Rays vs Yankees Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (May 03)
Updated: 2025-05-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees are set to clash in the second game of their weekend series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Yankee Stadium. With both teams vying for dominance in the AL East, this matchup holds significant implications for the division standings.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: May 03, 2025
Start Time: 1:05 PM EST
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Yankees Record: (19-13)
Rays Record: (14-18)
OPENING ODDS
TB Moneyline: +149
NYY Moneyline: -179
TB Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
TB
Betting Trends
- The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.
NYY
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.
TB vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/3/25
Littell’s inability to generate strikeouts at a high clip has resulted in more balls in play, which could prove costly against a disciplined and powerful Yankees batting order. Offensively, the Rays have not yet found the consistency that defined them in past seasons. Jonathan Aranda, one of the brighter spots in their lineup, has flashed potential, but the Rays will need far more than a single offensive spark to topple the Yankees in their own ballpark. Tampa Bay’s bullpen remains a key asset, but it has been overworked in recent weeks and will need to be nearly flawless if Littell cannot provide length. Defensively, Tampa must tighten up, as errors and missed assignments have plagued them in recent losses. Strategically, the game comes down to execution—the Yankees have a clear edge on paper with their combination of current form, home-field advantage, and superior depth, but baseball’s unpredictability means the Rays cannot be counted out, especially if they manage to strike early or force the Yankees into high-leverage bullpen decisions. Ultimately, this game serves as both a test and a statement opportunity: for New York, a chance to continue asserting dominance over a division rival; for Tampa Bay, a potential reset button to regain competitive footing. With the crowd in the Bronx ready to energize their team and playoff implications already stirring beneath the surface, this showdown is more than just another early May game—it’s a tone-setter for the weeks to come.
The Yandalorian pic.twitter.com/ezEoOul9QJ
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) May 1, 2025
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays step into Yankee Stadium on Saturday looking to snap out of a troubling stretch and reassert themselves in a division that’s quickly slipping away from them. Entering this matchup on the heels of a rough series against the Yankees in which they dropped three of four games, the Rays are in urgent need of a momentum shift—not only to keep pace in the AL East but also to restore confidence in a roster that has yet to live up to its preseason expectations. A key storyline for Tampa Bay is the start of Zack Littell, a pitcher who began his career with the Yankees and now faces the task of quieting their surging lineup. Littell’s 2025 campaign has been rocky at best; his ERA and FIP are both north of five, and he’s struggled to miss bats with a strikeout rate that lags behind league averages. For a team that prides itself on pitching development and run prevention, Littell’s inability to consistently put hitters away has exposed Tampa Bay’s bullpen to heavy workloads and added pressure. While the Rays still possess solid arms in relief, including the likes of Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks, the bullpen has been overextended and will need Littell to provide length and keep the Yankees’ bats in check early. On the offensive side, the Rays continue to look for consistency from a lineup that has been frustratingly uneven.
Jonathan Aranda has been one of the few steady producers, showing strong bat-to-ball skills and a knack for delivering in key moments, but the supporting cast around him—players like Isaac Paredes, Randy Arozarena, and Yandy Díaz—have struggled to find their stride all at once. The Rays’ offensive approach, which leans on patient plate appearances and contact over power, has at times been neutralized by more aggressive and overpowering pitching staffs like New York’s. This game presents an opportunity for a more focused and aggressive offensive plan, especially against a pitcher like Clarke Schmidt who has shown flashes of dominance but can be hit when he falls behind in counts. Defensively, Tampa Bay must clean up its play, as uncharacteristic lapses in the field have cost them extra bases and runs in recent games—errors and miscommunication that must be eliminated to have a chance in a hostile road environment. Manager Kevin Cash is no stranger to squeezing the most out of his roster, and he’ll need to deploy every strategic tool available—from bullpen matchups to aggressive base running—to tilt the margins in the Rays’ favor. The Rays have historically thrived as underdogs, and they’ll need to embrace that mentality fully to claw out a win in the Bronx. Though the odds may not be in their favor, Tampa Bay’s mix of experience, tactical ingenuity, and internal urgency could serve as the right formula for a bounce-back performance that stabilizes their season and reminds the league they remain a threat even in the shadows of a slump.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview
The New York Yankees enter Saturday’s contest against the Tampa Bay Rays brimming with confidence, poised to continue a hot stretch that has seen them dominate division rivals and establish an early-season tone of professionalism, poise, and power. With the AL East standings tightening, the Yankees know the importance of piling up wins now, especially against familiar foes like the Rays who, despite their struggles, remain a pesky and strategically savvy opponent. The Bronx Bombers have turned in strong all-around performances recently, and their success has stemmed from an effective blend of veteran leadership, emerging young talent, and a rotation that has held firm even in the absence of some stars. Clarke Schmidt, who will take the mound for New York, is a perfect example of that depth paying off. After a shaky start to the season, Schmidt has shown flashes of the pitcher the Yankees envisioned him becoming—his last start saw him give up just one run over five solid innings against Toronto, and he’ll be looking to build on that rhythm against a Rays team that’s struggled to generate offense. Schmidt’s ability to get ahead in counts and limit free passes will be critical, especially against Tampa’s contact-oriented approach. Behind him, the Yankees’ bullpen remains one of the more reliable units in the American League, with arms like Clay Holmes and Ian Hamilton closing the door in tight situations.
Offensively, Aaron Judge continues to carry the torch with MVP-caliber production, hitting for both average and power while providing elite defense in the outfield. His presence alone alters opposing game plans, and when he’s locked in—as he has been over the past week—he elevates the entire offense. What makes this Yankees team especially dangerous, however, is the emergence of complementary pieces like Ben Rice, who has flashed timely hitting and plate discipline that deepens an already potent lineup. Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe have also contributed key at-bats, while Giancarlo Stanton remains a lurking power threat that pitchers cannot ignore. Manager Aaron Boone has kept the clubhouse loose yet focused, and that composure has translated to clean, disciplined baseball on the field. Defensively, the Yankees have played sharp, minimizing errors and executing fundamental plays that eliminate the extra bases or second chances that losing teams often allow. With a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games and a history of strong performances against the Rays in recent series, New York finds itself in a prime position to keep building momentum. Still, they’re fully aware of the danger Tampa Bay presents when underestimated, and the message from the dugout has been clear: continue executing at a high level, control the pace of the game, and deliver early offensive pressure to force the Rays into reactive, catch-up mode. With the home crowd behind them and a roster firing on all cylinders, the Yankees look every bit like the powerhouse many projected them to be this season, and Saturday presents a golden opportunity to continue asserting that dominance in one of baseball’s most heated rivalries.
See you tomorrow 👋#RepBX pic.twitter.com/MxcELYSLfk
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 3, 2025
Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)
Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Rays and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly strong Yankees team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Rays vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.
Yankees Betting Trends
The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.
Rays vs. Yankees Matchup Trends
In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.
Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Game Info
What time does Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees start on May 03, 2025?
Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees starts on May 03, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.
Where is Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees being played?
Venue: Yankee Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees?
Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +149, New York Yankees -179
Over/Under: 9.5
What are the records for Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees?
Tampa Bay: (14-18) | New York Yankees: (19-13)
What is the AI best bet for Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees trending bets?
In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.
What are New York Yankees trending bets?
NYY trend: The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Opening Odds
TB Moneyline:
+149 NYY Moneyline: -179
TB Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5
Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
–
–
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+108
-126
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+1.5 (-194)
-1.5 (+160)
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O 7.5 (-118)
U 7.5 (-104)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 03, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |