Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 22)
Updated: 2025-11-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kentucky Wildcats visit the Vanderbilt Commodores on November 22, 2025 in an SEC matchup where Kentucky seeks to bounce back from inconsistency while Vanderbilt looks to maintain momentum at home with a top-10 national standing. Kentucky has shown flashes but remains middling in scoring, whereas Vanderbilt has been among the most efficient offenses in the conference, making this a clash of rising home-team strength versus an away club needing elevated performance.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 22, 2025
Start Time: 4:30 PM EST
Venue: FirstBank Stadium
Commodores Record: (8-2)
Wildcats Record: (5-5)
OPENING ODDS
UK Moneyline: +294
VANDY Moneyline: -377
UK Spread: +9.5
VANDY Spread: -9.5
Over/Under: 53.5
UK
Betting Trends
- Kentucky is averaging about 25.9 points per game this season while allowing roughly 23.1 points per game, placing them in the middle of the SEC in both offense and defense and making their ATS credibility moderate at best.
VANDY
Betting Trends
- Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
UK vs. VANDY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Boley under 207.5 Passing Yards.
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Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/25
The November 22, 2025 matchup between Kentucky and Vanderbilt presents one of the more intriguing late-season SEC showdowns, pitting Vanderbilt’s explosive offensive profile and improving defense at home against a Kentucky team that has shown flashes of competence but still lacks consistency and high-end execution in key games. Vanderbilt comes into the contest averaging 38.3 points per game and allowing just 22.2—numbers that place them among the national leaders in scoring offense and provide a foundation for sustained success in all three phases of the game. Their offense is balanced yet dynamic, combining a run game averaging roughly 5.8 yards per carry with a passing game that has generated chunk plays and high completion rates, making the Commodores difficult to defend when they find pace. Defensively, Vanderbilt’s unit has tightened under new coordinators, showing stronger gap integrity, better tackling, and improved third-down conversion percentages, which has allowed them to stay in games and convert drives into points efficiently. Kentucky, on the other hand, is averaging about 25.9 points per game and allowing roughly 23.1—competent but not elite. Their offense has occasional bursts—such as the recent 42-10 victory over Florida—but also has periods of stagnation, especially on early downs and on third-and-long situations, where they often fail to convert at a rate that keeps defenses honest. Defensively, Kentucky shows moderate competence but is vulnerable to explosive plays and tempo shifts, areas where Vanderbilt thrives.
The key strategic narrative centers on whether Vanderbilt can impose its pace early and sustain drives while preventing Kentucky’s offense from finding rhythm, or whether Kentucky can disrupt the Commodores’ identity by forcing mistakes, winning hidden-yardage, and making the game tighter than expected. In terms of game script, Vanderbilt will aim to establish the run early, convert in the red zone, win early downs, and avoid giving Kentucky short fields. They’ll look to convert touchdowns, not field goals, and lean on their special teams and coverage units to flip yards and maintain momentum. Kentucky must attack Vanderbilt’s corners, establish some run game to prevent being one-dimensional, avoid third-and-long situations, and force Vanderbilt into uncomfortable tempo. The betting landscape reflects this: Vanderbilt appears to have strong cover potential due to better statistical profiles and home advantage, while Kentucky holds value as an underdog if they play above their baseline. The total could lean over if Vanderbilt dominates and Kentucky responds, but under is plausible if Vanderbilt controls tempo and limits possessions. Ultimately, Vanderbilt holds the edge given their offensive firepower, improved defense, and home field. Kentucky remains live if they elevate execution significantly, but the margin remains tilted toward the Commodores unless the Wildcats bring a near-flawless game.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Building momentum. Let's keep it going. #GoBigBlue pic.twitter.com/Lve0lrpaDj
— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) November 18, 2025
Kentucky Wildcats CFB Preview
Kentucky enters its November 22, 2025 road matchup at Vanderbilt with the awareness that it must deliver one of its most complete and disciplined performances of the season to compete with a Commodores team that has emerged as one of the SEC’s most balanced and explosive programs, and the Wildcats arrive knowing that their margin for error will be significantly slimmer in Nashville than in most environments. The Wildcats bring an offense averaging just under twenty-six points per game, a unit that has shown flashes of rhythmic play-calling and physicality but has struggled to maintain continuity across four quarters, especially on the road where early-down inefficiency and long-yardage situations have frequently stalled drives. Kentucky’s clearest path to competitiveness lies in controlling tempo through a committed run game, playing patient football, and reducing Vanderbilt’s total possessions; if the Wildcats can establish steady interior rushing success, they can open play-action opportunities and prevent the Commodores from dictating pace. Protecting the quarterback will be essential as well, since Vanderbilt’s improved defensive front thrives when opponents become predictable and has shown the ability to generate interior disruption that derails timing-based passing structures. Defensively, Kentucky must commit to eliminating explosive plays, which have been the root of many of their toughest stretches this year, and they must ensure sound tackling and disciplined alignments against a Vanderbilt offense averaging more than thirty-eight points per game. This requires limiting early-down production, forcing the Commodores into more third-and-medium scenarios, and contesting intermediate passing windows with tighter coverage than Kentucky has shown in several recent outings.
Special teams also become a critical component of the Wildcats’ road plan, as hidden-yardage swings can determine whether Vanderbilt enjoys the short fields that power their high-efficiency scoring or is forced into longer, more methodical drives that allow Kentucky’s defense to settle and rotate effectively. Kentucky must also prioritize turnover avoidance; giveaways on the road against a high-powered home offense create deficits that their own offensive structure is not built to erase quickly. Psychologically, Kentucky must embrace the underdog identity without slipping into desperation—they must play with urgency, but not panic, even if Vanderbilt strikes early. The Wildcats need to stay within one possession into the second half to maintain viability, and doing so requires clean execution, disciplined communication, and maximizing every scoring opportunity, even when drives stall in fringe field-goal range. If Kentucky can convert red-zone trips efficiently, extend drives with timely third-down conversions, and avoid giving Vanderbilt free possessions or short-field chances, they can push this game deeper into competitive territory than expected. However, if Kentucky’s offense falls into its all-too-common lulls or if their defense surrenders early explosive plays, Vanderbilt possesses the offensive horsepower to separate quickly and remove any chance for the Wildcats to dictate pace. The Wildcats must lean on resilience, situational sharpness, and clock control to create the type of low-possession contest that gives them a realistic chance at a late challenge.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Vanderbilt Commodores CFB Preview
Vanderbilt enters its November 22, 2025 home matchup against Kentucky carrying one of the SEC’s most impressive and complete statistical profiles, built on explosive offensive production, disciplined defensive improvement, and a growing confidence that has pushed the Commodores into legitimate national relevance. Averaging 38.3 points per game, Vanderbilt possesses a multi-dimensional offense that thrives on balance—using a run game approaching six yards per carry to force defenses into conflict, then capitalizing through a passing attack that has delivered both efficiency and explosive strikes. Their offensive line has protected well, enabling smooth operation of tempo variations and allowing the coaching staff to maintain a wide-open playbook, especially at home in a setting where crowd energy and comfort with the environment add layers of stability. Defensively, Vanderbilt has taken one of the biggest leaps in the conference, surrendering just over 22 points per game and demonstrating improved gap discipline, secure tackling, and better communication in the secondary, all of which have contributed to limiting opponents’ explosive plays and improving red-zone resistance. Against a Kentucky team averaging under 26 points and prone to offensive inconsistency, Vanderbilt’s defense has a strong opportunity to dictate early downs, force predictable passing situations, and compress the field in ways that make sustained Wildcat drives difficult.
Special teams serve as another quiet advantage, with Vanderbilt demonstrating reliable kicking, disciplined coverage units, and a consistent ability to win hidden-yardage battles that tilt momentum in tight sequences. To control this matchup, Vanderbilt must lean into its strengths: start fast to prevent Kentucky from settling into a possession-heavy game, finish drives with touchdowns, avoid turnovers that create short fields, and maintain defensive pressure without overcommitting. Psychologically, the Commodores hold the upper hand—they enter with belief, rhythm, and structure, while Kentucky arrives needing to overperform to keep pace. Still, Vanderbilt must guard against complacency; Kentucky is capable of explosive stretches, and allowing the Wildcats to linger within one possession could invite volatility late. If Vanderbilt executes its identity—balanced offense, early down dominance, clean special teams, and disciplined defensive fits—it holds significant structural advantage and should be positioned to control the game from start to finish.
#2Turnt https://t.co/FEOPz7GE71 pic.twitter.com/4RusO1fcB8
— #14 Vanderbilt Football (@VandyFootball) November 17, 2025
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Wildcats and Commodores play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at FirstBank Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Wildcats and Commodores and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the growing weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Wildcats team going up against a possibly strong Commodores team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kentucky vs Vanderbilt picks, computer picks Wildcats vs Commodores, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Kentucky Betting Trends
Kentucky is averaging about 25.9 points per game this season while allowing roughly 23.1 points per game, placing them in the middle of the SEC in both offense and defense and making their ATS credibility moderate at best.
Vanderbilt Betting Trends
Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
Wildcats vs. Commodores Matchup Trends
Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Game Info
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt starts on November 22, 2025 at 4:30 PM EST.
Venue: FirstBank Stadium.
Spread: Vanderbilt -9.5
Moneyline: Kentucky +294, Vanderbilt -377
Over/Under: 53.5
Kentucky: (5-5) | Vanderbilt: (8-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Boley under 207.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
UK trend: Kentucky is averaging about 25.9 points per game this season while allowing roughly 23.1 points per game, placing them in the middle of the SEC in both offense and defense and making their ATS credibility moderate at best.
VANDY trend: Vanderbilt is averaging approximately 38.3 points per game and allowing about 22.2 points per game, ranking among the FBS top-10 in scoring offense and significantly advantaged defensively—offering strong ATS potential when favored.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Kentucky vs Vanderbilt trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| UK Moneyline | +294 |
|---|---|
| VANDY Moneyline | -377 |
| UK Spread | +9.5 |
| VANDY Spread | -9.5 |
| Over / Under | 53.5 |
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1258
-5049
|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-135
+110
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-136
+111
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+170
-212
|
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
|
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-128
|
-2 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+380
-526
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-130
+106
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+151
-187
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+165
-200
|
+4 (-105)
-4 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-216
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kentucky Wildcats vs. Vanderbilt Commodores on November 22, 2025 at FirstBank Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |