Braves vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 09)

Updated: 2025-05-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Braves face the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 9, 2025, at PNC Park as Atlanta looks to extend its hot streak against a reeling Pittsburgh squad. The Pirates enter under interim manager Don Kelly after a seven-game skid and a recent managerial change.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 09, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (12-26)

Braves Record: (18-19)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -148

PIT Moneyline: +124

ATL Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 9

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Braves have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 6-4-0 record over their past 10 games.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have struggled ATS at home, with a 4-12 record in their last 16 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite the Pirates’ recent struggles, the Braves are only slight favorites, making this matchup intriguing for bettors considering the Braves’ recent form and the Pirates’ managerial change.

ATL vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Riley over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

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Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/9/25

The May 9, 2025 clash between the Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park sets the stage for a matchup featuring two franchises on starkly different trajectories, with Atlanta surging and Pittsburgh in the midst of organizational turmoil. The Braves come into the game riding a wave of success, having won 13 of their last 19 contests, steadily reasserting themselves as one of the National League’s elite. A rejuvenated pitching staff has played a major role in their rebound, particularly right-hander Bryce Elder, who is scheduled to start and has led the Braves to wins in each of his last four outings by commanding the strike zone and limiting damage. Complementing their pitching is a steady offensive attack led by Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna, whose timely hitting and power have helped Atlanta pull out close victories. In contrast, the Pirates are reeling from a seven-game losing streak that prompted the firing of manager Derek Shelton, with bench coach Don Kelly stepping in as interim skipper amidst hopes for a culture reset. Pittsburgh’s issues have been most pronounced at the plate—they have been shut out seven times already and rank at or near the bottom of the league in runs scored and home runs, highlighting a lack of consistent offensive production. While Bailey Falter, the expected starter, has delivered quality starts with limited support, the team’s inability to produce runs continues to undermine even strong pitching performances.

The Pirates will need more from players like Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz, who have underperformed relative to expectations and must now carry more of the load during this critical stretch. Defensively, Pittsburgh has remained competent, and their bullpen has kept games close when given the chance, but a glaring lack of timely hitting has kept them from breaking through. For the Braves, this series represents an opportunity to capitalize on a weakened opponent and continue gaining ground in the NL East, especially with their starters providing consistent innings and the bullpen doing its part to close out games. The Pirates, meanwhile, will look to rally under new leadership, with hopes that a managerial shift can provide a mental and emotional spark in front of a home crowd desperate for a turnaround. Strategically, Atlanta’s ability to jump out early and put pressure on Pittsburgh’s hitters will be key, as the Pirates have not played well from behind. This game carries more than just win-loss implications—it’s a test of character for Pittsburgh and a measuring stick for how complete the Braves’ resurgence really is. Whether Atlanta can maintain its upward momentum or Pittsburgh can halt its slide and embrace a new chapter under Kelly, the game promises to reveal important truths about both teams’ direction as the season heats up.

Atlanta Braves MLB Preview

The Atlanta Braves arrive in Pittsburgh on May 9, 2025, riding a wave of renewed confidence and consistent play as they continue climbing back into NL East contention following a rocky start to the season. Winners of 13 of their last 19 games, the Braves have rediscovered the balanced formula that made them one of baseball’s premier teams—combining solid pitching, timely hitting, and dependable defense. A major part of that turnaround has been the stability provided by the rotation, with right-hander Bryce Elder scheduled to take the mound after leading the team to victory in each of his last four starts. Elder has shown excellent command and poise, attacking hitters early in counts and inducing weak contact while getting strong defensive support behind him. On the offensive end, Atlanta continues to rely on the big bats of Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna, who have carried the middle of the lineup with power and clutch hitting. Riley has been particularly effective with runners in scoring position, while Ozuna has consistently set the tone with a high on-base percentage and strong plate discipline.

The supporting cast has also stepped up, with productive at-bats from players like Orlando Arcia and Michael Harris II, giving the Braves lineup depth and flexibility. Defensively, the Braves have cut down on mistakes and are executing cleanly, a marked improvement from earlier in the season when defensive lapses cost them key games. The bullpen, anchored by closer Raisel Iglesias, has become a strength again, converting save opportunities and keeping games under control in high-leverage situations. Under the steady leadership of manager Brian Snitker, Atlanta has regained its identity as a disciplined, high-IQ team that can beat opponents in a variety of ways. Heading into this matchup, the Braves know they have a prime opportunity to continue their momentum against a struggling Pirates team adjusting to a new manager. Atlanta will look to strike early and assert their dominance, using experience, depth, and pitching consistency to control the pace and force Pittsburgh into a reactive position. For the Braves, every game is a chance to not only gain in the standings but to build the kind of cohesion and rhythm they’ll need for another deep postseason push, and their recent play suggests they are locked in and ready for the challenge.

The Atlanta Braves face the Pittsburgh Pirates on May 9, 2025, at PNC Park as Atlanta looks to extend its hot streak against a reeling Pittsburgh squad. The Pirates enter under interim manager Don Kelly after a seven-game skid and a recent managerial change. Atlanta vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 09. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates enter their May 9, 2025 matchup against the Atlanta Braves in the midst of a franchise reset following a dismal seven-game losing streak that led to the firing of manager Derek Shelton. Now under the leadership of interim manager Don Kelly, the Pirates are hoping to begin a new chapter and inject life into a team that has consistently fallen short in nearly every phase of the game. Offensively, the Pirates have been among the least productive teams in baseball, ranking near the bottom of the league in runs scored, home runs, and overall batting average. They’ve been shut out seven times already this season and have struggled mightily with runners in scoring position. Key players like Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have yet to find the rhythm or consistency expected from them, and the supporting cast hasn’t provided the necessary lift to offset their underwhelming production. Despite these issues, the Pirates have seen some positives from their pitching, particularly from left-hander Bailey Falter, who is expected to start this game. Falter has delivered several competitive outings and enters this contest with a chip on his shoulder, knowing run support will be limited. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has been serviceable and at times a bright spot, managing to hold leads and keep games close, but without offensive backup, those efforts have largely gone to waste.

Defensively, the Pirates have avoided major issues, playing clean baseball and converting routine plays efficiently, but they’ve lacked the dynamic, momentum-shifting moments that typically define winning teams. Don Kelly’s challenge now lies in re-energizing the clubhouse, reshaping the team’s mentality, and emphasizing small, measurable improvements that could help end the current skid. His presence might bring a fresh perspective and a needed boost, particularly in managing lineups and simplifying roles for struggling hitters. With the Braves surging and showcasing their veteran depth and pitching strength, the Pirates will have to play near-flawless baseball to keep pace and avoid falling further into a spiral. The key for Pittsburgh will be to avoid early deficits, manufacture runs through small ball tactics, and lean on strong starting pitching to keep the game manageable. A win against Atlanta could serve as the emotional spark this team desperately needs, and with the home crowd behind them, the Pirates have a chance to begin rebuilding momentum and pride—even if the road back to competitiveness will be a long one.

Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Braves and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in May rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Riley over 6.5 Fantasy Score.

Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Braves and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most focused on the trending emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly healthy Pirates team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Braves vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 6-4-0 record over their past 10 games.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have struggled ATS at home, with a 4-12 record in their last 16 home games.

Braves vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

Despite the Pirates’ recent struggles, the Braves are only slight favorites, making this matchup intriguing for bettors considering the Braves’ recent form and the Pirates’ managerial change.

Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh starts on May 09, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -148, Pittsburgh +124
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta: (18-19)  |  Pittsburgh: (12-26)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Riley over 6.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite the Pirates’ recent struggles, the Braves are only slight favorites, making this matchup intriguing for bettors considering the Braves’ recent form and the Pirates’ managerial change.

ATL trend: The Braves have been strong against the spread (ATS) recently, with a 6-4-0 record over their past 10 games.

PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled ATS at home, with a 4-12 record in their last 16 home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Pittsburgh Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: -148
PIT Moneyline: +124
ATL Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on May 09, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
LAD@TOR TOR +1.5 56.7% 2 WIN
TOR@LAD TOR +1.5 55.3% 4 WIN
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN