Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 28)
Updated: 2025-11-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Texas A&M Aggies travel to play the Texas Longhorns on November 28, 2025 in Austin during the annual Lone Star Showdown, with A&M aiming to complete an undefeated regular season and Texas fighting for pride, rivalry momentum and perhaps playoff relevance. The matchup pits A&M’s formidable defense and rising national profile against Texas’s home-field energy and tradition-rich program — the result will likely hinge on turnovers, red-zone efficiency and which team handles rivalry pressure best.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 28, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Longhorns Record: (8-3)
Aggies Record: (11-0)
OPENING ODDS
TEXAM Moneyline: -133
TEXAS Moneyline: +111
TEXAM Spread: -2.5
TEXAS Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 51.5
TEXAM
Betting Trends
- Texas A&M enters 2025 ranked No. 3 in the nation, boasting an undefeated record and a dominant statistical profile; their strong season and national positioning suggest that they are viewed as an ATS favorite in most remaining games including this rivalry matchup.
TEXAS
Betting Trends
- Texas, ranked No. 17 in recent polls and dealing with a significant loss to Georgia that damaged their playoff path, enters as home underdog and carries momentum pressures but also the emotional boost of hosting A&M — their ATS performance in this specific rivalry has been favorable historically, offering some value at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Lone Star Showdown has several intriguing ATS dynamics: A&M’s dominance and national status suggest they are the favorite, yet playing in Austin at Texas gives the home team an emotional and tactical boost. Moreover, rivalry games often feature lower totals than expected because they become tighter, more mistake-driven contests — bettors should keep an eye on whether the total line is inflated by A&M’s statistical dominance or suppressed by the rivalry context. Additionally, Texas’s underdog value at home against a heavy favorite may be under-priced if momentum swings or turnovers play a big role.
TEXAM vs. TEXAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Moore over 40.5 Receiving Yards.
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Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/28/25
The November 28, 2025 renewal of the Lone Star Showdown between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Texas Longhorns arrives with the intensity, bitterness and spectacle expected of one of college football’s most storied rivalries, especially now that it returns to Austin with Texas A&M entering as an undefeated national contender and Texas seeking to play spoiler while reasserting their place in the state’s hierarchy. Texas A&M comes into this matchup ranked among the nation’s elite, driven by a defense that has consistently controlled explosive plays, dominated third-down situations and forced opponents into turnovers, while their offense has grown into a balanced, efficient and explosive unit capable of dictating tempo even in hostile environments. Texas, meanwhile, faces this matchup with a blend of pride, urgency and defiance, understanding that the season’s earlier stumble damaged their playoff hopes but also recognizing that beating a top-three A&M team at home would restore momentum, reshape national perception and reignite pride across the Forty Acres. The tactical core of the matchup revolves around Texas A&M’s ability to impose defensive pressure and disrupt the rhythm of the Texas offense; if the Aggies can control early downs, collapse the pocket and stifle the Longhorn running game, they can force Texas into a one-dimensional attack that their secondary is built to handle. Texas must counter with explosive-play creation—leveraging their athletic quarterback, deep receiving corps and home-field energy to attack A&M vertically and prevent the Aggies from dictating tempo. Equally important is red-zone efficiency: A&M’s defense has been one of the nation’s best in holding opponents to field goals, while Texas’ offense has occasionally stalled in crucial moments, making finishing drives a pivotal factor.
The line-of-scrimmage battle will be fierce, with Texas needing to hold up against A&M’s disruptive front seven, while the Aggies’ offensive line must maintain discipline against a Texas defense that thrives on momentum-driven surges at home. Special teams will also play an outsized role, as rivalry games frequently hinge on hidden yardage—punt coverage, directional kicking, return discipline and field-goal accuracy often decide outcomes even more than raw yardage or time of possession. Emotionally the game demands composure from both sides: A&M must preserve its undefeated focus without succumbing to road-pressure mistakes, and Texas must channel home energy into clean execution rather than the penalties and breakdowns that have cost them in high-stakes environments. The psychological stakes are massive: Texas A&M is playing for playoff positioning and the chance to close out a perfect regular season, while Texas is playing to defend its home turf, reclaim rivalry pride and derail the Aggies’ dream campaign. Ultimately the matchup will likely hinge on turnover margin, explosive-play differential, red-zone execution and which team handles high-leverage moments with greater poise. If Texas A&M maintains defensive dominance, protects the football and sustains offensive rhythm, they will be positioned to leave Austin with a statement victory; however, if Texas generates early momentum, capitalizes on the crowd and forces A&M into rare mistakes, the Longhorns have the emotional and tactical tools to pull off one of the season’s most dramatic rivalry upsets.
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The record setting sack!#GigEm | #NFLAggies pic.twitter.com/7AoQ4GQ5t4
— Texas A&M Football (@AggieFootball) November 23, 2025
Texas A&M Aggies CFB Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies enter their November 28, 2025 road showdown against the Texas Longhorns carrying the full weight of an undefeated season, a top-three national ranking and a defense widely regarded as one of the nation’s most complete, and they travel into Austin knowing that rivalry dynamics can overturn logic if they do not play with total focus and discipline. Offensively the Aggies bring a balanced, efficient and increasingly explosive unit led by quarterback Marcel Reed, whose development into a composed dual-threat leader has elevated A&M’s ceiling and given them the flexibility to adapt to various defensive looks. The offensive line must handle the hostile environment and negate Texas’s momentum-driven pass rush, establishing early run lanes and providing Reed with clean pockets to exploit short, intermediate and vertical windows without forcing dangerous throws. The Aggies’ receiving corps, deep and athletic, must win separation in man coverage and convert contested plays in high-leverage moments, while the running backs must complement the passing game with downhill physicality and decisive reads that prevent Texas from teeing off on Reed. Defensively A&M enters with the advantage: their front seven has routinely overwhelmed opponents with disciplined gap control, relentless pressure and an ability to collapse pockets without sacrificing contain, and this unit must maintain that identity against a Texas offense that thrives on chunk plays and rhythm creation. The secondary must be sharp, avoiding penalties and miscommunication, and they must eliminate home-crowd-sparked explosive plays that could ignite momentum for the Longhorns. Situationally the Aggies must dominate third down and red-zone defense, areas in which they have excelled all season, because holding Texas to field goals instead of touchdowns would place significant pressure on the Longhorns to produce drives of near-perfect precision.
Special teams, often pivotal in rivalry games, must be mistake-free: directional punting, coverage discipline and field-goal stability will directly affect field position in a loud, emotional setting where hidden yardage can flip the narrative of the game. Emotionally the Aggies must guard against overconfidence—an undefeated record and national praise can breed complacency—and they must instead treat every snap as a high-stakes moment, understanding that Texas will play with desperation and pride in front of its home crowd. Leadership from experienced players will be crucial in keeping the team grounded, discouraging panic during adversity and preventing emotional reactions that could lead to unnecessary penalties. Psychologically A&M must embrace the challenge of walking into Austin as a target, knowing that a win not only preserves their perfect season but also strengthens their playoff positioning and reinforces their status as Texas’s dominant program in the modern era. Ultimately the Aggies’ path to a rivalry victory hinges on maintaining offensive balance, protecting the football, winning the line of scrimmage, playing suffocating situational defense, controlling special teams and staying poised in a combustible environment; if they accomplish these objectives with their usual discipline, Texas A&M will place itself in ideal position to leave Austin with a signature win that keeps their championship aspirations intact.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Texas Longhorns CFB Preview
The Texas Longhorns enter their November 28, 2025 home showdown against the Texas A&M Aggies with immense emotional weight, a charged home-field atmosphere and the dual motivations of protecting the Forty Acres and disrupting their rival’s undefeated season, making this one of the most consequential Lone Star Showdowns in over a decade. Texas approaches the game knowing they must play with precision, discipline and aggression against a Texas A&M team ranked in the national top three, carrying a suffocating defense and a balanced, efficient offense, and the Longhorns must amplify every edge granted by home turf, crowd intensity and rivalry emotion. Offensively Texas must rely on explosive-play capability, a fast start and a willingness to attack A&M’s elite defense with creativity and controlled aggression; their quarterback must remain poised under pressure, navigate collapsing pockets and deliver accurate throws into tight windows against a disciplined Aggie secondary, while their receivers must win contested catches and generate separation in high-leverage situations. The running game must be efficient enough to prevent A&M from overwhelming the line of scrimmage with pressure looks, and the offensive line must deliver its best performance of the season to maintain manageable third downs and prevent the Aggies from dictating tempo. Defensively the Longhorns face a major test in containing A&M’s balanced attack, and their front seven must win early downs, maintain gap integrity and pressure quarterback Marcel Reed without sacrificing contain, because breakdowns against a dual-threat leader can lead to explosive plays that kill momentum. The secondary must play with discipline, avoiding penalties and communication lapses, and they must challenge A&M’s receivers physically without yielding separation that yields chunk gains.
Special teams execution must be near flawless, as rivalry games often hinge on field position swings, blocked kicks, return discipline and the ability to capitalize on hidden-yardage opportunities; Texas cannot afford mistakes that hand A&M short fields or neutralize the home-crowd advantage. Emotionally Texas must channel the energy of the sold-out DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium into controlled fire rather than frantic decision-making; penalties, miscommunication and frustration-driven errors have cost the Longhorns in past rivalry and high-stakes games, and eliminating those self-inflicted wounds is essential. Leadership from veterans and coaches alike must keep the team centered during momentum swings, reinforcing confidence even when A&M mounts drives or defensive stands. Psychologically this game represents a redefining moment for Texas—an opportunity to puncture their rival’s perfect season, reclaim in-state bragging rights and reassert their program trajectory despite earlier setbacks that disrupted their national aspirations. From a betting perspective Texas offers meaningful home-underdog value because of rivalry volatility, emotional stakes and the ability of explosive offenses to generate sudden momentum shifts, but the Longhorns must execute at a near-perfect level to capitalize. Ultimately Texas’s path to victory lies in explosive early offense, stout situational defense, turnover creation, special-teams discipline and maintaining composure through hostile stretches; if the Longhorns convert their emotional fuel into execution rather than mistakes, they possess the ingredients to threaten A&M’s unbeaten run and produce one of the season’s signature rivalry upsets.
This one might be our new favorite celly🤘🪱 pic.twitter.com/x5ui17H2Zy
— Texas Football (@TexasFootball) November 23, 2025
Texas A&M vs Texas Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Longhorns play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Texas A&M vs Texas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Aggies and Longhorns and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly tired Longhorns team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Texas A&M vs Texas picks, computer picks Aggies vs Longhorns, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Texas A&M Betting Trends
Texas A&M enters 2025 ranked No. 3 in the nation, boasting an undefeated record and a dominant statistical profile; their strong season and national positioning suggest that they are viewed as an ATS favorite in most remaining games including this rivalry matchup.
Texas Betting Trends
Texas, ranked No. 17 in recent polls and dealing with a significant loss to Georgia that damaged their playoff path, enters as home underdog and carries momentum pressures but also the emotional boost of hosting A&M — their ATS performance in this specific rivalry has been favorable historically, offering some value at home.
Aggies vs. Longhorns Matchup Trends
The Lone Star Showdown has several intriguing ATS dynamics: A&M’s dominance and national status suggest they are the favorite, yet playing in Austin at Texas gives the home team an emotional and tactical boost. Moreover, rivalry games often feature lower totals than expected because they become tighter, more mistake-driven contests — bettors should keep an eye on whether the total line is inflated by A&M’s statistical dominance or suppressed by the rivalry context. Additionally, Texas’s underdog value at home against a heavy favorite may be under-priced if momentum swings or turnovers play a big role.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Game Info
Texas A&M vs Texas starts on November 28, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Venue: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Spread: Texas +2.5
Moneyline: Texas A&M -133, Texas +111
Over/Under: 51.5
Texas A&M: (11-0) | Texas: (8-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Moore over 40.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The Lone Star Showdown has several intriguing ATS dynamics: A&M’s dominance and national status suggest they are the favorite, yet playing in Austin at Texas gives the home team an emotional and tactical boost. Moreover, rivalry games often feature lower totals than expected because they become tighter, more mistake-driven contests — bettors should keep an eye on whether the total line is inflated by A&M’s statistical dominance or suppressed by the rivalry context. Additionally, Texas’s underdog value at home against a heavy favorite may be under-priced if momentum swings or turnovers play a big role.
TEXAM trend: Texas A&M enters 2025 ranked No. 3 in the nation, boasting an undefeated record and a dominant statistical profile; their strong season and national positioning suggest that they are viewed as an ATS favorite in most remaining games including this rivalry matchup.
TEXAS trend: Texas, ranked No. 17 in recent polls and dealing with a significant loss to Georgia that damaged their playoff path, enters as home underdog and carries momentum pressures but also the emotional boost of hosting A&M — their ATS performance in this specific rivalry has been favorable historically, offering some value at home.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Texas A&M vs Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| TEXAM Moneyline | -133 |
|---|---|
| TEXAS Moneyline | +111 |
| TEXAM Spread | -2.5 |
| TEXAS Spread | +2.5 |
| Over / Under | 51.5 |
Texas A&M vs Texas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1196
-2700
|
+23 (-108)
-23 (-112)
|
O 47 (-112)
U 47 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-142
+122
|
-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+174
-200
|
+4.5 (-103)
-4.5 (-117)
|
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-125
|
-1.5 (-112)
|
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+390
-510
|
+12.5 (-113)
-12.5 (-107)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-135
+115
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+161
-185
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+168
-193
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+177
-205
|
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
|
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns on November 28, 2025 at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |