Orioles vs. Royals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 05 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-04-03T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Kansas City Royals on April 5, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. Both teams aim to improve their early-season records in this American League matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 05, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Kauffman Stadium​

Royals Record: (3-4)

Orioles Record: (3-5)

OPENING ODDS

BAL Moneyline: -103

KC Moneyline: -117

BAL Spread: +1.5

KC Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 8

BAL
Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have covered the spread in two of their first five games, indicating a 40% success rate against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

KC
Betting Trends

  • The Royals have covered the spread in three of their first five games, reflecting a 60% ATS success rate.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Royals have demonstrated a stronger performance at home, covering the spread in two out of three games at Kauffman Stadium. Conversely, the Orioles have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only one of their three away games. This trend suggests a potential advantage for the Royals in this matchup.

BAL vs. KC
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Massey over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Baltimore vs Kansas City Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/5/25

Saturday’s game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium offers an intriguing early-season interleague matchup between two teams still attempting to define their identities in 2025. The Orioles, who entered the season with aspirations of building on their breakout 2023–2024 campaigns, find themselves at 3–5 after a sluggish start. Much of their early-season inconsistency can be attributed to the absence of key pieces in the lineup and a rotation still finding its footing. However, the return of Gunnar Henderson from injury in Friday’s series opener is a major storyline heading into this game. Henderson, who was a breakout star in 2024 with 37 home runs and 92 RBIs, made his long-awaited season debut after missing the start of the year due to a rib injury. His presence alone could lift a stagnant Orioles offense that has underwhelmed through the first week of the season. Baltimore will look to rebound quickly after being handled 8–2 by Kansas City in Friday’s opener. On the opposite side, the Kansas City Royals have quietly assembled a solid start to 2025 and now sit at 3–4 following their dominant win in the series opener. It was a performance that displayed the Royals’ potential when things click—timely hitting, competent pitching, and sharp defense all converged. Vinnie Pasquantino has emerged as the Royals’ most dependable offensive threat, flashing a balanced combination of power and contact. The Royals’ lineup, while not deep, has performed well when they can get runners on base early and sustain pressure.

Saturday’s matchup will see veteran Michael Wacha on the mound for Kansas City, and although he holds an 0–1 record, his 2.25 ERA signals he’s pitched better than his win-loss total suggests. Wacha brings poise, experience, and pitch economy to the table—traits that will be needed to quiet the reenergized Baltimore lineup now featuring Henderson. The Royals’ bullpen will also be a focal point, having shown both promise and vulnerability over the first seven games. If Wacha can keep the game close through five or six innings, Kansas City has a chance to build on their recent momentum. The Orioles have key questions to answer if they hope to level the series. Henderson’s return is an emotional and tactical boost, but he alone won’t fix an offense that has sputtered against mediocre pitching. Players like Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander must shoulder more of the load and provide timely production. Baltimore’s pitching, particularly the back end of the rotation and middle relief, has been inconsistent and will be under pressure again to limit extra-base hits and avoid big innings. The Royals will look to replicate their formula from the series opener: quick runs, quality starting pitching, and mistake-free defense. In what is shaping up to be a critical tone-setting game for both clubs, expect both managers to manage with urgency—particularly if scoring opportunities arise early. While the season is still young, this game presents a valuable opportunity for either team to assert control and send a message that they’re ready to establish momentum moving forward. Whether Baltimore can shake off the rust and capitalize on the return of their star, or Kansas City can continue surprising with well-rounded team play, Saturday’s clash at Kauffman promises to deliver compelling baseball.

Baltimore Orioles MLB Preview

The Baltimore Orioles come into their April 5, 2025 matchup against the Kansas City Royals with urgency and high expectations, fueled by both their young talent and the pressure of building on last season’s breakthrough success. With a 3–5 record, the Orioles have been up and down through the first stretch of the season, showing flashes of offensive power and defensive promise, but falling victim to lapses in consistency—especially on the mound and in the field. After years of rebuilding, Baltimore now finds itself in a position where mediocrity is no longer acceptable, and every game feels more consequential. Saturday’s contest presents a timely opportunity: facing a Royals team still in transition, the Orioles can course-correct with a solid road win and start climbing out of the early AL East hole they’ve dug. Adding to the momentum is the long-awaited return of Gunnar Henderson, one of the team’s cornerstone stars, whose presence immediately reshapes the lineup and defensive structure. Baltimore hands the ball to Tomoyuki Sugano for this matchup, hoping the Japanese right-hander can settle in after a mixed debut. Sugano, one of the most successful pitchers in NPB over the last decade, brings a polished arsenal built on precision, deception, and off-speed command. However, MLB lineups are an entirely different challenge, and in his first outing, Sugano showed some early nerves—allowing runs on elevated pitches and struggling with pitch location under pressure. Still, the Orioles remain confident in his ability to adapt quickly. Facing a Royals lineup that has relied more on stringing together hits than on power, Sugano has a chance to use his ground-ball tendencies to his advantage. Keeping the ball down, trusting the infield defense, and working ahead in the count will be key.

With Baltimore’s bullpen still finding its rhythm, a six-inning outing from Sugano would be a welcome stabilizing force. Offensively, the Orioles are built around an athletic and increasingly dangerous young core, and with Henderson back in the lineup, the group regains one of its most dynamic pieces. Henderson not only adds left-handed power and patience at the plate, but also fortifies the infield defensively—where his presence up the middle creates ripple effects in alignment and confidence. Adley Rutschman remains the club’s emotional leader and most reliable hitter, combining elite framing behind the plate with a knack for driving in key runs. Ryan Mountcastle, Anthony Santander, and Jordan Westburg round out a group capable of producing crooked numbers when they’re clicking. However, the Orioles have struggled with runners in scoring position in the early going—an issue that proved costly in recent losses. To succeed against Royals starter Michael Wacha, Baltimore’s batters will need to show more discipline and capitalize on mistakes early in counts. Wacha’s changeup and fastball location have been sharp, so the Orioles must be aggressive but calculated to avoid falling behind and letting his tempo control the game. Defensively, Baltimore has the talent to be among the league’s better fielding teams, but miscommunication and untimely errors have cost them dearly. With Henderson’s return at shortstop, fans and coaches hope for more stability and fewer extra outs. The outfield, led by Cedric Mullins and Austin Hays, remains solid, but crisp execution will be needed against a Royals team that plays smart, small-ball baseball and exploits defensive gaps. Ultimately, the Orioles are a team too talented to stay down for long—but they must prove it. A road win in Kansas City, especially with Henderson reestablishing rhythm and Sugano settling in, could be the turning point to reignite Baltimore’s 2025 campaign.

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face the Kansas City Royals on April 5, 2025, at Kauffman Stadium, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. Both teams aim to improve their early-season records in this American League matchup. Baltimore vs Kansas City AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 05. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas City Royals MLB Preview

The Kansas City Royals step onto their home turf at Kauffman Stadium on April 5, 2025, looking to build consistency and even out their record as they continue their three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles. With a current mark of 3–4, the Royals have shown flashes of potential in the season’s first week, but they’re still working on converting strong individual performances into collective, sustained success. A promising mix of emerging talent and veteran additions has energized the team and its fanbase, and the Royals are hoping their play at home—where they’ve covered the spread in two of their first three games—can serve as a foundation for climbing the AL Central standings. They’ve kept games close, played hard-nosed baseball, and are beginning to show the toughness of a team that, while not yet elite, refuses to be overlooked. Saturday’s matchup against the Orioles, a team still trying to find its groove, presents a critical opportunity to assert control and put together a complete performance. Michael Wacha takes the mound for Kansas City, and the veteran right-hander has already emerged as a reliable presence in the rotation. Though his record stands at 0–1, Wacha’s 2.25 ERA and poise on the hill reflect a pitcher who is keeping his team in games and executing his plan effectively. Known for his ability to mix speeds and generate weak contact, Wacha excels when his changeup is sharp and when he’s working ahead in counts. Against an Orioles lineup now reinforced with the return of Gunnar Henderson, Wacha’s ability to neutralize left-handed hitters and limit traffic on the bases will be especially crucial. If he can maintain his rhythm and avoid the kind of high-pitch innings that have occasionally plagued him in past seasons, the Royals will be well-positioned to control the tempo of the game. Behind him, Kansas City’s bullpen—which has been solid in limited work—will need to remain composed in high-leverage innings, particularly against a lineup capable of sudden bursts.

Offensively, Kansas City has begun to form a dependable core, led by franchise cornerstone Bobby Witt Jr., who continues to evolve into a superstar-caliber player. Witt’s blend of power, speed, and defensive brilliance sets the tone for the Royals in every phase of the game. The offseason addition of Jonathan India has provided a spark as well, offering plate discipline and timely hits in the middle of the lineup. Together, they’ve helped the Royals stay competitive in low-scoring games and apply pressure to opposing pitchers. The supporting cast—including Vinnie Pasquantino and MJ Melendez—has shown promise, but needs to produce more consistently to lengthen the lineup and capitalize on scoring chances. Against Tomoyuki Sugano, a talented but still-adjusting MLB newcomer, the Royals will look to be aggressive early in counts and force him into uncomfortable situations by staying on base and applying pressure. Defensively, Kansas City’s fundamentals have been one of its early strengths. The infield has handled the ball cleanly, and the outfield—anchored by Witt and Kyle Isbel—has provided reliable coverage and quick transitions. Manager Matt Quatraro has emphasized sharp, mistake-free baseball, and for the most part, the Royals have delivered. With Wacha dealing on the mound, an opportunistic offense led by Witt and India, and strong defensive discipline, Kansas City enters Saturday’s contest with quiet confidence. A win not only pushes their record to .500 but sends a message that this Royals team, though still growing, is ready to challenge and win against more established opponents.

Baltimore vs. Kansas City Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Orioles and Royals play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kauffman Stadium in Apr seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Massey over 0.5 Total Bases.

Baltimore vs. Kansas City Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Orioles and Royals and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor emotional bettors often put on player performance factors between a Orioles team going up against a possibly unhealthy Royals team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Baltimore vs Kansas City picks, computer picks Orioles vs Royals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have covered the spread in two of their first five games, indicating a 40% success rate against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have covered the spread in three of their first five games, reflecting a 60% ATS success rate.

Orioles vs. Royals Matchup Trends

The Royals have demonstrated a stronger performance at home, covering the spread in two out of three games at Kauffman Stadium. Conversely, the Orioles have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only one of their three away games. This trend suggests a potential advantage for the Royals in this matchup.

Baltimore vs. Kansas City Game Info

Baltimore vs Kansas City starts on April 05, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: Kansas City -1.5
Moneyline: Baltimore -103, Kansas City -117
Over/Under: 8

Baltimore: (3-5)  |  Kansas City: (3-4)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: M. Massey over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Royals have demonstrated a stronger performance at home, covering the spread in two out of three games at Kauffman Stadium. Conversely, the Orioles have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only one of their three away games. This trend suggests a potential advantage for the Royals in this matchup.

BAL trend: The Orioles have covered the spread in two of their first five games, indicating a 40% success rate against the spread (ATS) early in the season.

KC trend: The Royals have covered the spread in three of their first five games, reflecting a 60% ATS success rate.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Baltimore vs. Kansas City Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Baltimore vs Kansas City trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Baltimore vs Kansas City Opening Odds

BAL Moneyline: -103
KC Moneyline: -117
BAL Spread: +1.5
KC Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 8

Baltimore vs Kansas City Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+196
-240
+1.5 (-105)
-1.5 (-115)
O 9 (-105)
U 9 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-178
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (+100)
U 9.5 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+135
-160
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:05PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:05PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+196
-240
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+130)
+1.5 (-155)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+110
-130
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+175
-210
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+115
-135
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+150
-178
+1.5 (-145)
-1.5 (+122)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+122
-145
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+118
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+158)
O 7.5 (-115)
U 7.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-140
+118
-1.5 (+115)
+1.5 (-135)
O 9 (-110)
U 9 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
+1.5 (-220)
-1.5 (+180)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+162)
O 10 (-115)
U 10 (-105)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals on April 05, 2025 at Kauffman Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS