Cubs vs. Pirates
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 30 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Chicago Cubs (17–12) and Pittsburgh Pirates (11–18) continue their three-game series on April 30, 2025, at PNC Park, with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The Cubs look to build on their strong start in the NL Central, while the Pirates aim to rebound from recent struggles and gain ground in the division.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 30, 2025
Start Time: 6:40 PM EST
Venue: PNC Park
Pirates Record: (11-19)
Cubs Record: (18-12)
OPENING ODDS
CHC Moneyline: -171
PIT Moneyline: +143
CHC Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
CHC
Betting Trends
- The Cubs have covered the run line in 7 of their last 13 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well away from home.
PIT
Betting Trends
- The Pirates have covered the run line in 6 of their last 13 home games, indicating challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Cubs are favored on the moneyline at -174, with the Pirates at +145; the over/under is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
CHC vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. McCutchen over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/30/25
On the opposite side, the Pirates continue to flounder at 11–18, struggling to build momentum and plagued by both underperformance and injuries. Their starter, right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski, brings a 1–3 record and an inflated 6.95 ERA into the game, emblematic of a rotation that’s been unable to keep games competitive past the middle innings. Mlodzinski will have to navigate a Cubs lineup that punishes fastballs left over the plate, making his ability to change speeds and work ahead in counts crucial to limiting damage. Oneil Cruz remains the brightest spot in Pittsburgh’s lineup, with his combination of power and speed—eight home runs and 12 stolen bases—making him a constant threat at the plate and on the bases. However, beyond Cruz, the Pirates have struggled with run production, and players like Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes have yet to deliver with the consistency needed to carry the offense. The Pirates’ bullpen has been overworked, often entering games too early due to short starts, which has further exposed depth issues and contributed to late-game collapses. If the Cubs can score early and force Pittsburgh to the pen by the fifth inning, they’ll be in prime position to take control of the series. With the over/under set at 8.5 runs and the Cubs favored on the moneyline, expectations point toward another productive night for Chicago’s bats and a continuation of Pittsburgh’s frustrating start. For the Cubs, this matchup is about sustaining their winning formula; for the Pirates, it’s a test of resilience and a chance to respond on their home field before the division slips further out of reach.
Tuck hit 🤝 Happ comes home pic.twitter.com/ViRnYUmtd3
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) April 30, 2025
Chicago Cubs Cubs MLB Preview
The Chicago Cubs travel to PNC Park riding the momentum of a strong April campaign that has them sitting atop the NL Central with a 17–12 record, built on a foundation of balanced offense, steady starting pitching, and improved bullpen reliability. After an offseason that prioritized roster depth and pitching reinforcements, the Cubs have emerged as one of the more complete teams in the early going, showing a rare ability to win tight one-run games while also generating offensive explosions when needed. Left-hander Matthew Boyd gets the start in this second game of the series, and he brings a 2–2 record and a sharp 2.54 ERA into the contest. Boyd has been efficient and poised, holding opposing hitters to a sub-.220 average and routinely navigating high-leverage innings with confidence, using a mix of low-90s fastballs and well-placed off-speed pitches. His success will be crucial against a Pirates lineup that, while struggling, features dangerous athletes like Oneil Cruz capable of flipping momentum with a single swing or stolen base. The Cubs’ offense, meanwhile, continues to roll, spearheaded by Seiya Suzuki, who has settled in as the club’s most consistent hitter with a .298 average and seven home runs. Suzuki’s plate discipline and situational hitting have been difference-makers in close games, and he’s complemented by Ian Happ, whose switch-hitting approach and 14 RBIs make him a versatile presence in the heart of the order.
Nico Hoerner continues to excel at the top of the lineup, setting the tone with a .350 OBP and aggressive base running, while Christopher Morel adds pop and energy in the lower third. Defensively, the Cubs have cleaned up mistakes that cost them games in previous seasons, and their infield, anchored by Dansby Swanson and Hoerner, has turned double plays at one of the highest rates in the National League. The bullpen, once considered a liability, has evolved into a reliable asset, with Adbert Alzolay and Julian Merryweather excelling in high-leverage innings, giving manager Craig Counsell confidence when the game turns late. The team’s approach on the road has been businesslike—score early, pressure opposing starters, and shorten the game with quality relief. Against Pirates starter Carmen Mlodzinski, who brings a 6.95 ERA into the outing, the Cubs will likely hunt early fastballs and look to force him into long at-bats, increasing the chances of reaching Pittsburgh’s vulnerable bullpen by the middle innings. A win here would not only give Chicago a strong shot at a series win but also continue to validate their legitimacy as early-season contenders in a division that’s still wide open. With a blend of discipline, power, and clubhouse cohesion, the Cubs are positioning themselves as a team that not only starts hot—but has the makeup to stay hot.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates enter the second game of their series against the Chicago Cubs with a 11–18 record and the mounting pressure of a slow start that threatens to derail their season before May. Despite the presence of young talent and flashes of potential, the Pirates have struggled to find consistency in any phase of the game, particularly on the mound, where they’ve been unable to get quality starts with regularity. Right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski will get the ball for this crucial contest, and his early-season numbers—1–3 record and a 6.95 ERA—highlight the issues he’s had keeping hitters off balance and limiting damage. Mlodzinski has had difficulty with pitch location and fastball command, often working from behind in counts and struggling to escape innings cleanly, which has put added pressure on a bullpen that’s been one of the most overworked in the league. Pittsburgh’s relief corps has talent, but they’ve been asked to cover too many innings too often, leading to late-game breakdowns and an inability to protect slim leads. Offensively, Oneil Cruz has been the club’s most reliable threat, posting a .258 average with eight home runs and 12 stolen bases, showing the kind of dynamic ability that makes him a cornerstone for the franchise.
Cruz’s blend of power and speed gives the Pirates a game-changer in the top half of the lineup, but the supporting cast has yet to offer the consistency needed to string together rallies. Players like Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes have underperformed relative to expectations, and the Pirates have often struggled to produce with runners in scoring position—one of the key reasons they’ve dropped so many close contests. Defensively, the team has been serviceable but unspectacular, and mistakes in the field have occasionally compounded pitching woes, further complicating efforts to stay competitive in games. Facing a division-leading Cubs team that brings power and efficiency to every at-bat, the Pirates will need to play crisp, mistake-free baseball to remain in striking distance. That starts with Mlodzinski getting through the first three innings without a crooked number on the board and the offense manufacturing early pressure to disrupt Matthew Boyd’s rhythm. For manager Derek Shelton, finding a way to squeeze more innings from his starter while generating production beyond Cruz is the blueprint for turning things around. A win in this matchup wouldn’t just prevent a series loss—it could help restore belief in a team that still has potential, but one that’s dangerously close to falling too far behind in a competitive National League. With the home crowd behind them and the motivation to halt their slide, the Pirates have the opportunity to respond, but it will require a collective step forward in every phase of the game.
Final. pic.twitter.com/s3UJbBRaIv
— Pittsburgh Pirates (@Pirates) April 30, 2025
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Cubs and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Chicago Cubs’s strength factors between a Cubs team going up against a possibly healthy Pirates team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Cubs vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Cubs Betting Trends
The Cubs have covered the run line in 7 of their last 13 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well away from home.
Pirates Betting Trends
The Pirates have covered the run line in 6 of their last 13 home games, indicating challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage.
Cubs vs. Pirates Matchup Trends
The Cubs are favored on the moneyline at -174, with the Pirates at +145; the over/under is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Game Info
What time does Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh start on April 30, 2025?
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh starts on April 30, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.
Where is Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh being played?
Venue: PNC Park.
What are the opening odds for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh?
Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs -171, Pittsburgh +143
Over/Under: 9
What are the records for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh?
Chicago Cubs: (18-12) | Pittsburgh: (11-19)
What is the AI best bet for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. McCutchen over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh trending bets?
The Cubs are favored on the moneyline at -174, with the Pirates at +145; the over/under is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting expectations of a moderately high-scoring game.
What are Chicago Cubs trending bets?
CHC trend: The Cubs have covered the run line in 7 of their last 13 road games, showcasing their ability to perform well away from home.
What are Pittsburgh trending bets?
PIT trend: The Pirates have covered the run line in 6 of their last 13 home games, indicating challenges in capitalizing on home-field advantage.
Where can I find AI Picks for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds
CHC Moneyline:
-171 PIT Moneyline: +143
CHC Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 9
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
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Yankees
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–
–
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+196
-240
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+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
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O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
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–
–
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-178
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-1.5 (+115)
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O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
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–
–
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+135
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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San Francisco Giants
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–
–
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+196
-240
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
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Marlins
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–
–
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-130
+110
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-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
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O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
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–
–
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+175
-210
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+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
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+115
-135
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
|
+150
-178
|
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+122
-145
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
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9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
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–
–
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+118
-140
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
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-140
+118
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-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
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9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
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O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)
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MLB Past Picks
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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Chicago Cubs Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 30, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |