Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Apr 07)

Updated: 2025-04-05T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The St. Louis Cardinals will face the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 7, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. This National League Central matchup features two teams seeking to establish momentum in the early stages of the season.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 07, 2025

Start Time: 6:40 PM EST​

Venue: PNC Park​

Pirates Record: (3-7)

Cardinals Record: (4-5)

OPENING ODDS

STL Moneyline: -125

PIT Moneyline: +105

STL Spread: -1.5

PIT Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

STL
Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have covered the spread in 51.1% of their games this season, indicating a moderate level of consistency in meeting betting expectations.

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have covered the spread in 42.0% of their games this season, reflecting challenges in surpassing betting lines.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Cardinals have shown reliability on the road by covering the spread in a majority of their away games this season, whereas the Pirates have struggled to do so at home, suggesting a potential betting advantage for St. Louis.

STL vs. PIT
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Total Bases.

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St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/7/25

The April 7, 2025 matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park presents an early-season National League Central clash that could set the tone for both teams as they look to define their identities heading into mid-April. The Cardinals, entering the game with a 4-3 record, have opened their season with balance and efficiency, showing flashes of the form that made them a perennial contender in recent years. They’ve impressed with a potent offense, producing 42 runs through their first six games at a .298 team batting average, a mark that highlights both top-of-the-order consistency and timely hitting from their power bats. Led by veterans like Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, the Cardinals have also received early contributions from younger pieces such as Jordan Walker and Brendan Donovan, suggesting a healthy blend of experience and youth driving their success. Complementing their offense has been an effective pitching staff anchored by a strong bullpen and a starting rotation that has compiled a solid 3.00 ERA thus far, with consistent strike-throwing and a notable ability to limit big innings. On the other side, the Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to find their footing, entering the contest with a 1-2 record and a slew of early concerns surrounding both offensive output and consistency on the mound. Offensively, Pittsburgh has managed just eight runs over two games and is hitting a collective .172, a sign that timing and contact have yet to materialize at the plate. While players like Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes offer promise, they have yet to deliver sustained impact through the opening series, putting added pressure on the rest of the lineup to step up against a capable Cardinals pitching staff.

The Pirates’ pitchers have fared slightly better statistically, with a 4.24 ERA that reflects competent stretches but also inconsistency in key moments, particularly with runners in scoring position. Playing at home offers an opportunity for Pittsburgh to regroup, especially at PNC Park where crowd energy and familiarity with dimensions can tilt momentum—but they’ll need their starters to go deeper into games and avoid taxing the bullpen early. The weather in Pittsburgh is expected to be seasonal but chilly, which could slightly suppress offense and place a premium on pitching and defensive efficiency. From a betting perspective, the Cardinals have shown early strength against the spread, especially on the road, while the Pirates have been less successful at covering at home—suggesting a potential edge for St. Louis. Historically, the Cardinals have also fared well in this rivalry, including a commanding 9-0 victory on April 7 two years prior, adding another layer of psychological advantage heading into this meeting. To pull off an upset, the Pirates must find a way to spark their bats and generate early run support, particularly if they hope to neutralize the Cardinals’ ability to pressure opposing bullpens late. With divisional implications even this early in the season, both clubs will be looking to leave a mark—and while St. Louis enters as the more complete team, Pittsburgh has an opportunity to disrupt that narrative with urgency and execution on their home turf.

St. Louis Cardinals MLB Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals head into their April 7, 2025 showdown against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park with positive momentum and a 4-3 record that reflects a strong start marked by offensive balance and reliable pitching. Through the first week of play, the Cardinals have been one of the more efficient teams in the National League, averaging seven runs per game and hitting .298 as a team, a stat that underlines the depth and versatility in their batting order. Anchoring that lineup are perennial All-Stars Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, who continue to set the tone both at the plate and in the clubhouse, while emerging contributors like Jordan Walker and Brendan Donovan have added youthful spark and timely production. This blend of veteran leadership and energetic youth has allowed St. Louis to attack pitchers with a well-rounded approach—whether it’s through contact hitting, power, or situational execution. On the mound, the Cardinals have gotten steady contributions from a rotation that has kept the team competitive in nearly every outing, complemented by a bullpen that has limited late-game scoring opportunities and kept the team’s ERA at a commendable 3.00. As they prepare to face a Pirates team still finding its rhythm, the Cardinals will look to capitalize on their opponents’ early struggles, particularly on offense where Pittsburgh has batted just .172 and scored only eight runs over two games.

The matchup also bodes well from a betting standpoint, as St. Louis has covered the spread in the majority of its road contests this season, contrasting with the Pirates’ struggles to do the same at home. While the starting pitcher for the Cardinals is still to be confirmed, the team has shown flexibility and success with various arms in the rotation, and their ability to adapt to game situations has been a major asset thus far. The atmosphere at PNC Park, though typically lively, may not be enough to offset the talent gap between the two rosters—especially if the Cardinals continue to execute at the plate and maintain pressure throughout the lineup. Defensively, St. Louis has also been sharp, turning key double plays and limiting errors, which adds another layer of confidence heading into what should be a winnable divisional matchup. For the Cardinals, this game is another opportunity to reinforce their status as early-season contenders in the NL Central, and a chance to build off the cohesion and momentum they’ve already established. With the Pirates still searching for answers in multiple areas, St. Louis will look to strike early, control the tempo behind steady pitching and timely hitting, and walk away from Pittsburgh with another valuable divisional win in their pocket.

The St. Louis Cardinals will face the Pittsburgh Pirates on April 7, 2025, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh. This National League Central matchup features two teams seeking to establish momentum in the early stages of the season. St. Louis vs Pittsburgh AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates return home to PNC Park on April 7, 2025, looking to reset and rebound after a rocky start to the season, entering their matchup against the St. Louis Cardinals with a 1-2 record and several key areas in need of improvement. Offensively, the Pirates have struggled to find their rhythm at the plate, managing just eight total runs across their first two games while batting a collective .172—an early-season slump that has highlighted both a lack of contact hitting and difficulties with situational execution. While players like Bryan Reynolds and Ke’Bryan Hayes remain foundational pieces for the lineup, they’ve yet to spark the consistent production Pittsburgh needs to stay competitive against divisional rivals. The Pirates’ inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities has also placed added pressure on their pitching staff, which enters this contest with a 4.24 ERA—an indicator of some resilience, but also of inconsistent command and execution in high-leverage moments. Manager Derek Shelton will be leaning heavily on the club’s younger core to respond with urgency, as the team seeks to avoid a deeper slide in the standings during this early stretch. One area where the Pirates can potentially shift momentum is at home, where PNC Park offers a more comfortable backdrop and fan support that could inject energy into a lineup in search of answers.

The expected weather in Pittsburgh should be crisp but playable, potentially benefiting pitchers early in the game and requiring hitters to stay focused and aggressive. With the Cardinals entering the game averaging seven runs per contest and swinging the bats with authority, Pittsburgh’s margin for error will be razor thin—especially given the Cardinals’ ability to stretch leads and apply pressure through both power hitting and opportunistic base running. The Pirates will need a strong outing from their starter—likely one of their younger arms or mid-rotation options—and clean work from the bullpen to keep the game close and give their offense a chance to break through. From a betting and historical perspective, Pittsburgh has not fared well at home against the spread this season and will be up against a Cardinals team that has consistently outperformed the number on the road, further raising the stakes in this divisional battle. Still, every season brings its moments of turnaround, and for the Pirates, this game offers a critical test of character and adaptability. If their bats can wake up early and the pitching staff can contain the heart of St. Louis’s lineup, Pittsburgh has the potential to flip the script and notch a confidence-boosting win in front of the home crowd. The challenge is significant, but so is the opportunity to establish a new tone and push forward with purpose.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Cardinals and Pirates play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at PNC Park in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Total Bases.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Cardinals and Pirates and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on St. Louis’s strength factors between a Cardinals team going up against a possibly strong Pirates team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI St. Louis vs Pittsburgh picks, computer picks Cardinals vs Pirates, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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Cardinals Betting Trends

The Cardinals have covered the spread in 51.1% of their games this season, indicating a moderate level of consistency in meeting betting expectations.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have covered the spread in 42.0% of their games this season, reflecting challenges in surpassing betting lines.

Cardinals vs. Pirates Matchup Trends

The Cardinals have shown reliability on the road by covering the spread in a majority of their away games this season, whereas the Pirates have struggled to do so at home, suggesting a potential betting advantage for St. Louis.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh starts on April 07, 2025 at 6:40 PM EST.

Spread: Pittsburgh +1.5
Moneyline: St. Louis -125, Pittsburgh +105
Over/Under: 8.5

St. Louis: (4-5)  |  Pittsburgh: (3-7)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bart over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Cardinals have shown reliability on the road by covering the spread in a majority of their away games this season, whereas the Pirates have struggled to do so at home, suggesting a potential betting advantage for St. Louis.

STL trend: The Cardinals have covered the spread in 51.1% of their games this season, indicating a moderate level of consistency in meeting betting expectations.

PIT trend: The Pirates have covered the spread in 42.0% of their games this season, reflecting challenges in surpassing betting lines.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

St. Louis vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the St. Louis vs Pittsburgh trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Opening Odds

STL Moneyline: -125
PIT Moneyline: +105
STL Spread: -1.5
PIT Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 8.5

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+112
-123
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+171)
O 7.5 (-114)
U 7.5 (-101)

MLB Past Picks

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We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on April 07, 2025 at PNC Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN