Away Team
Record 3-0
Last 5 4-1 last five
ATS 3-0 ATS
Road 1-0 road
Standings
CFB Game Preview
Schedule
Kickoff Countdown
5d 11:51:15
Start Time 7:00 PM EST
Date October 03, 2026
Venue Amon G. Carter Stadium
Where To Watch ESPN or ESPN2
Where To Stream ESPN App
Season Series Season series tied 0-0.

No. 9 BYU arrives rested, 3-0 straight up and ATS, while TCU returns home after a turnover-heavy 21-13 loss at UCF. With BYU laying 5.5, the central question is whether TCU's defense can slow the Cougars' explosive ground game.

Home Team
Record 2-2
Last 5 3-2 last five
ATS 2-2 ATS
Home 2-0 home
Analysis Updated: 7:35 AM ET
Injuries Checked: 7:28 AM ET
Odds Updated: 7:04 AM ET

Betting Snapshot

Spread
TCU +6.5
Open: TCU +5.5
Market Widening

Spread Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/28 7:04 AM ET
Moneyline
TCU +190
Open: TCU +164
Dog Taking Support

Moneyline Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/28 7:04 AM ET
Total
49.5
Open: 52.5
Total Dropping

Total Movement

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Odds Updated: 9/28 7:04 AM ET

Best Free Prop Pick

FREE PROP
Remi's Still Searching
Bear Bachmeier Over 207.5 passing yards: he has cleared this mark in two straight games. Bear Bachmeier Over 207.5 passing yards: TCU allowed 232 passing yards to North Carolina. Bear Bachmeier Over 207.5 passing yards: BYU's road-favorite role should preserve four-quarter passing volume.

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Odds Comparison Center

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Best Home Spread
FanDuel | TCU +6.5
Best Home Moneyline
MyBookie.ag | TCU +198
Best Over Line
BetOnline.ag | 48.5
Best Away Spread
Fanatics | BYU -6
Best Away Moneyline
BetMGM | BYU -225
Best Under Line
FanDuel | 49.5
Updated 7:04 AM ET
Sportsbook Spread Moneyline Total
FanDuelBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
BYU -235
TCU +190
O 49.5
U 49.5
DraftKingsBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
BYU -230
TCU +190
O 49.5
U 49.5
BetMGMBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
BYU -225
TCU +188
O 49.5
U 49.5
BetRiversBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
BYU -245
TCU +190
O 49.5
U 49.5
FanaticsBYU -6
TCU +6
BYU -235
TCU +190
O 49
U 49
BovadaBYU -6
TCU +6
BYU -230
TCU +190
O 49
U 49
BetOnline.agBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
—O 48.5
U 48.5
LowVig.agBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
—O 48.5
U 48.5
MyBookie.agBYU -6
TCU +6
BYU -250
TCU +198
O 49
U 49
BetUSBYU -6
TCU +6
—O 48.5
U 48.5
CaesarsBYU -6.5
TCU +6.5
BYU -235
TCU +194
O 49
U 49

Injury Report

BYU remains without backup running back Sione Moa after knee surgery, while starting safety Raider Damuni is still sidelined with a lower-body injury. Tight ends Saleapaga and Jacob Nye are listed questionable. TCU's key development is positive: veteran receiver Jordan Dwyer returned from a foot injury at UCF and immediately topped 100 receiving yards.

Key Players

BYU
LJ Martin
Rushed for 176 yards and three touchdowns on 15 carries at Colorado State.
TCU
Jaden Craig
Passed for 310 yards but threw two interceptions in the 21-13 loss at UCF.

Key Matchup Edge

BYU's clearest edge is its run game against a TCU team now facing a rested opponent after a physical road loss. The Cougars average 262.7 rushing yards per game and produced 332 at Colorado State, while TCU managed only 33 rushing yards at UCF. Sustained BYU rushing success would shorten the game and pressure Jaden Craig into a pass-heavy response.

3 Things to Watch

  • BYU run game versus TCU front
  • TCU ball security after UCF
  • Jordan Dwyer's workload after returning

Betting Breakdown

BYU enters Fort Worth as a 5.5-point road favorite with a 52.5 total, and the case for the Cougars starts with efficiency and rest. Kalani Sitake's team is 3-0 straight up and ATS, averages 44.0 points and 262.7 rushing yards per game, and had an open week after beating Colorado State 41-23. TCU is tougher than its 2-2 record suggests on defense, holding every opponent to 21 points or fewer and limiting UCF to 266 total yards. The concern is the other side of the ball. TCU lost four turnovers at UCF, rushed for just 33 yards, and scored only three second-half points despite Jaden Craig throwing for 310. BYU can lean on LJ Martin, keep Bear Bachmeier in manageable downs, and force TCU to prove it can finish drives without giveaways. The spread asks BYU to win by a touchdown on the road, so TCU's home defense and turnover correction are the main resistance points.

BYU Betting Outlook

BYU's betting profile is clean through three games: 3-0 outright, 3-0 ATS, and productive on both sides of the ball. The Cougars average 481.7 total yards, with the run game driving the offense at 262.7 yards per contest. LJ Martin is coming off 176 rushing yards and three touchdowns at Colorado State, while Bear Bachmeier has completed 71.0% of his passes with six touchdowns against one interception. The bye adds preparation time for a road conference spot. The main caution is TCU's defense, which has not allowed more than 21 points, so BYU must avoid empty possessions and keep its run efficiency intact.

TCU Betting Outlook

TCU returns to Amon G. Carter Stadium at 2-2 after a costly 21-13 loss at UCF. The defense remains the foundation, holding the Knights to 266 yards and keeping every opponent this season at 21 points or fewer. Offensively, Jaden Craig still threw for 310 yards, and Jordan Dwyer's return added a proven downfield target, but four turnovers and 33 rushing yards erased that production. TCU is 2-0 at home and has historically played BYU well in Fort Worth. To cover as a home underdog, the Frogs need cleaner possessions, better rushing balance, and enough early-down success to keep BYU from controlling tempo.

Latest Team Buzz

BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs FAQ

What is the current spread for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The current home spread is TCU +6.5, while the away spread is BYU -6.5.

How far has the spread moved for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The spread opened at TCU +5.5 and is now TCU +6.5.

What is the current moneyline for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The current moneyline is BYU -230 / TCU +190.

How far has the moneyline moved for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The moneyline opened at BYU -198 / TCU +164 and is now BYU -230 / TCU +190.

What is the current total for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The current total is 49.5.

How far has the total moved for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The total opened at 52.5 and is now 49.5.

Is the market taking the underdog in BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Current market signal: Market Widening.

Is the market taking the favorite in BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.

Is the total dropping for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Is the total rising for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Current totals signal: Total Dropping.

Where to watch BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

You can watch this game on ESPN or ESPN2. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.

Where to stream BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

You can stream this game on ESPN App.

What is the best free prop bet for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

Remi's Still Searching

What is the biggest matchup edge for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

BYU's clearest edge is its run game against a TCU team now facing a rested opponent after a physical road loss. The Cougars average 262.7 rushing yards per game and produced 332 at Colorado State, while TCU managed only 33 rushing yards at UCF. Sustained BYU rushing success would shorten the game and pressure Jaden Craig into a pass-heavy response.

REMI AI PERFORMANCE

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement. We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

Matchup BYU Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Game Date October 03, 2026
Venue Amon G. Carter Stadium
RECENT COMPLETED PICKS

AI CFB PAST PICKS

30-21 58.8% WIN
GAME
LEAN
WIN %
UNITS
RESULT
GATECH@STNFRD
OVER 47.5
56.9%
6
WIN
TEXAS@TENN
UNDER 55
57.1%
7
WIN
WAGNER@CAL
OVER 65
58.1%
8
LOSS
JMAD@SDGST
UNDER 46.5
57.1%
7
WIN
MISSST@SC
OVER 58.5
58.1%
8
WIN
FRESNO@SJST
OVER 47.5
58.1%
8
LOSS
UL@USC
OVER 59.5
56.9%
6
WIN
MEMP@BOISE
UNDER 56.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
CAL@CUSE
UNDER 57.5
56.9%
6
WIN
RICE@ND
OVER 54.5
57.0%
6
LOSS
RUT@BC
UNDER 54.5
56.9%
6
WIN
WASHST@WASH
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
TOWSON@NAVY
OVER 51
57.4%
7
WIN
FURMAN@TENN
OVER 67.5
57.1%
7
LOSS
MIAOH@PITT
UNDER 47.5
57.2%
7
LOSS
UTEP@OKLA
OVER 51.5
56.9%
6
LOSS
ALBANY@BUFF
ALBANY +18.5
54.1%
4
WIN
ALBANY@BUFF
UNDER 47.5
57.1%
7
WIN
UAB@ILL
KATIN HOUSER OVER 18.5 PASS COMP
54.2%
4
LOSS
HAWAII@STNFRD
HAWAII +4.5
54.8%
4
LOSS
MEMP@UNLV
UNLV -4
53.2%
3
LOSS
SJST@USC
OVER 61.5
57.0%
6
WIN
JAXST@NDAKST
UNDER 46.5
56.8%
6
WIN
NCST@UVA
CJ BAILEY OVER 29.5 PASS ATT
54.2%
4
LOSS
MIAMI@IND
ROMAN HEMBY UNDER 15.5 RUSH ATT
55.2%
5
LOSS
OLEMISS@GEORGIA
KEWAN LACY ANYTIME TD
56.7%
6
WIN
BAMA@IND
FERNANDO MENDOZA UNDER 26.5 PASS ATT
55.2%
5
WIN
OREG@TXTECH
OREG -126
58.9%
6
WIN
NEB@UTAH
DEVON DAMPIER UNDER 185.5 PASS YDS
53.4%
3
LOSS
NOTEX@SDGST
NOTEX -7
54.2%
4
LOSS
BAMA@OKLA
ISAIAH SATEGNA III ANYTIME TD
54.2%
4
WIN
BYU@TTU
PARKER KINGSTON OVER 20.5 LONGEST RECEPTION
54.3%
4
WIN
UNLV@BOISE
BOISE -4.5
56.7%
6
WIN
ECU@FAU
FAU +7
57.8%
7
LOSS
OREG@WASH
WASH +7
54.9%
4
LOSS
WYO@HAWAII
WYO +7.5
55.1%
5
LOSS
COLO@KSTATE
COLO +17.5
54.0%
4
WIN
OHIOST@MICH
MICH +10.5
56.4%
6
LOSS
VATECH@UVA
VATECH +8
57.8%
7
LOSS
NWEST@ILL
LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP
54.3%
4
WIN
ORE@WAS
DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
MIAMI@VATECH
VATECH +18.5
54.2%
4
WIN
GAST@TROY
TROY -9.5
55.7%
5
WIN
DEL@WAKE
DEL +18
56.7%
6
LOSS
NMEX@AF
NMEX -3.5
56.1%
5
WIN
WASHST@JMAD
WASHST +14.5
55.3%
5
WIN
ILL@WISC
WISC +9
55.1%
5
WIN
WKY@LSU
WKY +23.5
56.3%
6
WIN
WASH@UCLA
DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT
56.3%
6
WIN
TCU@HOU
AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS
55.2%
5
WIN
TEX@UGA
NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS
55.5%
5
WIN
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Picks are displayed for informational purposes only.