Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 22)
Updated: 2025-11-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Liberty Flames travel to take on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on November 22, 2025 in a Conference USA matchup where both teams aim to secure late-season momentum. Louisiana Tech holds a slight statistical edge entering the game thanks to a defensively sound profile, while Liberty must improve offensive consistency to compete effectively on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Start Time: 4:00 PM EST
Venue: Joe Aillet Stadium
Bulldogs Record: (5-5)
Flames Record: (4-6)
OPENING ODDS
LIB Moneyline: -109
LATECH Moneyline: -111
LIB Spread: -1.5
LATECH Spread: +1.5
Over/Under: 45.5
LIB
Betting Trends
- Liberty enters the season averaging approximately 23.3 points per game while allowing about 22.4, placing them in the bottom third nationally in scoring offense and mid-tier defensively, which complicates their ability to cover spreads when facing stronger competition.
LATECH
Betting Trends
- Louisiana Tech averages about 25.6 points per game while allowing just 19.8, giving them one of the more reliable defensive profiles in Conference USA and increasing their likelihood of covering when favored at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Given Liberty’s modest offensive output and Louisiana Tech’s defensive strength, bettors may lean toward Tech covering the spread. However, Liberty being on the road with offensive woes creates potential value in backing the under or a narrower margin if Tech fails to separate early. Also, the total may lean under if Louisiana Tech controls tempo and limits Liberty’s drives.
LIB vs. LATECH
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/25
The November 22, 2025 matchup between Liberty and Louisiana Tech arrives as a late-season Conference USA meeting defined by contrasting identities, divergent strengths, and the lingering question of whether Liberty’s inconsistent offense can generate enough sustained rhythm to challenge a Louisiana Tech team that has built its competitive profile on defensive discipline, possession control, and methodical execution. Liberty enters with a modest scoring average in the low 20s and a defense that has performed respectably but not dominantly, creating a narrow margin for success whenever the Flames face opponents capable of controlling tempo and winning the line of scrimmage. Their offense has shown flashes—occasional big plays, spurts of tempo, and sequences of effective balance—but too often these positives have been offset by drive-stopping penalties, stalled early-down execution, or protection breakdowns that force long-yardage situations the unit is ill-suited to overcome. Louisiana Tech, on the other hand, comes in with one of the sturdier defensive profiles in the league, allowing fewer than 20 points per game and thriving on gap integrity, strong tackling, disciplined pursuit, and red-zone resilience, all of which reduce opponents’ explosive opportunities and force them into sustained, high-precision drives to score. Tech’s offense, averaging the mid-20s, is not built around raw explosiveness but around operational consistency; they stay ahead of schedule, minimize mistakes, and use a balanced approach to create manageable third downs that keep their defense rested and in favorable game scripts. These contrasts shape the central tension of the matchup: Liberty must push the game into a more open, higher-variance contest with chunk plays, tempo changes, and occasional defensive gambles, while Louisiana Tech seeks to suffocate volatility, slow the pace, and make Liberty repeatedly execute under pressure.
Field position and special teams loom large, as Liberty cannot afford to repeatedly defend short fields against a disciplined opponent, nor can they afford to start drives deep in their own territory given their challenges sustaining long marches. Turnovers also carry amplified importance; Louisiana Tech rarely beats itself, so Liberty must create defensive disruption or a special teams spark to shift momentum and compensate for their offensive limitations. Psychologically, Tech enters with the confidence of a team comfortable controlling lower-scoring games, while Liberty must fight the tendency to press when drives stall or when Tech’s defense compresses the field. The matchup’s rhythm likely hinges on the first quarter: if Louisiana Tech establishes early control with efficient drives and early defensive stops, Liberty may find themselves in a script where their offense becomes predictable and the Bulldogs’ structure tightens further. But if Liberty can strike early—forcing Tech into a more expansive offensive approach—they can disrupt the home team’s preferred style and open paths to an upset. Ultimately, Louisiana Tech holds the clearer structural advantages with stronger defensive metrics, home-field composure, and a reliable identity built for close-game success, while Liberty’s hope lies in elevating execution, winning situational battles, and forcing Tech out of its comfort zone in a matchup where precision and efficiency may outweigh raw statistical output.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
preparing with purpose 🔥 @orthovirginia | #strongerstartshere pic.twitter.com/6bHyd5D8h7
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) November 18, 2025
Liberty Flames CFB Preview
Liberty enters its November 22, 2025 road matchup against Louisiana Tech as a team defined by flashes of competitiveness overshadowed by inconsistency, making this contest a test of whether the Flames can elevate their offensive execution and maintain discipline for four quarters against one of Conference USA’s more structurally sound defenses. Averaging only about 23 points per game, Liberty’s offensive profile reflects a unit capable of generating occasional chunk plays but frequently undermined by early-down inefficiency, protection breakdowns, stalled drives, and third-and-long situations that narrow the playbook and place undue pressure on the quarterback. On the road, these issues tend to magnify, as crowd noise disrupts timing, communication must be sharper, and the margin for error shrinks when facing a Louisiana Tech defense allowing fewer than 20 points per contest. To compete, Liberty must emphasize rhythm-building sequences—quick throws, simplified reads, efficient inside-zone runs, and designed movement for the quarterback—to avoid falling behind the chains. Their offense cannot afford prolonged droughts, because Tech’s defense thrives when opponents become predictable. Defensively, Liberty has been respectable, giving up around 22 points per game, but they will be challenged by a Bulldogs offense that plays controlled, efficient football built on balance, patience, and protecting the ball. Liberty must tighten tackling, maintain disciplined gap control, and disrupt Louisiana Tech’s timing, particularly on early downs where the Bulldogs often set up manageable third downs that keep their offense on schedule.
Generating turnovers or forcing Tech into uncharacteristic mistakes is essential, as Liberty’s offense likely cannot win a grind-it-out battle without supplemental possessions. Special teams also take on heightened importance—Liberty must flip the field when possible, avoid coverage breakdowns, and prevent Tech from gaining hidden yardage that compresses Liberty’s already narrow margin. Psychologically, the Flames must manage the pressures of a road environment: they cannot afford early panic, must remain composed if drives stall, and must resist pressing for big plays prematurely. Their clearest path to competitiveness involves creating a game script that increases volatility—forcing Tech to play with more pace or from behind—and leveraging any early momentum to shift pressure onto the home team. If Liberty can sustain drives, avoid turnovers, and maintain defensive discipline in the intermediate zones, they can push the Bulldogs deeper into the second half and potentially force a tighter-than-expected contest. But if the same issues that have defined their season—inefficient early downs, self-inflicted mistakes, and inconsistency in the trenches—resurface, Louisiana Tech’s defensive structure and steady offensive identity could gradually take control and leave Liberty scrambling late.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs CFB Preview
Louisiana Tech enters its November 22, 2025 home matchup against Liberty with a clear structural identity built on disciplined defense, balanced offensive execution, and the kind of methodical, low-mistake football that has kept them competitive throughout the season, giving the Bulldogs a distinct advantage as they defend Joe Aillet Stadium. Allowing fewer than 20 points per game, Tech’s defense stands as one of the most reliable units in Conference USA, excelling in gap integrity, tackling efficiency, and red-zone resilience—traits that directly counter a Liberty team that struggles to sustain long drives and often falters when forced into predictable, late-down passing sequences. This defensive foundation allows Louisiana Tech to dictate tempo, shorten the game, and turn opponents’ small errors into decisive momentum swings. Offensively, the Bulldogs average the mid-20s in scoring by staying ahead of schedule, leaning on a balanced run-pass mix, and avoiding high-risk decisions that could compromise field position or defensive rest. Their approach is not explosive but deliberate: efficient early-down play calling creates manageable third downs, allowing them to extend drives while wearing down opposing defenses. Against a Liberty unit that concedes around 22 points per game but has shown vulnerability in coverage transitions and perimeter tackling, Tech’s offense has an opportunity to maintain its preferred rhythm—using play-action, short-to-intermediate passing, and physical inside runs to control the pace and prevent Liberty from generating defensive disruption.
Special teams add another layer of advantage, as Louisiana Tech’s consistent coverage units and reliable kicking game support their defensive-first model by maximizing hidden yardage and forcing opponents to travel long fields. Psychologically, the Bulldogs benefit from the stability of playing at home, where crowd energy and familiarity minimize operational errors and reinforce their controlled style of football. Their game plan should emphasize patience: avoid turnovers, dominate early downs, maintain field-position leverage, and prevent Liberty from creating volatility through sudden scoring or special-teams swings. If Louisiana Tech plays within its identity—physical at the line of scrimmage, disciplined in coverage, efficient on offense, and steady in special teams—they are well positioned to limit Liberty’s scoring opportunities and gradually open the margin as the game progresses. However, they must also remain wary: Liberty’s best chance is to force Tech into an uncharacteristic high-tempo game or capitalize on breakdowns, and the Bulldogs must prevent the Flames from gaining early confidence. Ultimately, if Tech sticks to its formula and executes cleanly, their defensive structure, balanced offense, and home-field composure give them a strong path to controlling the matchup and securing an important late-season victory.
Home finale on Saturday
— LA Tech Football 🏈 (@LATechFB) November 17, 2025
ℹ️ Senior Day
🆚 Liberty
🗓️ Nov. 22
⌚️ 2 pm CT
🏟️ Origin Bank Field at Joe Aillet Stadium
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🎟️ https://t.co/voA95NgF9V#BarkLouder | #HBTD pic.twitter.com/UWN8M2jhcE
Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Flames and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Joe Aillet Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Flames and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly rested Bulldogs team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Liberty vs Louisiana Tech picks, computer picks Flames vs Bulldogs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Liberty Betting Trends
Liberty enters the season averaging approximately 23.3 points per game while allowing about 22.4, placing them in the bottom third nationally in scoring offense and mid-tier defensively, which complicates their ability to cover spreads when facing stronger competition.
Louisiana Tech Betting Trends
Louisiana Tech averages about 25.6 points per game while allowing just 19.8, giving them one of the more reliable defensive profiles in Conference USA and increasing their likelihood of covering when favored at home.
Flames vs. Bulldogs Matchup Trends
Given Liberty’s modest offensive output and Louisiana Tech’s defensive strength, bettors may lean toward Tech covering the spread. However, Liberty being on the road with offensive woes creates potential value in backing the under or a narrower margin if Tech fails to separate early. Also, the total may lean under if Louisiana Tech controls tempo and limits Liberty’s drives.
Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Game Info
Liberty vs Louisiana Tech starts on November 22, 2025 at 4:00 PM EST.
Venue: Joe Aillet Stadium.
Spread: Louisiana Tech +1.5
Moneyline: Liberty -109, Louisiana Tech -111
Over/Under: 45.5
Liberty: (4-6) | Louisiana Tech: (5-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Given Liberty’s modest offensive output and Louisiana Tech’s defensive strength, bettors may lean toward Tech covering the spread. However, Liberty being on the road with offensive woes creates potential value in backing the under or a narrower margin if Tech fails to separate early. Also, the total may lean under if Louisiana Tech controls tempo and limits Liberty’s drives.
LIB trend: Liberty enters the season averaging approximately 23.3 points per game while allowing about 22.4, placing them in the bottom third nationally in scoring offense and mid-tier defensively, which complicates their ability to cover spreads when facing stronger competition.
LATECH trend: Louisiana Tech averages about 25.6 points per game while allowing just 19.8, giving them one of the more reliable defensive profiles in Conference USA and increasing their likelihood of covering when favored at home.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Liberty vs. Louisiana Tech Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Liberty vs Louisiana Tech trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| LIB Moneyline | -109 |
|---|---|
| LATECH Moneyline | -111 |
| LIB Spread | -1.5 |
| LATECH Spread | +1.5 |
| Over / Under | 45.5 |
Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1216
-2800
|
+23.5 (+100)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 47 (-104)
U 47 (-113)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-135
+115
|
-2.5 (-104)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 60.5 (-108)
U 60.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-138
+118
|
-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 66.5 (-108)
U 66.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+189
-225
|
+4.5 (+103)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 59.5 (-113)
U 59.5 (-104)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-125
|
-1.5 (-106)
|
O 43 (-108)
U 43 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+383
-500
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-102)
|
O 49 (-108)
U 49 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-135
+115
|
-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-103)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+161
-185
|
+4 (-106)
-4 (-106)
|
O 57.5 (-114)
U 57.5 (-103)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+168
-193
|
+4 (-106)
-4 (-106)
|
O 47 (-108)
U 47 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+177
-205
|
+5 (-106)
-5 (-106)
|
O 38.5 (-108)
U 38.5 (-108)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs on November 22, 2025 at Joe Aillet Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |