Phillies vs. Cardinals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

On April 11, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies (8–4) will face the St. Louis Cardinals (5–7) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Phillies aim to continue their strong start to the season, while the Cardinals look to rebound from recent struggles and improve their home record.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 11, 2025

Start Time: 8:15 PM EST​

Venue: Busch Stadium​

Cardinals Record: (5-7)

Phillies Record: (8-4)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -139

STL Moneyline: +117

PHI Spread: -1.5

STL Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

PHI
Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.

STL
Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

PHI vs. STL
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Burleson over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Philadelphia vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/11/25

The April 11, 2025 matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium presents a compelling National League clash between two franchises with playoff ambitions but early-season contrasts. The Phillies enter the game with an 8–4 record and a lineup clicking into form, thanks in large part to steady contributions from power hitters and a bullpen that has been dependable in tight games. While Kyle Schwarber leads the team with two home runs and has delivered in critical moments, it’s been a team-wide offensive effort that has propelled Philadelphia to average over five runs per contest. Their road record sits at 2–2, but their recent 4–1 ATS mark against losing teams on the road speaks to their growing confidence in handling business away from home. On the mound, Aaron Nola will start despite an 0–2 record and a 6.35 ERA, aiming to turn his individual performance around while continuing to provide innings and leadership in the rotation. The Phillies’ formula of high-contact hitting, selective power, and tight late-game pitching has worked well early in the year—and they’ll look to apply that pressure against a Cardinals team that has struggled to generate consistent momentum. The Cardinals, at 5–7, are off to a frustratingly uneven start and will be looking to lean on home-field advantage, where they’ve posted a respectable 4–2 record. Offensively, Nolan Arenado remains the most reliable bat, slashing .308 with his usual blend of gap-to-gap power and sharp defense. However, the broader lineup has failed to consistently support him, leading to sporadic run production and too many low-scoring losses.

The team’s bullpen has held its own late in games, with Ryan Helsley anchoring the ninth inning reliably, but middle relief has been a weak point and left games vulnerable to mid-inning surges by opponents. Right-hander Andre Pallante gets the nod for the start, carrying a 1–0 record and 3.86 ERA. Pallante has looked sharp in his early outings, mixing a heavy sinker and sharp slider to induce ground balls, which is a welcome sight for a rotation that hasn’t provided much length. To pull off a win against a well-rounded Phillies team, the Cardinals will need strong innings from Pallante and more timely hits from players beyond Arenado, including Paul Goldschmidt and Lars Nootbaar. This game sets the tone for a three-game series that could be pivotal for the Cardinals as they attempt to stabilize after a rocky start. For the Phillies, it’s about staying hot and proving they can win not just at Citizens Bank Park but also on the road in tough environments like Busch Stadium. Both teams come into the matchup with opposite strengths: Philadelphia with a deep lineup and surging offense, and St. Louis with strong individual performers and a hopeful pitching outlook. If Nola can rebound from his early-season struggles and get back to his All-Star-caliber command, the Phillies will be well-positioned to secure the opener. Conversely, if the Cardinals can strike early and hand a late lead to their bullpen, they’ll have the tools to hold off the Phillies’ late-game push. It’s a classic matchup of explosive bats versus calculated pitching, and the outcome may very well hinge on which starter can set the tone early and which lineup can deliver the clutch hit first.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies come into Busch Stadium on April 11 riding the momentum of a strong 8–4 start that has them perched near the top of the NL East. After reaching the postseason in consecutive years, the Phillies have kicked off 2025 with an offense that remains dangerous, averaging over five runs per game while flashing power and plate discipline. Leading the way is Kyle Schwarber, who has already clubbed two home runs and delivered in high-leverage moments. Alongside him, Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have provided a balanced offensive presence, combining speed, contact, and leadership to drive the club’s early success. The Phillies’ lineup is deep and versatile, capable of stringing together hits or putting pressure on defenses with aggressive base running. With multiple hitters capable of changing the game with one swing, Philadelphia has shown they can score in bunches or chip away inning by inning—traits that serve them well, especially on the road. On the mound, Aaron Nola gets the ball despite a rocky start to his 2025 campaign. He enters the game with an 0–2 record and a 6.35 ERA, numbers that don’t reflect his pedigree or importance to the Phillies’ rotation. Nola has struggled with command at times, giving up extra-base hits and working through some uncharacteristic inefficiency, but the coaching staff remains confident that his track record will soon translate into results. He’ll face a St. Louis offense that has been inconsistent, giving him a chance to reset and provide the team with a much-needed quality start.

Behind Nola, the Phillies’ bullpen has held up well, anchored by Seranthony Domínguez and José Alvarado, both of whom have shown an ability to handle high-leverage innings with poise. When the starters deliver length, the Phillies’ relief corps has proven capable of closing the door, a key component in their 8-win start. Defensively, Philadelphia has been crisp and reliable, minimizing mistakes and turning big plays in crucial spots to protect leads. The infield, particularly Turner and Alec Bohm, has shown strong glove work, while J.T. Realmuto continues to be one of the most valuable two-way catchers in the game. Heading into this road matchup, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five away games against teams with a losing record—suggesting a team that understands the value of handling business against underperforming clubs. To extend their strong start, the Phillies will need a steady outing from Nola, continued production from the heart of the order, and a tight defensive effort to suppress any St. Louis rallies. A win on the road would not only boost their standing in the East but also reinforce the notion that Philadelphia is poised for another deep run in October. With veterans leading the way and young talent stepping up, the Phillies enter St. Louis with the confidence and firepower to make a statement.

On April 11, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies (8–4) will face the St. Louis Cardinals (5–7) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Phillies aim to continue their strong start to the season, while the Cardinals look to rebound from recent struggles and improve their home record. Philadelphia vs St. Louis AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals return home to Busch Stadium for their April 11 matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 5–7 record and a sense of growing urgency. While their early-season performance has been uneven, they’ve been more effective at home with a 4–2 record, showing glimpses of the team they aspire to be. Nolan Arenado continues to be the cornerstone of the Cardinals’ offense, hitting .308 with steady production and elite defensive contributions at third base. However, the supporting cast has struggled to consistently drive in runs, with Paul Goldschmidt, Lars Nootbaar, and Jordan Walker all seeking more offensive rhythm. The Cardinals are averaging just over four runs per game, but most of that production has been clustered in a few innings, with long stretches of offensive silence putting extra strain on their pitching staff. The challenge for St. Louis has been converting base runners into runs, as they’ve often failed to capitalize in high-leverage situations—a problem that must be addressed quickly if they hope to contend in a tightly packed NL Central. On the mound, right-hander Andre Pallante will make the start, aiming to stabilize the rotation and build on his 1–0 record with a 3.86 ERA. Pallante is known for his ability to generate ground balls with a heavy sinker, which plays well in the spacious confines of Busch Stadium and against an aggressive Phillies lineup. He’s shown composure in early outings and has done a solid job limiting walks, but the key to his success will be keeping Philadelphia’s sluggers in the ballpark.

The bullpen has been up and down to start the year—closer Ryan Helsley has been sharp when handed the ball with a lead, but middle relief has faltered, allowing opposing teams to break games open during the sixth and seventh innings. Manager Oliver Marmol may need to be aggressive with matchups and lean on high-leverage arms earlier than usual to keep the game within reach. If Pallante can navigate the Phillies’ order twice through without significant damage, the bullpen has the potential to hold down the late innings. Defensively, the Cardinals have remained one of the more dependable teams in baseball. Their ability to turn double plays and maintain positional discipline has helped limit scoring chances for opponents, and this remains a strong suit as they look to shore up other areas. Friday night’s game presents a tough challenge against a deep Philadelphia team, but the Cardinals have historically played well at home, especially when their starters provide a competitive foundation. The key will be early offense—if they can push across runs early and give Pallante a cushion, the team can lean on its defense and bullpen to grind out a much-needed win. For St. Louis, this is more than just a game—it’s an opportunity to shift momentum, restore confidence, and signal that they remain serious players in the National League. A victory over a hot Phillies team could serve as a catalyst for a turnaround before the season gains more steam.

Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Busch Stadium in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Burleson over 0.5 Total Bases.

Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Phillies and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on St. Louis’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Cardinals team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Phillies vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.

Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends

In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Game Info

Philadelphia vs St. Louis starts on April 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM EST.

Spread: St. Louis +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -139, St. Louis +117
Over/Under: 7.5

Philadelphia: (8-4)  |  St. Louis: (5-7)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Burleson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.

PHI trend: The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.

STL trend: The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs St. Louis Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -139
STL Moneyline: +117
PHI Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Philadelphia vs St. Louis Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals on April 11, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN