Away Team
Record 2-6
Last 5 0-5 last five
ATS 5-3-0 ATS
Road 0-3 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
3d 09:36:23
Start Time 12:00 PM EST
Date November 07, 2026
Venue Michigan Stadium
Where To Watch Peacock
Where To Stream Peacock
Season Series 2026 meeting is the first this season; Michigan leads all-time 75-38-5 and won the 2025 meeting 31-20.

Michigan State enters with a stronger 5-3 ATS mark despite six consecutive defeats, while Michigan is 3-5 ATS despite a winning record. The rivalry pits Michigan’s highly rated defense against a Spartans offense facing quarterback uncertainty.

Home Team
Record 5-3
Last 5 2-3 last five
ATS 3-5-0 ATS
Home 4-2 home
Analysis Updated: 7:05 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 7:05 AM ET
Odds Updated: 9:49 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
MICH -13.5
Open: MICH -17.5
Market Tightening

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 9:49 AM ET
Moneyline
MICH -550
Open: MICH -700
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 9:49 AM ET
Total
39.5
Open: 39.5
Total Steady

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 9:49 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Tommy Carr Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Michigan State quarterback Alessio Milivojevic has 1,263 passing yards and seven touchdowns. Michigan quarterback Tommy Carr completed 42 of 59 passes across two starts. Michigan receiver JJ Buchanan has 38 receptions and five receiving touchdowns.

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Odds Comparison Center

Shop for the best lines in one place.

Best Home Spread
BetMGM | MICH -13
Best Home Moneyline
DraftKings | MICH -550
Best Over Line
DraftKings | 39.5
Best Away Spread
FanDuel | MICHST +13.5
Best Away Moneyline
BetRivers | MICHST +475
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 40.5
Updated 9:49 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +440
MICH -580
O 40.5
U 40.5
DraftKingsMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +410
MICH -550
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetMGMMICHST +13
MICH -13
MICHST +425
MICH -550
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetRiversMICHST +13
MICH -13
MICHST +475
MICH -770
O 40
U 40
FanaticsMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +425
MICH -575
O 39.5
U 39.5
BovadaMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +425
MICH -575
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetOnline.agMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +415
MICH -550
O 39.5
U 39.5
LowVig.agMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +415
MICH -550
O 39.5
U 39.5
MyBookie.agMICHST +13
MICH -13
MICHST +450
MICH -676
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetUSMICHST +13
MICH -13
MICHST +425
MICH -550
O 39.5
U 39.5
CaesarsMICHST +13.5
MICH -13.5
MICHST +425
MICH -590
O 39.5
U 39.5

Injury Report

Michigan State starting quarterback Alessio Milivojevic missed the UCLA game with an injury, ending an 11-game starting streak; freshman Kayd Coffman completed 4 of 10 passes for 42 yards in his place. Running back Cam Edwards sustained a season-ending injury against Nebraska, and leading rusher Jaziun Patterson missed UCLA with an injury. Their availability and the starting quarterback decision warrant monitoring before kickoff. Michigan has recently started freshman quarterback Tommy Carr, whose efficiency changes the offensive outlook.

Key Players

Michigan State
Alessio Milivojevic
Milivojevic completed 121 of 185 passes for 1,263 yards and seven touchdowns.
Michigan
Tommy Carr
Carr completed 42 of 59 passes for 433 yards in two starts.

Key Matchup Edge

Michigan allows just 250.0 yards per game, contrasting sharply with Michigan State’s 19.88 points scored per game. The Wolverines have a clear defensive efficiency edge, but a 1-5 ATS record as favorites complicates laying a sizable number. Michigan State’s quarterback and rushing availability also matter for evaluating its ability to sustain drives.

3 Things to Watch

  • Michigan total defense allowing 250.0 yards per game
  • Michigan State quarterback health and passing efficiency
  • Michigan favorite ATS record of 1-5

Betting Breakdown

Michigan hosts Michigan State at Michigan Stadium in the 119th meeting between these longtime rivals, with the Paul Bunyan Trophy at stake. The Wolverines arrive 5-3 after defeating Rutgers 28-21, while the Spartans stand 2-6 and have lost six straight since opening with victories over Toledo and Eastern Michigan. The recent results point toward Michigan, but their betting records tell a different story: Michigan State has covered five of eight games, whereas Michigan has covered only three. The Wolverines have also gone 1-5 ATS as favorites. Michigan’s defense is the headline matchup advantage, allowing only 250.0 total yards and 16.4 points per game. Michigan State averages about 19.9 points and struggled in a 28-10 loss at UCLA, when the Bruins outgained the Spartans 443-156. The Spartans have already played three road games without a straight-up victory. On the other hand, Michigan has scored just 21.3 points per game, potentially limiting its margin-building ability. Quarterback availability for Michigan State and Michigan’s recent switch to Tommy Carr are particularly important pregame questions. The scheduled kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET, with exclusive Peacock coverage.

Michigan State Betting Outlook

Michigan State has lost six straight after a 2-0 start and most recently fell 28-10 at UCLA on October 24 before its bye. Its last five games have all been losses, yet the Spartans covered two of those five, and the full season mark stands at 5-3 ATS. Michigan State has not won in three road appearances. Quarterback Alessio Milivojevic has thrown for 1,263 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions, but an injury kept him out of the UCLA game. Freshman Kayd Coffman started in his place. Running back Jaziun Patterson has 327 rushing yards, though his status also requires monitoring after missing the UCLA contest. Michigan State needs improved offensive execution against a strong defense.

Michigan Betting Outlook

Michigan is 5-3 after winning 28-21 at Rutgers, and has taken two of its last five games. Four wins and two losses have come at Michigan Stadium. The Wolverines are 3-5 ATS this season, including 3-3 at home, with just one cover in six games as the favorite. Their major strength is a defense allowing 250.0 total yards and 16.4 points per game. Offensively, they average 21.3 points per game, making scoring margin an important consideration. Freshman Tommy Carr has completed 42 of 59 passes across his first two starts, while receiver JJ Buchanan has 38 catches and five touchdowns. Michigan should control more defensive possessions, but its modest scoring output bears watching.

Latest Team Buzz

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines FAQ

What is the current spread for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The current home spread is MICH -13.5, while the away spread is MICHST +13.5.

How far has the spread moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The spread opened at MICH -17.5 and is now MICH -13.5.

What is the current moneyline for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The current moneyline is MICHST +410 / MICH -550.

How far has the moneyline moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The moneyline opened at MICHST +500 / MICH -700 and is now MICHST +410 / MICH -550.

What is the current total for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The current total is 39.5.

How far has the total moved for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

The total opened at 39.5 and is now 39.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Current market signal: Market Tightening.

Is the market taking the favorite in Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Is the total rising for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Current totals signal: Total Steady.

Where to watch Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

You can watch this game on Peacock. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

You can stream this game on Peacock.

What is the best free prop bet for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Tommy Carr Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns

What is the biggest matchup edge for Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines?

Michigan allows just 250.0 yards per game, contrasting sharply with Michigan State’s 19.88 points scored per game. The Wolverines have a clear defensive efficiency edge, but a 1-5 ATS record as favorites complicates laying a sizable number. Michigan State’s quarterback and rushing availability also matter for evaluating its ability to sustain drives.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverines
Game Date November 07, 2026
Venue Michigan Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

26-25 51.0% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
NEVADA@UCLA
UNDER 43.5
58.6%
8
WIN
NEVADA@UCLA
UCLA -20.5
57.4%
7
WIN
USM@MONROE
MONROE +3.5
57.5%
7
LOSS
COASTAL@GA-ST
GA-ST -3.5
57.6%
7
LOSS
BAYLOR@UCF
BAYLOR -122
54.4%
3
WIN
KSTATE@ARIZST
KSTATE -108
59.4%
6
LOSS
BOISE@WASHST
UNDER 52.5
58.6%
6
WIN
ND@BYU
ND -10
58.8%
8
LOSS
MIZZOU@OLEMISS
OVER 58.5
59.0%
8
LOSS
OKLAST@HOU
HOU -3
59.4%
8
PUSH
KANSAS@UTAH
KANSAS +15.5
60.4%
8
LOSS
NEVADA@UTEP
NEVADA -9.5
59.5%
9
WIN
AKRON@CMICH
AKRON +7
57.1%
6
LOSS
STNFRD@WAKE
STNFRD +15
58.2%
7
LOSS
OREGST@COLOST
OREGST -6.5
56.8%
8
WIN
MICHST@WISC
WISC -8
58.2%
8
WIN
UNLV@AKRON
OVER 52.5
56.5%
6
LOSS
OREGST@UTEP
OVER 55.5
56.7%
6
LOSS
GATECH@STNFRD
OVER 47.5
56.9%
6
WIN
TEXAS@TENN
UNDER 55
57.1%
7
WIN
WAGNER@CAL
OVER 65
58.1%
8
LOSS
JMAD@SDGST
UNDER 46.5
57.1%
7
WIN
MISSST@SC
OVER 58.5
58.1%
8
WIN
FRESNO@SJST
OVER 47.5
58.1%
8
LOSS
UL@USC
OVER 59.5
56.9%
6
WIN
MEMP@BOISE
UNDER 56.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
CAL@CUSE
UNDER 57.5
56.9%
6
WIN
RICE@ND
OVER 54.5
57.0%
6
LOSS
RUT@BC
UNDER 54.5
56.9%
6
WIN
WASHST@WASH
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
TOWSON@NAVY
OVER 51
57.4%
7
WIN
FURMAN@TENN
OVER 67.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
MIAOH@PITT
UNDER 47.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
UTEP@OKLA
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.