Colorado State vs Boise State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 22)

Updated: 2025-11-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Colorado State Rams head to face the Boise State Broncos on November 22, 2025 in a Mountain West tilt where Boise State enters the game as a commanding favorite, and Colorado State must overcome significant performance gaps in offense and defense to remain competitive. Boise State’s statistical profile and home advantage combine to make them a strong cover choice, while Colorado State’s struggles this season suggest their path to success will require uncharacteristically strong execution and likely a chaotic game script.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 22, 2025

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Albertsons Stadium​

Broncos Record: (6-4)

Rams Record: (2-8)

OPENING ODDS

COLOST Moneyline: +563

BOISE Moneyline: -847

COLOST Spread: +16.5

BOISE Spread: -16.5

Over/Under: 44.5

COLOST
Betting Trends

  • Colorado State is averaging about 18.0 points per game while allowing roughly 27.9 points per game this season, placing them near the bottom of FBS performance levels.

BOISE
Betting Trends

  • Boise State averages about 32.1 points per game and allows roughly 25.9 points per game, giving them a solid two-way statistical foundation.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Boise State opened as approximately 16.5-point favorites at home and the total is set near 44.5, reflecting expectations of a dominant performance. Given the statistical gap, Boise State appears to carry strong cover potential, while the total leans modest—if Boise dominates possession and suppresses Colorado State’s offense the under may offer value; if Colorado State forces more possessions or garbage-time points, the over becomes more likely.

COLOST vs. BOISE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Beers over 0.5 Total Touchdowns.

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Colorado State vs Boise State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/25

The November 22, 2025 matchup between Colorado State and Boise State arrives as a late-season Mountain West game defined by stark disparities in consistency, roster depth, execution, and overall identity, setting the stage for a contest in which Boise State enters with every structural advantage while Colorado State must rely on disruption, variance, and opportunism to keep the game from tilting heavily toward the Broncos. Boise State’s profile this season has been that of a stable, balanced team capable of scoring in the low-30s while holding opponents to the mid-20s, creating a margin that—though not elite—neatly positions them to handle opponents whose offenses struggle to sustain drives or generate explosive plays. Colorado State represents precisely that category, averaging around eighteen points per game and frequently getting bogged down in long-yardage situations due to inefficiencies on early downs, insufficient run production, and inconsistent pass protection that prevents the offense from maintaining rhythm. The Rams’ inability to produce chunk gains places significant stress on their defense, which has surrendered close to twenty-eight points per game and allowed opponents to control time of possession and dictate tempo. That dynamic plays directly into Boise State’s strengths, as the Broncos thrive when they are able to string together balanced, methodical drives, use their run game to soften fronts, and turn manageable passing situations into high-percentage conversions. Field position looms large in this matchup: Boise State’s special teams have been steadier, more consistent in coverage, and better at preserving hidden yardage, while Colorado State often faces long-field situations that compress their already narrow offensive ceiling.

On the defensive side, Boise State’s unit may not be dominant, but it plays well enough to take away the first read, rally to the football, and force opponents into predictable play-calling sequences; Colorado State, which struggles to stay out of third-and-long scenarios, risks spending much of the afternoon against a defense set up to pin its ears back and pressure the quarterback in clear passing downs. The Rams’ best chance to upset comes from creating chaos—forcing turnovers, hitting explosive plays off misdirection, or capitalizing on special-teams breaks that shorten the field. But Boise State has historically protected the ball well at home, and their ability to maintain composure under pressure reduces the likelihood of gifting Colorado State sudden scoring opportunities. Psychologically, Boise State enters with confidence rooted in identity, home-field advantage, and statistical superiority, while Colorado State must adopt a fearless underdog mindset that emphasizes discipline, aggression at the right moments, and a commitment to preventing the game from snowballing early. If Boise State takes a two-possession lead in the first half, the Rams’ limited offensive ceiling becomes even more problematic, as chasing from behind forces them into low-percentage passing situations that historically produce turnovers or stalled drives. The matchup ultimately favors Boise State in nearly every calculable category—offensive efficiency, defensive reliability, special-teams stability, home-field impact, and situational execution—but the Rams can remain competitive if they slow tempo, win field position, and capitalize on the few scoring chances they generate. Without those factors, the gap in structural performance is likely to widen over sixty minutes.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Colorado State Rams CFB Preview

Colorado State enters its November 22, 2025 road matchup at Boise State with the awareness that they must deliver one of their most disciplined, opportunistic, and complete performances of the season to remain competitive against a Broncos team that holds clear advantages across scoring efficiency, defensive reliability, field-position control, and situational execution. The Rams’ 2–8 record and season-long averages of roughly eighteen points scored and nearly twenty-eight allowed highlight the core problem that has plagued them all year: they struggle to stay ahead of the chains on offense, fail to generate explosive plays consistently enough to flip momentum, and often leave their defense on the field for too many extended sequences. Their offensive identity has centered around short-to-intermediate passing concepts and occasional perimeter runs, but inefficiency on early downs routinely puts them behind schedule, forcing predictable passing situations that expose protection issues and limit their ability to sustain meaningful drives. Against a Boise State defense that, while not elite, has been sturdy enough to punish one-dimensional opponents and force mistakes, Colorado State must emphasize early-down efficiency, cleaner blocking, and a simplified but aggressive approach designed to peel off chunk gains and prevent the Broncos from settling into a comfortable defensive rhythm. Defensively, Colorado State faces an equally daunting challenge. Boise State averages over thirty-two points per game through a balanced attack capable of generating rhythm on the ground and stressing secondaries through timely downfield shots. The Rams’ defense has struggled with tackling consistency, gap integrity, and explosive-play prevention, which makes this matchup particularly difficult, as Boise thrives on sustained drives that wear opponents down.

For Colorado State to have any chance on the road, they must disrupt Boise State’s early-down scripts, compress running lanes, and force the Broncos into longer third downs where pressure can be applied and mistakes can be manufactured. Creating turnovers is not just helpful—it is essential. The Rams will need one or two sudden-change plays to generate short fields, as their offense has rarely demonstrated the ability to drive the length of the field repeatedly against any defense, let alone on the blue turf against a structured, disciplined opponent. Special teams become another critical phase: Colorado State must avoid mishaps in coverage, must flip the field whenever possible, and must prevent Boise State from stacking hidden-yardage advantages that would only widen the gap between the teams. Psychologically, Colorado State must embrace a fearless underdog mentality, understanding that the pressure is almost entirely on Boise State to perform at home. The Rams cannot afford to be tentative; they must play with urgency, avoid penalties that kill drives or extend Boise possessions, and maintain composure even if early adversity strikes. Their route to competitiveness lies in controlling tempo, limiting possessions, and hitting Boise with enough unpredictability—screens, misdirection, quick perimeter touches—to keep the Broncos from selling out defensively. Colorado State’s margin for error is slim, but if they protect the football, force turnovers, and find a way to convert red-zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than field goals, they can keep the game within reach into the later stages. Without those ingredients, however, the structural disadvantages point toward a steep uphill climb in one of the Mountain West’s toughest road environments.

The Colorado State Rams head to face the Boise State Broncos on November 22, 2025 in a Mountain West tilt where Boise State enters the game as a commanding favorite, and Colorado State must overcome significant performance gaps in offense and defense to remain competitive. Boise State’s statistical profile and home advantage combine to make them a strong cover choice, while Colorado State’s struggles this season suggest their path to success will require uncharacteristically strong execution and likely a chaotic game script. Colorado State vs Boise State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boise State Broncos CFB Preview

Boise State enters its November 22, 2025 home matchup against Colorado State with the confidence and structural stability of a team that understands exactly who it is, how it wins, and where it holds the strongest advantages, stepping onto the blue turf with a scoring offense that averages over thirty-two points per game and a defense that, while not flawless, performs with enough consistency to force inferior opponents into predictable, disadvantageous situations. Playing at home amplifies all of these strengths: Boise State’s offense tends to operate with sharper rhythm in front of its crowd, its run game typically gains traction earlier, and its well-coordinated passing concepts benefit from clean communication and controlled tempo. Against a Colorado State defense allowing nearly twenty-eight points per game and struggling with both explosiveness prevention and sustained-drive resistance, the Broncos should be able to dictate pace with a balanced approach—leaning on a physical rushing attack to establish control at the line of scrimmage while using play-action and intermediate concepts to generate chunk gains and keep the Rams’ linebackers and safeties in constant conflict. Boise State’s offense excels when it avoids self-inflicted wounds, stays ahead of the chains, and forces defenses into uncomfortable spacing decisions, and Colorado State’s vulnerability in early-down situations suggests the Broncos can seize momentum quickly if execution remains clean. Defensively, Boise State matches up favorably as well. Their unit has been efficient at forcing opponents into long-yardage situations, rallying to the football, and limiting the volume of explosive plays allowed—traits that directly challenge a Colorado State offense averaging only eighteen points per game and struggling mightily to maintain possession or complete sustained drives.

The Broncos’ front can pressure the edges, collapse pockets, and force hurried decisions from a Rams offense that has often been overwhelmed by pass rush and inconsistent blocking. For Boise State, the defensive key will be denying Colorado State manageable third downs, preventing chunk gains on early downs, and capitalizing on turnover opportunities that arise from forced throws or breakdowns in protection. Special teams further tilt the field in Boise State’s favor; their punting, coverage discipline, and return consistency allow them to win hidden-yardage battles, granting their offense short fields while pushing opponents into long, low-probability drives. Against a Colorado State team that cannot afford to give up free yardage or field-position losses, these incremental advantages can rapidly snowball. Psychologically, Boise State enters with high confidence and a strong sense of identity. The Broncos know that if they play to their standard—efficient early downs, physical trench play, strong tackling, clean special teams, and turnover-free offense—they are positioned to control the game from the opening series. The challenge will be avoiding complacency and ensuring that Colorado State is never given a spark through sloppy execution or preventable errors. Boise State’s blueprint is clear: start fast, dominate the line of scrimmage, protect the football, and use their superior balance to stretch the Rams’ defense across the entire field. If they do so, they not only stand as clear favorites to win but also possess a strong likelihood of doing so by a comfortable margin in front of a home crowd accustomed to late-season momentum.

Colorado State vs Boise State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Rams and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Albertsons Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Beers over 0.5 Total Touchdowns.

Colorado State vs Boise State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Rams and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most watching on the growing factor human bettors often put on Boise State’s strength factors between a Rams team going up against a possibly unhealthy Broncos team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Colorado State vs Boise State picks, computer picks Rams vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Colorado State Betting Trends

Colorado State is averaging about 18.0 points per game while allowing roughly 27.9 points per game this season, placing them near the bottom of FBS performance levels.

Boise State Betting Trends

Boise State averages about 32.1 points per game and allows roughly 25.9 points per game, giving them a solid two-way statistical foundation.

Rams vs. Broncos Matchup Trends

Boise State opened as approximately 16.5-point favorites at home and the total is set near 44.5, reflecting expectations of a dominant performance. Given the statistical gap, Boise State appears to carry strong cover potential, while the total leans modest—if Boise dominates possession and suppresses Colorado State’s offense the under may offer value; if Colorado State forces more possessions or garbage-time points, the over becomes more likely.

Colorado State vs. Boise State Game Info

November 22, 2025 • 8:00 PM EST • Albertsons Stadium

Colorado State vs. Boise State Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Colorado State vs Boise State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Colorado State vs Boise State

Colorado State vs Boise State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1300
-2500
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+110
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-130
+110
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+184
-220
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-132
 
-1.5 (-115)
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+430
-560
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-134
+114
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+156
-186
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+158
-188
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+172
-210
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Colorado State Rams vs. Boise State Broncos on November 22, 2025 at Albertsons Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN