-3.5 (+270)
+3.5 (-400)
O 3.5 (+116)
U 3.5 (-154)
In Progress
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
In Progress
Tigers
Red Sox
2
1
-3000
+1300
-1.5 (+3300)
+1.5 (-10000)
O 3.5 (+920)
U 3.5 (-3500)
In Progress
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
In Progress
White Sox
Nationals
4
2
-375
+265
-1.5 (-140)
+1.5 (+105)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-115)
In Progress
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
In Progress
Twins
Phillies
1
0
+120
-160
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+140)
O 7.5 (-130)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+105
-125
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-150)
-1.5 (+125)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+120
-145
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7 (-110)
U 7 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+130
-155
+1.5 (-170)
-1.5 (+140)
O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-145
+120
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-140)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+110
-130
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+165)
O 7 (-105)
U 7 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+140
-170
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+105)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+240
-300
+1.5 (+110)
-1.5 (-130)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-220
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-105)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians on May 10, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS