Astros vs Brewers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 05)
Updated: 2025-05-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Astros (17-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (17-18) commence a three-game series at American Family Field on Monday, May 5, 2025, at 7:40 PM ET. Both teams aim to build momentum as they navigate the early stages of the season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: May 05, 2025
Start Time: 7:40 PM EST
Venue: American Family Field
Brewers Record: (17-18)
Astros Record: (17-16)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -104
MIL Moneyline: -116
HOU Spread: -1.5
MIL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Astros have a 16-15 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 51.6% of their games.
MIL
Betting Trends
- The Brewers have a 17-16 ATS record this season, covering in 51.5% of their games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Astros are listed as -104 moneyline underdogs, while the Brewers are favored at -116. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.
HOU vs. MIL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Paredes over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Houston vs Milwaukee Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/5/25
The Brewers have performed well at home, compiling a 10-6 record at American Family Field, and they’ll look to leverage that edge in a series that could go a long way in determining whether they’re trending up or down entering the heart of the season. Defensively, Milwaukee has been reliable, and their bullpen has proven capable of closing games when given a lead, something the Astros will have to break through if they hope to steal games late. With a near-even matchup on paper—both clubs sit within a game of each other in the standings and have nearly identical ATS records—the difference may come down to which team capitalizes on early scoring opportunities and limits mistakes in the field. Vegas odds reflect the razor-thin margin, with Milwaukee a narrow favorite at -116 and the Astros close behind at -104, suggesting bettors and analysts expect a tightly played game with an over/under line set at eight runs. For Houston, winning Game 1 is critical to reversing their road woes and asserting their lineup depth, while the Brewers will view the opener as a chance to gain traction in a division where no team has yet pulled away. Both teams are still in the process of finding their identities, and this series could serve as a pivotal turning point for whichever side comes out sharper, more consistent, and opportunistic when it counts most.
Dezenzo launches one!#BuiltForThis pic.twitter.com/jwhMGLUOuZ
— Houston Astros (@astros) May 4, 2025
Houston Astros MLB Preview
The Houston Astros begin their three-game road series against the Milwaukee Brewers with a 17-16 record, looking to find consistency after an up-and-down start to the 2025 season that has featured flashes of elite offensive power paired with inconsistent pitching and road struggles. Sitting in the middle of the AL West standings, Houston has yet to fully hit its stride, especially away from home where they carry a 6-8 record, and entering American Family Field, they’ll need to clean up execution in all phases if they want to turn things around. Right-hander Ronel Blanco gets the ball for the series opener, and although he holds a 2-2 record, his 5.08 ERA suggests ongoing issues with location and susceptibility to the long ball—two areas that could be exposed in a hitter-friendly ballpark like Milwaukee’s. Blanco has shown the ability to miss bats when he’s in rhythm, but long innings and elevated pitch counts have limited his effectiveness and left the bullpen with heavy lifting. Offensively, Houston remains dangerous and capable of exploding at any moment, with Yordan Alvarez anchoring the middle of the order as the team’s most consistent and impactful bat, driving in 18 runs and continuing to be a threat every time he steps to the plate. Alongside Alvarez, Christian Walker has added power from the right side, providing a balanced threat that forces opposing pitchers to choose their battles wisely.
The Astros’ offensive philosophy hasn’t changed—they grind out at-bats, hit the ball hard, and tend to feast on pitching mistakes—but the challenge has been sustaining rallies and converting opportunities with runners in scoring position, particularly in tight road games. Their 16-15 record against the spread reflects a team that stays competitive but often falls short of putting teams away, a recurring theme early this season. Defensively, Houston has been solid, avoiding costly miscues and playing clean baseball behind its pitchers, but the pitching staff—especially the starters—needs to start going deeper into games to keep the bullpen fresh and effective. The Astros enter this series as slight underdogs at -104, a sign that the betting markets see this as a toss-up and one that may hinge on whether Blanco can rebound and give them five or six quality innings. Houston’s path to victory lies in jumping on Tobias Myers early, capitalizing on his inexperience and lack of rhythm in what will be his first start of the year, and letting their offense set the tone rather than play from behind. With several AL West foes also locked in competitive battles, this is the type of series the Astros need to capitalize on—not just to improve their record, but to send a message that they’re still very much a threat and capable of making a push toward the top of the division as the season progresses. If the big bats come through and the pitching holds, Houston has every reason to believe they can take control early in the series and leave Milwaukee with meaningful wins.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Milwaukee Brewers MLB Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers open their three-game homestand against the Houston Astros with a 17-18 record, just below .500 and hungry to turn the tide after a recent stretch of uneven performances, and they’ll lean on their solid home record of 10-6 at American Family Field as a foundation for momentum. Despite some inconsistencies early this season, Milwaukee has remained competitive thanks to timely hitting and stable defense, and they’ll need both to secure wins against a veteran-laden Astros squad that still poses a significant offensive threat. The Brewers will hand the ball to right-hander Tobias Myers, who makes his first start of the 2025 campaign carrying a 5.14 ERA and seeking to establish his place in a rotation that’s been reshuffled due to injuries and underperformance. Myers’ challenge will be navigating a dangerous Houston lineup without giving up early runs, something that has haunted the Brewers in several first innings this year, and his ability to manage pitch counts and avoid traffic will be vital to preserving the bullpen for the rest of the series. Milwaukee’s offense, while not the most potent in the league, has shown signs of improvement, led by rising star Jackson Chourio and the veteran steadiness of Christian Yelich, both of whom have been catalysts atop the order with a combination of contact hitting, plate discipline, and speed. Chourio brings youthful energy and surprising power for his size, while Yelich continues to get on base at a solid clip, allowing middle-of-the-lineup bats to cash in on RBI opportunities.
However, one of Milwaukee’s recurring issues has been a lack of consistent run support—scoring in spurts but struggling to sustain pressure over nine innings, particularly against upper-tier bullpens like Houston’s. Defensively, the Brewers remain one of the sharper teams in the National League, limiting errors and executing well on double plays and relay throws, which has allowed them to escape several potential big innings. Their bullpen, while occasionally overtaxed, has delivered when given leads, and keeping games close into the sixth and seventh innings gives Milwaukee a genuine chance to capitalize late. Betting-wise, the Brewers are 17-16 against the spread, an indication of their ability to play to expectations, particularly in tightly projected matchups like this one where they enter as narrow -116 favorites. The key to Milwaukee’s success in the opener will be jumping on Houston starter Ronel Blanco early, exploiting his 5.08 ERA and recent command issues before he settles in, and then turning the game over to the bullpen with a cushion. This game is more than just an early-May contest—it’s a barometer for the Brewers’ ability to hold ground in a competitive NL Central and prove they can beat teams with playoff experience. With the crowd behind them, confidence brewing in their young stars, and a winnable pitching matchup on paper, the Brewers have a prime opportunity to make a statement and begin a push back above the .500 mark.
Freddy Peralta set the tone as we shut out the Cubs in a bounce-back win#ThisIsMyCrew x @MillerLite pic.twitter.com/selxA0R2F5
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) May 4, 2025
Houston vs. Milwaukee Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Milwaukee Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Astros and Brewers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors regularly put on Houston’s strength factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly improved Brewers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Houston vs Milwaukee picks, computer picks Astros vs Brewers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have a 16-15 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 51.6% of their games.
Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have a 17-16 ATS record this season, covering in 51.5% of their games.
Astros vs. Brewers Matchup Trends
The Astros are listed as -104 moneyline underdogs, while the Brewers are favored at -116. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.
Houston vs. Milwaukee Game Info
What time does Houston vs Milwaukee start on May 05, 2025?
Houston vs Milwaukee starts on May 05, 2025 at 7:40 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Milwaukee being played?
Venue: American Family Field.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Milwaukee?
Spread: Milwaukee +1.5
Moneyline: Houston -104, Milwaukee -116
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Houston vs Milwaukee?
Houston: (17-16) | Milwaukee: (17-18)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Milwaukee?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I. Paredes over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Milwaukee trending bets?
The Astros are listed as -104 moneyline underdogs, while the Brewers are favored at -116. The over/under for the game is set at 8 runs.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Astros have a 16-15 record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering in 51.6% of their games.
What are Milwaukee trending bets?
MIL trend: The Brewers have a 17-16 ATS record this season, covering in 51.5% of their games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Milwaukee?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Milwaukee Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Milwaukee trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Houston vs Milwaukee Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-104 MIL Moneyline: -116
HOU Spread: -1.5
MIL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Houston vs Milwaukee Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
|---|
MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers on May 05, 2025 at American Family Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD@TOR | TOR +1.5 | 56.7% | 2 | WIN |
| TOR@LAD | TOR +1.5 | 55.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
| DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
| STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
| TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
| MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
| KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
| PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |