Guardians vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 06 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-05-04T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Cleveland Guardians and Washington Nationals are set to clash on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, at Nationals Park in the second game of their three-game series. Both teams aim to build momentum as they navigate the early stages of the MLB season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 06, 2025
Start Time: 3:35 PM EST​
Venue: Nationals Park​
Nationals Record: (16-19)
Guardians Record: (20-14)
OPENING ODDS
CLE Moneyline: -119
WAS Moneyline: +100
CLE Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
CLE
Betting Trends
- The Cleveland Guardians have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly when favored. They have entered twelve games as favorites and secured victories in ten of those matchups, reflecting a strong 83.3% win rate in such scenarios.
WAS
Betting Trends
- The Washington Nationals have shown resilience as underdogs, being labeled as such in 28 games this season and winning 13 of those encounters. This indicates a 46.4% success rate when not favored, showcasing their potential to upset expectations.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In the last three meetings between the Guardians and Nationals, the total runs scored have consistently fallen under 8.5, suggesting a trend towards lower-scoring games in this matchup.
CLE vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Cleveland vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/6/25
Offensively, C.J. Abrams and Luis GarcĂa continue to pace the lineup with timely hits and basepath aggression, although the Nats still lack a true middle-of-the-order presence to consistently threaten opposing staffs. Defensively, both teams are middle-of-the-pack statistically but capable of limiting damage if they remain clean, and with each team’s bullpen being somewhat volatile, a strong start from either pitcher could significantly sway the outcome. ATS trends offer some insight: Cleveland is an impressive 10-2 as a favorite this season, suggesting they’ve taken care of business when expected, while Washington, underdogs in 28 games, has won 13, showing some punch as spoilers. Another layer to watch is the total—recent matchups between these two teams have tended to go under 8.5 runs, hinting that the pitching and ballpark conditions could keep things relatively tight. Still, the Guardians’ more balanced offense and higher ceiling on both sides of the ball make them the favorite, especially if they can get an early lead and avoid letting the Nationals hang around. For Washington to win, Irvin must repeat his efficiency from his last outing, and the bats must come alive against Ortiz before Cleveland’s bullpen can take over. Expect a competitive game with playoff-caliber energy despite the calendar date, as the Guardians try to build on their strong start while the Nationals aim to prove they’re more than just developmental spoilers in the early part of 2025.
Our starting lineup, a gift to you.#GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/iMlp4nnjmc
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) May 5, 2025
Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview
The Cleveland Guardians enter Tuesday’s matchup against the Washington Nationals with a strong 20-14 record that underscores their early-season success and consistency in all aspects of the game, especially when cast as favorites. Positioned second in the American League Central, the Guardians have demonstrated a formula built on balanced offense, situational hitting, and gritty starting pitching that has helped them secure series wins against formidable opponents like the White Sox, Pirates, and Blue Jays in recent weeks. At the heart of their offensive engine is JosĂ© RamĂrez, whose steady presence at the plate and leadership in the clubhouse continue to make him the team’s most indispensable player—capable of changing games with both his bat and baserunning. Alongside him, Josh Naylor has delivered critical power from the left side and remains a constant threat with runners in scoring position, helping Cleveland average over four runs per game and maintain offensive pressure through the middle innings. On the mound for this matchup is Luis Ortiz, who has flashed upside but struggled to replicate his home performance on the road, giving up 12 earned runs across 15 2/3 innings in away starts this season—a trend that puts pressure on the Guardians’ defense and bullpen to be sharp early. Cleveland’s coaching staff will likely emphasize attacking early in the count offensively to support Ortiz with run cushion while also stressing defensive fundamentals to avoid extended innings that could unravel quickly.
Though Ortiz’s inconsistency away from home is a concern, Cleveland’s bullpen has generally been reliable, anchored by closer Emmanuel Clase, who brings elite velocity and command in late-inning situations. Defensively, the Guardians have been solid, if unspectacular, but have minimized errors and shown improvement in turning double plays, which could be a key factor in slowing down a Nationals team that tends to play small ball and pressure the bases. Cleveland has been extremely effective in games where they’re expected to win, going 10-2 this season as a betting favorite, which speaks to their focus and ability to play up to expectations. Their road offense also tends to start fast, often putting up runs in the early innings before settling into tighter, lower-scoring battles later in games. Against Washington, the Guardians will look to exploit their pitching depth by working counts, forcing bullpen usage, and capitalizing on runners in scoring position—areas where they’ve been above league average through the season’s first six weeks. For Cleveland, the key to success in this matchup will be Ortiz limiting damage early, their big bats taking advantage of any mistakes by Nationals starter Jake Irvin, and the bullpen closing the door if given a lead after the sixth. If the Guardians continue executing their game plan with the discipline and intensity they’ve shown so far, they’re well-positioned to leave D.C. with another notch in the win column and further solidify their status as early contenders in the AL playoff picture.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Washington Nationals MLB Preview
The Washington Nationals return to Nationals Park on Tuesday looking to continue building momentum after a hard-fought series win against the Cincinnati Reds, bringing their record to 16-19 as they navigate the early stages of what many considered a developmental season. Despite their underdog label in most matchups, the Nationals have shown flashes of competitiveness, fueled by a young core that includes C.J. Abrams and Luis GarcĂa—both of whom have been reliable at the plate and are starting to blossom into everyday threats capable of igniting the offense. Abrams, in particular, has emerged as a table-setter with his speed and contact skills, while GarcĂa brings clutch hitting and an improving eye at the plate, helping to keep the Nationals’ offense respectable at 4.22 runs per game despite lacking a consistent power presence. Tuesday’s starter Jake Irvin represents one of the brighter spots in the Nationals’ rotation; after a shaky start in Philadelphia, Irvin bounced back with a dominant performance at home, surrendering just one run over 7 1/3 innings against the Mets, and he’ll look to replicate that form against a more dangerous Cleveland lineup. His season ERA of 4.01 across 42.2 innings indicates he’s capable of keeping games within reach when his command is sharp and his curveball is working, especially at home where he’s shown more composure and confidence. Defensively, the Nationals still struggle with consistency, having made costly errors at times that have extended innings and put additional strain on their pitching staff, so tightening up their infield play and avoiding mental lapses will be key to their success in this matchup.
Offensively, they’ll need to be aggressive against Cleveland starter Luis Ortiz, whose road ERA has been inflated due to poor command and early-inning struggles—an area the Nats could exploit by jumping on fastballs and looking to manufacture early runs. One area of quiet strength has been the bullpen, which has been more effective than expected, particularly in middle relief, where Hunter Harvey and Dylan Floro have helped stabilize games and give the offense chances to respond late. As home underdogs, the Nationals are 13-15 this season when not favored, a sign that while inconsistent, they have the tools to pull off surprises, especially when they pitch well and play clean defense. For Washington to pull off the upset, they’ll need Irvin to match zeros with Ortiz early, capitalize on any defensive miscues or command issues from Cleveland, and stay within striking distance long enough to make a late push with timely hitting. A win here would not only even the series but also serve as a boost of confidence for a young team still searching for its identity—one that’s hungry to prove they can hang with more polished playoff hopefuls. With home-field energy and nothing to lose, the Nationals will aim to be the scrappy disruptors once again, hoping that early execution and a few breaks can turn potential into production.
THIRTY SIX. pic.twitter.com/ewuqmptSp9
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) May 5, 2025
Cleveland vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)
Cleveland vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Guardians and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Guardians team going up against a possibly improved Nationals team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Cleveland vs Washington picks, computer picks Guardians vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 10/4 | LAD@PHI | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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MLB | 10/4 | NYY@TOR | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
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MLB | 10/4 | CHC@MIL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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MLB | 10/4 | DET@SEA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Guardians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly when favored. They have entered twelve games as favorites and secured victories in ten of those matchups, reflecting a strong 83.3% win rate in such scenarios.
Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals have shown resilience as underdogs, being labeled as such in 28 games this season and winning 13 of those encounters. This indicates a 46.4% success rate when not favored, showcasing their potential to upset expectations.
Guardians vs. Nationals Matchup Trends
In the last three meetings between the Guardians and Nationals, the total runs scored have consistently fallen under 8.5, suggesting a trend towards lower-scoring games in this matchup.
Cleveland vs. Washington Game Info
What time does Cleveland vs Washington start on May 06, 2025?
Cleveland vs Washington starts on May 06, 2025 at 3:35 PM EST.
Where is Cleveland vs Washington being played?
Venue: Nationals Park.
What are the opening odds for Cleveland vs Washington?
Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Cleveland -119, Washington +100
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Cleveland vs Washington?
Cleveland: (20-14) Â |Â Washington: (16-19)
What is the AI best bet for Cleveland vs Washington?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Cleveland vs Washington trending bets?
In the last three meetings between the Guardians and Nationals, the total runs scored have consistently fallen under 8.5, suggesting a trend towards lower-scoring games in this matchup.
What are Cleveland trending bets?
CLE trend: The Cleveland Guardians have been performing well against the spread (ATS) this season, particularly when favored. They have entered twelve games as favorites and secured victories in ten of those matchups, reflecting a strong 83.3% win rate in such scenarios.
What are Washington trending bets?
WAS trend: The Washington Nationals have shown resilience as underdogs, being labeled as such in 28 games this season and winning 13 of those encounters. This indicates a 46.4% success rate when not favored, showcasing their potential to upset expectations.
Where can I find AI Picks for Cleveland vs Washington?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Cleveland vs. Washington Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Cleveland vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Cleveland vs Washington Opening Odds
CLE Moneyline:
-119 WAS Moneyline: +100
CLE Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Cleveland vs Washington Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 5, 2025 4:09PM EDT
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
10/5/25 4:09PM
Yankees
Blue Jays
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–
–
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-152
+127
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-1.5 (+110)
+1.5 (-130)
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O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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Oct 5, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
10/5/25 8:04PM
Tigers
Mariners
|
–
–
|
-126
+108
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-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-178)
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O 6.5 (+100)
U 6.5 (-122)
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Oct 6, 2025 6:09PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
10/6/25 6:09PM
Dodgers
Phillies
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–
–
|
-126
+108
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-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-162)
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O 7.5 (-104)
U 7.5 (-118)
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Oct 6, 2025 9:09PM EDT
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
10/6/25 9:09PM
Cubs
Brewers
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–
–
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+106
-126
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+165)
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O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Cleveland Guardians vs. Washington Nationals on May 06, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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   LEAN |    %WIN |    UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |