Troy Trojans
Missouri returns home unbeaten after a rivalry win at Kansas, while 2-0 Troy steps up sharply in class. The early number makes the Tigers a four-touchdown favorite, putting Mizzou's explosiveness and Troy's 0-2 ATS start under the microscope.
Missouri Tigers
Betting Snapshot
Spread Movement
Moneyline Movement
Total Movement
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | TROY +26.5 MIZZOU -26.5 | TROY +1600 MIZZOU -4500 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| DraftKings | TROY +27.5 MIZZOU -27.5 | TROY +2000 MIZZOU -6500 | O 49.5 U 49.5 |
| BetMGM | TROY +27 MIZZOU -27 | TROY +2000 MIZZOU -5000 | O 49.5 U 49.5 |
| BetRivers | TROY +27.5 MIZZOU -27.5 | TROY +1800 MIZZOU -10000 | O 50.5 U 50.5 |
| Bovada | TROY +27 MIZZOU -27 | TROY +1300 MIZZOU -5000 | O 49.5 U 49.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | TROY +27 MIZZOU -27 | — | O 50 U 50 |
| LowVig.ag | TROY +27 MIZZOU -27 | — | O 50 U 50 |
| MyBookie.ag | TROY +27.5 MIZZOU -27.5 | TROY +1175 MIZZOU -5000 | O 49.5 U 49.5 |
| BetUS | TROY +27 MIZZOU -27 | — | O 49 U 49 |
Injury Report
Missouri's major betting-impact question is All-American running back Ahmad Hardy, whose return from a leg injury remained uncertain after he missed the first two games. Jamal Roberts handled 28 carries for 125 yards at Kansas and remains the proven workload option. Troy's latest public injury listing carried wide receiver Hopson Kinchen as questionable with an undisclosed issue entering Week 2; no newer significant availability concern was clearly confirmed.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Missouri owns the clearest edge through the air. Austin Simmons has completed 75 percent of his passes for 544 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions, while Troy surrendered 335 passing yards and three scores to Sam Houston in Week 1. That explosive-play vulnerability is dangerous against Donovan Olugbode and Cayden Lee.
3 Things to Watch
- Troy's first road test
- Missouri's explosive passing game
- Ahmad Hardy's return status
Betting Breakdown
Missouri enters 2-0 after a 38-21 road win over Kansas, and the offensive profile is already difficult for Troy to match. Austin Simmons has thrown for 544 yards with seven touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 75 percent of his passes, and Donovan Olugbode has 237 receiving yards through two games. Troy is also 2-0, but the betting results have been less convincing: the Trojans are 0-2 ATS after failing to cover large numbers against Sam Houston and Alabama State. Troy generated 427 yards in Week 2, including 226 on the ground, with Jaheim Merriweather rushing for 127 yards and three scores. The problem is game state. If Missouri creates an early lead, Troy may be pushed away from its most productive rushing script and into a passing matchup where the Tigers can dictate. An early Missouri -27.5 line asks for margin, but Mizzou's quarterback efficiency, home setting and big-play receivers provide a clear path to separation.
Troy Betting Outlook
Troy's 2-0 start deserves respect, but neither victory produced an ATS cover. The Trojans escaped Sam Houston 24-21, then handled Alabama State 34-17 behind 226 rushing yards. Jaheim Merriweather's 127-yard, three-touchdown effort showed the depth of the backfield, while Goose Crowder has protected the football through two games. The challenge is translating that formula to Troy's first road game against an SEC opponent. Missouri can score quickly, so Troy needs sustained drives, clean special teams and explosive runs to keep the spread from becoming a fourth-quarter chase.
Missouri Betting Outlook
Missouri has looked like the more explosive and complete side through two games, averaging 46 points while allowing 17.5. Austin Simmons followed his sharp opener with 292 passing yards and three touchdowns at Kansas, and Jamal Roberts supplied 125 rushing yards on 28 carries. Donovan Olugbode and Cayden Lee each cleared 120 receiving yards in the rivalry win, giving Troy multiple coverage problems. The betting question is not whether Mizzou has the stronger roster, but whether it can sustain urgency as a huge favorite before SEC play begins. Home field and the 100th Anniversary Game add another motivation layer.
Latest Team Buzz
Sunday Morning 🥤 pic.twitter.com/lqYvu7Ccgt
— Troy Trojans Football 8x⚔️ (@TroyTrojansFB) September 13, 2026
First win frames 📸#ItTakesUsAll | #NoStateLikeMoState pic.twitter.com/md6AG1h2NU
— Missouri State Football (@MoStateFootball) September 13, 2026
Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers FAQ
What is the current spread for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The current home spread is MIZZOU -27.5, while the away spread is TROY +27.5.
How far has the spread moved for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The spread opened at MIZZOU -27.5 and is now MIZZOU -27.5.
What is the current moneyline for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The current moneyline is TROY +2000 / MIZZOU -6500.
How far has the moneyline moved for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The moneyline opened at TROY +2200 / MIZZOU -8000 and is now TROY +2000 / MIZZOU -6500.
What is the current total for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The current total is 49.5.
How far has the total moved for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
The total opened at 49.5 and is now 49.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Current market signal: Dog Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
You can watch this game on SEC Network+. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
You can stream this game on ESPN+.
What is the best free prop bet for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Remi's Still Searching
What is the biggest matchup edge for Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers?
Missouri owns the clearest edge through the air. Austin Simmons has completed 75 percent of his passes for 544 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions, while Troy surrendered 335 passing yards and three scores to Sam Houston in Week 1. That explosive-play vulnerability is dangerous against Donovan Olugbode and Cayden Lee.
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