Phillies vs. Cardinals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On April 11, 2025, the Philadelphia Phillies (8–4) will face the St. Louis Cardinals (5–7) at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. The Phillies aim to continue their strong start to the season, while the Cardinals look to rebound from recent struggles and improve their home record.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 8:15 PM EST
Venue: Busch Stadium
Cardinals Record: (5-7)
Phillies Record: (8-4)
OPENING ODDS
PHI Moneyline: -139
STL Moneyline: +117
PHI Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
PHI
Betting Trends
- The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.
STL
Betting Trends
- The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.
PHI vs. STL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Burleson over 0.5 Total Bases.
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Philadelphia vs St. Louis Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/11/25
The team’s bullpen has held its own late in games, with Ryan Helsley anchoring the ninth inning reliably, but middle relief has been a weak point and left games vulnerable to mid-inning surges by opponents. Right-hander Andre Pallante gets the nod for the start, carrying a 1–0 record and 3.86 ERA. Pallante has looked sharp in his early outings, mixing a heavy sinker and sharp slider to induce ground balls, which is a welcome sight for a rotation that hasn’t provided much length. To pull off a win against a well-rounded Phillies team, the Cardinals will need strong innings from Pallante and more timely hits from players beyond Arenado, including Paul Goldschmidt and Lars Nootbaar. This game sets the tone for a three-game series that could be pivotal for the Cardinals as they attempt to stabilize after a rocky start. For the Phillies, it’s about staying hot and proving they can win not just at Citizens Bank Park but also on the road in tough environments like Busch Stadium. Both teams come into the matchup with opposite strengths: Philadelphia with a deep lineup and surging offense, and St. Louis with strong individual performers and a hopeful pitching outlook. If Nola can rebound from his early-season struggles and get back to his All-Star-caliber command, the Phillies will be well-positioned to secure the opener. Conversely, if the Cardinals can strike early and hand a late lead to their bullpen, they’ll have the tools to hold off the Phillies’ late-game push. It’s a classic matchup of explosive bats versus calculated pitching, and the outcome may very well hinge on which starter can set the tone early and which lineup can deliver the clutch hit first.
+1 Phils pic.twitter.com/7vz6XeEyEN
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) April 11, 2025
Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies come into Busch Stadium on April 11 riding the momentum of a strong 8–4 start that has them perched near the top of the NL East. After reaching the postseason in consecutive years, the Phillies have kicked off 2025 with an offense that remains dangerous, averaging over five runs per game while flashing power and plate discipline. Leading the way is Kyle Schwarber, who has already clubbed two home runs and delivered in high-leverage moments. Alongside him, Bryce Harper and Trea Turner have provided a balanced offensive presence, combining speed, contact, and leadership to drive the club’s early success. The Phillies’ lineup is deep and versatile, capable of stringing together hits or putting pressure on defenses with aggressive base running. With multiple hitters capable of changing the game with one swing, Philadelphia has shown they can score in bunches or chip away inning by inning—traits that serve them well, especially on the road. On the mound, Aaron Nola gets the ball despite a rocky start to his 2025 campaign. He enters the game with an 0–2 record and a 6.35 ERA, numbers that don’t reflect his pedigree or importance to the Phillies’ rotation. Nola has struggled with command at times, giving up extra-base hits and working through some uncharacteristic inefficiency, but the coaching staff remains confident that his track record will soon translate into results. He’ll face a St. Louis offense that has been inconsistent, giving him a chance to reset and provide the team with a much-needed quality start.
Behind Nola, the Phillies’ bullpen has held up well, anchored by Seranthony Domínguez and José Alvarado, both of whom have shown an ability to handle high-leverage innings with poise. When the starters deliver length, the Phillies’ relief corps has proven capable of closing the door, a key component in their 8-win start. Defensively, Philadelphia has been crisp and reliable, minimizing mistakes and turning big plays in crucial spots to protect leads. The infield, particularly Turner and Alec Bohm, has shown strong glove work, while J.T. Realmuto continues to be one of the most valuable two-way catchers in the game. Heading into this road matchup, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five away games against teams with a losing record—suggesting a team that understands the value of handling business against underperforming clubs. To extend their strong start, the Phillies will need a steady outing from Nola, continued production from the heart of the order, and a tight defensive effort to suppress any St. Louis rallies. A win on the road would not only boost their standing in the East but also reinforce the notion that Philadelphia is poised for another deep run in October. With veterans leading the way and young talent stepping up, the Phillies enter St. Louis with the confidence and firepower to make a statement.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals return home to Busch Stadium for their April 11 matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 5–7 record and a sense of growing urgency. While their early-season performance has been uneven, they’ve been more effective at home with a 4–2 record, showing glimpses of the team they aspire to be. Nolan Arenado continues to be the cornerstone of the Cardinals’ offense, hitting .308 with steady production and elite defensive contributions at third base. However, the supporting cast has struggled to consistently drive in runs, with Paul Goldschmidt, Lars Nootbaar, and Jordan Walker all seeking more offensive rhythm. The Cardinals are averaging just over four runs per game, but most of that production has been clustered in a few innings, with long stretches of offensive silence putting extra strain on their pitching staff. The challenge for St. Louis has been converting base runners into runs, as they’ve often failed to capitalize in high-leverage situations—a problem that must be addressed quickly if they hope to contend in a tightly packed NL Central. On the mound, right-hander Andre Pallante will make the start, aiming to stabilize the rotation and build on his 1–0 record with a 3.86 ERA. Pallante is known for his ability to generate ground balls with a heavy sinker, which plays well in the spacious confines of Busch Stadium and against an aggressive Phillies lineup. He’s shown composure in early outings and has done a solid job limiting walks, but the key to his success will be keeping Philadelphia’s sluggers in the ballpark.
The bullpen has been up and down to start the year—closer Ryan Helsley has been sharp when handed the ball with a lead, but middle relief has faltered, allowing opposing teams to break games open during the sixth and seventh innings. Manager Oliver Marmol may need to be aggressive with matchups and lean on high-leverage arms earlier than usual to keep the game within reach. If Pallante can navigate the Phillies’ order twice through without significant damage, the bullpen has the potential to hold down the late innings. Defensively, the Cardinals have remained one of the more dependable teams in baseball. Their ability to turn double plays and maintain positional discipline has helped limit scoring chances for opponents, and this remains a strong suit as they look to shore up other areas. Friday night’s game presents a tough challenge against a deep Philadelphia team, but the Cardinals have historically played well at home, especially when their starters provide a competitive foundation. The key will be early offense—if they can push across runs early and give Pallante a cushion, the team can lean on its defense and bullpen to grind out a much-needed win. For St. Louis, this is more than just a game—it’s an opportunity to shift momentum, restore confidence, and signal that they remain serious players in the National League. A victory over a hot Phillies team could serve as a catalyst for a turnaround before the season gains more steam.
Jordan Walker singles for the lead! pic.twitter.com/3xMtbKUWBu
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) April 9, 2025
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Prop Picks (AI)
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Phillies and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on St. Louis’s strength factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Cardinals team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs St. Louis picks, computer picks Phillies vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.
Cardinals Betting Trends
The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends
In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Game Info
What time does Philadelphia vs St. Louis start on April 11, 2025?
Philadelphia vs St. Louis starts on April 11, 2025 at 8:15 PM EST.
Where is Philadelphia vs St. Louis being played?
Venue: Busch Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Philadelphia vs St. Louis?
Spread: St. Louis +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -139, St. Louis +117
Over/Under: 7.5
What are the records for Philadelphia vs St. Louis?
Philadelphia: (8-4) | St. Louis: (5-7)
What is the AI best bet for Philadelphia vs St. Louis?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Burleson over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Philadelphia vs St. Louis trending bets?
In their last five meetings, the Phillies and Cardinals have alternated wins, with the over hitting in three of those games. Notably, the Phillies are 4–1 against the spread in their last five road games against teams with a losing record.
What are Philadelphia trending bets?
PHI trend: The Phillies have a 2–2 record on the road this season, indicating mixed performances against the spread in away games.
What are St. Louis trending bets?
STL trend: The Cardinals hold a 4–2 home record, reflecting stronger performances against the spread at Busch Stadium.
Where can I find AI Picks for Philadelphia vs St. Louis?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs St. Louis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Philadelphia vs St. Louis Opening Odds
PHI Moneyline:
-139 STL Moneyline: +117
PHI Spread: -1.5
STL Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7.5
Philadelphia vs St. Louis Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
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Orioles
Yankees
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
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Cardinals
Cubs
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–
–
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-180
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-1.5 (+115)
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O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
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–
–
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+130
-155
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+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
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–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
|
–
–
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+185
-225
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
|
–
–
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-130
+110
|
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
|
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
|
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
|
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
|
|
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
|
–
–
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+145
-175
|
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
|
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
|
–
–
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+135
-165
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+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
–
–
|
+115
-140
|
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
|
–
–
|
-165
+135
|
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
|
–
–
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+105
-125
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
|
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
|
–
–
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+100
-120
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-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals on April 11, 2025 at Busch Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |