Yankees vs. Guardians
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 21 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-19T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New York Yankees (13–8) visit the Cleveland Guardians (12–9) on April 21, 2025, at Progressive Field in a matchup between two teams aiming to solidify their standings in the American League. The Yankees, leading the AL East, look to extend their momentum, while the Guardians, just half a game behind the AL Central lead, aim to leverage their strong home performance.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 21, 2025

Start Time: 6:10 PM EST​

Venue: Progressive Field​

Guardians Record: (12-9)

Yankees Record: (14-8)

OPENING ODDS

NYY Moneyline: -121

CLE Moneyline: +101

NYY Spread: -1.5

CLE Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

NYY
Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing their ability to outperform expectations.

CLE
Betting Trends

  • The Guardians have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 5 of their 6 home games this season.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Yankees have a +30 run differential, indicating their offensive strength, while the Guardians have a -4 run differential, suggesting closer games that could impact spread outcomes.

NYY vs. CLE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.

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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/21/25

The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians prepare to face off on April 21, 2025, at Progressive Field in what shapes up to be a compelling American League showdown between two early-season contenders. The Yankees enter the contest with a 13–8 record, perched atop the AL East thanks to a red-hot offense and strong pitching depth. Aaron Judge has been the engine driving their success, leading the league with six home runs and 17 RBIs while anchoring a lineup that ranks near the top in batting average (.288) and OPS (.997). The Yankees have been executing with runners in scoring position, delivering timely extra-base hits and manufacturing runs through aggressive baserunning. Their pitching staff has been similarly effective, combining solid starts with a lockdown bullpen that has helped them maintain a +30 run differential through the first three weeks of the season. After taking two of three against the Toronto Blue Jays and dominating several recent opponents, the Yankees arrive in Cleveland with momentum and a lineup that’s clicking across all nine spots. On the other side, the Cleveland Guardians continue to assert themselves as legitimate contenders in the AL Central, posting a 12–9 record and trailing the division lead by just half a game. Their performance at home has been a major strength, as they’ve gone 5–1 at Progressive Field this season, with clutch hitting and sharp pitching propelling them past teams that, on paper, may look more imposing. José Ramírez remains the centerpiece of the Guardians’ offense, providing consistency and power in the heart of the order while the supporting cast—featuring young, versatile hitters like Steven Kwan and Andrés Giménez—has shown a knack for small-ball execution and situational awareness.

While Cleveland’s -4 run differential points to narrow margins in many of their wins, it also highlights their resilience and ability to close out tight games. Their bullpen has been excellent in preserving leads, and their starting rotation, while lacking marquee names, has performed above expectations. The Guardians know that to keep pace with the Yankees’ firepower, they’ll need to play clean, error-free baseball and limit free passes on the mound. Their disciplined defensive approach and strong home-field energy could make this game a grind-it-out battle, especially if they’re able to keep the Yankees from turning it into a slugfest. Ultimately, this matchup pits the Yankees’ explosive offense and star-driven roster against the Guardians’ tactical execution and home-field consistency. If New York gets an early lead, their pitching staff has proven adept at holding it down and closing games with authority. However, Cleveland thrives in the role of spoiler, and their ability to win close games—particularly at home—makes them a dangerous opponent. The game could come down to how each bullpen handles high-leverage situations, and whether Cleveland’s contact-heavy lineup can string together timely hits to disrupt the Yankees’ rhythm. For the Yankees, maintaining their aggressive approach at the plate and continuing to get quality innings from their rotation will be critical. For the Guardians, it’s about containment, exploiting defensive miscues, and capitalizing on limited scoring chances. With both teams eyeing divisional momentum, this AL clash promises intensity, strategy, and playoff-like energy despite it being only April.

New York Yankees Yankees MLB Preview

The New York Yankees arrive at Progressive Field on April 21, 2025, riding a wave of momentum and confidence as they look to build on their 13–8 record and maintain their lead atop the AL East. Their season thus far has been defined by a balanced attack, elite production from the middle of the order, and a rejuvenated pitching staff that has supported a +30 run differential—the best in the American League at this stage. Aaron Judge is once again playing at an MVP-caliber level, leading the league with six home runs and 17 RBIs while batting .309 with a 1.041 OPS, providing power and leadership from the second spot in the order. But this Yankees offense is far from one-dimensional: Anthony Volpe has taken a leap in his second full season, getting on base at a high clip and swiping bags, while Gleyber Torres and Giancarlo Stanton have provided steady contributions in run-producing roles. The team’s .288 batting average and collective patience at the plate have led to frequent big innings, and opposing pitchers have had trouble finding safe spots to navigate through the lineup. Heading into Cleveland, the Yankees will look to keep applying pressure early and often, especially in the hitter-friendly conditions Progressive Field can offer on warmer spring evenings. On the mound, the Yankees have quietly put together one of the most efficient starting rotations in the league despite dealing with early injuries. Gerrit Cole’s absence hasn’t derailed the staff thanks to steady efforts from Nestor Cortes, Carlos Rodón, and Clarke Schmidt, who’ve all contributed quality innings and kept the bullpen from being overtaxed. The bullpen itself remains one of New York’s biggest strengths, anchored by Clay Holmes and Tommy Kahnle, with Michael King offering versatile, multi-inning relief.

Their ability to protect leads has been a critical part of the Yankees’ winning formula, and heading into this matchup against the Guardians—who thrive on timely hitting in close games—the late-inning arms will again be in the spotlight. From a defensive standpoint, the Yankees have improved over last season, particularly with Volpe and DJ LeMahieu providing infield stability and Judge making highlight plays in right field. Their aggressive defensive shifts and improved communication have helped limit extra-base hits and minimize unearned runs. As they face the Guardians, the Yankees understand they’re up against a team that plays smart, fundamentally sound baseball, particularly at home where Cleveland boasts a 5–1 record. But the Yankees have proven their ability to win on the road, covering the spread in six of their last eight games and demonstrating a consistency that has eluded them in recent Aprils. For manager Aaron Boone, the message remains clear: stay disciplined at the plate, play clean defense, and let the pitching staff dictate the tempo. With Judge leading the charge and the supporting cast stepping up at key moments, the Yankees enter this game as a confident, well-rounded club looking to capitalize on Cleveland’s narrow margins and continue their pursuit of early-season dominance. A win in this matchup not only reinforces their status as AL frontrunners—it further proves that this version of the Yankees might have the depth, chemistry, and staying power to contend deep into October.

The New York Yankees (13–8) visit the Cleveland Guardians (12–9) on April 21, 2025, at Progressive Field in a matchup between two teams aiming to solidify their standings in the American League. The Yankees, leading the AL East, look to extend their momentum, while the Guardians, just half a game behind the AL Central lead, aim to leverage their strong home performance. New York Yankees vs Cleveland AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 21. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Cleveland Guardians MLB Preview

The Cleveland Guardians enter their April 21, 2025, matchup against the visiting New York Yankees with a 12–9 record and a clear sense of purpose, aiming to protect their 5–1 home record and pull even closer to the top of the AL Central standings. While their run differential sits slightly in the red at -4, the Guardians have embraced their identity as a team built on sharp pitching, fundamental defense, and situational offense—a contrast to the power-heavy Yankees. José Ramírez continues to lead by example both on and off the field, hitting .295 with 4 home runs and 16 RBIs, providing much-needed consistency and clutch production in the middle of the lineup. Around him, young contributors like Steven Kwan and Andrés Giménez have embraced their roles, with Kwan setting the table at the top of the order and Giménez providing timely hits in the bottom third of the lineup. The Guardians’ offensive game plan is rooted in patience, contact, and smart baserunning, allowing them to stay competitive in close games and often scrape together late-inning rallies. They understand they won’t outslug teams like the Yankees, but what they lack in raw power, they make up for in grit, execution, and a disciplined approach that’s difficult to rattle—especially at Progressive Field, where their style tends to flourish. On the pitching side, Cleveland continues to find value and performance from a rotation that doesn’t feature a household ace but gets the job done through consistency and command. Their starters have kept games within reach throughout April, frequently pitching into the sixth inning and handing leads or ties over to a bullpen that ranks among the best in the AL in ERA and WHIP. Closer Emmanuel Clase remains a dominant presence in the ninth inning, regularly sitting in the high 90s with his cutter and pounding the strike zone with unshakable confidence. Middle relief arms like Trevor Stephan and Sam Hentges have also impressed, allowing manager Stephen Vogt to mix and match effectively based on handedness and leverage situations.

The Guardians’ defense has played a pivotal role in that success, ranking among the league’s most efficient in converting balls in play into outs. From Kwan’s range in left field to Giménez’s glove work at second, Cleveland minimizes mistakes and forces opponents to earn every run—a critical element in games that are often decided by one or two at-bats. Against the Yankees’ stacked lineup, keeping the ball on the ground and avoiding extra-base hits will be key, as will executing double plays and throwing strikes to avoid giving away free bases. As they look ahead to Game 1 of this series, the Guardians know the task won’t be easy, but they also know their blueprint works when followed with discipline and energy. They’ve covered the spread in five of their six home games and tend to elevate their level in front of their Progressive Field crowd, especially against elite opponents like the Yankees. If the pitching staff can keep Aaron Judge and company from hitting early home runs and the offense can manufacture a few runs through aggressive contact and smart situational hitting, Cleveland has the pieces in place to steal momentum. More than anything, this game is an opportunity for the Guardians to prove that they belong in the early-season conversation as not just AL Central contenders—but a team capable of winning against any club in the American League. Expect them to approach this matchup with focus, calculated aggression, and the kind of team-first mentality that has defined their rise over the past two seasons.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Yankees and Guardians play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Progressive Field in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Yankees and Guardians and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the growing factor human bettors tend to put on Cleveland’s strength factors between a Yankees team going up against a possibly strong Guardians team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New York Yankees vs Cleveland picks, computer picks Yankees vs Guardians, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Yankees Betting Trends

The Yankees have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing their ability to outperform expectations.

Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 5 of their 6 home games this season.

Yankees vs. Guardians Matchup Trends

The Yankees have a +30 run differential, indicating their offensive strength, while the Guardians have a -4 run differential, suggesting closer games that could impact spread outcomes.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Game Info

New York Yankees vs Cleveland starts on April 21, 2025 at 6:10 PM EST.

Spread: Cleveland +1.5
Moneyline: New York Yankees -121, Cleveland +101
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees: (14-8)  |  Cleveland: (12-9)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Manzardo over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Yankees have a +30 run differential, indicating their offensive strength, while the Guardians have a -4 run differential, suggesting closer games that could impact spread outcomes.

NYY trend: The Yankees have covered the spread in 6 of their last 8 games, showcasing their ability to outperform expectations.

CLE trend: The Guardians have been formidable at home, covering the spread in 5 of their 6 home games this season.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New York Yankees vs Cleveland trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Opening Odds

NYY Moneyline: -121
CLE Moneyline: +101
NYY Spread: -1.5
CLE Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
In Progress
Reds
Brewers
7
4
-50000
+3500
-2.5 (-800)
+2.5 (+450)
O 13.5 (-105)
U 13.5 (-125)
In Progress
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
In Progress
Diamondbacks
Padres
1
5
+1700
-10000
+4.5 (-178)
-4.5 (+132)
O 8.5 (+124)
U 8.5 (-166)
In Progress
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
In Progress
Astros
Angels
2
0
-350
+255
-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-130)
O 8.5 (-114)
U 8.5 (-114)
In Progress
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
In Progress
Dodgers
Mariners
0
0
+118
-150
+1.5 (-240)
-1.5 (+174)
O 4.5 (-146)
U 4.5 (+110)
In Progress
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
In Progress
Royals
Athletics
1
0
-115
-111
-1.5 (+134)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10.5 (-114)
U 10.5 (-114)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/28/25 3:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+160
-190
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+108)
O 8.5 (-122)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/28/25 3:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+240
-295
+1.5 (+126)
-1.5 (-152)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/28/25 3:06PM
Twins
Phillies
+180
-215
+1.5 (-125)
-1.5 (+104)
O 8 (-122)
U 8 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/28/25 3:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
-102
-116
-1.5 (+164)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:08PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/28/25 3:08PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+166
-198
+1.5 (-134)
-1.5 (+112)
O 7.5 (-122)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 28, 2025 3:10PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/28/25 3:10PM
Dodgers
Mariners
-108
-108
-1.5 (+146)
+1.5 (-178)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/28/25 3:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+110
-130
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+164)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 28, 2025 3:16PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/28/25 3:16PM
Pirates
Braves
+184
-220
+1.5 (-115)
-1.5 (-104)
O 7.5 (-105)
U 7.5 (-115)
Sep 28, 2025 3:20PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/28/25 3:20PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-165
pk
pk
Sep 30, 2025 2:30PM EDT
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
9/30/25 2:30PM
Padres
Cubs
+101
-123
pk
pk

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New York Yankees Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians on April 21, 2025 at Progressive Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS