Air Force brings a 5-3 ATS record and the nation's second-ranked rushing attack to West Point, where Army averages 342.5 rushing yards per game and has won three consecutive meetings with the Falcons.
Army Black Knights
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | AF +3.5 ARMY -3.5 | AF +134 ARMY -160 | O 44.5 U 44.5 |
| DraftKings | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +140 ARMY -166 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| BetMGM | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +135 ARMY -160 | O 44.5 U 44.5 |
| BetRivers | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +128 ARMY -159 | O 45.5 U 45.5 |
| Fanatics | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +135 ARMY -160 | O 45 U 45 |
| Bovada | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +138 ARMY -163 | O 45 U 45 |
| BetOnline.ag | AF +3.5 ARMY -3.5 | AF +139 ARMY -159 | O 45 U 45 |
| LowVig.ag | AF +3.5 ARMY -3.5 | AF +139 ARMY -159 | O 45 U 45 |
| MyBookie.ag | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +133 ARMY -164 | O 46 U 46 |
| BetUS | AF +3.5 ARMY -3.5 | AF +138 ARMY -160 | O 45 U 45 |
| Caesars | AF +3 ARMY -3 | AF +141 ARMY -170 | O 45 U 45 |
Injury Report
Air Force quarterback Liam Szarka has been listed out for the remainder of the season with a leg injury, making backfield continuity an important consideration. Earlier injury listings also identified Air Force receivers S. Maiava-Alaimalo and G. Stalfort as questionable, while Army listed Noah Dolbin, Ryan Boyle, P. Poloskey and Brady Anderson as questionable and Brady Mott as out. Several questionable designations refer to earlier games, so their availability for November 7 remains unconfirmed; bettors should check updated team reports before kickoff.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Army ranks first nationally in rushing at 342.5 yards per game, narrowly ahead of Air Force at 341.0. The Falcons counter with a notably stronger scoring defense, allowing 21.5 points per game to Army's 25.5. With both offenses built around extended rushing possessions, short-yardage execution, turnovers and quarterback availability could outweigh conventional passing mismatches.
3 Things to Watch
- Army rushing average of 342.5 yards per game
- Air Force rushing defense allowing 129.1 yards per game
- Third-down conversions and sustained rushing possessions
Betting Breakdown
The November 7 clash at Michie Stadium pairs Air Force at 6-2 with Army at 5-3 in a game that shapes the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy race. The defining matchup is on the ground: Army averages a national-best 342.5 rushing yards per game, while Air Force follows at 341.0. Both offenses can shorten games through clock control, giving every possession added weight against a point spread in the neighborhood of Army minus 3.5. Air Force is 5-3 against the spread, compared with Army at 4-4, although the Falcons are only 1-2 ATS on the road. Army is 3-1 straight up at home, and the Black Knights have won the last three head-to-head contests, including a 20-17 finish in 2025. The teams enter from different results: Air Force beat UConn 35-26, while Army lost 49-22 at Memphis. Army quarterback Cale Hellums has produced 874 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns, while Air Force must manage its offense without injured quarterback Liam Szarka. Watch rushing efficiency, fourth-down decisions and field position before taking a position on the spread or total.
Air Force Betting Outlook
Air Force has won four of its last five games, rebounding from a 28-14 defeat at Wyoming with a 35-26 victory over UConn. The Falcons average 29.25 points per game and surrender 21.50, while their rushing offense produces 341.0 yards per contest. That productivity combines with a 51.7 percent third-down conversion rate to help maintain possession and limit opposing opportunities. The betting record is positive overall at 5-3-0 ATS, but the 1-2 road ATS mark warrants caution in a short-spread rivalry game. Evan Medders has accumulated 490 rushing yards, and the season-ending absence reported for Liam Szarka adds importance to the Falcons' available quarterback rotation and ball security.
Army Betting Outlook
Army has won three of its past five games and holds a 3-1 straight-up record at Michie Stadium. The Black Knights averaged 33.63 points through eight games, powered by 342.5 rushing yards per contest and quarterback Cale Hellums, who has 874 rushing yards and 17 rushing touchdowns. Army recorded three consecutive victories over Tulane, Florida Atlantic and Tulsa before a 49-22 loss at Memphis interrupted its momentum. Its 4-4-0 ATS record suggests less consistency against market expectations than its home results alone imply. The Black Knights have also captured three consecutive matchups with Air Force, giving the hosts recent rivalry success, but the Falcons' run defense represents a substantial test.
Latest Team Buzz
Familiar foe, 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗵 𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸 ✈️☁️#FlyFightWin | @USAA https://t.co/63cQQJKIch
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) November 3, 2026
Mission on Saturday night: ⚫️ WEAR BLACK ⚫️#GoArmy #BeatAirForce https://t.co/2hUdMTzE38
— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) November 3, 2026
Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights FAQ
What is the current spread for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The current home spread is ARMY -3, while the away spread is AF +3.
How far has the spread moved for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The spread opened at ARMY -6 and is now ARMY -3.
What is the current moneyline for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The current moneyline is AF +140 / ARMY -166.
How far has the moneyline moved for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The moneyline opened at AF +180 / ARMY -218 and is now AF +140 / ARMY -166.
What is the current total for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The current total is 45.5.
How far has the total moved for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
The total opened at 52.5 and is now 45.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
Current market signal: Market Tightening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
You can watch this game on CBS. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
You can stream this game on Paramount+ Premium.
What is the best free prop bet for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights?
Army ranks first nationally in rushing at 342.5 yards per game, narrowly ahead of Air Force at 341.0. The Falcons counter with a notably stronger scoring defense, allowing 21.5 points per game to Army's 25.5. With both offenses built around extended rushing possessions, short-yardage execution, turnovers and quarterback availability could outweigh conventional passing mismatches.
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