Ole Miss Rebels
Both teams arrive 3-0, but the market has already shown disagreement around the favorite. Florida's Jadan Baugh is surging, Ole Miss just beat LSU, and late injury updates could decide where this spread settles.
Florida Gators
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | OLEMISS +2.5 FLA -2.5 | OLEMISS +114 FLA -137 | O 58.5 U 58.5 |
| DraftKings | OLEMISS +2.5 FLA -2.5 | OLEMISS +114 FLA -135 | O 59.5 U 59.5 |
| BetMGM | OLEMISS +2.5 FLA -2.5 | OLEMISS +115 FLA -140 | O 59.5 U 59.5 |
| BetRivers | OLEMISS +2 FLA -2 | OLEMISS +104 FLA -129 | O 58.5 U 58.5 |
| Fanatics | OLEMISS +2.5 FLA -2.5 | OLEMISS +110 FLA -130 | O 59.5 U 59.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | OLEMISS +2.5 FLA -2.5 | — | O 59.5 U 59.5 |
| MyBookie.ag | — | OLEMISS +103 FLA -132 | O 58.5 U 58.5 |
Injury Report
Florida wideout Eric Singleton Jr. missed Auburn with a high-ankle sprain after also sitting against Campbell, leaving his status for Ole Miss worth monitoring. Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy returned from an earlier minor injury and scored against LSU, but he exited that win with another injury concern. Florida also had defensive lineman Emmanuel Oyebadejo as a game-time decision at Auburn. Availability reports for Sept. 26 remain key.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Florida's clearest edge is the run-game mismatch. Jadan Baugh has 458 rushing yards and eight touchdowns through three games, while Ole Miss allowed 172 rushing yards to LSU and 159 per game across its first three. If Florida stays on schedule, it can shorten the game and keep Chambliss from dictating tempo.
3 Things to Watch
- Baugh carry count against Ole Miss front
- Chambliss explosives versus Florida secondary
- Early line direction after Sunday openers
Betting Breakdown
Florida and Ole Miss enter 3-0 with different offensive identities and a market still searching for a stable favorite. Florida has scored 66, 52 and 44 points, and its run game is the most bankable matchup lever after Jadan Baugh posted 160, 136 and 162 rushing yards in three straight wins. Ole Miss counters with quarterback Trinidad Chambliss, who threw for 363 yards and two scores in the 32-24 win over LSU, giving the Rebels a legitimate answer if Florida controls the ground. The concern for Ole Miss is a defense that has allowed 159 rushing yards per game through three, while Florida's front has held opponents under 95 rushing yards per game. The spread has bounced around early listings, with FanDuel showing Florida -2.5 and a 58.5 total Sunday morning. In a matchup this tight, explosive plays and red-zone finishing matter, but the most important handicap is whether Ole Miss can force Florida away from Baugh and into longer passing downs.
Ole Miss Betting Outlook
Ole Miss brings the more proven downfield passer into Gainesville. Trinidad Chambliss followed strong outings against Louisville and Charlotte by completing 33 of 48 passes for 363 yards and two touchdowns against LSU, and the Rebels are 3-0 straight up. The betting concern is that Ole Miss is only 1-2 ATS and has not yet played a true road game, with the Louisville opener held at a neutral site. Kewan Lacy's health also matters after another injury concern against LSU. If the Rebels protect Chambliss and generate early explosives, they can offset Florida's rushing advantage and keep the game in a possession-for-possession script.
Florida Betting Outlook
Florida is 3-0 and has already shown it can carry its offense away from Gainesville, beating Auburn 44-39 behind 243 rushing yards. Jadan Baugh has been the centerpiece with 458 rushing yards and eight touchdowns through three games, while Aaron Philo has added enough efficiency and vertical threat to punish loaded boxes. The Gators are 2-1 ATS and 2-0 at home, where the crowd adds another layer for an Ole Miss team making its first true road start. Eric Singleton Jr.'s ankle status is worth watching, but Florida has still produced through multiple receiving options. The clearest path is sustained rushing success and keeping Chambliss off schedule.
Latest Team Buzz
The Voice of God says HOTTY TODDY ‼️ #HottyToddy pic.twitter.com/Y9z7MGLpSQ
— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) September 20, 2026
DUB ‼️ pic.twitter.com/V11yN2rWAq
— South Florida Football (@USFFootball) September 20, 2026
Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators FAQ
What is the current spread for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The current home spread is FLA -2.5, while the away spread is OLEMISS +2.5.
How far has the spread moved for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The spread opened at FLA -1.5 and is now FLA -2.5.
What is the current moneyline for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The current moneyline is OLEMISS +114 / FLA -135.
How far has the moneyline moved for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The moneyline opened at OLEMISS -105 / FLA -115 and is now OLEMISS +114 / FLA -135.
What is the current total for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The current total is 59.5.
How far has the total moved for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
The total opened at 57.5 and is now 59.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Is the total rising for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Where to watch Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
You can watch this game on ABC. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
You can stream this game on ESPN App.
What is the best free prop bet for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Remi's Still Searching
What is the biggest matchup edge for Ole Miss Rebels vs Florida Gators?
Florida's clearest edge is the run-game mismatch. Jadan Baugh has 458 rushing yards and eight touchdowns through three games, while Ole Miss allowed 172 rushing yards to LSU and 159 per game across its first three. If Florida stays on schedule, it can shorten the game and keep Chambliss from dictating tempo.
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