Pirates vs. Rays
Prediction, Odds & Props
Apr 02 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-31T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays on April 2, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays, boasting a strong start to the season, aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a Pirates team striving to rebound from early setbacks.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Apr 02, 2025

Start Time: 1:10 PM EST​

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field​

Rays Record: (4-1)

Pirates Record: (1-5)

OPENING ODDS

PIT Moneyline: -119

TB Moneyline: +100

PIT Spread: -1.5

TB Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7

PIT
Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups, reflecting their challenges in covering as underdogs.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Rays have demonstrated a solid ATS performance at home, indicating their ability to meet expectations when favored.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, the Rays have maintained a favorable ATS record when playing at home against teams with losing records, suggesting a potential edge in this matchup.

PIT vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 0.5 Total Bases.

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Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 4/2/25

As the Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays prepare to conclude their series on April 2, 2025, both teams are focused on securing a pivotal win. The Rays, with a commendable start to the season, aim to leverage their home-field advantage at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Conversely, the Pirates are eager to overcome early-season challenges and establish momentum. Offensively, the Rays have benefited from consistent performances by key players such as Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe. Díaz’s ability to get on base and Lowe’s power-hitting capabilities have been instrumental in driving the team’s run production. Additionally, the integration of Ha-Seong Kim has bolstered the infield defense and added depth to the lineup. On the mound, the Rays are expected to start Ryan Pepiot, who has showcased promise with a 1.50 ERA in his initial outings. Pepiot’s command and pitch selection will be critical in neutralizing the Pirates’ hitters. The bullpen, known for its depth and versatility, remains a reliable asset in closing out games. The Pirates, on the other hand, are looking to revitalize their offense, which has shown inconsistency in the early stages of the season.

Players like Oneil Cruz and Ke’Bryan Hayes are central to the team’s offensive strategy, with their performances potentially tipping the scales in closely contested games. Pitching for the Pirates is Paul Skenes, who enters the game with a 3.38 ERA. Skenes’ ability to navigate the Rays’ lineup and deliver quality innings will be pivotal for the Pirates’ chances. The bullpen’s effectiveness in high-leverage situations will also play a significant role in the game’s outcome. Defensively, both teams have areas to address. The Rays have emphasized improving their fielding efficiency, while the Pirates are focused on minimizing errors that have previously extended innings for opponents. In terms of betting trends, the Rays have a favorable ATS record at home, particularly against teams with losing records. The Pirates’ struggles ATS, especially on the road, highlight the challenges they face in this matchup. In summary, the game presents an opportunity for the Rays to solidify their strong start and for the Pirates to demonstrate resilience. Key factors include the effectiveness of the starting pitchers, the performance of central offensive players, and each team’s defensive execution. With both teams aiming to make a statement, the matchup promises to deliver competitive baseball.

Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates head into their April 2, 2025, road matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays looking to establish early-season momentum and shake off a few signs of inconsistency. After opening the season with flashes of promise, the Pirates have struggled to find rhythm both at the plate and on the mound. As they take on a sharp and efficient Rays squad at George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Pirates will need standout performances from their young core to keep pace. The game also marks another opportunity for their top prospect and Opening Day starter Paul Skenes to showcase his highly anticipated big-league talent. Skenes has had a solid if unspectacular start to his first MLB season. Through his first couple of outings, he’s posted a 3.38 ERA, showing the same electric fastball-slider combo that made him a top draft pick. The challenge has been command in high-leverage spots and learning how to work through veteran lineups that feast on mistakes. His ability to limit walks and keep hitters guessing with off-speed pitches will be critical against a Rays offense that thrives on situational hitting and small-ball tactics. With the Pirates’ bullpen still sorting out roles and depth, the team will be counting on Skenes to get into the sixth or seventh inning to avoid overexposure of the relievers. Offensively, the Pirates continue to ride the potential of shortstop Oneil Cruz and third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes. Cruz, now fully healthy, has shown flashes of the raw power and athleticism that makes him one of the most exciting players in the league.

His long levers and high exit velocities make him a threat at any moment, but swing-and-miss issues still plague his consistency. Hayes remains a steady, disciplined bat with excellent defensive value, but the Pirates need more production in the middle of the order to compete in games like this. Bryan Reynolds and Jack Suwinski round out a lineup with pop but limited on-base ability, which has made it difficult for the team to string together multi-run innings. One of Pittsburgh’s biggest question marks continues to be bullpen consistency. Closer David Bednar remains an elite arm when healthy, but the bridge to him—from middle relief through setup innings—has been rocky. Dauri Moreta and Colin Holderman have shown flashes of reliability but are still prone to command lapses and inherited runner issues. If the Pirates want to steal a win in Tampa, limiting bullpen exposure or playing from ahead will be crucial. Defensively, the Pirates have improved from last season, particularly on the infield. Hayes is a Gold Glove-caliber defender, and Cruz’s range is undeniable, though errant throws remain a concern. Behind the plate, Henry Davis has taken over most of the catching duties and continues to develop his game-calling and blocking skills. Despite their early inconsistency, the Pirates have enough raw talent and young energy to surprise teams. If Skenes can deliver a quality start and the offense capitalizes on scoring chances, Pittsburgh can push Tampa Bay. While they’re the underdog in this matchup, games like this offer the young Pirates a proving ground—and a chance to turn raw potential into results.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face the Tampa Bay Rays on April 2, 2025, at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. The Rays, boasting a strong start to the season, aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage against a Pirates team striving to rebound from early setbacks. Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Apr 02. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter the April 2, 2025, matchup against the Pittsburgh Pirates with confidence, stemming from a strong start to the season. Playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field, the Rays aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage and continue their winning momentum. Offensively, the Rays have been propelled by the consistent performances of Yandy Díaz and Brandon Lowe. Díaz’s proficiency in reaching base has set the table for the lineup, while Lowe’s power has been a significant run-producing factor. The addition of Ha-Seong Kim has not only strengthened the infield defense but also provided versatility in the batting order. The pitching staff has been a cornerstone of the Rays’ success. Ryan Pepiot, slated to start against the Pirates, has impressed with a 1.50 ERA, showcasing his ability to handle major league lineups effectively. The bullpen, a hallmark of the Rays’ strategy, continues to deliver in high-pressure situations, with relievers adept at preserving leads and closing out games.

Defensively, the Rays have focused on minimizing errors and enhancing fielding efficiency. The integration of Kim has bolstered the infield’s reliability, complementing the outfield’s range and coordination. This defensive solidity has been instrumental in supporting the pitching staff and converting batted balls into outs. In terms of betting trends, the Rays have demonstrated a strong ATS performance at home, particularly when favored. This trend reflects their ability to meet or exceed expectations, especially against teams with less favorable records. Looking ahead, the Rays aim to maintain their offensive production and pitching dominance. The development of younger players and the health of key contributors will be critical factors as the season progresses. Managerial decisions regarding lineup configurations and bullpen usage will also play a role in sustaining the team’s competitive edge. In summary, the Rays are positioned to leverage their current form and home advantage against the Pirates. Key elements include the continued contributions of Díaz and Lowe, Pepiot’s performance on the mound, and the defense’s ability to limit the Pirates’ offensive opportunities. With a comprehensive approach, the Rays are well-equipped to secure a favorable outcome in the upcoming game.

Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Pirates and Rays play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Apr rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 0.5 Total Bases.

Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Pirates and Rays and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned weight emotional bettors regularly put on Pittsburgh’s strength factors between a Pirates team going up against a possibly rested Rays team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Pirates vs Rays, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups, reflecting their challenges in covering as underdogs.

Rays Betting Trends

The Rays have demonstrated a solid ATS performance at home, indicating their ability to meet expectations when favored.

Pirates vs. Rays Matchup Trends

Historically, the Rays have maintained a favorable ATS record when playing at home against teams with losing records, suggesting a potential edge in this matchup.

Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay starts on April 02, 2025 at 1:10 PM EST.

Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Spread: Tampa Bay +1.5
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -119, Tampa Bay +100
Over/Under: 7

Pittsburgh: (1-5)  |  Tampa Bay: (4-1)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Reynolds over 0.5 Total Bases.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Historically, the Rays have maintained a favorable ATS record when playing at home against teams with losing records, suggesting a potential edge in this matchup.

PIT trend: The Pirates have struggled against the spread (ATS) in recent matchups, reflecting their challenges in covering as underdogs.

TB trend: The Rays have demonstrated a solid ATS performance at home, indicating their ability to meet expectations when favored.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Pittsburgh vs. Tampa Bay Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

PIT Moneyline: -119
TB Moneyline: +100
PIT Spread: -1.5
TB Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7

Pittsburgh vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-175
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8.5 (-105)
U 8.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+140
-170
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+155)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+100
-120
-1.5 (+170)
+1.5 (-205)
O 7.5 (-110)
U 7.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Rays on April 02, 2025 at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN