Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 28)

Updated: 2025-11-21T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Ole Miss Rebels visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 28, 2025 in the storied Egg Bowl rivalry where Ole Miss arrives as the superior statistical team and MSU seeks to upset their intrastate rival at home. The matchup will turn on who controls the line of scrimmage, minimizes mistakes and seizes momentum early in this emotional rivalry setting.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 28, 2025

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field​

Bulldogs Record: (5-6)

Rebels Record: (10-1)

OPENING ODDS

OLEMISS Moneyline: -296

MISSST Moneyline: +237

OLEMISS Spread: -7.5

MISSST Spread: +7.5

Over/Under: 63.5

OLEMISS
Betting Trends

  • Ole Miss has been strong ATS overall this season, largely thanks to its productive offense and dominant statistical profile, offering value when favored though occasionally over-bet in rivalry or hostile settings.

MISSST
Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State has had a tougher time covering at home when entering as underdogs or playing into the Egg Bowl with elevated expectations, showing vulnerability to favorites that control tempo and exploit turnovers.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Rivalry games such as the Egg Bowl often produce atypical ATS outcomes—the favorite may cover at a lower rate, turnovers spike and momentum swings matter more than usual—meaning both spread and total lines may be more volatile than standard games; with Ole Miss’s explosive offense and MSU’s defensive struggles, the total may lean higher, yet the Bulldogs at home might still offer underdog ATS value if they can disrupt Ole Miss’s rhythm.

OLEMISS vs. MISSST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Bothwell under 64.5 Rushing Yards.

LIVE CFB ODDS

CFB ODDS COMPARISON

WANT MORE AI PICKS?

VAULT
VS. SPREAD
374-287
VAULT
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
+829.4
VAULT
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
$100/UNIT
$82,943
EXECUTIVE
VS. SPREAD
1680-1416
EXECUTIVE
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+450.6
EXECUTIVE
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$45,057

AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS

Create a Free Account

‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today.

Remi Finds New Picks

Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line.

Remi Works 24/7

Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.

Get Remi's AI Picks

Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/28/25

The November 28, 2025 Egg Bowl between the Ole Miss Rebels and the Mississippi State Bulldogs arrives once again as one of college football’s most emotionally charged, unpredictable, and theatrically volatile rivalry games, pitting an Ole Miss team carrying superior statistical strength against a Mississippi State squad that has struggled for consistency but gains undeniable energy and disruptive potential when playing at home in Starkville, where noise, tension, and raw animosity can alter momentum in seconds. Ole Miss enters with one of the more explosive offenses in the SEC, featuring a high-powered passing attack, strong run efficiency, and an ability to generate chunk gains that force opponents into uncomfortable defensive positions; their scoring output, yardage balance, and efficiency on early downs give them an identity capable of striking quickly and repeatedly. Mississippi State, however, leans on the rivalry’s emotional undercurrent and the home field’s chaotic intensity to compensate for statistical disadvantages, understanding that their best chance lies in mucking the game up with defensive disruption, aggressive blitz looks, special-teams swings, and an offensive approach that sustains drives long enough to keep Ole Miss’s playmakers on the sideline. The core tactical battle lies in whether Ole Miss can impose its offensive rhythm without giving up field-position leverage or turnovers, and whether Mississippi State can repeatedly force third-and-long situations that slow the Rebels’ pace and tilt the crowd into the game. Ole Miss must avoid the Egg Bowl’s infamous chaos by playing clean football: penalties, red-zone stalls, or special-teams errors have historically punished the favorite in this rivalry, and maintaining composure on the road is essential.

Mississippi State must generate pressure with efficiency, protect against explosive plays downfield, and create at least one or two momentum-swinging turnovers to counter Ole Miss’s superior offense. The Bulldogs’ offense, which has shown flashes of functionality but lacks sustained dominance, must maximize possessions, avoid giveaways, and create big-play moments through creative scheming, misdirection, or matchup exploitation, because long fields and conservative drives will not suffice against a high-scoring Ole Miss team. Special teams will likely serve as a critical hinge point, as field position, directional punting, return discipline, and clutch field-goal execution frequently swing close Egg Bowls, and both teams understand that one mistake can fuel emotional surges in either direction. The psychological element looms even larger: the Rebels enter with expectation, pressure, and a national spotlight, while the Bulldogs enter with the freedom of the underdog, the adrenaline of hosting, and the belief that the rivalry’s instability gives them a realistic path to an upset even if statistical models favor Ole Miss. Ultimately the contest will hinge on whether Ole Miss can dictate tempo, protect the football, and execute with clinical precision despite hostile surroundings, or whether Mississippi State can drag the game into a messy, emotional, momentum-driven slugfest that neutralizes talent gaps and amplifies the unpredictable theater that defines this rivalry. The team that wins turnovers, finishes drives, handles pressure moments, and maintains poise will walk away with the Egg Bowl and the year-long bragging rights that accompany it.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Ole Miss Rebels CFB Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels enter their November 28, 2025 road showdown against the Mississippi State Bulldogs carrying the weight of expectation as the statistically superior team, yet fully aware that the Egg Bowl’s emotional volatility, environmental hostility, and history of unexpected chaos require a level of discipline, poise, and execution distinct from a standard SEC matchup, and Ole Miss must approach this rivalry game with elevated focus to avoid falling victim to the intensity that often fuels Starkville upsets. Offensively Ole Miss brings one of the most explosive and balanced attacks in the conference, led by a quarterback capable of stretching the field vertically, distributing accurately underneath, and punishing defenses that overcommit with decisive reads and mobility; their receiving corps provides matchup advantages across the field, while their run game offers enough efficiency to prevent opponents from dropping into static coverage shells, allowing Ole Miss to dictate tempo through both pace and formation diversity. To succeed on the road in a rivalry setting, the Rebels must avoid early three-and-outs, maintain rhythm in the passing game, and convert red-zone trips into touchdowns rather than field goals, as leaving points on the board against a motivated underdog can fuel crowd energy and swing momentum rapidly. Defensively Ole Miss must remain composed in space, communicate consistently in the secondary, and prevent Mississippi State from generating sudden explosive plays or tempo-driven spurts that energize the home environment; maintaining gap integrity, winning first down, and forcing MSU into predictable passing situations will be central to preventing extended drives that allow the Bulldogs to slow the game and keep the Rebels’ offense off the field.

Ole Miss must also contain the emotional spikes that define this rivalry—avoiding late hits, retaliation penalties, communication breakdowns, or special-teams miscues that have historically derailed the favored team in the Egg Bowl. The Rebels’ defensive front must pressure MSU’s quarterback without sacrificing lane discipline, and their secondary must avoid giving up deep shots off broken plays or misalignments, as those have historically served as turning points in Starkville editions of this rivalry. Special teams will carry outsized importance, particularly kickoff coverage, punt discipline, and field-goal reliability, since rivalry games often hinge on hidden yardage and clutch kicking moments when normal game flow collapses under pressure. Mentally Ole Miss must embrace the adversity of playing on the road in one of college football’s most heated environments, leaning on veteran leadership to maintain composure through loud crowds, unpredictable swings, and moments when momentum tilts sharply toward Mississippi State. The Rebels must avoid playing down to the chaos and instead impose their identity with confidence, precision, and resilience. Ultimately Ole Miss’s path to winning on the road lies in protecting the football, neutralizing MSU’s emotional surges, maintaining offensive efficiency, and trusting their structural advantages to prevail even when the rivalry atmosphere attempts to pull the game into disorder; if the Rebels remain disciplined, execute situationally, and avoid self-inflicted damage, they should be positioned to secure a rivalry victory in one of the SEC’s most volatile annual matchups.

The Ole Miss Rebels visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 28, 2025 in the storied Egg Bowl rivalry where Ole Miss arrives as the superior statistical team and MSU seeks to upset their intrastate rival at home. The matchup will turn on who controls the line of scrimmage, minimizes mistakes and seizes momentum early in this emotional rivalry setting. Ole Miss vs Mississippi State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 28. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs enter their November 28, 2025 home Egg Bowl matchup against Ole Miss with the emotional fuel, crowd energy, and underdog freedom that have historically made Starkville one of the most unpredictable stages for this rivalry, and despite entering with statistical disadvantages, the Bulldogs understand that the Egg Bowl often rewards toughness, disruption, opportunism, and the ability to weaponize chaos against a favored opponent. For Mississippi State to compete and potentially deliver an upset, they must lean heavily on defensive discipline and controlled aggression, ensuring their front seven generates pressure without losing containment, tackles cleanly in space, and disrupts the Rebels’ rhythm by forcing third-and-long situations that allow the crowd to become a factor; the Bulldogs must also eliminate the explosive plays that Ole Miss thrives on, as deep shots and quick-strike scoring have historically swung Egg Bowls decisively. Offensively Mississippi State must emphasize balance and ball security, using its run game to keep the defense honest while creating manageable passing situations for the quarterback, who must operate with poise, avoid turnover-worthy throws, and extend drives long enough to keep Ole Miss’s elite offense on the sideline. The Bulldogs must also rely on creative scheming to exploit mismatches, incorporate misdirection or tempo variation, and generate at least one or two explosive plays, because grinding out long methodical drives alone will not outpace an Ole Miss team capable of scoring rapidly. Special teams will play a massive role, as the Bulldogs must win the hidden-yardage battle through disciplined coverage, reliable punting, and seizing any return opportunities that flip field position; missed field goals or coverage breakdowns would only fuel Ole Miss’s edge, while successful special-teams moments can ignite the home environment.

Emotionally Mississippi State must embrace the volatility without letting it turn into undisciplined football; late hits, retaliation penalties, blown assignments, and unnecessary risks have cost the Bulldogs in previous Egg Bowls, and the coaching staff must reinforce composure while still encouraging the physicality and edge required in this rivalry. The home crowd will give Mississippi State natural momentum surges, but the Bulldogs must translate those emotional spikes into tangible defensive stops or offensive conversions rather than relying on atmosphere alone. To remain competitive, Mississippi State’s defense must generate at least one turnover, whether through pressure-induced errors or opportunistic secondary play, and the offense must capitalize on those opportunities with touchdowns rather than field goals. Ultimately Mississippi State’s path to a home upset lies in controlling pace, limiting big plays, maximizing field position, and forcing Ole Miss into discomfort by dragging the game into a gritty, situationally driven contest rather than a free-flowing shootout; if the Bulldogs can maintain discipline, seize momentum-shifting moments, and avoid the self-inflicted wounds that have doomed them in previous editions of this rivalry, they will give themselves a legitimate chance to turn the Egg Bowl upside down in front of a charged Starkville crowd.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Rebels and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: F. Bothwell under 64.5 Rushing Yards.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Rebels and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Mississippi State’s strength factors between a Rebels team going up against a possibly tired Bulldogs team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Ole Miss vs Mississippi State picks, computer picks Rebels vs Bulldogs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Ole Miss Betting Trends

Ole Miss has been strong ATS overall this season, largely thanks to its productive offense and dominant statistical profile, offering value when favored though occasionally over-bet in rivalry or hostile settings.

Mississippi State Betting Trends

Mississippi State has had a tougher time covering at home when entering as underdogs or playing into the Egg Bowl with elevated expectations, showing vulnerability to favorites that control tempo and exploit turnovers.

Rebels vs. Bulldogs Matchup Trends

Rivalry games such as the Egg Bowl often produce atypical ATS outcomes—the favorite may cover at a lower rate, turnovers spike and momentum swings matter more than usual—meaning both spread and total lines may be more volatile than standard games; with Ole Miss’s explosive offense and MSU’s defensive struggles, the total may lean higher, yet the Bulldogs at home might still offer underdog ATS value if they can disrupt Ole Miss’s rhythm.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Game Info

November 28, 2025 • 1:00 PM EST • Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Ole Miss vs Mississippi State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1300
-2800
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+114
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-135
+114
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
O 66.5 (-112)
U 66.5 (-108)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+180
-218
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 59.5 (-105)
U 59.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-122
 
-1.5 (-112)
O 43.5 (-108)
U 43.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+400
-535
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-135
+114
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+150
-180
+4 (-112)
-4 (-108)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+164
-198
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+164
-198
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
O 38.5 (+100)
U 38.5 (-120)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs on November 28, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN