Braves vs. Rays
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 11 | MLB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-04-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Atlanta Braves (2–9) will face the Tampa Bay Rays (5–7) on April 11, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Both teams are looking to improve their standings early in the season, with the Braves aiming to snap a losing streak and the Rays seeking consistency at home.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Apr 11, 2025
Start Time: 7:05 PM EST
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field
Rays Record: (5-7)
Braves Record: (3-9)
OPENING ODDS
ATL Moneyline: -100
TB Moneyline: -119
ATL Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Braves have struggled on the road, with a 0–7 away record, indicating challenges in covering the spread during away games.
TB
Betting Trends
- The Rays have a 5–3 home record, suggesting a stronger performance against the spread when playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In their previous meeting on March 21, 2025, during Spring Training, the Braves defeated the Rays 7–3, showcasing their offensive potential against Tampa Bay’s pitching.
ATL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Ozuna over 6 Fantasy Score.
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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/11/25
Their ability to execute in late innings and protect leads has already paid dividends at home, and with Atlanta’s struggles on the road, this matchup offers an ideal opportunity to solidify that home dominance. Tampa Bay will look to apply pressure early, wear down the Braves’ rotation, and trust their bullpen to carry them through the later innings. With a clear statistical edge in ERA and recent form at home, the Rays are poised to take advantage of a Braves team lacking confidence. Meanwhile, Atlanta will need to correct course quickly if they hope to salvage their early season narrative. The Braves’ offense, led by Marcell Ozuna (.286) and Ozzie Albies, has been unable to consistently support a pitching staff that’s posted a 4.50 team ERA and failed to close out winnable games. Atlanta’s biggest issue has been execution in key moments—defensive lapses and runners left in scoring position have plagued them across their nine losses. With an 0–7 road record heading into Tampa, the pressure is mounting for the Braves to shake off their early-season woes and return to fundamentals. This game could represent a turning point: if the pitching staff can limit damage and the lineup capitalizes on scoring opportunities, Atlanta has the talent to turn the tide. Otherwise, they risk falling deeper into a slump that could define their April. For both teams, this game is more than another early-season contest—it’s a momentum-building opportunity that could help reshape trajectories heading into the heart of the month.
“LATE NIGHT DYNAMITE” 🧨 - @IngramRadio with the call pic.twitter.com/WkqYPmpzta
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) April 11, 2025
Atlanta Braves MLB Preview
The Atlanta Braves arrive at George M. Steinbrenner Field on April 11 burdened with a 2–9 record and riding the frustrations of a winless road stretch, having gone 0–7 away from home to open the season. This early slump is unexpected from a franchise accustomed to contending, and while talent remains on the roster, execution and consistency have been elusive. Offensively, the Braves have leaned on Marcell Ozuna, who is hitting .286 and providing some stability in the middle of the order, and Ozzie Albies, who has chipped in with timely power and RBIs. However, outside of those two, the lineup has struggled to string together productive innings, often faltering with runners in scoring position and failing to deliver clutch hits. The Braves’ average run production has dipped below league expectations, creating a dangerous gap between their offensive output and the pressure placed on an underperforming pitching staff. Pitching has been at the heart of Atlanta’s woes in the early going, with a team ERA of 4.50 and few dependable outings from the starting rotation. While the Braves have had moments of brilliance on the mound, they have lacked the consistency needed to control games from the first pitch to the final out.
The bullpen, typically a strength in past seasons, has also had its struggles, frequently allowing games to slip away in the late innings. The defense hasn’t provided much relief either, with lapses in execution contributing to extended innings and unearned runs. For a club that typically prides itself on sharp fundamentals and playoff-caliber depth, this collective underperformance has raised questions early and placed added pressure on manager Brian Snitker to stabilize the ship before the season gets too far off course. As they face the Tampa Bay Rays, the Braves are staring down another tough test. Tampa Bay’s dominant home pitching—backed by a minuscule 1.50 team ERA—means Atlanta must capitalize on any scoring opportunities it can manufacture. This means better plate discipline, working counts, and aggressive yet smart base running to put pressure on a Rays team that doesn’t give up much. Atlanta’s path to victory begins with a strong starting performance that keeps the game close and gives the offense time to find its rhythm. With the core of their roster intact, the Braves certainly have the talent to turn things around—but until they do, every game carries the weight of urgency. Friday’s contest represents both a challenge and a chance: a tough opponent on the road, yes, but also a potential launching point for a much-needed course correction in what’s been a rocky April. If the Braves can find a spark, they still have time to remind the league why they entered the season with high expectations.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays return to George M. Steinbrenner Field for their April 11 showdown against the struggling Atlanta Braves with the aim of building momentum behind what has quietly become one of the most dominant pitching staffs in baseball. Sporting a 5–7 record overall, the Rays have been significantly better at home, going 5–3 in Tampa and showing they can control games with efficient run prevention and well-timed offense. Their league-best 1.50 team ERA has been the bedrock of their competitive edge through the season’s first stretch, keeping them in games even when the bats have gone quiet. Tampa Bay’s ability to deploy versatile and consistent arms both in the rotation and from the bullpen has allowed them to neutralize a variety of opposing lineups, and against a Braves offense that’s still trying to find its identity, the Rays will look to continue that trend with strategic pitching changes and a defense that ranks among the most efficient in the AL. On the offensive side, while the Rays haven’t exploded at the plate, they’ve seen encouraging signs from emerging stars like Junior Caminero, who’s hitting a torrid .444 and carrying much of the offensive load. Caminero’s bat has been dynamic in all phases—providing power, contact, and run production—while Kameron Misner has added timely home runs and extra-base hits to spark rallies. The rest of the lineup, though less consistent, has done enough to support the pitching staff by staying patient, working counts, and capitalizing when mistakes come over the plate.
Their approach—grinding at-bats, putting the ball in play, and using their legs to manufacture runs—fits the mold of Rays baseball and has been especially effective at home, where they’ve been able to apply pressure from the first inning. Tampa’s ability to control the pace of play has made it difficult for visiting teams to establish rhythm, particularly in lower-scoring games where one inning can tip the balance. As they prepare to face an Atlanta team entering at 2–9 with an 0–7 road record, the Rays will look to strike early and rely on their elite pitching to limit the Braves’ opportunities. The focus will be on exploiting Atlanta’s bullpen struggles and forcing the issue with runners in motion and aggressive baserunning. The defense has been sharp behind the pitching, minimizing errors and turning key double plays to get out of jams. Manager Kevin Cash will aim to keep the game tight through the middle innings and trust that his lineup can do just enough to support a bullpen that rarely lets leads slip. If Tampa Bay continues to execute its winning formula—dominant pitching, mistake-free defense, and timely offense—they’ll be in strong position not only to win this game but to build a positive run through the rest of April. For a team built on precision and resilience, games like these are the proving ground for what could again be a postseason-caliber season.
Good Díaz for an early game 😜 pic.twitter.com/WdDM7VkUdm
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) April 10, 2025
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Braves and Rays and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Braves team going up against a possibly strong Rays team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Braves vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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MLB | 9/26 | DET@BOS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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MLB | 9/26 | BAL@NYY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | ARI@SD | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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MLB | 9/26 | NYM@MIA | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
MLB | 9/26 | COL@SF | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.
Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have struggled on the road, with a 0–7 away record, indicating challenges in covering the spread during away games.
Rays Betting Trends
The Rays have a 5–3 home record, suggesting a stronger performance against the spread when playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field
Braves vs. Rays Matchup Trends
In their previous meeting on March 21, 2025, during Spring Training, the Braves defeated the Rays 7–3, showcasing their offensive potential against Tampa Bay’s pitching.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
What time does Atlanta vs Tampa Bay start on April 11, 2025?
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay starts on April 11, 2025 at 7:05 PM EST.
Where is Atlanta vs Tampa Bay being played?
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.
What are the opening odds for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Spread: Tampa Bay -1.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -100, Tampa Bay -119
Over/Under: 8.5
What are the records for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Atlanta: (3-9) | Tampa Bay: (5-7)
What is the AI best bet for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Ozuna over 6 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trending bets?
In their previous meeting on March 21, 2025, during Spring Training, the Braves defeated the Rays 7–3, showcasing their offensive potential against Tampa Bay’s pitching.
What are Atlanta trending bets?
ATL trend: The Braves have struggled on the road, with a 0–7 away record, indicating challenges in covering the spread during away games.
What are Tampa Bay trending bets?
TB trend: The Rays have a 5–3 home record, suggesting a stronger performance against the spread when playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field
Where can I find AI Picks for Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?
See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds
ATL Moneyline:
-100 TB Moneyline: -119
ATL Spread: +1.5
TB Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8.5
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Live Odds
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New York Yankees
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–
–
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+192
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+1.5 (-110)
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O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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U 9.5 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
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–
–
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+135
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+1.5 (-160)
-1.5 (+135)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
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–
–
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+100
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
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Rockies
Giants
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–
–
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+192
-235
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
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O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
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–
–
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-130
+110
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-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
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O 8 (-120)
U 8 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
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–
–
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+110
-130
|
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
|
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
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Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
|
–
–
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+175
-210
|
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
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O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
|
–
–
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+115
-135
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
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–
–
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+150
-178
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+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
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O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
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–
–
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+122
-145
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
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|
–
–
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+118
-140
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+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
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O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
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–
–
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-145
+122
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-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
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O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
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Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
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–
–
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+110
-130
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+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
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O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
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Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
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O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)
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MLB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays on April 11, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
NYM@CHC | NYM -110 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
HOU@ATH | ATH +118 | 50.8% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@CHC | OVER 7 | 54.5% | 3 | WIN |
STL@SF | OVER 7.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
KC@LAA | TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
MIL@SD | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@PHI | KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
LAA@COL | COL +108 | 50.5% | 3 | WIN |
TOR@KC | UNDER 9 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
SEA@KC | KC +1.5 | 62.3% | 5 | LOSS |
NYY@MIN | OVER 9 | 55.1% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | OVER 10.5 | 55.0% | 4 | WIN |
MIA@COL | AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@KC | BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
PHI@LAD | LAD -113 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@BOS | OVER 7.5 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
KC@PHI | PHI -130 | 58.3% | 4 | WIN |
LAD@SF | OVER 7.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
NYM@PHI | PHI -122 | 55.6% | 4 | WIN |
KC@CLE | KC -104 | 52.0% | 3 | WIN |
CIN@SD | JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
WAS@MIA | MIA -123 | 55.2% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@KC | UNDER 9.5 | 54.9% | 3 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SF@COL | UNDER 11.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
SF@COL | RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
MIA@WAS | WAS -110 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
NYM@DET | OVER 8.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | UNDER 9.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
TEX@ARI | ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
ATL@CHC | CHC -116 | 55.1% | 3 | WIN |
PHI@MIL | OVER 8.5 | 55.0% | 3 | WIN |
ARI@LAD | SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SEA@CLE | CLE +1.5 | 57.2% | 3 | WIN |
CHC@SF | CHC -105 | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
NYY@CHW | RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
PHI@NYM | OVER 8.5 | 55.6% | 4 | LOSS |
LAA@TEX | LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
KC@CHW | KC -109 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
SD@SEA | DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
SD@SEA | UNDER 8.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
MIN@TOR | JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS | 54.1% | 4 | LOSS |
SF@MIL | MIL +100 | 54.0% | 6 | LOSS |
TOR@MIA | MIA +1.5 | 62.0% | 6 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | OVER 9.5 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
BOS@NYY | CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
KC@DET | DET -115 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
CHC@LAA | LAA +1.5 | 57.6% | 5 | LOSS |
CIN@ARI | KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
LAD@SD | SD +110 | 50.9% | 6 | WIN |