Phillies vs. Mets
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 23 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-21T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to face off on April 23, 2025, at Citi Field in the final game of their midweek series. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in the National League East standings with a pivotal divisional matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 23, 2025

Start Time: 1:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (17-7)

Phillies Record: (13-11)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -122

NYM Moneyline: +103

PHI Spread: -1.5

NYM Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a solid performance against the spread recently.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The Mets have struggled against the spread at home, covering the run line in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last 5 meetings between the Phillies and Mets, the total has gone UNDER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward low-scoring games in this matchup.

PHI vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Philadelphia vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/23/25

The April 23, 2025 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets at Citi Field caps off a critical early-season divisional series between two long-standing National League East rivals. Both teams are navigating stretches marked by inconsistency and opportunity, aiming to generate momentum as April transitions into May. The Phillies enter with a slightly better record and more offensive consistency, while the Mets are looking to find their rhythm at home, where they’ve yet to capitalize fully on their home-field advantage. This finale could serve as a turning point for either club, especially within a division where wins over direct rivals carry additional weight. On the mound, the Phillies will send out right-hander Cristopher Sánchez, who enters the game with a 2-0 record and a solid 3.68 ERA. Sánchez has been reliable through the early season, mixing a heavy sinker with a sharp changeup that has helped neutralize right-handed hitters and induce ground balls. His ability to work deep into games and control the strike zone has provided stability to a rotation that has seen its share of turnover. Opposing him will be Mets veteran right-hander Luis Severino, who is still finding his footing in his first full season with the team. Severino holds a 1-1 record and a 4.91 ERA and has shown flashes of dominance, though command issues have occasionally led to high pitch counts and early exits.

Offensively, the Phillies have been driven by the hot bat of Bryce Harper, who is again proving to be the heart of their lineup. He’s gotten help from Alec Bohm and Trea Turner, both of whom are producing at a high clip and keeping pressure on opposing pitchers. The Mets, on the other hand, have been more reliant on Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor for run production, though they’ve struggled at times with timely hitting and strikeout avoidance. This game may come down to which lineup can break through early and which bullpen holds stronger late, as both teams have experienced mixed results from their relief corps. With the Phillies seeking to widen their gap in the standings and the Mets desperate to hold serve at home, the finale is expected to be competitive, emotionally charged, and potentially season-defining as both clubs attempt to establish dominance in one of baseball’s tightest divisions. The nuances of situational hitting, defensive execution, and pitch sequencing will be pivotal, and both teams are expected to approach this one with the urgency of a late-season series—even in April. Whether it ends as a statement win for Philadelphia or a rallying point for New York, this matchup promises drama, energy, and the kind of intensity only a true division rivalry can deliver.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter the final game of their three-game series against the New York Mets with the poise and purpose of a team determined to make a statement in the NL East, fueled by a strong early-season performance that has them playing well on the road and executing across all facets of the game. Sitting above .500 and maintaining pace in a tight division race, the Phillies have blended power hitting, steady pitching, and improved defense to form a well-rounded unit capable of contending nightly. Leading the charge is Bryce Harper, whose bat continues to anchor the lineup with elite plate discipline, gap-to-gap power, and an innate ability to deliver in big moments. Harper is joined by Trea Turner, whose top-of-the-lineup presence combines elite speed and contact ability, forcing opposing pitchers to stay honest and often setting the table for the middle of the order. Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have provided consistent run production as well, helping the Phillies stretch their lineup and maintain pressure deep into games. On the mound, Cristopher Sánchez takes the ball with a 2-0 record and a 3.68 ERA, emerging early this season as one of Philadelphia’s most reliable starters. Sánchez thrives on soft contact, mixing a heavy sinker with a deceptive changeup and staying in the strike zone to minimize walks—a key trait when navigating a power-heavy lineup like the Mets’.

If Sánchez can work ahead in the count and limit leadoff baserunners, he’ll give the Phillies a strong chance to hand the game over to a bullpen that’s been mostly dependable, with José Alvarado and Seranthony Domínguez anchoring the late innings. Defensively, Philadelphia has shown clear improvement from recent years, with Bohm solidifying third base and Turner bringing stability up the middle. The Phillies’ road performance has also been notable—they’ve played confidently in hostile environments, thanks in part to their experienced core and a team culture that embraces pressure situations. Manager Rob Thomson has pushed the right buttons, balancing rest days and bullpen usage effectively to keep the roster fresh during the season’s grind. Against a Mets team that’s still searching for consistency, the Phillies will look to jump out early, get Harper and Turner multiple at-bats with runners on base, and avoid falling into late-inning holes where New York’s bullpen can settle in. With a chance to win the series and gain a psychological edge over a divisional rival, this game carries more weight than your average April matchup. The Phillies’ formula—quality starts, timely hitting, aggressive base running, and defensive sharpness—has worked well thus far, and if they execute once again, they could exit Queens with not just a victory, but another step forward in what’s shaping up to be a formidable campaign in the NL East.

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to face off on April 23, 2025, at Citi Field in the final game of their midweek series. Both teams are looking to gain momentum in the National League East standings with a pivotal divisional matchup. Philadelphia vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets return to Citi Field for the final game of their three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies with a mix of urgency and cautious optimism, aiming to secure a win that could stabilize their position in the standings and shift the tone of their season. After a rollercoaster start that has left them hovering around the .500 mark, the Mets find themselves needing to capitalize on home games, especially against division rivals like Philadelphia who are currently outpacing them in both consistency and execution. Offensively, the Mets still carry firepower capable of turning games in their favor—led by Pete Alonso, whose power-hitting remains one of the most potent threats in the league. Alonso’s ability to change the game with one swing is invaluable, but the Mets need more consistent contributions from other key figures such as Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo, both of whom have had streaky starts to the season. Lindor in particular is critical not just for his offense but for his leadership and impact on the field; when he’s firing on all cylinders, the team tends to follow suit. Starting for the Mets is Luis Severino, who enters with a 1-1 record and a 4.91 ERA in his first season with New York. Severino has shown flashes of his former dominant self but has struggled with command and pitch efficiency at times, often running high pitch counts early and leaving the bullpen with too much to do.

For the Mets to win this game, Severino will need to command the strike zone early and navigate a dangerous Phillies lineup that features some of the league’s toughest outs in Harper and Turner. New York’s bullpen has been serviceable but inconsistent, with moments of brilliance offset by lapses in late-inning control, and maintaining composure in high-leverage situations has become a recurring theme for this group. Defensively, the Mets have been relatively clean but not elite, and in close divisional matchups, even small misplays can swing momentum dramatically. The team’s recent struggles against the spread at home point to difficulties maintaining leads and producing offensively in pressure situations, something they’ll need to reverse to gain ground in the standings. Manager Carlos Mendoza continues to work through lineup configurations and bullpen usage strategies, seeking a formula that brings out the best in a roster that clearly has the talent but not yet the cohesion. A win in the series finale would not only give the Mets a needed morale boost, but also a chance to reassert themselves as legitimate contenders in the NL East. With the crowd behind them and a strong divisional rival in front of them, the Mets will need sharp pitching, timely offense, and mistake-free defense to secure a victory and set a stronger tone as they move deeper into the spring schedule. If they can execute across all phases, this game could mark a pivotal shift toward the consistency they’ve been searching for all season.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Mets play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Apr can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Phillies and Mets and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on New York Mets’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mets team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Phillies vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a solid performance against the spread recently.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have struggled against the spread at home, covering the run line in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

Phillies vs. Mets Matchup Trends

In the last 5 meetings between the Phillies and Mets, the total has gone UNDER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward low-scoring games in this matchup.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Game Info

Philadelphia vs New York Mets starts on April 23, 2025 at 1:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -122, New York Mets +103
Over/Under: 7.5

Philadelphia: (13-11)  |  New York Mets: (17-7)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Alonso over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In the last 5 meetings between the Phillies and Mets, the total has gone UNDER 4 times, suggesting a trend toward low-scoring games in this matchup.

PHI trend: The Phillies have covered the run line in 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a solid performance against the spread recently.

NYM trend: The Mets have struggled against the spread at home, covering the run line in only 3 of their last 10 home games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs New York Mets Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -122
NYM Moneyline: +103
PHI Spread: -1.5
NYM Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Philadelphia vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Mets on April 23, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS