Texas State Bobcats
No. 20 Boise State brings a six-game winning streak and playoff aspirations into a late Saturday showdown with explosive Texas State. A double-digit spread meets two productive rushing attacks and a total above 60 points.
Boise State Broncos
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Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | TEXST +11.5 BOISE -11.5 | TEXST +360 BOISE -465 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| DraftKings | TEXST +11.5 BOISE -11.5 | TEXST +340 BOISE -440 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| BetMGM | TEXST +11.5 BOISE -11.5 | TEXST +340 BOISE -450 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| BetRivers | TEXST +11 BOISE -11 | TEXST +335 BOISE -455 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| Fanatics | TEXST +11 BOISE -11 | TEXST +340 BOISE -450 | O 64 U 64 |
| Bovada | TEXST +11 BOISE -11 | TEXST +335 BOISE -450 | O 64 U 64 |
| BetOnline.ag | TEXST +12 BOISE -12 | TEXST +337 BOISE -430 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| LowVig.ag | TEXST +12 BOISE -12 | TEXST +337 BOISE -430 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | TEXST +11.5 BOISE -11.5 | TEXST +330 BOISE -441 | O 64 U 64 |
| BetUS | TEXST +12 BOISE -12 | TEXST +338 BOISE -430 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
| Caesars | TEXST +11.5 BOISE -11.5 | TEXST +340 BOISE -460 | O 63.5 U 63.5 |
Injury Report
Texas State running back Davian Jackson has appeared on an injury listing as questionable with an undisclosed issue, potentially changing backfield rotation and touch distribution. Wide receiver K. Evans and tight end B. Smith also appear questionable on a published injury board, although their listings reference the prior Utah State game. Boise State receiver Ben Ford has been listed out in a matchup tracker. Other receiver statuses vary between sources, so confirm active rosters close to kickoff.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Boise State allows only 99.1 rushing yards per game, a critical counter to a Texas State offense generating 272 rushing yards per game. The Broncos also hold a positive turnover margin while the Bobcats are negative. If Boise State wins early downs and forces Brad Jackson into obvious passing situations, the home favorite gains a meaningful path to covering.
3 Things to Watch
- Brad Jackson against Boise run defense
- Dylan Riley workload and explosive runs
- Turnover margin and late spread swings
Betting Breakdown
No. 20 Boise State hosts Texas State on October 31 at Albertsons Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 10 p.m. Eastern and coverage on The CW. The Broncos are 6-1 overall and 3-0 in Pac-12 play following a 31-10 road win over Washington State. Texas State stands 4-3 and 2-1 in the league after squeezing past Utah State 20-17. Markets have Boise State favored by about 11.5 points with a total near 63.5, reflecting confidence in the home team without dismissing the Bobcats' firepower. Texas State gains 517.7 yards per game, including 272.0 rushing, while Boise State averages 444.3 total yards and 237.9 on the ground. The decisive collision is Texas State's rushing strength against a Broncos defense allowing only 99.1 rushing yards a contest. Boise State also owns a plus-four turnover margin compared with Texas State's minus-five. The Bobcats can threaten the number if Brad Jackson creates chunk plays, but the Broncos' possession control and defensive resistance offer a clear favorite case. Monitor injury updates and price movement before betting.
Texas State Betting Outlook
Texas State arrives 4-3 after beating Colorado State 66-27 and Utah State 20-17. The Bobcats have won four of their last five straight up but remain 3-4 against the spread this season. Brad Jackson has thrown for 1,606 yards with 14 touchdowns and five interceptions, while adding 382 yards and five scores rushing. Torrance Burgess Jr. supplies another explosive rushing threat with 889 yards through seven contests. Texas State averages 37.1 points and 517.7 total yards per game. That output gives underdog bettors reason to consider the points, although a minus-five turnover margin and a strong Boise State run defense present major obstacles.
Boise State Betting Outlook
Boise State is 6-1, unbeaten through three Pac-12 games, and has won six straight since its opening loss at Oregon. The Broncos defeated Washington State 31-10 last weekend, with Dylan Riley delivering 128 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 13 attempts. Riley has 963 rushing yards this season, while quarterback Maddux Madsen has 1,445 passing yards, 14 scores and no interceptions. Boise State averages 237.9 rushing yards and holds opponents to 99.1 on the ground. Its 4-3 ATS mark is less imposing than its straight-up record, so laying double digits demands confidence in sustained rushing efficiency, clean possessions and a defense that prevents Texas State from trading scores.
Latest Team Buzz
Vibes are high🕺 https://t.co/QePzAWOXJp
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) October 25, 2026
New rankings just dropped 🔵🟠 #BleedBlue | #BuiltDifferent https://t.co/s6LyRRBBjt
— Boise State Football (@BroncoSportsFB) October 25, 2026
Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos FAQ
What is the current spread for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The current home spread is BOISE -11.5, while the away spread is TEXST +11.5.
How far has the spread moved for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The spread opened at BOISE -12.5 and is now BOISE -11.5.
What is the current moneyline for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The current moneyline is TEXST +340 / BOISE -440.
How far has the moneyline moved for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The moneyline opened at TEXST +340 / BOISE -440 and is now TEXST +340 / BOISE -440.
What is the current total for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The current total is 63.5.
How far has the total moved for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
The total opened at 65.5 and is now 63.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
Current market signal: Market Tightening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the total dropping for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Is the total rising for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
Current totals signal: Total Dropping.
Where to watch Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
You can watch this game on The CW. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
You can stream this game on YouTube TV.
What is the best free prop bet for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos?
Boise State allows only 99.1 rushing yards per game, a critical counter to a Texas State offense generating 272 rushing yards per game. The Broncos also hold a positive turnover margin while the Bobcats are negative. If Boise State wins early downs and forces Brad Jackson into obvious passing situations, the home favorite gains a meaningful path to covering.
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