Phillies vs. Nationals
Prediction, Odds & Props
Mar 27 | MLB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-03-25T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Philadelphia Phillies will open their 2025 MLB season by visiting the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on March 27, 2025, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Both teams aim to kick off the season with a strong performance in this National League East division matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 27, 2025

Start Time: 4:05 PM EST​

Venue: Nationals Park​

Nationals Record: (0-0)

Phillies Record: (0-0)

OPENING ODDS

PHI Moneyline: -173

WAS Moneyline: +145

PHI Spread: -1.5

WAS Spread: +1.5

Over/Under: 7

PHI
Betting Trends

  • In the 2024 season, the Phillies won 60.8% of the games when they were the moneyline favorite, with a record of 59-38. When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -266 or shorter, Philadelphia had a 4-1 record, winning 80% of such games.

WAS
Betting Trends

  • During the 2024 season, the Nationals were underdogs in 101 games and won 45 of those, resulting in a 44.6% success rate. When listed as underdogs with a moneyline of +218 or higher, Washington secured victories in 2 out of 3 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The Phillies have lost their season opener in back-to-back years, while the Nationals have dropped five of their last six Opening Day matchups.

PHI vs. WAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

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Philadelphia vs Washington Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 3/27/25

The 2025 MLB season kicks off with a National League East showdown between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Both teams are eager to set a positive tone for the season, with the Phillies aiming to build upon their recent postseason appearances and the Nationals looking to accelerate their rebuilding process. Philadelphia will send right-hander Zack Wheeler to the mound for his second consecutive Opening Day start. In his previous Opening Day outing, Wheeler delivered six shutout innings against the Atlanta Braves. Throughout the 2024 season, he maintained a 2.57 ERA over 200 innings, demonstrating his role as a reliable ace for the Phillies. Historically, Wheeler has a 4.45 ERA in 35 starts against the Nationals, but in 2024, he improved to a 2-0 record with a 2.29 ERA in three starts against Washington, striking out 23 batters over 19 2/3 innings. Offensively, the Phillies boast a potent lineup led by outfielder Bryce Harper, who continues to be a significant threat at the plate. Harper, along with teammates such as J.T. Realmuto and Rhys Hoskins, provides a formidable challenge for opposing pitchers. The team’s offensive strategy focuses on power-hitting and plate discipline, aiming to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Nationals will counter with left-hander MacKenzie Gore as their Opening Day starter. Gore, 26, posted a 3.90 ERA in 32 starts during the 2024 season and has shown promise during Spring Training.

The Nationals are optimistic that Gore can evolve into a cornerstone of their rotation as they continue their rebuilding efforts. Washington’s lineup features a mix of young talent and veteran presence. Shortstop CJ Abrams and outfielder Lane Thomas are among the emerging players expected to contribute significantly. The team has emphasized developing its farm system and integrating young players into the major league roster to build a competitive foundation for the future. Betting trends from the previous season highlight the Phillies’ strength when favored, with a 60.8% success rate as moneyline favorites. Conversely, the Nationals secured victories in 44.6% of games where they were underdogs. Additionally, both teams have struggled in recent Opening Day matchups, with the Phillies losing their season opener in the past two years and the Nationals dropping five of their last six Opening Day games. As the teams take the field, fans can anticipate a competitive game that may set the tone for their respective seasons. The Phillies will look to leverage their experienced roster and Wheeler’s prowess on the mound, while the Nationals aim to showcase their developing talent and home-field advantage to secure a victory.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter the 2025 MLB season with championship aspirations, driven by an experienced and talent-laden roster that has reached the postseason in three consecutive years. After narrowly missing a World Series berth in 2024, the team returns with much of its core intact and a renewed sense of urgency to finish the job. The Phillies will open their campaign on the road against the Washington Nationals, and they’ll send ace Zack Wheeler to the mound for his second consecutive Opening Day start. Wheeler, a workhorse and perennial Cy Young contender, was dominant in 2024 with a 13-7 record and a 2.57 ERA across 200 innings. While he’s had a career ERA of 4.45 in 35 starts versus the Nationals, he flipped the script last season by going 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA in three starts against Washington, striking out 23 over 19 2/3 innings. His consistency, elite fastball command, and postseason poise make him the ideal tone-setter for a Phillies team that expects to contend from Day 1. Offensively, the Phillies return one of the most dangerous lineups in the National League. Bryce Harper, the face of the franchise, continues to be one of baseball’s most complete hitters. Despite transitioning to first base in 2024, Harper maintained his offensive production, hitting .293 with 28 home runs and a .914 OPS. Surrounding him is a lineup packed with power and patience.

Kyle Schwarber, who launched 45 homers last season, is always a threat to change the game with one swing. J.T. Realmuto, considered one of the top all-around catchers in the game, brings elite defense, strong game-calling, and a productive bat. Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott provide balance with their ability to hit for average and drive in runs from the middle of the lineup, while Trea Turner brings speed, power, and elite base-running instincts to the top of the order. The Phillies have emphasized improved contact hitting and strike-zone discipline in spring training, a key focus after a few too many high-strikeout games in late 2024. On the pitching side beyond Wheeler, the Phillies boast a deep rotation with Aaron Nola, Ranger Suárez, and Cristopher Sánchez rounding out the group. Their bullpen, which was a strength during last year’s playoff push, returns José Alvarado, Jeff Hoffman, and Gregory Soto, all capable of high-leverage outs. The addition of Matt Strahm further stabilizes the relief corps, while Craig Kimbrel remains a late-inning option if he returns to form. Under manager Rob Thomson’s leadership, the team has embraced a culture of resilience and tactical discipline, and that was evident in their multiple come-from-behind wins during the 2024 postseason. Statistically, Philadelphia was a strong bet as a favorite last season, going 59-38 (60.8%) in such games. They were also 4-1 when favored by a moneyline of -266 or shorter, which reflects how well they performed against weaker teams like the Nationals. While the Phillies have dropped their last two season openers, they’ll be motivated to reverse that trend and start 2025 with a convincing win. With one of the deepest lineups in the NL and a front-line ace in Wheeler, the Phillies arrive in Washington as heavy favorites and are looking to send an early message to the rest of the division. A dominant Opening Day win on the road would set the tone for what Philadelphia hopes will be a long and rewarding season culminating in a World Series title.

The Philadelphia Phillies will open their 2025 MLB season by visiting the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on March 27, 2025, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Both teams aim to kick off the season with a strong performance in this National League East division matchup. Philadelphia vs Washington AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Mar 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Washington Nationals MLB Preview

The Nationals are concentrating on fundamentals and reducing errors that plagued them in 2024. Defensive drills and infield coordination have been a focal point in Spring Training, with special attention paid to improving double-play execution and outfield positioning. The team’s athleticism is notable, especially with Abrams and Luis García up the middle, providing range and agility that should contribute to run prevention. At catcher, Riley Adams is expected to take on a more prominent role, praised for his pitch framing and growing rapport with the rotation. Offensively, while the lineup lacks a true power threat, the Nationals are prioritizing contact hitting and baserunning to manufacture runs. Speedsters like Abrams and Victor Robles offer threats on the basepaths, and the team hopes this aggressiveness can disrupt opposing pitchers and create scoring chances. Though Washington may not match Philadelphia in raw firepower, they plan to compete through hustle, situational awareness, and improved discipline at the plate. In terms of organizational development, the Nationals are one of the most prospect-rich teams in the league. Names like James Wood, Dylan Crews, and Brady House have drawn national attention, and while none have cracked the Opening Day roster, all three are expected to contribute at the major league level by midseason. Their progress adds another layer of excitement for a fan base eager for the franchise to turn a corner following the departures of cornerstone stars in recent years.

The team’s front office has been patient but strategic, signing controllable veterans to short-term deals to provide stability while the next wave of talent develops. In the meantime, the coaching staff, under Martinez’s leadership, is working to instill a culture of consistency and accountability. From a betting perspective, the Nationals have often entered matchups as underdogs — 101 times in 2024 — and managed a win in 45 of those games, an underdog win percentage of 44.6%. Interestingly, they’ve found occasional success in games where their moneyline odds were particularly long, going 2-1 when listed at +218 or higher. Despite that, Opening Day has been a hurdle for the franchise, with the team losing five of its last six openers. Still, with Gore developing into a potential frontline starter and the Nationals’ youth movement poised to make waves, there is cautious optimism in the clubhouse. Hosting the Phillies, a division rival and perennial postseason contender, offers the Nationals a valuable early-season litmus test. A competitive showing or an upset win would do wonders to galvanize this young squad and energize the home crowd. While the Nationals may be considered a longshot to contend in 2025, Opening Day represents a fresh opportunity to show growth, resilience, and a clearer path forward in what promises to be a defining season for the franchise’s rebuild.

Philadelphia vs. Washington Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Phillies and Nationals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Nationals Park in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.

Philadelphia vs. Washington Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Phillies and Nationals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on coaching factors between a Phillies team going up against a possibly healthy Nationals team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Philadelphia vs Washington picks, computer picks Phillies vs Nationals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
MLB 9/26 DET@BOS UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 BAL@NYY UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 ARI@SD UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
MLB 9/26 NYM@MIA GET FREE PICK NOW 1
MLB 9/26 COL@SF UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Phillies Betting Trends

In the 2024 season, the Phillies won 60.8% of the games when they were the moneyline favorite, with a record of 59-38. When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -266 or shorter, Philadelphia had a 4-1 record, winning 80% of such games.

Nationals Betting Trends

During the 2024 season, the Nationals were underdogs in 101 games and won 45 of those, resulting in a 44.6% success rate. When listed as underdogs with a moneyline of +218 or higher, Washington secured victories in 2 out of 3 games.

Phillies vs. Nationals Matchup Trends

The Phillies have lost their season opener in back-to-back years, while the Nationals have dropped five of their last six Opening Day matchups.

Philadelphia vs. Washington Game Info

Philadelphia vs Washington starts on March 27, 2025 at 4:05 PM EST.

Spread: Washington +1.5
Moneyline: Philadelphia -173, Washington +145
Over/Under: 7

Philadelphia: (0-0)  |  Washington: (0-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Wood over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBI.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The Phillies have lost their season opener in back-to-back years, while the Nationals have dropped five of their last six Opening Day matchups.

PHI trend: In the 2024 season, the Phillies won 60.8% of the games when they were the moneyline favorite, with a record of 59-38. When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -266 or shorter, Philadelphia had a 4-1 record, winning 80% of such games.

WAS trend: During the 2024 season, the Nationals were underdogs in 101 games and won 45 of those, resulting in a 44.6% success rate. When listed as underdogs with a moneyline of +218 or higher, Washington secured victories in 2 out of 3 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Philadelphia vs. Washington Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Philadelphia vs Washington trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Philadelphia vs Washington Opening Odds

PHI Moneyline: -173
WAS Moneyline: +145
PHI Spread: -1.5
WAS Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 7

Philadelphia vs Washington Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Sep 27, 2025 1:06PM EDT
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
9/27/25 1:06PM
Orioles
Yankees
+190
-235
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8.5 (-120)
U 8.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 2:21PM EDT
St Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
9/27/25 2:21PM
Cardinals
Cubs
 
-180
 
-1.5 (+115)
O 9.5 (-105)
U 9.5 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 3:09PM EDT
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
9/27/25 3:09PM
Rays
Blue Jays
+130
-155
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Chicago White Sox
Washington Nationals
9/27/25 4:06PM
White Sox
Nationals
+100
-120
-1.5 (+165)
+1.5 (-200)
O 8.5 (-110)
U 8.5 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 4:06PM EDT
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
9/27/25 4:06PM
Rockies
Giants
+185
-225
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
9/27/25 4:11PM
Mets
Marlins
-130
+110
-1.5 (+125)
+1.5 (-150)
O 8 (-115)
U 8 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 4:11PM EDT
Detroit Tigers
Boston Red Sox
9/27/25 4:11PM
Tigers
Red Sox
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 6:05PM EDT
Minnesota Twins
Philadelphia Phillies
9/27/25 6:05PM
Twins
Phillies
+170
-205
+1.5 (-120)
-1.5 (+100)
O 8.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-105)
Sep 27, 2025 7:11PM EDT
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
9/27/25 7:11PM
Reds
Brewers
+125
-150
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 8 (-105)
U 8 (-115)
Sep 27, 2025 7:15PM EDT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
9/27/25 7:15PM
Pirates
Braves
+145
-175
+1.5 (-155)
-1.5 (+130)
O 8 (-110)
U 8 (-110)
Sep 27, 2025 7:16PM EDT
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Guardians
9/27/25 7:16PM
Rangers
Guardians
+135
-165
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
O 7 (-120)
U 7 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 8:40PM EDT
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
9/27/25 8:40PM
Diamondbacks
Padres
+115
-140
+1.5 (-195)
-1.5 (+160)
O 7.5 (-120)
U 7.5 (+100)
Sep 27, 2025 9:39PM EDT
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
9/27/25 9:39PM
Astros
Angels
-165
+135
-1.5 (+105)
+1.5 (-125)
O 9 (+100)
U 9 (-120)
Sep 27, 2025 9:41PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers
Seattle Mariners
9/27/25 9:41PM
Dodgers
Mariners
+105
-125
+1.5 (-205)
-1.5 (+170)
O 7.5 (+105)
U 7.5 (-125)
Sep 27, 2025 10:05PM EDT
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
9/27/25 10:05PM
Royals
Athletics
+100
-120
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
O 10 (-110)
U 10 (-110)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals on March 27, 2025 at Nationals Park.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN
PHI@NYM OVER 8.5 55.6% 4 LOSS
LAA@TEX LOGAN OHOPPE OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.1% 4 LOSS
KC@CHW KC -109 54.2% 4 WIN
SD@SEA DYLAN CEASE OVER 16.5 OUTS 53.9% 3 LOSS
SD@SEA UNDER 8.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
MIN@TOR JOE RYAN UNDER 2.5 EARNED RUNS 54.1% 4 LOSS
SF@MIL MIL +100 54.0% 6 LOSS
TOR@MIA MIA +1.5 62.0% 6 WIN
CHC@LAA OVER 9.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
BOS@NYY CARLOS RODON UNDER 4.5 HITS ALLOWED 54.2% 4 WIN
KC@DET DET -115 56.1% 5 WIN
CHC@LAA LAA +1.5 57.6% 5 LOSS
CIN@ARI KEBRYAN HAYES STRIKEOUTS UNDER 0.5 56.2% 6 WIN
LAD@SD SD +110 50.9% 6 WIN