Rays vs. Yankees
Prediction, Odds & Props
May 03 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-05-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees are set to clash in the second game of their weekend series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Yankee Stadium. With both teams vying for dominance in the AL East, this matchup holds significant implications for the division standings.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: May 03, 2025

Start Time: 1:05 PM EST​

Venue: Yankee Stadium​

Yankees Record: (19-13)

Rays Record: (14-18)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: +149

NYY Moneyline: -179

TB Spread: +1.5

NYY Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.

TB vs. NYY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 5/3/25

The upcoming Saturday matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium marks a crucial point in the ongoing battle for AL East supremacy, as both teams find themselves entrenched in one of baseball’s most consistently competitive divisions. For the Yankees, this game is an opportunity to extend their early-season dominance and assert further control over the division standings. Riding a wave of confidence after taking three out of four in their most recent series against Tampa Bay, New York has found a rhythm in all facets of the game—pitching, hitting, and fielding. Aaron Judge continues to anchor the lineup with his imposing power and plate discipline, while contributions from younger players like Ben Rice and Anthony Volpe have added depth to a batting order that has become increasingly difficult for opposing pitchers to navigate. The Yankees’ starting pitcher, Clarke Schmidt, enters the game with something to prove and the tools to make a significant impact. Coming off a solid performance against Toronto where he allowed just one run over five innings, Schmidt is beginning to display the consistency that the Yankees have hoped for from a middle-of-the-rotation starter. On the other side, the Rays find themselves at a crossroads. A slow start to the season and shaky recent outings have cast doubt on whether they can keep pace with a Yankees team firing on all cylinders. Zack Littell, who gets the start for Tampa Bay, has struggled to establish a groove, posting an ERA and FIP over five and showing signs of vulnerability against strong lineups.

Littell’s inability to generate strikeouts at a high clip has resulted in more balls in play, which could prove costly against a disciplined and powerful Yankees batting order. Offensively, the Rays have not yet found the consistency that defined them in past seasons. Jonathan Aranda, one of the brighter spots in their lineup, has flashed potential, but the Rays will need far more than a single offensive spark to topple the Yankees in their own ballpark. Tampa Bay’s bullpen remains a key asset, but it has been overworked in recent weeks and will need to be nearly flawless if Littell cannot provide length. Defensively, Tampa must tighten up, as errors and missed assignments have plagued them in recent losses. Strategically, the game comes down to execution—the Yankees have a clear edge on paper with their combination of current form, home-field advantage, and superior depth, but baseball’s unpredictability means the Rays cannot be counted out, especially if they manage to strike early or force the Yankees into high-leverage bullpen decisions. Ultimately, this game serves as both a test and a statement opportunity: for New York, a chance to continue asserting dominance over a division rival; for Tampa Bay, a potential reset button to regain competitive footing. With the crowd in the Bronx ready to energize their team and playoff implications already stirring beneath the surface, this showdown is more than just another early May game—it’s a tone-setter for the weeks to come.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays step into Yankee Stadium on Saturday looking to snap out of a troubling stretch and reassert themselves in a division that’s quickly slipping away from them. Entering this matchup on the heels of a rough series against the Yankees in which they dropped three of four games, the Rays are in urgent need of a momentum shift—not only to keep pace in the AL East but also to restore confidence in a roster that has yet to live up to its preseason expectations. A key storyline for Tampa Bay is the start of Zack Littell, a pitcher who began his career with the Yankees and now faces the task of quieting their surging lineup. Littell’s 2025 campaign has been rocky at best; his ERA and FIP are both north of five, and he’s struggled to miss bats with a strikeout rate that lags behind league averages. For a team that prides itself on pitching development and run prevention, Littell’s inability to consistently put hitters away has exposed Tampa Bay’s bullpen to heavy workloads and added pressure. While the Rays still possess solid arms in relief, including the likes of Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks, the bullpen has been overextended and will need Littell to provide length and keep the Yankees’ bats in check early. On the offensive side, the Rays continue to look for consistency from a lineup that has been frustratingly uneven.

Jonathan Aranda has been one of the few steady producers, showing strong bat-to-ball skills and a knack for delivering in key moments, but the supporting cast around him—players like Isaac Paredes, Randy Arozarena, and Yandy Díaz—have struggled to find their stride all at once. The Rays’ offensive approach, which leans on patient plate appearances and contact over power, has at times been neutralized by more aggressive and overpowering pitching staffs like New York’s. This game presents an opportunity for a more focused and aggressive offensive plan, especially against a pitcher like Clarke Schmidt who has shown flashes of dominance but can be hit when he falls behind in counts. Defensively, Tampa Bay must clean up its play, as uncharacteristic lapses in the field have cost them extra bases and runs in recent games—errors and miscommunication that must be eliminated to have a chance in a hostile road environment. Manager Kevin Cash is no stranger to squeezing the most out of his roster, and he’ll need to deploy every strategic tool available—from bullpen matchups to aggressive base running—to tilt the margins in the Rays’ favor. The Rays have historically thrived as underdogs, and they’ll need to embrace that mentality fully to claw out a win in the Bronx. Though the odds may not be in their favor, Tampa Bay’s mix of experience, tactical ingenuity, and internal urgency could serve as the right formula for a bounce-back performance that stabilizes their season and reminds the league they remain a threat even in the shadows of a slump.

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees are set to clash in the second game of their weekend series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Yankee Stadium. With both teams vying for dominance in the AL East, this matchup holds significant implications for the division standings. Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for May 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees enter Saturday’s contest against the Tampa Bay Rays brimming with confidence, poised to continue a hot stretch that has seen them dominate division rivals and establish an early-season tone of professionalism, poise, and power. With the AL East standings tightening, the Yankees know the importance of piling up wins now, especially against familiar foes like the Rays who, despite their struggles, remain a pesky and strategically savvy opponent. The Bronx Bombers have turned in strong all-around performances recently, and their success has stemmed from an effective blend of veteran leadership, emerging young talent, and a rotation that has held firm even in the absence of some stars. Clarke Schmidt, who will take the mound for New York, is a perfect example of that depth paying off. After a shaky start to the season, Schmidt has shown flashes of the pitcher the Yankees envisioned him becoming—his last start saw him give up just one run over five solid innings against Toronto, and he’ll be looking to build on that rhythm against a Rays team that’s struggled to generate offense. Schmidt’s ability to get ahead in counts and limit free passes will be critical, especially against Tampa’s contact-oriented approach. Behind him, the Yankees’ bullpen remains one of the more reliable units in the American League, with arms like Clay Holmes and Ian Hamilton closing the door in tight situations.

Offensively, Aaron Judge continues to carry the torch with MVP-caliber production, hitting for both average and power while providing elite defense in the outfield. His presence alone alters opposing game plans, and when he’s locked in—as he has been over the past week—he elevates the entire offense. What makes this Yankees team especially dangerous, however, is the emergence of complementary pieces like Ben Rice, who has flashed timely hitting and plate discipline that deepens an already potent lineup. Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe have also contributed key at-bats, while Giancarlo Stanton remains a lurking power threat that pitchers cannot ignore. Manager Aaron Boone has kept the clubhouse loose yet focused, and that composure has translated to clean, disciplined baseball on the field. Defensively, the Yankees have played sharp, minimizing errors and executing fundamental plays that eliminate the extra bases or second chances that losing teams often allow. With a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games and a history of strong performances against the Rays in recent series, New York finds itself in a prime position to keep building momentum. Still, they’re fully aware of the danger Tampa Bay presents when underestimated, and the message from the dugout has been clear: continue executing at a high level, control the pace of the game, and deliver early offensive pressure to force the Rays into reactive, catch-up mode. With the home crowd behind them and a roster firing on all cylinders, the Yankees look every bit like the powerhouse many projected them to be this season, and Saturday presents a golden opportunity to continue asserting that dominance in one of baseball’s most heated rivalries.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Rays and Yankees play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Yankee Stadium in May can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Rays and Yankees and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly healthy Yankees team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees picks, computer picks Rays vs Yankees, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.

Rays vs. Yankees Matchup Trends

In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Game Info

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees starts on May 03, 2025 at 1:05 PM EST.

Spread: New York Yankees -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +149, New York Yankees -179
Over/Under: 9.5

Tampa Bay: (14-18)  |  New York Yankees: (19-13)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Wells over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their recent matchups, the Yankees have dominated the Rays, winning three of four games in their last series, indicating a favorable trend for New York in this rivalry.

TB trend: The Rays have struggled against the spread (ATS) recently, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their last five games at home.

NYY trend: The Yankees have been solid ATS at home, achieving a 4-2 ATS record in their last six home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Yankees Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: +149
NYY Moneyline: -179
TB Spread: +1.5
NYY Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 9.5

Tampa Bay vs New York Yankees Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Yankees on May 03, 2025 at Yankee Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS