Away Team
Record 6-2
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 4-4-0 ATS
Road 2-1 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
2d 13:05:59
Start Time 7:30 PM EST
Date November 06, 2026
Venue Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Where To Watch ESPN2
Where To Stream ESPN Unlimited
Season Series First meeting in 2026; South Florida leads historical series 9-4, East Carolina won the last three (2020-2022).

South Florida brings a 6-2 record into Greenville, but both teams stand 4-4 against the spread. The Bulls have covered two straight, while East Carolina has covered three of its past four, making execution more informative than overall records.

Home Team
Record 4-4
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 4-4-0 ATS
Home 3-1 home
Analysis Updated: 5:43 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 5:43 AM ET
Odds Updated: 6:19 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
ECAR -2.5
Open: ECAR +1.5
Market Widening

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 6:19 AM ET
Moneyline
ECAR -130
Open: ECAR -108
Favorite Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 6:19 AM ET
Total
39.5
Open: 45.5
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 11/4 6:19 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Michael Van Buren Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Luke Kromenhoek gained 92 net rushing yards on 15 attempts against UAB. TJ Engleman Jr. gained 107 rushing yards on 16 carries against Temple. Landon Sides caught seven passes for 58 yards against Temple in his latest appearance.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | ECAR -1.5
Best Home Moneyline
Caesars | ECAR -125
Best Over Line
BetOnline.ag | 39
Best Away Spread
DraftKings | SFLA +2.5
Best Away Moneyline
DraftKings | SFLA +110
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 39.5
Updated 6:19 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelSFLA +1.5
ECAR -1.5
SFLA +106
ECAR -128
O 39.5
U 39.5
DraftKingsSFLA +2.5
ECAR -2.5
SFLA +110
ECAR -130
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetMGMSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +105
ECAR -130
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetRiversSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +107
ECAR -132
O 39.5
U 39.5
FanaticsSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +110
ECAR -130
O 39.5
U 39.5
BovadaSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +107
ECAR -127
O 39.5
U 39.5
BetOnline.agSFLA +1.5
ECAR -1.5
SFLA +110
ECAR -130
O 39
U 39
LowVig.agSFLA +1.5
ECAR -1.5
SFLA +110
ECAR -130
O 39
U 39
MyBookie.agSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +106
ECAR -130
O 39
U 39
BetUSSFLA +1.5
ECAR -1.5
SFLA +110
ECAR -130
O 39
U 39
CaesarsSFLA +2
ECAR -2
SFLA +104
ECAR -125
O 39.5
U 39.5

Injury Report

Pre-game availability requires monitoring, especially the South Florida quarterback rotation. Michael Van Buren Jr. appeared against UAB on October 31, completing one of two passes, while Luke Kromenhoek handled most of the passing attempts and led the Bulls in rushing. A third-party matchup tracker lists Van Buren and several receivers as questionable, but these designations are not confirmed in an official injury report. Check final team updates before using availability assumptions.

Key Players

South Florida
Luke Kromenhoek
Kromenhoek rushed for 92 net yards on 15 attempts against UAB.
East Carolina
TJ Engleman Jr.
Engleman ran for 107 yards and one touchdown against Temple.

Key Matchup Edge

South Florida has the stronger overall record and allowed just 17 net rushing yards against UAB while recording six sacks. East Carolina countered with 222 rushing yards against Temple and three interceptions. The key edge may depend on whether ECU can sustain its recent ground production against a Bulls defense coming off a dominant front-seven performance.

3 Things to Watch

  • South Florida six sacks versus UAB
  • East Carolina 222 rushing yards versus Temple
  • Both teams four ATS covers in eight

Betting Breakdown

Friday night in Greenville brings together two American Conference teams coming off defensive-minded wins. South Florida beat UAB 30-10 on October 31, despite generating only 46 passing yards. The Bulls rushed for 191 net yards, registered six sacks, and limited the Blazers to 17 net rushing yards. Luke Kromenhoek contributed 92 net rushing yards, although the quarterback distribution remains worth watching before kickoff. East Carolina defeated Temple 17-9, producing 222 rushing yards and intercepting three passes. TJ Engleman Jr. gained 107 yards on 16 carries, while Mitch Griffis completed 17 of 30 passes for 130 yards. Across the full season, South Florida is 6-2 straight up and East Carolina 4-4, yet both have 4-4 records against closing spreads in the tracked eight-game sample. South Florida has gone 1-2 ATS away from home, compared with East Carolina at 2-2 ATS in Greenville. The defensive fronts and ability to keep drives alive are central to this matchup. Historical series results favor South Florida overall, although ECU won the three most recent meetings. Confirm quarterback availability and the live market before making any selection.

South Florida Betting Outlook

South Florida enters at 6-2 after consecutive wins over Kent State and UAB, which followed losses to Temple and UTSA. Its last five games produced a 3-2 straight-up record, but it covered just two of those five closing spreads. The Bulls are 4-4 ATS this season, including 1-2 away from Tampa. Against UAB, South Florida controlled the line of scrimmage with 191 net rushing yards and six sacks, but the passing attack finished with just 46 yards on eight completions. Luke Kromenhoek led the rushing attack with 92 net yards. The Bulls need to repeat their defensive pressure while avoiding a one-dimensional offense in Greenville.

East Carolina Betting Outlook

East Carolina is 4-4 overall and 3-1 at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium after beating Temple 17-9. The Pirates went 3-2 straight up over their last five, with wins against North Carolina Central, Rice and Temple offset by road losses to UAB and Memphis. They have covered four of eight closing spreads, including two of four at home, and covered three of their last four. Against Temple, ECU ran for 222 yards, with TJ Engleman Jr. accounting for 107 and a touchdown. The defense secured three interceptions, while Mitch Griffis threw for 130 yards. Sustaining rushing success and preventing negative passing plays are key to a competitive home showing.

Latest Team Buzz

South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates FAQ

What is the current spread for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The current home spread is ECAR -2.5, while the away spread is SFLA +2.5.

How far has the spread moved for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The spread opened at ECAR +1.5 and is now ECAR -2.5.

What is the current moneyline for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The current moneyline is SFLA +110 / ECAR -130.

How far has the moneyline moved for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The moneyline opened at SFLA -112 / ECAR -108 and is now SFLA +110 / ECAR -130.

What is the current total for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The current total is 39.5.

How far has the total moved for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

The total opened at 45.5 and is now 39.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Current market signal: Market Widening.

Is the market taking the favorite in South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

You can watch this game on ESPN2. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

You can stream this game on ESPN Unlimited.

What is the best free prop bet for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

Michael Van Buren Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns

What is the biggest matchup edge for South Florida Bulls vs East Carolina Pirates?

South Florida has the stronger overall record and allowed just 17 net rushing yards against UAB while recording six sacks. East Carolina countered with 222 rushing yards against Temple and three interceptions. The key edge may depend on whether ECU can sustain its recent ground production against a Bulls defense coming off a dominant front-seven performance.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup South Florida Bulls vs. East Carolina Pirates
Game Date November 06, 2026
Venue Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

26-25 51.0% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
NEVADA@UCLA
UNDER 43.5
58.6%
8
WIN
NEVADA@UCLA
UCLA -20.5
57.4%
7
WIN
USM@MONROE
MONROE +3.5
57.5%
7
LOSS
COASTAL@GA-ST
GA-ST -3.5
57.6%
7
LOSS
BAYLOR@UCF
BAYLOR -122
54.4%
3
WIN
KSTATE@ARIZST
KSTATE -108
59.4%
6
LOSS
BOISE@WASHST
UNDER 52.5
58.6%
6
WIN
ND@BYU
ND -10
58.8%
8
LOSS
MIZZOU@OLEMISS
OVER 58.5
59.0%
8
LOSS
OKLAST@HOU
HOU -3
59.4%
8
PUSH
KANSAS@UTAH
KANSAS +15.5
60.4%
8
LOSS
NEVADA@UTEP
NEVADA -9.5
59.5%
9
WIN
AKRON@CMICH
AKRON +7
57.1%
6
LOSS
STNFRD@WAKE
STNFRD +15
58.2%
7
LOSS
OREGST@COLOST
OREGST -6.5
56.8%
8
WIN
MICHST@WISC
WISC -8
58.2%
8
WIN
UNLV@AKRON
OVER 52.5
56.5%
6
LOSS
OREGST@UTEP
OVER 55.5
56.7%
6
LOSS
GATECH@STNFRD
OVER 47.5
56.9%
6
WIN
TEXAS@TENN
UNDER 55
57.1%
7
WIN
WAGNER@CAL
OVER 65
58.1%
8
LOSS
JMAD@SDGST
UNDER 46.5
57.1%
7
WIN
MISSST@SC
OVER 58.5
58.1%
8
WIN
FRESNO@SJST
OVER 47.5
58.1%
8
LOSS
UL@USC
OVER 59.5
56.9%
6
WIN
MEMP@BOISE
UNDER 56.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
CAL@CUSE
UNDER 57.5
56.9%
6
WIN
RICE@ND
OVER 54.5
57.0%
6
LOSS
RUT@BC
UNDER 54.5
56.9%
6
WIN
WASHST@WASH
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
TOWSON@NAVY
OVER 51
57.4%
7
WIN
FURMAN@TENN
OVER 67.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
MIAOH@PITT
UNDER 47.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
UTEP@OKLA
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.