Vanderbilt Commodores
Mississippi State enters with a four-game losing streak but owns the stronger rushing offense, while Vanderbilt has covered two of three road games despite remaining winless away from home. Quarterback availability is the critical variable.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | VANDY +2.5 MISSST -2.5 | VANDY +125 MISSST -150 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| DraftKings | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +130 MISSST -155 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| BetMGM | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +125 MISSST -150 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| BetRivers | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +117 MISSST -148 | O 47.5 U 47.5 |
| Fanatics | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +130 MISSST -155 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| Bovada | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +132 MISSST -155 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +125 MISSST -145 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| LowVig.ag | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +125 MISSST -145 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +127 MISSST -156 | O 48 U 48 |
| BetUS | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +125 MISSST -145 | O 48 U 48 |
| Caesars | VANDY +3 MISSST -3 | VANDY +132 MISSST -157 | O 48.5 U 48.5 |
Injury Report
Mississippi State confirmed on October 27 that quarterback Kamario Taylor will miss the remainder of the season following a foot injury requiring surgery. Replacement quarterback AJ Swann sustained an upper-body injury against Texas, and his availability for Vanderbilt remained uncertain in early-week reporting. That uncertainty materially affects the Bulldogs passing outlook. Vanderbilt previously listed backup quarterback Blaze Berlowitz and several defenders as unavailable against Kentucky, but its first official availability report for this matchup had not yet been released at the time of this analysis. Check the latest SEC report before betting.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Mississippi State averages 408.1 offensive yards per game against Vanderbilt's 342.9, with a substantial rushing production edge of 161.6 to 106.3 yards. Vanderbilt has the more productive leading receiver in Junior Sherrill, and Mississippi State allows 261.5 passing yards per game. The Bulldogs quarterback injuries may narrow their statistical offensive advantage.
3 Things to Watch
- Mississippi State rushing production against Vanderbilt front
- Vanderbilt passing attack against Bulldogs secondary
- Mississippi State quarterback health and turnover risk
Betting Breakdown
Mississippi State and Vanderbilt meet at Davis Wade Stadium with both offenses under pressure to reverse recent results. The Bulldogs began 4-0 but have subsequently fallen to Alabama, LSU, Oklahoma and Texas; their last three losses produced just 18 combined points. Vanderbilt has lost five straight after a 3-0 opening, most recently falling 34-17 at Kentucky. From a betting perspective, Mississippi State is 4-4 ATS overall but has missed the number in four consecutive contests. Vanderbilt stands at 3-5 ATS, with a notable 2-1 ATS road mark despite its 0-3 straight-up away record. The Bulldogs average 408.1 yards of offense per game, including 161.6 rushing yards, compared with Vanderbilt's 342.9 total and 106.3 rushing yards. However, the season-ending loss of quarterback Kamario Taylor creates major uncertainty about how reliably the hosts can exploit those advantages. Vanderbilt receiver Junior Sherrill has 706 receiving yards, and Mississippi State has surrendered 261.5 passing yards per game. The combination makes Vanderbilt's aerial opportunities and the Bulldogs' quarterback situation central to evaluating any pregame spread.
Vanderbilt Betting Outlook
Vanderbilt enters 3-5 overall and 0-5 in SEC games after five straight defeats. The Commodores have scored 15, 14, 17, 21 and 17 points across those losses, highlighting a sustained scoring challenge. They average 236.6 passing yards but only 106.3 rushing yards per contest. Receiver Junior Sherrill supplies a meaningful passing weapon with 49 catches, 706 yards and four touchdowns, while quarterback Jared Curtis has thrown for 1,489 yards with eight touchdowns and eight interceptions. Vanderbilt is 3-5 ATS overall but 2-1 ATS away, a contrast with its 0-3 straight-up road mark. The Bulldogs secondary allows 261.5 passing yards per game, presenting a potential pathway to better offensive production.
Mississippi State Betting Outlook
Mississippi State is 4-4 after opening with four victories and then losing four straight, including a 31-3 defeat at Texas. The Bulldogs have gone 0-4 ATS during that stretch and are 4-4 ATS overall, including 2-2 at home. They average 408.1 yards per game on offense and 161.6 rushing yards, but have scored only 18 points over their past three outings. Running back Da'Marion Bothwell has 563 rushing yards on 108 carries, and receiver Anthony Evans III has accumulated 666 yards on 56 receptions. Quarterback Kamario Taylor is out for the season, while AJ Swann entered the week with an upper-body injury, making the backup situation especially important. Mississippi State's 2-2 home record provides limited assurance against its current offensive slide.
Latest Team Buzz
Back at it. https://t.co/kJ9CiiMPD9
— Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) November 3, 2026
He's Always Been A Dawg. https://t.co/m7vSYFYuAx
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) November 3, 2026
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs FAQ
What is the current spread for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The current home spread is MISSST -3, while the away spread is VANDY +3.
How far has the spread moved for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The spread opened at MISSST -3 and is now MISSST -3.
What is the current moneyline for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The current moneyline is VANDY +130 / MISSST -155.
How far has the moneyline moved for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The moneyline opened at VANDY +114 / MISSST -135 and is now VANDY +130 / MISSST -155.
What is the current total for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The current total is 48.5.
How far has the total moved for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
The total opened at 48.5 and is now 48.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
You can watch this game on SEC Network. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
You can stream this game on ESPN app (participating TV provider required).
What is the best free prop bet for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Jared Curtis Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns
What is the biggest matchup edge for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs?
Mississippi State averages 408.1 offensive yards per game against Vanderbilt's 342.9, with a substantial rushing production edge of 161.6 to 106.3 yards. Vanderbilt has the more productive leading receiver in Junior Sherrill, and Mississippi State allows 261.5 passing yards per game. The Bulldogs quarterback injuries may narrow their statistical offensive advantage.
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