Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 22)
Updated: 2025-11-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Missouri Tigers travel to face the Oklahoma Sooners on November 22, 2025, in a marquee SEC-only matchup where Missouri’s 7-3 campaign clashes with Oklahoma’s 8-2 push for playoff positioning. Oklahoma enters as the home favorite thanks to its dominant defense and consistent home performance, while Missouri looks to leverage its top-25 ranking and up-tempo offense to challenge on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Sooners Record: (8-2)
Tigers Record: (7-3)
OPENING ODDS
MIZZOU Moneyline: +254
OKLA Moneyline: -319
MIZZOU Spread: +7.5
OKLA Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 42.5
MIZZOU
Betting Trends
- Missouri has shown strong form this season, averaging about 34.9 points per game and allowing about 19.9 points per game, which has helped them cover spreads at a higher rate than many SEC teams.
OKLA
Betting Trends
- Oklahoma has allowed just 14.8 points per game, ranking among the very best defenses nationally, and that defensive strength has translated into a high cover rate at home when favored.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With Missouri’s scoring average at 34.9 and Oklahoma’s more modest 28.3, the over/under may be inflated if Missouri’s offense fires and Oklahoma’s pace conversely slows the game; the mismatch in defensive profiles suggests value may exist either on Missouri covering as underdog or on a lower-scoring game than expected given Oklahoma’s ability to control tempo.
MIZZOU vs. OKLA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Mateer under 231.5 Passing Yards.
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Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/25
The November 22, 2025 matchup between Missouri and Oklahoma stands as one of the most intriguing late-season SEC clashes, featuring two nationally ranked programs with contrasting identities, shared urgency, and postseason implications that heighten every possession of this high-stakes meeting in Norman, where Missouri arrives at 7–3 with one of the most balanced statistical profiles in the conference and Oklahoma counters at 8–2 behind one of the elite defenses in college football. Missouri, averaging 34.9 points per game with over 5.5 yards per carry on the ground, thrives on tempo, explosive-play potential, and rhythm-based sequencing that stresses defenses horizontally and vertically, while its defense allowing just 19.9 points per game gives it a legitimate two-way blueprint capable of challenging top-tier teams when execution is clean and discipline holds. Oklahoma, meanwhile, brings a suffocating defense allowing only 14.8 points per game—a top national mark—built on elite-level communication, gap integrity, and a pass rush that can take over games, complemented by an offense generating 28.3 points per game with efficient, mistake-averse execution rather than pure explosiveness. The matchup becomes a deeply strategic affair: Missouri seeks to force Oklahoma out of its preferred pace by striking early, controlling tempo, and creating vertical stress that tests the Sooners’ secondary; Oklahoma is determined to slow the contest, force long drives, and win through field position, physicality, and defensive precision. Each team’s strengths align directly against the other’s cornerstone—Missouri’s explosive offense testing Oklahoma’s shutdown defense, Oklahoma’s efficient but steady offense probing a Missouri defense built on structure and balance—and that symmetry raises the importance of situational edges like third-down execution, red-zone finishing, turnover margin, and special-teams discipline.
Missouri’s path relies heavily on early-down success: if they stay ahead of the chains, their play-action game becomes lethal, and their run tempo can wear down Oklahoma’s front; but if the Sooners force third-and-long situations, their defensive front can tilt the game decisively. Oklahoma must avoid allowing Missouri to dictate tempo, instead aiming to control possession, leverage their home crowd, and pressure Missouri into mistakes in a hostile environment where communication challenges can multiply for visiting offenses. Both teams have reason for confidence—Missouri with its two-sided balance and national ranking, Oklahoma with its home-field command and defensive dominance—and both understand that momentum shifts may come from hidden yards, special-teams sparks, or defensive stands rather than pure offensive volatility. This game likely unfolds as a chess match in motion: Missouri pushing to stretch the field vertically and inject tempo, Oklahoma anchoring itself in physical defense, controlled rhythms, and opportunistic scoring. Ultimately, Oklahoma’s home advantage and elite defense give it the slightest edge in a contest where neither side is likely to create immediate separation, but Missouri’s explosive ceiling ensures that the Tigers remain a live threat deep into the game if they avoid turnovers, manage the environment, and repeatedly test the Sooners’ discipline. The matchup promises four quarters of intensity, precision, and high-level SEC football in a game defined by margins rather than mismatches, and whichever team most effectively imposes its identity will elevate its postseason trajectory in significant fashion.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Brotherhood that doesn’t break. #MIZ | #STP pic.twitter.com/p3Aw1n4vaV
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) November 19, 2025
Missouri Tigers CFB Preview
Missouri enters its November 22, 2025 road showdown at Oklahoma carrying a 7–3 record, a top-25 national ranking, and the confidence of a program built on one of the SEC’s most balanced statistical profiles, but the Tigers also understand the magnitude of playing in Norman against a Sooners team whose defensive identity and home-field environment can erase advantages quickly if execution wavers even slightly. Missouri’s offense, averaging 34.9 points per game, thrives on tempo, physicality, and vertical aggression, with a rushing attack surpassing 5.5 yards per carry and a passing game that leverages spacing, motion, and layered route concepts to create explosive opportunities; their success hinges on staying ahead of the chains, allowing their play-action sequencing to unfold and forcing defenses into hesitation rather than downhill pursuit. Against Oklahoma’s elite defense—allowing only 14.8 points per game and ranking among the nation’s best in third-down defense, red-zone efficiency, and explosive-play prevention—Missouri must execute with timing precision, win the line of scrimmage early, and avoid the negative plays that can derail their rhythm. The Tigers’ offensive line faces one of its sternest tests of the year: if they hold up against Oklahoma’s front, Missouri’s balanced attack can stress the Sooners horizontally and vertically; if they falter, Missouri risks becoming one-dimensional, allowing Oklahoma’s defense to dictate tempo and suffocate possessions. Defensively, Missouri’s unit—allowing just 19.9 points per game—has been a strength throughout the season, showing discipline, fluidity in coverage, and a strong pursuit structure that will be essential against an Oklahoma offense averaging 28.
3 points per game and built on mistake-free execution rather than pure explosiveness. The Tigers must limit Oklahoma’s early-down success, avoid giving up long methodical drives, and tighten in the red zone, where Oklahoma thrives by converting manageable opportunities into touchdowns instead of field goals. Turnover margin and tackling efficiency become pivotal in a game where possessions may be fewer than usual and where field position could shape every swing of momentum. On the road, Missouri must also navigate the psychological pressures of a loud, hostile environment—pre-snap discipline, composure on third downs, and communication across the offensive line and secondary will determine whether they maintain poise or fall into the disruptive patterns Oklahoma’s crowd can generate. Special teams may provide Missouri with a path to tilt the field: clean kicking, precise coverage units, and a big-play return could shift momentum and shorten drives against a Sooners defense that rarely allows sustained marches. Betting indicators suggest Missouri has exceeded ATS expectations due to their balanced scoring and defensive profile, but facing Oklahoma at home presents a significantly different challenge—one requiring flawless attention to detail, early offensive success, and unwavering defensive discipline. Ultimately, Missouri carries the talent, structure, and confidence to make this a competitive contest deep into the fourth quarter, but their upset chances hinge on whether they can maintain rhythm, withstand Oklahoma’s defensive intensity, and seize the limited opportunities a defense of this caliber will allow.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Oklahoma Sooners CFB Preview
Oklahoma enters its November 22, 2025 home showdown against Missouri with an 8–2 record, a powerful defensive identity, and the advantage of one of college football’s most imposing home environments, giving the Sooners momentum and structural confidence as they prepare to face a top-25 Missouri team whose balanced profile demands disciplined, mistake-free football for four full quarters. At the core of Oklahoma’s success is one of the nation’s most dominant defenses, allowing just 14.8 points per game through elite communication, suffocating gap integrity, and a front seven capable of collapsing pockets, disrupting run schemes, and eliminating explosive plays before they develop—an invaluable asset against a Missouri offense averaging 34.9 points per game and built on tempo, vertical aggression, and a rushing attack well over five yards per carry. The Sooners recognize that controlling early downs will be central to their success; by forcing Missouri behind schedule, they can unleash their pass rush, tighten coverage, and turn the Tigers’ normally efficient sequencing into hurried decisions and narrow throwing windows. Offensively, Oklahoma’s profile—28.3 points per game and a system emphasizing efficiency over flash—fits seamlessly with their defensive backbone; while not as explosive as Missouri, they avoid mistakes, maximize field position, and consistently convert manageable red-zone opportunities into points. At home, this complementary style becomes even more dangerous: Norman’s crowd amplifies defensive pressure, complicates opponent communication, and creates a game script that often forces visiting offenses into self-inflicted errors. Against Missouri’s defense, which allows a sturdy 19.
9 points per game and thrives on structure, pursuit, and disciplined coverage, Oklahoma’s strategy will focus on patience, ball security, and sustained drives that test Missouri’s tackling and limit the Tigers’ opportunities to play with tempo. The Sooners must also capitalize on hidden yards—special teams, punt placement, and coverage responsibilities—which frequently provide Oklahoma with advantageous starting field position and allow their defense to attack aggressively without fear of short-field risk. Psychologically, Oklahoma enters with clarity and urgency: victory preserves playoff aspirations and strengthens their standing in the SEC hierarchy, while any lapse opens the door to a Missouri offense fully capable of flipping momentum instantly. For the Sooners, eliminating penalties, executing on third down, and maintaining red-zone precision will be crucial, as will keeping Missouri’s run game from establishing rhythm, which would unlock their dangerous play-action layers. From a betting and matchup standpoint, Oklahoma’s elite defense coupled with their strong home track record gives them a measurable advantage even against a balanced and explosive opponent like Missouri; their blueprint—defensive control, field-position leverage, and efficient scoring—shapes a winning formula that mirrors the approach that has defined their rise throughout the season. If the Sooners impose their identity early, they have the capacity to dictate tempo, limit Missouri’s offensive ceiling, and steer the contest toward a controlled, methodical, and ultimately decisive home victory that reinforces their place among the nation’s elite.
— Oklahoma Football (@OU_Football) November 19, 2025
Missouri vs Oklahoma Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Tigers and Sooners play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Missouri vs Oklahoma Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Tigers and Sooners and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned weight knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on Oklahoma’s strength factors between a Tigers team going up against a possibly deflated Sooners team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Missouri vs Oklahoma picks, computer picks Tigers vs Sooners, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | 12/5 | NOTEX@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v4
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| CFB | 12/5 | UNLV@BOISE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| CFB | 12/5 | NOTEX@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Missouri Betting Trends
Missouri has shown strong form this season, averaging about 34.9 points per game and allowing about 19.9 points per game, which has helped them cover spreads at a higher rate than many SEC teams.
Oklahoma Betting Trends
Oklahoma has allowed just 14.8 points per game, ranking among the very best defenses nationally, and that defensive strength has translated into a high cover rate at home when favored.
Tigers vs. Sooners Matchup Trends
With Missouri’s scoring average at 34.9 and Oklahoma’s more modest 28.3, the over/under may be inflated if Missouri’s offense fires and Oklahoma’s pace conversely slows the game; the mismatch in defensive profiles suggests value may exist either on Missouri covering as underdog or on a lower-scoring game than expected given Oklahoma’s ability to control tempo.
Missouri vs. Oklahoma Game Info
Missouri vs Oklahoma starts on November 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.
Spread: Oklahoma -7.5
Moneyline: Missouri +254, Oklahoma -319
Over/Under: 42.5
Missouri: (7-3) | Oklahoma: (8-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Mateer under 231.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
With Missouri’s scoring average at 34.9 and Oklahoma’s more modest 28.3, the over/under may be inflated if Missouri’s offense fires and Oklahoma’s pace conversely slows the game; the mismatch in defensive profiles suggests value may exist either on Missouri covering as underdog or on a lower-scoring game than expected given Oklahoma’s ability to control tempo.
MIZZOU trend: Missouri has shown strong form this season, averaging about 34.9 points per game and allowing about 19.9 points per game, which has helped them cover spreads at a higher rate than many SEC teams.
OKLA trend: Oklahoma has allowed just 14.8 points per game, ranking among the very best defenses nationally, and that defensive strength has translated into a high cover rate at home when favored.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Missouri vs. Oklahoma Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Missouri vs Oklahoma trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MIZZOU Moneyline | +254 |
|---|---|
| OKLA Moneyline | -319 |
| MIZZOU Spread | +7.5 |
| OKLA Spread | -7.5 |
| Over / Under | 42.5 |
Missouri vs Oklahoma Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
In Progress
UNLV
BOISE
|
21
35
|
+1050
-2500
|
+13.5 (-105)
-13.5 (-125)
|
O 69.5 (-150)
U 69.5 (+110)
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|
|
In Progress
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
In Progress
NOTEX
TULANE
|
13
31
|
+1700
-10000
|
+17.5 (-115)
-17.5 (-115)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-118)
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|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-125
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-125
+105
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
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Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+160
-195
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
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|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+170
-205
|
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
|
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)
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|
|
Dec 17, 2025 5:00PM EST
Old Dominion Monarchs
South Florida Bulls
12/17/25 5PM
OLDDOM
SFLA
|
–
–
|
+168
-205
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
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O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
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Dec 24, 2025 8:00PM EST
California Golden Bears
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
12/24/25 8PM
CAL
HAWAII
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–
–
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-111
-108
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-1.5 (-106)
+1.5 (-114)
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners on November 22, 2025 at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |