Astros vs Royals Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 26)
Updated: 2025-04-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Houston Astros (13–12) and Kansas City Royals (13–14) clash in the second game of their three-game series at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, April 26, 2025, at 6:10 PM CDT. The Royals aim to extend their five-game winning streak, while the Astros look to rebound from a shutout loss in the series opener.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 26, 2025
Start Time: 7:10 PM EST
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Royals Record: (13-14)
Astros Record: (13-12)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -139
KC Moneyline: +117
HOU Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Astros have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, demonstrating resilience on the road. However, they fell short in the series opener against the Royals.
KC
Betting Trends
- The Royals have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium. Their recent success includes a 2–0 victory over the Astros in the series opener.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in 3 games against the Astros. Additionally, the total has gone under in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward low-scoring affairs.
HOU vs. KC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Walker over 5.5 Fantasy Score.
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Houston vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/26/25
Defensively, the Astros remain solid, but any lapses against the Royals’ aggressive style could quickly shift momentum, especially in a stadium like Kauffman where extra-base hits and stolen bases can tilt the balance in tight games. Kansas City, for their part, has not only cleaned up defensive miscues but has also leveraged timely hitting and strong bullpen performances to lock down close games, a trend they hope to continue against a Houston team hungry to snap their brief stumble. For the Astros, the key to reversing their fortunes will be Valdez’s ability to pitch efficiently and deep into the game while the offense must adjust more effectively to Royals pitching and take advantage of scoring chances early, preventing Kansas City from playing comfortably with a lead. Meanwhile, the Royals will look to Wacha to replicate Lugo’s approach—pounding the zone early, forcing weak contact, and trusting the defense behind him—while their offense, led by Witt Jr. and supported by steady contributors like Drew Waters and Hunter Renfroe, will aim to stay aggressive and apply constant pressure. With recent head-to-head trends pointing toward low-scoring affairs between these two clubs, and both teams boasting strong recent form in different ways, Saturday’s game promises a tightly contested battle that will test execution, focus, and the ability to seize pivotal moments late. Whether the Astros can reset their rhythm or the Royals can keep rolling, the outcome could set the tone for the remainder of the weekend and beyond.
Gunned down. #BuiltForThis pic.twitter.com/notL4nNoNc
— Houston Astros (@astros) April 26, 2025
Houston Astros MLB Preview
The Houston Astros head into Saturday’s matchup at Kauffman Stadium facing a critical early-season test, looking to snap out of a brief funk after a frustrating 2–0 loss in Friday’s series opener against the surging Kansas City Royals. At 13–12, the Astros remain very much in the thick of the AL West race but know that continued inconsistencies in timely hitting and defensive execution could jeopardize their standing as spring transitions into summer. Framber Valdez, Houston’s steady left-handed ace, takes the mound tasked with righting the ship, bringing a 1–2 record and a 4.50 ERA that belie his ability to dominate when he’s on his game; Valdez’s elite groundball rate and ability to induce soft contact will be vital against a Royals team that thrives on putting pressure on opposing defenses. Offensively, the Astros have been buoyed by the resurgence of Jeremy Peña and the steady contributions of Isaac Paredes, both of whom have stepped up following manager Joe Espada’s recent lineup reshuffling designed to spark a more balanced attack.
Nevertheless, Houston’s inability to capitalize on multiple scoring opportunities in Friday’s game highlighted an ongoing issue: while capable of explosive innings, the Astros too often rely on the big swing instead of manufacturing runs through consistent at-bats and situational hitting. Defensively, Houston remains solid but cannot afford the types of mental lapses that gifted the Royals additional chances during their five-game winning streak. For the Astros, the formula to rebound is clear: Valdez must keep the ball down and work efficiently through the early innings, the offense must apply pressure to Michael Wacha by putting balls in play and forcing Kansas City’s defense to make plays, and the bullpen must be ready to protect any lead, knowing the Royals have shown a flair for late-inning comebacks. A victory on Saturday would not only even the series but also help reassert Houston’s identity as a resilient, veteran team capable of handling adversity, crucial as they head deeper into a season where every game could make the difference in a crowded AL playoff picture. With urgency high and pride on the line, expect the Astros to come out swinging, determined to avoid leaving Kauffman Stadium on the wrong end of another series setback.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas City Royals MLB Preview
The Kansas City Royals enter Saturday’s contest against the Houston Astros riding a powerful wave of momentum, having won five consecutive games and rapidly building confidence in what is shaping up to be a highly competitive early season for the AL Central. Manager Matt Quatraro’s team has thrived on a combination of elite starting pitching, aggressive baserunning, and timely offense, a formula that was fully on display in Friday night’s 2–0 shutout victory over Houston. Leading the charge is budding superstar Bobby Witt Jr., who extended his MLB-leading hitting streak to 17 games and continues to spark the Royals’ lineup with his dynamic blend of speed, power, and clutch hitting, making him a nightmare for opposing pitchers and defenses alike. On the mound for Kansas City will be Michael Wacha, who, despite a winless 0–3 record, has pitched far better than his stats suggest, maintaining a solid 4.15 ERA and providing the kind of stability in the rotation that allows the Royals’ bullpen to stay fresh and aggressive late in games. Wacha’s task will be containing a potent Astros offense that, despite being shut out in the opener, remains one of the more dangerous groups in baseball when clicking, meaning his command and efficiency will be critical in setting the tone for Kansas City.
Offensively, beyond Witt Jr., the Royals have received valuable contributions from Drew Waters, Salvador Perez, and Hunter Renfroe, all of whom have come through with big hits during their recent winning streak. The Royals’ offensive approach—putting the ball in play, pressuring defenses, and capitalizing on extra-base hits—fits well with the spacious dimensions of Kauffman Stadium and plays into their speed advantage. Defensively, Kansas City has tightened up considerably, committing fewer errors and turning key double plays to support their pitching staff, while the bullpen, anchored by James McArthur and John Schreiber, has locked down late-inning leads with impressive consistency. Saturday presents a pivotal opportunity for Kansas City not only to secure a series win over a perennial powerhouse like Houston but also to move closer to the .500 mark, further signaling that their early success is no fluke. The Royals will need to stay aggressive, maintain their defensive sharpness, and get a strong outing from Wacha to neutralize Houston’s lineup and continue their surge in what has become one of the feel-good stories of the early 2025 season.
Friday night shutout!#HEYHEYHEYHEY pic.twitter.com/09jOH95dL0
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) April 26, 2025
Houston vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)
Houston vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Astros and Royals and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Houston’s strength factors between a Astros team going up against a possibly unhealthy Royals team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Astros vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Astros Betting Trends
The Astros have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, demonstrating resilience on the road. However, they fell short in the series opener against the Royals.
Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium. Their recent success includes a 2–0 victory over the Astros in the series opener.
Astros vs. Royals Matchup Trends
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in 3 games against the Astros. Additionally, the total has gone under in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward low-scoring affairs.
Houston vs. Kansas City Game Info
What time does Houston vs Kansas City start on April 26, 2025?
Houston vs Kansas City starts on April 26, 2025 at 7:10 PM EST.
Where is Houston vs Kansas City being played?
Venue: Kauffman Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Houston vs Kansas City?
Spread: Kansas City +1.5
Moneyline: Houston -139, Kansas City +117
Over/Under: 8
What are the records for Houston vs Kansas City?
Houston: (13-12) | Kansas City: (13-14)
What is the AI best bet for Houston vs Kansas City?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Walker over 5.5 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Houston vs Kansas City trending bets?
In their last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Royals have covered the spread in 3 games against the Astros. Additionally, the total has gone under in 4 of those 5 games, indicating a trend toward low-scoring affairs.
What are Houston trending bets?
HOU trend: The Astros have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 games, demonstrating resilience on the road. However, they fell short in the series opener against the Royals.
What are Kansas City trending bets?
KC trend: The Royals have been strong against the spread at home, covering in 7 of their last 10 games at Kauffman Stadium. Their recent success includes a 2–0 victory over the Astros in the series opener.
Where can I find AI Picks for Houston vs Kansas City?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Kansas City Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs Kansas City Opening Odds
HOU Moneyline:
-139 KC Moneyline: +117
HOU Spread: -1.5
KC Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8
Houston vs Kansas City Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+112
-123
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
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O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals on April 26, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
TOR@SEA | OVER 7 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
LAD@MIL | UNDER 7.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | OVER 8 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
TOR@NYY | CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
NYY@TOR | OVER 7.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
LAD@PHI | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | CHC -109 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
SD@CHC | OVER 7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
SD@CHC | CHC -111 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
BOS@NYY | OVER 7 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
CIN@LAD | ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
ARI@SD | SD -131 | 57.3% | 4 | WIN |
DET@BOS | BOS -115 | 56.4% | 5 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |