Iowa State Cyclones
Baylor brings a 6-2 ATS record and a commanding run defense into its Homecoming matchup with Iowa State, which is 0-3 straight up away from Ames. The Cyclones have covered only three of eight games, with one push.
Baylor Bears
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | IOWAST +9.5 BAYLOR -9.5 | IOWAST +280 BAYLOR -375 | O 51.5 U 51.5 |
| DraftKings | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +295 BAYLOR -375 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| BetMGM | IOWAST +9.5 BAYLOR -9.5 | IOWAST +300 BAYLOR -375 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| BetRivers | IOWAST +9.5 BAYLOR -9.5 | IOWAST +285 BAYLOR -385 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| Fanatics | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +310 BAYLOR -400 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| Bovada | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +310 BAYLOR -400 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +292 BAYLOR -365 | O 51 U 51 |
| LowVig.ag | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +292 BAYLOR -365 | O 51 U 51 |
| MyBookie.ag | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +298 BAYLOR -397 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| BetUS | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +293 BAYLOR -365 | O 51 U 51 |
| Caesars | IOWAST +10 BAYLOR -10 | IOWAST +280 BAYLOR -360 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
Injury Report
The official Big 12 game-week availability report had not been posted at the research check. In their previous games, Iowa State listed Connor Moberly, Beni Ngoyi, Caden Crawford, Ka'Mori Moore and Bryson Lamb out; Baylor listed Ashton Jones, Cayden Tone, Devonte Tezino, Jacob Redding and Jamarion Richardson out. Those earlier absences do not establish Saturday status. Monitor the game-specific report because personnel changes could influence passing protection, coverage and defensive depth.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Baylor has the stronger season-long defensive profile, allowing 15.3 points and 99.4 rushing yards per game compared with Iowa State allowing 27.3 points and 159.3 rushing yards. The Cyclones can challenge that edge if their explosive offense from the Oklahoma State win travels, but their 0-3 road record tempers expectations.
3 Things to Watch
- Baylor run defense versus Cyclones ground production
- Iowa State road offense against Baylor coverage
- Lagway explosive passing against Cyclones secondary
Betting Breakdown
Iowa State visits Baylor on November 7 in a noon Eastern kickoff at McLane Stadium, where the Bears are 3-1 straight up this season. Baylor enters 5-3 overall and 6-2 against the spread, while Iowa State is 4-4 and 3-4-1 ATS. Their most recent outings produced very different defensive results: the Bears dominated UCF 41-9, while the Cyclones survived Oklahoma State 51-49. Baylor averages 434.8 offensive yards and allows 332.8 yards per game, compared with Iowa State at 370.0 yards gained and 390.5 allowed. That gap helps explain why Baylor was installed as a 9.5-point opening favorite. The running game is another pivotal test: Iowa State averages 176.6 rushing yards, but Baylor permits just 99.4. Conversely, Baylor quarterback DJ Lagway comes off a 319-yard, four-touchdown passing performance, making the Cyclones pass defense a central concern. Iowa State quarterback Jaylen Raynor answered with 309 passing yards and three scores in his latest outing. Both defenses will face playmakers capable of shifting the game through explosive gains. Injury availability and any movement from the opening number deserve a final review near kickoff.
Iowa State Betting Outlook
The Cyclones arrive at 4-4 after a narrow 51-49 win over Oklahoma State, with quarterback Jaylen Raynor producing 309 passing yards and three touchdown passes. Running back Aiden Flora supplied 221 rushing yards and two scores, illustrating the offense's ceiling when blocking holds. However, Iowa State has lost all three away games and stands 1-2 ATS in those contests. Across eight games, the Cyclones are 3-4-1 ATS, including a push against West Virginia. Iowa State averages 176.6 rushing yards per game, but Baylor's defense allows only 99.4 on the ground. The Cyclones will need efficient early downs and fewer defensive lapses than in their last game.
Baylor Betting Outlook
Baylor is 5-3 straight up and 6-2 ATS heading into Homecoming, with a 3-1 home record and a 2-2 ATS mark at McLane Stadium. The Bears most recently beat UCF 41-9 in interim coach Joe Klanderman's debut, holding the Knights to 66 rushing yards and recording seven sacks. DJ Lagway threw for 319 yards and four touchdowns, while Gavin Freeman had 114 receiving yards. Baylor averages 30.6 points and 434.8 total yards per game, and its defense allows 15.3 points. The combination of passing explosiveness and run defense supports its status as the opening favorite, though the home ATS split is less imposing than the overall record.
Latest Team Buzz
the best back in the country last week @FloraAiden 🤝 https://t.co/FygtNTK9zR
— Iowa State Football (@CycloneFB) November 3, 2026
Homecoming 2021 ⛵️🐻@dillondoyle_ became the first player in program history to record a sack, a rushing touchdown, and a receiving touchdown in the same game. https://t.co/3zvqJsHC7y
— Baylor Football (@BUFootball) November 3, 2026
Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears FAQ
What is the current spread for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The current home spread is BAYLOR -10, while the away spread is IOWAST +10.
How far has the spread moved for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The spread opened at BAYLOR -9.5 and is now BAYLOR -10.
What is the current moneyline for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The current moneyline is IOWAST +295 / BAYLOR -375.
How far has the moneyline moved for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The moneyline opened at IOWAST +260 / BAYLOR -325 and is now IOWAST +295 / BAYLOR -375.
What is the current total for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The current total is 50.5.
How far has the total moved for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
The total opened at 50.5 and is now 50.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
You can watch this game on FS1. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
You can stream this game on FOX Sports App.
What is the best free prop bet for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
DJ Lagway Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns
What is the biggest matchup edge for Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears?
Baylor has the stronger season-long defensive profile, allowing 15.3 points and 99.4 rushing yards per game compared with Iowa State allowing 27.3 points and 159.3 rushing yards. The Cyclones can challenge that edge if their explosive offense from the Oklahoma State win travels, but their 0-3 road record tempers expectations.
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